Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy conditions throughout the country including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for possible gusty winds and locally rough seas near thunderstorms, developing especially during nighttime and early morning hours. A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and thunderstorms along the coast this morning, then decreasing and becoming isolated across the country later this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will re-develop along the coast and over southern districts tonight.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A similar trend will occur on Sunday and Sunday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 19 to October 27: Latest satellite imagery suggests that sargassum in our area continues to decrease. However, there is still a small chance that a few mats could drift into some areas during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical wave in the Atlantic, and three in the Caribbean.

The most recent scatterometer data provided observations of moderate to locally fresh trades across the east and central Caribbean, with mainly gentle to moderate winds over the NW Caribbean and S of 12N. Seas are generally 3-6 ft S of 18N E of 80W, and 1-3 ft elsewhere. Moderate to fresh winds are E of the Lesser Antilles and eastern Caribbean, with seas of 8 to 10 ft based on nearby observations. A diffluent pattern aloft will continue to support the development of showers and thunderstorms over Cuba, Jamaica, northern Central America, and the Yucatan Peninsula today. Shallow moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is noted elsewhere producing isolated to scattered showers.

For the forecast, high pressure N of the area will support fresh to locally strong trades E of the Windward Islands and across the eastern Caribbean through the early next week, with winds reaching locally strong in the Venezuela basin through Sun. Gentle to moderate tradewinds are expect to prevail across the basin for the latter part of the week.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village