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Joined: Oct 1999
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Belize Weather Forecast: November 18, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy throughout the country this morning, including in San Pedro. Conditions to gradually improve starting today.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy at times today and partly cloudy tonight. A few showers and chance for isolated thunderstorms, mainly along the coast this morning then inland by this afternoon. Then isolated showers or thunderstorms with a few more over the south for tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
Outlook: Mainly fair conditions with isolated showers for Friday, along with the chance for isolated thunderstorms Friday night.
Sargassum Forecast from November 16 to November 24: Only small chances of sargassum drifting ashore during the next few days, producing minimal impacts on local beaches across the country. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

A surface trough extends along the coast of The Yucatan Peninsula southward into the Gulf of Honduras. This trough combined with deep moisture and divergence aloft is leading to scattered moderate convection for areas N of 19N and W of 83W. Elsewhere across the Caribbean, dry conditions prevail.

The pressure gradient between the strong subtropical ridge near Bermuda and lower pressures across N South America result in fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean, including the Windward and Mona Passages, and the NW Caribbean N of 20N. The highest winds are likely occurring S of Hispaniola. Elsewhere, winds are mainly moderate to fresh. Seas of 7 to 10 ft are occurring in the area of strong winds, with 5 to 7 ft seas elsewhere, except 2 to 5 ft in the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, winds and seas will diminish through Fri as high pressure north of the area shifts east, ahead of a cold front moving into the Gulf of Mexico and western Atlantic. Winds and seas further diminish early next week, ahead of a second cold front moving through the Gulf late Mon and Mon night.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
23° C
74° F
Inland 32° C
89° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 24° C
75° F
18° C
64° F
TIDES:
High: 10:00 AM Low: 3:12 PM
High: 9:06 PM Low: 4:12 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 5:59 AM Moonset: 5:19 AM
Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonrise: 4:57 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Other than a couple areas of light showers (yellow circles on map), strong wind shear is preventing any chance of immediate and future cyclone development.

[Linked Image]

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

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Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a calm sea condition from a North wind blowing at 6 mph. Today's expected high temperature is set at 86 f.

FB_IMG_1637239625404.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
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Marty Offline OP
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We still have the cloud making weather conditions, presently a lot of fog areas over the Yucatan and still some SW high level winds causing some clashing and some rain, again, mainly over the sea, some in land mainly in the Stand creek district, and a few scattered rain in parts of central and north areas, but these appear to be short periods of rain.

Looks as if today will continue cloudy with some scattered showers, but improving over the day, some sunshine later.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 23°C 73°F Yesterday max. 26°C 80°F Yesterday Rain 8.9 mm ( 0.35") Over Night Rain 0.4 mm ( 0.02" )

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Marty Offline OP
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Still some rain about, not a lot but some scattered showers.

[Linked Image]

Good morning! Sunrise photos by Marlena Gomez

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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Partly cloudy, also partly cloudy in San Pedro. Slightly moist conditions prevail, but improved weather conditions expected over the next few days.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy at times with a few showers and the chance for an isolated thunderstorm inland this afternoon, then over the south and some coastal areas tonight, becoming isolated tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Friday afternoon to midday on Saturday is for isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms.

[Linked Image]

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The influence of a trough continues on the Yucatan Peninsula, which will lead to rains.
A new cold front is entering the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

[Linked Image]

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Marty Offline OP
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And so the rain areas continue.

[Linked Image]

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Flood Forecast for November 18, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, all levels are near normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels are below normal and increasing minimally.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities are below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and increasing. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are below normal and increasing steadily. On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are below normal and minimally increasing; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels remain below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are near normal and decreasing. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are above normal and decreasing slowly.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are normal and falling. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, levels are below normal and steady. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels are below normal and steady.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South, levels are above normal and decreasing slowly; and, at Jordan, levels are above normal and increasing. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are above normal and slowly increasing.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are normal and slowly increasing.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast; and, on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, no significant change in river level is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level Bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, normal levels expected. On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal levels expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels will remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, normal levels expected; and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, near normal levels will continue. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, above normal levels will continue.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, normal levels expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, below normal levels expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, below normal levels are expected.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and at Jordan, above normal levels is expected to continue. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, above normal levels is expected.

REGION 13 -Above normal levels expected on the SARSTOON RIVER.

The next Flood Roped and Forecast will be issued on November 22, 2021 at 12 pm, or as necessary

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Tarpons feeding at Sunset while Peregrine Falcons squawk away. Video by Marlena Gomez



Tonight's moonrise in Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop

[Linked Image]


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