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Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2021 #553287
10/13/21 06:00 AM
10/13/21 06:00 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,192
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Mainly fair conditions to prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today and clear to partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated with the chance for an isolated afternoon thunderstorm over the mountains.
Winds: E, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: Showers, if any, will be isolated for Thursday along with isolated afternoon thunderstorms inland. Then generally isolated showers and thunderstorms for Thursday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 12 to October 20: There is a low to medium chance of new Sargassum mats drifting onshore during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean.

An upper level trough off the SE United States extends to the NW Caribbean Sea allowing for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms from the coast of Colombia to Hispaniola, between 71W and 76W. A surface trough extends from southern Florida to the Gulf of Honduras and a few shallow showers are seen near the trough axis. The rest of the basin remains fairly quiet outside of the tropical wave in the E Caribbean previously described in the Tropical Waves section. Fresh trades were noted overnight within 150 nm of the coast of NE Venezuela, including the waters surrounding the ABC islands. Moderate or weaker trades prevail elsewhere. Seas of 3-5 ft are occurring in the E, central and SW Caribbean, while 1-3 ft are present elsewhere.

For the forecast, a tropical wave along 65W is approaching the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. This wave will continue to bring active weather across the extreme NE Caribbean and adjacent Atlc waters today. Northerly swell will subside across the regional Atlc and Caribbean passages through tonight. Low pres is expected to develop E of the southern Bahamas on Thu and drift eastward into the weekend. This will weaken the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin leading to tranquil marine conditions.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 36° C
96° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
Low: 10:39 AM High: 5:50 PM
Low: 9:35 PM High: 3:57 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:45 AM Moonrise: 1:04 PM
Sunset: 5:31 PM Moonset: 12:24 AM (Thu)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553288
10/13/21 06:00 AM
10/13/21 06:00 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,192
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
The Atlantic basin has no organized tropical systems at this time.

There is a surface trough of low pressure producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas. Development of this system, if any, would be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to unfavorable environmental conditions while the disturbance initially drifts northward, then accelerates eastward by Thursday. By the end of the week, further development is unlikely as the disturbance is expected to interact with a frontal system. It has a low (10 percent) chance of formation during the next 48 hours and five days. Regardless, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553289
10/13/21 08:17 AM
10/13/21 08:17 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,192
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
The easterly Caribbean winds are starting up again. There has been ITCZ activity on the Pacific coast, and Honduras, putting out high level cloud our way. This appears to have been clashing with high level winds from the north, resulting in a stationary area in the Caribbean.

Looks as if today will again be mainly sunshine, once the fog has burnt off and clouds developing during the morning, a slightly higher chance of some rain showers.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 33°C 92°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553290
10/13/21 08:17 AM
10/13/21 08:17 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,333
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
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elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning its sunny and the sea around our barrier reef is calmed with a slight breeze from the East. Today's expected high temperature is 89f.

jan 13th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553296
10/13/21 12:13 PM
10/13/21 12:13 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,192
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Clear skies throughout the country, including San Pedro. Fair, warm, and dry weather persists.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny during the daytime and clear to partly cloudy tonight. Mainly fair weather will prevail, with only isolated showers developing, and the chance of an afternoon thunderstorm over the mountains.

Outlook: For Thursday afternoon through to midday on Friday is for showers or thunderstorms to be isolated, except for the chance of a few more developing over southern and inland areas.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Flood Report and Forecast for October 13, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, levels are Below normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels are near normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remains below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are near normal and steady.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are below normal and steady; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels remain below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, below normal and steady levels continue. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is normal and steady. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS levels are normal and steady; and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge levels are above normal and falling.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are near normal and steady. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, below normal and steady levels continue. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels are below normal and steady. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South levels are above normal and steady; and at Jordan, levels are near normal and steady. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are below normal and steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are near normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, and on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, no significant change is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change is expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal and steady levels is expected to continue; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, no significant change is expected. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change in levels is expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, no significant change is expected. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, no significant change is expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, and on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, no significant change is expected. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, no significant change is expected.

REGIONS 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, normal and steady levels is expected.

THE NEXT FLOOD REPORT AND FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED ON OCTOBER 15, 2021.

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 13, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553299
10/14/21 04:25 AM
10/14/21 04:25 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 77,192
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

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Marty  Offline OP
Twilight this evening on Ambergris Caye. Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

Wednesdays views in Corozal. Photos by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]

Corozal moonrise this Wednesday afternoon.

[Linked Image]

GariMaya gift shop in Hopkins. Local crafts, souvenirs, gifts, they have it all! Give them a visit! Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]


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