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Belize Weather Forecast: November 15, 2021 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: A cold front remains in the area. Mostly cloudy this morning, including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable north-northeasterly airflow prevails. Advisories: Operators of small crafts are advised to exercise caution for possible gusty winds and locally rough seas near thunderstorms. or heavy showers. 24-hour forecast: Cloudy today with some light rain along with a few showers or thunderstorms, especially over southern districts. Cloudy at times tonight with a few showers or thunderstorms mainly along the coast. Winds: N-NE, 5-15 kts Sea State: Choppy Waves: 3-5 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84 Outlook: (Tue & Tue night) Cloudy at times with a few showers or thunderstorms mainly over the coast and the north. Sargassum Forecast from November 9 to November 17: Impacts from Sargassum over the area are expected to remain low to minimal during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook... Marine Conditions: The Caribbean Sea A cold front has stalled from central Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm south and east of this boundary. The monsoon trough extends along 09N from northern Colombia to the Panama-Costa Rica border. Scattered moderate convection is occurring to the south of this boundary. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds dominate the Carribbean, with localized strong winds pulsing offshore northern Colombia. Seas average 4 to 6 ft. A cold front passes through 31N73W, to the Bahamas near 25N77W, across Cuba near 22N80W, to the Gulf of Honduras. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is within 400 nm to the E/SE of the cold front, and within 400 nm to the NW of the cold front. The sea heights range from 3 feet to 5 feet in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. The stationary front in the NW Caribbean will gradually dissipate into tonight. Meanwhile, high pressure will continue to support moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the basin, pulsing to strong off the coast of Colombia. The ridge will strengthen mid- week, leading to increasing winds over the central Caribbean.   High Low Coastal 28° C 82° F 22° C 72° F Inland 30° C 86° F 20° C 68° F Hills 22° C 72° F 17° C 63° F TIDES: High: 7:56 AM Low: 1:31 PM High: 7:53 PM Low: 2:10 AM (Tue) Sunrise: 5:57 AM Moonrise: 3:11 PM Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonset: 3:41 AM (Tue) Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Mostly stationary cold front Cauich continues to generate rain. The cold front has stalled from central Cuba to the Gulf of
Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm
south and east of this boundary.



There are no weather disturbances over the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins that have any potential for tropical cyclone development during the next five days

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have rain and more rain . The breeze is from the North West at 11 mph. Today's expected high temperature is set at 82f.

Awesome photo!

The cloud and rain forming weather is stuck over us now, and has been since yesterday. Formed from a mixture of cool air from the north and the diverted Caribbean air from the NNE, together with the high level cloud from the SW. This is causing a lot of rain, now more consistent light rain and not the patches of heavy rain as before.

Looks as if much of today will be heavy cloud and generally light rain and drizzle in most places.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 22°C 72°F Yesterday max. 27°C 81°F Yesterday Rain 35.8 mm ( 1.4") Over Night Rain 5.2 mm ( 0.2" )

Looks as if the Caribbean winds are starting to take over again, but causing a lot rain, presently most out at sea, but also coming in towards Toledo district. There are still many scattered showers on land in south and central areas. But the cloud is thinning a bit up north.

Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country as a cold front influences the weather. Cloudy in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions linger across the country. Small craft caution for possible gusty winds and rough seas near thunderstorms.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy with a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms around the country, but especially over southern areas this afternoon and mainly along the coast tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: A few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms will continue to affect the coast and northern areas Tuesday afternoon and night, then will decrease Wednesday morning.







The stationary cold front Cau�ch num.8 will continue to generate heavy rains in Quintana Roo and part of Campeche. It is also estimated that it rains heavily in Guatemala, Belize, and Honduras, due to its influence.



Flood Forecast for November 15, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, all levels are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels are below normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and increasing.

On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are below normal and minimally increasing.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are below normal and minimally increasing; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels remain below the causeway and declining.

REGION 11- On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are below normal and increasing. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is above normal and steady. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, levels are above normal and steady; and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are above normal and increasing slowly.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are normal and falling. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, levels are below normal and steady. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels are below normal and steady.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and at Jordan, levels are above normal and steady. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are near normal and slowly increasing.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are normal and slowly increasing.

FLOOD FORECAST

Flood Threat - Residents in the Moho River Watershed in the Toledo District, are advised to be on the alert for an increase in river levels as the low-level bridge may become inundated

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast; and, on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, normal levels expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level Bridge.

On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, below normal levels expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal levels expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels will remain below the causeway.

REGION 11- On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, normal levels expected; and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, above normal levels will persist. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, are expected to approach Bank full stage.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, normal levels expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, below normal levels expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, below normal levels are expected.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South, a Flood Watch is in effect; and at Jordan, above normal levels is expected to continue. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, above normal levels is expected.

REGION 13 - Normal levels expected on the SARSTOON RIVER.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on November 17, 2021 at 12 pm, or as necessary

Today in San Pedro. Photo by San Pedro FM



Monday view on Corozal. Cold front is here. Cooler temperatures are here. Enjoy the weather. Photos by Belize Scoop



Night has set in at the island another wonderful day with no incidents, continue to have a safe night. Photo by San Pedro FM



Good night from Corozal.