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Joined: Oct 1999
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Belize Weather Forecast: October 26, 2021

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country including in San Pedro. Relatively dry east-southeast airflow prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today and clear to partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated; with the chance for an isolated thunderstorm inland this afternoon.
Winds: E-SE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: (Wed & Wed night) Mainly fair and warm with little or no rain.
Sargassum Forecast from October 19 to October 27: Latest satellite imagery suggests that sargassum in our area continues to decrease. However, there is still a small chance that a few mats could drift into some areas during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

A sharp upper trough extends from the central Atlantic near 30N49W through the Leeward Islands to the coast of Colombia. A few showers are noted in regional radar on the southeast side of this upper trough, moving quickly westward in the trade wind flow and mostly staying over the Atlantic, but impacting the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Fresh to strong trade winds are active over the south-central Caribbean, supporting a few showers and 5 to 7 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds persist over eastern Caribbean with 4 to 5 ft seas. A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated that the fresh E winds observed earlier over the Bay Islands and the Gulf of Honduras have diminished slightly. Seas are 3 to 5 ft in that area. Moderate trade winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted elsewhere, except for light SE winds and slight seas over the northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, weak ridge across the western Atlantic will support fresh to locally strong trades across the eastern Caribbean and tropical Atlantic waters E of the Windward Islands through tonight. Winds are also expected to pulse fresh to strong in the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. A cold front will enter the NW Caribbean Thu night and reach from western Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras by midday Fri.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
20° C
68° F
Low: 8:07 AM High: 1:55 PM
Low: 5:56 PM High: 1:16 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:49 AM Moonset: 10:50 AM
Sunset: 5:23 PM Moonrise: 10:02 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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Hurricane Season Continues; Cold Front Coming End of the Week

he first cold front heading into the Christmas season will cross over Belize as early as this coming Friday, but Gordon warns us to not let down our guard in remaining alert for hurricanes at this time of year.

Ronald Gordon, Chief Meteorologist

"Late October or sometimes early November, we typically see systems forming over the Western Caribbean Sea in particular, which is in our backyard, so people should be on their alert. Typically also, what we see happen is that tropical systems can form from the tail end of these cold fronts. So because a front crosses us, it does not mean that the season is over. On the contrary, like I mentioned, you can have systems developing on the tail end of these fronts and given the pattern behind these fronts, the high pressure ridge would tend to steer more on a westward track. So, we're not out of the woods yet."

The hurricane season closes officially on November thirtieth.

Channel 5

A deepening, non-tropical low pressure system with gale-force winds is located about 250 miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. This gale area is forecast to move north-northeastward today, and could acquire some limited subtropical characteristics before it merges with a frontal system by this afternoon. The extratropical low is then expected to meander off the mid-Atlantic and northeast U.S. coasts tonight and Wednesday, bringing rain and wind impacts to portions of those areas. After that time, the low is expected to move eastward away from the U.S. coast, and could again acquire some subtropical characteristics while it moves eastward or southeastward over the warmer waters of the central Atlantic. For more information on this system, including storm warnings, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

[Linked Image]

The Atlantic basin remains quiet with no organized tropical systems.

However, low pressure off the East Coast may become a tropical or subtropical storm later this week. Regardless of the exact strength of the system, it will bring rain and wind to parts of the Northeast and mid-Atlantic.

The tropical season runs through the end of November and still has close to a month to go, so more tropical activity still remains possible. Wind shear may become more favorable for tropical development in the Caribbean in early November, but all is quiet in the Atlantic for the time being.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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Generally fairly calm conditions, some easterly Caribbean winds over north Belize, no high level cloud near, and fog or low cloud over central Belize. Looks as f they are expecting rain on Thursday and particularly Friday.

Looks as if today will be fairly sunny when the fog burns off, some clouds will form later, could be the odd afternoon rain shower. No rain on the radar.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : (Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler)
Last Night 26°C 78°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm (0") Over Night Rain 0 mm (0")

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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Good morning from Calabash Caye!

Joined: Oct 1999
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Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Mainly fair and warm weather continues over the area.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny during the daytime and clear to partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated, with the chance for an isolated thunderstorm inland this afternoon.

Outlook: For Wednesday afternoon to midday on Thursday is for mainly fair and warm weather with little or no rainfall.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
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Sights of San Pedro. Photo by Tacogirl

[Linked Image]

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