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Joined: Oct 1999
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Belize Weather Forecast: October 14, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Light winds and mostly dry conditions prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today with only isolated showers, along with the chance for an afternoon thunderstorm over the mountains. Cloudy at times tonight with a few showers or thunderstorms over the south, and isolated showers elsewhere.
Winds: E, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: (Fri & Fri night) Cloudy spells with isolated showers or thunderstorms on Friday; then a few showers and thunderstorms mostly over the south Friday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 12 to October 20: There is a low to medium chance of new Sargassum mats drifting onshore during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean.

A sharp upper level trough and upper level low is located in the NW Bahamas. This is enhancing the development of showers and thunderstorms to the east of a surface trough that extends from the NE Caribbean to well north of the Leeward Islands. The large area of convection is mainly N of 15N between 62W and 67W. These storms are impacting parts of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Overnight scatterometer data indicate that fresh to strong southerly winds are occurring in association with the strongest convection. Moderate or weaker winds prevail in the rest of the basin. The exception are locally fresh trades noted in between Cuba and Jamaica and within 60 nm of the central coast of Cuba. Seas of 3-5 ft are found E of 77W. Seas of 1-3 ft are prevalent elsewhere in the Caribbean.

For the forecast, a vigorous upper level trough from the Bahamas to the NW Caribbean will support active weather across the central Caribbean and extreme NE Caribbean through Fri. Northerly swell will subside across the regional Atlc and Caribbean passages today. Low pres NE of the southern Bahamas will drift E-NE tonight through Thu then accelerate NE into the weekend. This will weaken the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin leading to tranquil marine conditions.

  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
19° C
66° F
Low: 11:49 AM High: 7:02 PM
Low: 11:11 PM High: 5:33 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 5:45 AM Moonrise: 1:56 PM
Sunset: 5:31 PM Moonset: 1:24 AM (Fri)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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The Atlantic basin has no organized tropical systems at this time.

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms primarily east and northeast of its center. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent significant development of this system during the next day or so. The low is beginning to move eastward and should accelerate further to the east-northeast over the next several days. On Friday, the disturbance is forecast to interact with a mid-latitude trough and further tropical development is not anticipated after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have blue sky and a calm sea. Today's expected high temperature is 89f.

aug 15th.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Gorgeous photo!

There has been a warm bubble of air move up over our area, still having influence over the Caribbean winds, which are very light, and even a trace coming in from the west. There has been ITCZ activity over the Guatemalan Pacific, which is sending traces of high level our way. So we are still experiencing very hot weather, which should have been cooling off by now, hopefully it will in the next few days.

Looks as if today will be yet another hot sunny day. As the sun heats the ground, so it will cause pockets of hot air to rise up, in doing so, they expand and cool, until they condense their humidity and clouds will form later this morning, just beginning in the north.

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Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 34°C 92°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country including in San Pedro. Generally fair weather will prevail over the area.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers or thunderstorms will occur over the south tonight and tomorrow, with the chance for an afternoon thunderstorm over the mountains and isolated showers elsewhere.

Outlook: A few showers or thunderstorms to continue mainly over the south Friday afternoon and night, then along some coastal areas Saturday morning.

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Tropical wave 38 is approaching from the Central Caribbean and another has arrived in the Eastern Caribbean.

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The arrival of the phenomenon of ′′ La Ni´┐Ża ′′ is officially declared.
It could increase the influence of cold fronts over the peninsula region.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Not much movement of air at present, but could be some rain showers developing over the mountains.

D3EC6E8C-A8C0-44DC-9974-C68E5D1F463F.png 6E15A3D1-343B-4CF4-A24D-B0F0048B409C.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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It's SUCH a pretty day that I turned off into one of the prettiest resorts I know, Matachica Resort, to take a few quick pics. Photos by San Pedro Scoop

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