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Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 #553522
10/23/21 06:09 AM
10/23/21 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 83,579
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP

Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy conditions throughout the country including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for possible gusty winds and locally rough seas near thunderstorms, developing especially during nighttime and early morning hours. A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and thunderstorms along the coast this morning, then decreasing and becoming isolated across the country later this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will re-develop along the coast and over southern districts tonight.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A similar trend will occur on Sunday and Sunday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 19 to October 27: Latest satellite imagery suggests that sargassum in our area continues to decrease. However, there is still a small chance that a few mats could drift into some areas during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical wave in the Atlantic, and three in the Caribbean.

The most recent scatterometer data provided observations of moderate to locally fresh trades across the east and central Caribbean, with mainly gentle to moderate winds over the NW Caribbean and S of 12N. Seas are generally 3-6 ft S of 18N E of 80W, and 1-3 ft elsewhere. Moderate to fresh winds are E of the Lesser Antilles and eastern Caribbean, with seas of 8 to 10 ft based on nearby observations. A diffluent pattern aloft will continue to support the development of showers and thunderstorms over Cuba, Jamaica, northern Central America, and the Yucatan Peninsula today. Shallow moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is noted elsewhere producing isolated to scattered showers.

For the forecast, high pressure N of the area will support fresh to locally strong trades E of the Windward Islands and across the eastern Caribbean through the early next week, with winds reaching locally strong in the Venezuela basin through Sun. Gentle to moderate tradewinds are expect to prevail across the basin for the latter part of the week.

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 24° C
76° F
19° C
66° F
Low: 5:45 AM High: 11:47 AM
Low: 5:09 PM High: 11:12 PM
Sunrise: 5:48 AM Moonset: 8:15 AM
Sunset: 5:25 PM Moonrise: 7:40 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553523
10/23/21 06:09 AM
10/23/21 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 83,579
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
The Atlantic basin still remains quiet with no organized tropical systems and no development expected through at least the last few days of October.

The tropical season runs through the end of November and therefore still has more than a month left to go, so more tropical activity still remains possible. Wind shear may become more favorable for tropical development in the Caribbean in early November, but all is quiet in the Atlantic for the time being.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553525
10/23/21 07:06 AM
10/23/21 07:06 AM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,662
San Pedro Belize
elbert Offline
elbert  Offline
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a calm sea condition around our barrier reef from a 7mph wind from the East. Yesterday the island received 5 inches of rain in a 24 hour period leaving us with muddy roads and standing water. Today's expected high temperature is set at 86 f.


White Sands Dive Shop
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553526
10/23/21 09:25 AM
10/23/21 09:25 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 83,579
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Cloud again moving up off Honduras, bringing rain with it, presently in many coastal areas. The normal easterly Caribbean winds have started, and there is high level cloud from the SW.

Looks as if today will be largely cloudy, both low cloud and high level cloud, some rain showers expected, particularly coastal areas.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : (Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler)
Last Night 24C 76F Yesterday max. 30C 87F Yesterday Rain 1.0 mm (0.04") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553528
10/23/21 12:38 PM
10/23/21 12:38 PM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 83,579
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
Present Condition: Partly cloudy, has cleared up a bit. Partly cloudy in San Pedro also. Moist and unstable conditions prevail but conditions are expected to become drier over the area during the next few days. A flood watch remains in effect for flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, except for a few mainly over inland areas this afternoon, then along some coastal and offshore areas tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: Similar weather conditions expected on Sunday afternoon through to midday on Monday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Tropical wave #41 will favor rain for today on the Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical wave #42 is coming near, #43 in the eastern Caribbean.

[Linked Image]

Pupper knows how to ride in style! Photo by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 [Re: Marty] #553529
10/24/21 03:55 AM
10/24/21 03:55 AM
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 83,579
oregon, spr
Marty Offline OP

Marty  Offline OP
A beautiful night under the bright moon at The Lodge at Jaguar Reef in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

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