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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: October 17, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy, more so in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Relatively moist and somewhat unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and partly cloudy to cloudy tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue mostly offshore and over some central areas this morning, mostly over northern and inland areas this afternoon, and then once again, mostly offshore and near coastal areas tonight.
Winds: Light and Variable
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for showers and thunderstorms to be isolated, except for a few more occurring over southern areas.
Sargassum Forecast from October 12 to October 20: There is a low to medium chance of new Sargassum mats drifting onshore during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

A weak pressure pattern prevails across the Caribbean waters. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 2-4 ft, are noted over the central and eastern Caribbean waters south of 14N. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 1-3 ft prevail elsewhere across the Caribbean.

For the forecast, the weak pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin will maintain tranquil marine conditions through early Mon. A cold front will enter the NW Atlc over the weekend and move SE. High pressure building in the wake of the front will bring a return to moderate trade winds to the Caribbean Mon night through Tue and then moderate to fresh winds late Wed.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
19° C
66° F
High: 8:02 AM Low: 2:13 PM
High: 8:40 PM Low: 2:20 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:46 AM Moonrise: 3:59 PM
Sunset: 5:29 PM Moonset: 4:05 AM (Mon)

Four Day Weather Outlook:


250 Km Radar Picture
(Time Label on picture is GMT. Local time is GMT-6 Hours)

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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There are no disturbances in either the Atlantic basin or eastern Pacific basin that have any potential for tropical cyclone development during the next five days.

We are monitoring an expansive, tropical wave drifting to the west at 5 mph. This tropical wave, according to increasing model guidance, is hinting at possible cyclone development and or impacts in the upcoming week, October 21-23, 2021.

[Linked Image]

While we are still far from the end of the season it does tend to drop off quickly for the latter half of October into November. Though usually not this quickly. At this time there are no organized areas of tropical features that show signs of development.

Despite the quiet period and the typical drop climatologically we still have an official 6 more weeks (and some change) of the season, so we will have to remain watchful at least through that time.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a slight breeze from the North and a flat calm sea around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is 88f.

flat calm weather.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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There has been a fair amount of rain earlier, but now reducing. There is a cold front coming down over the Gulf, it will probably not reach us, but not clear yet if it will have any effect on our weather. The Caribbean winds are from the ENE and there is high level over Belize from the NNE which helped to cause that rain, but there is other high level coming from the SW over Honduras.

Looks as if today will be a mixture of sunshine and cloud, with a significat chance of rain showers, particularly this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 32°C 90°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 7 mm (0.3")

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Rain showers in many places, especially around Belize City right now.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Partly cloudy, more so in the south. Partly cloudy in San Pedro, a bit hazy. Somewhat moist and unstable conditions continue over area.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers or thunderstorms will affect mostly inland areas this afternoon, then mainly the coast later tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: (Monday afternoon - midday Tuesday) Similar weather conditions.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Two tropical waves are approaching from the Caribbean.

[Linked Image]

Have a safe and wonderful Sunday!! Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Just another beautiful day in paradise. San Pedro photo by Eileen Jamison.

[Linked Image]

Today's sunset on the beach in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

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