Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021

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#553522 10/23/21 06:09 AM

Joined: Oct 1999

Posts: 84,395

oregon, spr

Marty

Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy conditions throughout the country including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for possible gusty winds and locally rough seas near thunderstorms, developing especially during nighttime and early morning hours. A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and thunderstorms along the coast this morning, then decreasing and becoming isolated across the country later this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will re-develop along the coast and over southern districts tonight.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A similar trend will occur on Sunday and Sunday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 19 to October 27: Latest satellite imagery suggests that sargassum in our area continues to decrease. However, there is still a small chance that a few mats could drift into some areas during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical wave in the Atlantic, and three in the Caribbean.

The most recent scatterometer data provided observations of moderate to locally fresh trades across the east and central Caribbean, with mainly gentle to moderate winds over the NW Caribbean and S of 12N. Seas are generally 3-6 ft S of 18N E of 80W, and 1-3 ft elsewhere. Moderate to fresh winds are E of the Lesser Antilles and eastern Caribbean, with seas of 8 to 10 ft based on nearby observations. A diffluent pattern aloft will continue to support the development of showers and thunderstorms over Cuba, Jamaica, northern Central America, and the Yucatan Peninsula today. Shallow moisture embedded in the trade wind flow is noted elsewhere producing isolated to scattered showers.

For the forecast, high pressure N of the area will support fresh to locally strong trades E of the Windward Islands and across the eastern Caribbean through the early next week, with winds reaching locally strong in the Venezuela basin through Sun. Gentle to moderate tradewinds are expect to prevail across the basin for the latter part of the week.

	High	Low
Coastal	30° C 86° F	26° C 79° F
Inland	32° C 90° F	22° C 72° F
Hills	24° C 76° F	19° C 66° F

TIDES:
Low: 5:45 AM	High: 11:47 AM
Low: 5:09 PM	High: 11:12 PM
Sunrise: 5:48 AM	Moonset: 8:15 AM
Sunset: 5:25 PM	Moonrise: 7:40 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 Marty #553523 10/23/21 06:09 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	The Atlantic basin still remains quiet with no organized tropical systems and no development expected through at least the last few days of October. The tropical season runs through the end of November and therefore still has more than a month left to go, so more tropical activity still remains possible. Wind shear may become more favorable for tropical development in the Caribbean in early November, but all is quiet in the Atlantic for the time being. For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 Marty #553525 10/23/21 07:06 AM
Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 13,675 San Pedro Belize elbert
elbert	On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a calm sea condition around our barrier reef from a 7mph wind from the East. Yesterday the island received 5 inches of rain in a 24 hour period leaving us with muddy roads and standing water. Today's expected high temperature is set at 86 f. White Sands Dive Shop https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 Marty #553526 10/23/21 09:25 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Cloud again moving up off Honduras, bringing rain with it, presently in many coastal areas. The normal easterly Caribbean winds have started, and there is high level cloud from the SW. Looks as if today will be largely cloudy, both low cloud and high level cloud, some rain showers expected, particularly coastal areas. Temperatures in Belmopan : (Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler) Last Night 24°C 76°F Yesterday max. 30°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 1.0 mm (0.04") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 Marty #553528 10/23/21 12:38 PM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	Present Condition: Partly cloudy, has cleared up a bit. Partly cloudy in San Pedro also. Moist and unstable conditions prevail but conditions are expected to become drier over the area during the next few days. A flood watch remains in effect for flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas. 24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, except for a few mainly over inland areas this afternoon, then along some coastal and offshore areas tonight and tomorrow morning. Outlook: Similar weather conditions expected on Sunday afternoon through to midday on Monday. Tropical wave #41 will favor rain for today on the Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical wave #42 is coming near, #43 in the eastern Caribbean. Pupper knows how to ride in style! Photo by San Pedro Scoop

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 23, 2021 Marty #553529 10/24/21 03:55 AM
Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,395 oregon, spr Marty OP
OP Marty	A beautiful night under the bright moon at The Lodge at Jaguar Reef in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut