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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: November 29, 2021


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Light cloud cover as you go west, mostly clear near the shoreline. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Northerly airflow supports generally fair weather.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny skies today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated.
Winds: N-NW, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 83
Outlook: For Tuesday and Tuesday night is for cloudy spells with isolated showers or light rain developing offshore and northern areas.
Sargassum Forecast from November 24 to December 1: Satellite imagery continue to show that the area remains free of any significant amounts of sargassum. As a result, impacts from sargassum, if any, are expected to remain minimal during the next few days. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Trade wind convergence along with divergent flow aloft east of a weak mid/upper level trough over Nicaragua are together supporting a few showers and thunderstorms over the far southwest Caribbean, south of 15N and west of 80W. No other significant shower or thunderstorm activity is evident across the Caribbean. A scatterometer satellite from 02 UTC confirmed fresh trade winds across the south-central Caribbean, with strong winds off Colombia. Seas are likely 5 to 7 ft, with seas to 8 ft off the coast of Colombia between Cartagena and Barranquilla. Gentle to moderate winds with 3 to 5 ft seas are noted elsewhere, except for light breezes and slight seas over the northwest Caribbean.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE to E winds will persist over all but the NW Caribbean through mid week, with strong winds pulsing off Colombia, mainly at night. A weak front will move through the Yucatan Channel by late Tue, then stall and dissipate over the far northwest Caribbean through Wed. High pressure building north of the front will slightly enhance trade winds across the Caribbean later in the week. Meanwhile, moderate N to NE swell will continue across the Atlantic waters east of 70W and through the NE Caribbean passages through Mon tonight.


  High Low
Coastal 29° C
85° F
22° C
72° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
19° C
67° F
Hills 22° C
72° F
17° C
62° F
TIDES:
High: 5:18 AM Low: 11:58 AM
High: 6:02 PM Low: 12:39 AM (Tue)
Sunrise: 6:05 AM Moonset: 1:48 PM
Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonrise: 2:13 AM (Tue)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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A cold front that is being driven by an extratropical low in the Gulf of Mexico maintains cloud cover and scattered rains over the northeastern, eastern and southern states of Mexico. Monday, November 29, the front will extend with stationary characteristics from the north western coast of Cuba to the northern part of the Yucatan peninsula, with some scattered showers. The front will be of short duration but it will favor a slight decrease in temperatures over the nights and dawn at least until the middle of this new week. The arrival of cold fronts in Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean is not expected and there would be a pause so that In the next few days the temperatures will begin to increase.

[Linked Image]

There are no organized tropical systems across the Atlantic basin, and no development is expected for at least the next five days.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning the wind is from the Northwest at 8 mph creating a calm sea condition around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is 88f.

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White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Lovely view this morning �.

DThe cool air from the north is now pushing back and pushed the Caribbean winds out to sea in a line of cloud and a little rain in that line. There is high level cloud forming over Honduras and moving rapidly out over the Caribbean away from us.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny for most with a few clouds forming later, no rain on land. There is a little rain way out at sea.

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last Night 22°C 72°F Yesterday max. 29°C 84°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0") Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0" )

83295ACC-AB1F-4FA3-983A-14A8E22B67BA.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear skies throughout the country. Clear skies in San Pedro. Mainly fair conditions continue.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells this afternoon becoming cloudy at times later tonight. Showers will be isolated.

Outlook: Cloudy at times with isolated showers or light rain mostly over northern areas Tuesday afternoon through midday Wednesday.

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Surface analysis and satellite images already show the gradual entry of the cold front #Ek (number. 11) to the Yucatan Peninsula. Wind speeds will begin to increase on the coast shortly.

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Beachside inSeine Bight Village today. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

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Flood Report and Forecast for November 29, 2021

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast, below normal and steady levels continue. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, levels are below normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge and steady. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, levels are below normal and decreasing. On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal and steady levels continue; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are below the causeway and decreasing.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are below normal and steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is near normal and steady. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, below normal and steady levels continue; and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are near normal and decreasing slowly.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are near normal and decreasing. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, below normal and steady levels continue. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia, levels are below normal and decreasing; and, at Big Falls South, near normal and steady levels continue.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan levels are near normal and decreasing slowly. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are below normal and decreasing.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the Coast; and on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and at Caledonia, no significant change is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level Bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, no significant change is expected. On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, no significant change is expected; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels will remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, no significant change is expected; and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, no significant change is expected to continue. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, below normal levels expected to continue; and, on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, near normal levels expected.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, normal levels expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, no significant change expected. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, no significant change is expected.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and at Jordan, normal levels expected. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, below normal levels expected.

REGION 13 - Normal levels expected on the SARSTOON RIVER.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on December 3, 2021, at 12 pm, or as necessary

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Beautiful day at the Moon Bar at Mangata Villas in San Pedro. Photos by San Pedro Scoop

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

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Gorgeous day in Hopkins, this is the Blue Parrot Beach House. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]


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