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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: October 27, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country including in San Pedro. Fair and warm weather prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today and partly cloudy to clear skies tonight. Showers or thunderstorms if any will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: Fair and warm weather will occur on Thursday morning and then showers and thunderstorms will increase over inland areas Thursday afternoon and most areas Thursday night.
Sargassum Forecast from October 26 to November 3: The chances of new sargassum mats drifting ashore is expected to remain low during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is one tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

The Atlantic ridge extends across the Greater Antilles, with a weak 1014 mb high pressure located over the Cayman Islands. The ridge was displaced southward ahead of a deep layer trough and associated cold front currently north of the region moving through the Bahamas. Recent scatterometer data show fresh to strong winds over the south-central Caribbean, particularly from 11N-13N between 68W-75W, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate to fresh E winds are over the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in most areas.

For the forecast, the position of the surface ridge will continue to support moderate to fresh trades across the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela through early Thu. Gentle to moderate SE to S winds will prevail over the NW Caribbean through Thu night ahead of a cold front forecast to reach western Cuba and the NW Caribbean. The front will extend from western Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras by midday Fri, and from central Cuba to NE Honduras on Sat, then stall on Sun from eastern Cuba to near Cabo Gracias a Dios, Nicaragua while dissipating.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
28° C
82° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 9:16 AM High: 2:56 PM
Low: 5:56 PM High: 2:56 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:49 AM Moonset: 11:40 AM
Sunset: 5:23 PM Moonrise: 10:56 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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A cold front moves over the northwest of Mexico and will continue advancing towards the northeast and east of Mexico Wednesday, October 27. The front line will appear with cloudiness, showers and thunderstorms over the eastern and central part of Mexico. The front will continue to advance towards the Yucatan peninsula where it will arrive on Thursday, October 28 in the afternoon to night with activity of showers and thunderstorms advancing on Friday, October 29, over the southern part of Florida, western part of Cuba, Guatemala, Belize, and the northern part of the other Central American countries during the weekend. The front will generate a moderate decrease in temperatures over the eastern states of Mexico and the Yucatan Peninsula. In Central America, it will favor a cooling in temperatures with mild north winds in the coming days.

[Linked Image]

We are monitoring a series of tropical waves tracking east to west across the Atlantic basin spreading widespread squally weather across the southern Caribbean and the northern coast of South America.

[Linked Image]

A deep, non-tropical low pressure system with storm-force winds is located less than 100 miles east-southeast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts. The extratropical low is expected to meander off of the mid-Atlantic and northeastern U.S. coasts today, bringing rain and wind impacts to portions of those areas. Thereafter, the low is expected to move eastward away from the United States, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics while it moves eastward or southeastward over the warmer waters of the central Atlantic through this weekend. For more information on this system, including storm warnings, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

[Linked Image]

The Atlantic basin remains quiet with no organized tropical systems.

However, low pressure off the East Coast may become a tropical or subtropical storm later this week. Regardless of the exact strength of the system, it will bring rain and wind to parts of the Northeast and mid-Atlantic.

The tropical season runs through the end of November and still has close to a month to go, so more tropical activity still remains possible. Wind shear may become more favorable for tropical development in the Caribbean in early November, but all is quiet in the Atlantic for the time being.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Crown Weather:

Things are quiet with no other areas of concern right now. In fact, I'm becoming increasingly more certain that we may be done with any more significant tropical development this season. This is extremely abnormal for a La Nina year. The only reason that I can come up with as to why this is occurring is because the tropical waves are at such a low latitude they are just crashing into South America now rather than moving into the western and southwestern Caribbean. The reason why the model guidance seems to show tropical development in the southwestern Caribbean every once in a while is because they are erroneously showing a southeasterly wind flow there, which is not happening. Instead, the wind flow across the Caribbean is straight east to west and this is leading to tropical waves to not lift far enough north to develop.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Very clear skies in our part of the world, Caribbean clouds just starting to build on land. few out at sea. The Fog burning off, now high level near us. No rain in sight, with heat buildup there could be some showers in the mountains this afternoon.

Looks as if early today will be very sunny, some clouds developing later, probably no rain. No rain on the radar

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 25°C 77°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0") Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0" )

C1E54A31-CB7E-4014-B391-43C876A8C264.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Fair and warm weather prevails.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny during the daytime and clear to partly cloudy tonight. Fair and warm weather will prevail. Showers or thunderstorms, if any, will be isolated.

Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over inland areas on Thursday afternoon, increasing during the night and spreading to most areas by Friday morning.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Beach views in Hopkins. Photos by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

Amazing beach view, excellent breakfast and lunch at Thongs Beach Cafe in Hopkins.

[Linked Image]



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