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Belize Weather Forecast: November 12, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear this morning, a few clouds in the west and south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Conditions becoming moist and unstable. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over most areas. Winds: E-NE, 5-10 kts Sea State: Slight Waves: 1-3 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84 Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for similar weather conditions. Sargassum Forecast from November 9 to November 17: Impacts from Sargassum over the area are expected to remain low to minimal during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea Scattered moderate convection, in association with deep southerly flow to the SE of a trough over the Gulf of Mexico, is noted between Cuba and the Cayman Islands. Otherwise, only isolated quick moving tradewind showers dominate the basin. The monsoon trough extends east across Panama along 09N to northern Colombia, with no associated precipitation. Seas average 3 to 5 ft, with locally 6 ft seas occurring offshore N Colombia. For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will continue to support moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the Caribbean, with occasionally locally strong winds off Colombia today. The high will shift east later today, ahead of a cold front that will stall over the Yucatan Channel Sat. A second front will move through the Gulf Sun then stall from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras by Sun night. Looking ahead, the front will shift eastward into the Windward Passage into Tue as reinforcing high pressure builds north of the area behind a third front moving through the western Atlantic. This pattern will support fresh NE winds across parts of the northwest Caribbean Mon and Tue.   High Low Coastal 29° C 85° F 22° C 71° F Inland 31° C 88° F 19° C 67° F Hills 23° C 74° F 17° C 63° F TIDES: Low: 11:14 AM High: 6:10 PM Low: 11:09 PM High: 5:19 AM (Sat) Sunrise: 5:56 AM Moonrise: 1:23 PM Sunset: 5:17 PM Moonset: 1:11 AM (Sat) Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

On Ambergris Caye this morning a 1 mph breeze from the North makes a mirrored sea condition around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is 85 f.

Lovely photo!

The easterly Caribbean winds are trying to push back and fast way out at sea, but not on land, ther are all sorts of slow air movement on land and just off the coast.

Presently sunny for most of Belize, cloudy for the north, which should clear, some clouds developing later, no rain expected.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 23°C 73°F Yesterday max. 30°C 87°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0") Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0" )

Good morning from Corozal! Photo by Belize Scoop





Goodmorning from beautiful Hopkins! Yoga time! Photo by Hopkins Uncut



Flood Forecast for today, Friday November 12, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz, levels are below normal and decreasing; further downstream at San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the Coast are near normal and minimally increasing. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels are near normal.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the Low-level Bridge and steady.

On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are below normal and steady.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are below normal and steady; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels remain below the causeway and decreasing.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are below normal and steady; and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village, levels are normal and minimally increasing. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, levels are normal and steady; and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are near normal and steady.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are normal and steady. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank and on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels are near normal and steady.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South levels are above normal and steady; at Jordan, levels are below normal and steady. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are below normal and minimally increasing.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are normal and falling.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman and Douglas to the Coast, and, on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, normal levels are expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level Bridge.

On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, normal levels are expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run below normal levels expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun; and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village, normal levels is expected. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS; and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, normal levels are expected.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, normal levels are expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank and on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, normal levels are expected.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, normal levels are expected. REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, normal levels are expected.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Monday November 15, 2021 at 12 pm, or as necessary.

Present Condition: Mostly clear, a few clouds scattered about. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Slightly moist and unstable conditions will prevail over the next couple of days.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over most areas, but especially inland and south this afternoon then mainly north and along the coast tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to affect mostly inland areas Saturday afternoon then mainly central areas Saturday night becoming isolated by Sunday midday.





Meteorological analysis shows a cold front over the Gulf of Mexico. This will not reach the Peninsula. It would be the new cold front arriving in northern Mexico that arrives this Saturday.

There is a little rain about�

Taking a stroll on the beach in n Hopkins. Photos by Hopkins Uncut





Moonrise in Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop