General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS:
Present Condition: Light clouds this morning on the mainland, less so along the shorelines north. Partly cloudy in San Pedro. A slightly moist light easterly airflow prevailing.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast:
Sunny with cloudy spells today along with a few showers mainly over northern and inland areas. Partly cloudy tonight with only isolated showers.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State:
Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 81
Outlook:
(Sat & Sat night) Mostly fair with only isolated showers on Saturday; then a few showers affect some coastal areas late Saturday night.
Sargassum Forecast from February 8 to February 16:
There is a small chance that a few Sargassum mats could drift onto local beaches during the next few days. However, only minimal impacts are expected. San Pedro has a minimal probability with a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook:
The 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season has ended, warnings will resume on May 15, 2022.
Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...
Marine Conditions:
View at the airport/sunset
The Caribbean Sea
There is a gale warning for offshore NW Colombia.
A surface trough is over the NW Caribbean from east-central Cuba
near 21N78W to 17.5N84W. Scattered showers and isolated tstorms
are noted to the northwest of the surface trough. Recent data from
buoy 42060 in the eastern Caribbean near 16.4N 63.3W show winds of
23 kt gusting to 29 kt, with seas of 7 ft. Similar conditions are
likely occurring over much of the eastern Caribbean. Fresh to
strong winds are also occurring in the south-central Caribbean,
with near-gale force winds near the coast of Colombia. Therefore,
fresh or stronger winds cover most of the basin east of 78W. Over
the western Caribbean, gentle to moderate NE winds prevail. Seas
are currently 6 to 7 ft over the eastern and central Caribbean,
except 7-10 ft offshore Colombia. Seas are 2-4 ft in the NW
Caribbean.
For the forecast, the fresh to strong winds over the eastern
Caribbean will move westward and expand through the central
Caribbean into Saturday. Winds will pulse to gale force off
Colombia every night through the middle of next week. The next
cold front is expected to enter the northwest Caribbean Sun
afternoon, generating fresh to strong NE winds behind it through
Tue, with building seas. The cold front will extend from eastern
Cuba to NE Honduras by Mon night, where it will stall before
dissipating Tue. Fresh to strong NE winds will funnel through the
Windward Passage Mon night through the middle of next week.
The easterly Caribbean winds are taking over the area, effectively taking over the cold. There are two different high level winds, the SW is fairly scattered but very fast, slower high level from the west. But there is remaining near static cloud over much of central and north Belize, which is basically high level fog, the remnants of the cold air.
There is rain in the north, and likely to be on and off for a while, the cloud or fol lifting later this morning, so much of today will be a mixture of cloud and sunshine, with a low chance of scattered rain.
Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler ) Last Night 20°C 68°F Yesterday max. 26°C 78°F Yesterday Rain 3.0mm ( 0.1") Over Night Rain 1.4mm ( 0.06" )
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: February 11, 2022
[Re: Marty]
#555563 02/11/2211:19 AM02/11/2211:19 AM
Present Condition: Mostly sunny, a few scattered clouds. Partly cloudy in San Pedro. A light easterly airflow is setting in over the area.
24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells during the daytime and partly cloudy tonight. A few showers will occur mainly over northern and inland areas this afternoon. Otherwise, there will be only isolated showers.
Outlook: For Saturday afternoon through to midday on Sunday is for mainly fair weather at first, and then changing to have a few showers starting mainly over coastal areas Saturday night or Sunday morning, before spreading to most areas.
Flood Report and Forecast for Friday February 11, 2022
River Conditions
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO and on the NEW RIVER levels are below normal at Blue Creek North. Santa Cruz. San Antonio. San Roman and Douglas and at Tower Hill and Caledonia.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge.
The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town levels is below normal.
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are below normal and steady; and on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, lagoon levels are below the causeway and steady.
REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village all levels are below normal and steady.
In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are near normal and steady.
On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia Big Falls South, the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco levels are below normal and steady.
REGION 13 - The SARSTOON RIVER is normal and steady.
FLOOD FORECAST
There is the possibility of Urban Flooding in Coastal areas.
REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO and on the NEW RIVER an increase in river levels is expected and there is a possibility of urbanized flooding.
REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities. reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the Low-level Bridge.
On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, normal levels are expected.
On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, and, on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, no significant change expected. There is the possibility of Urban Flooding in Coastal Areas.
REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, normal levels expected; and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village no significant change expected.
In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and, on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, normal levels expected.
On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia Big and at Falls South. the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco levels normal levels are expected.
On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and on the TEMASH RIVER normal levels expected
REGION 13 - Normal levels expected on the SARSTOON RIVER.
The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued as necessary.
Re: Belize Weather Forecast: February 11, 2022
[Re: Marty]
#555569 02/12/2205:30 AM02/12/2205:30 AM
The opinions and views expressed on this board are the subjective opinions of Ambergris Caye Message Board members and not of the Ambergris Caye Message Board its affiliates, or its employees.
AmbergrisCaye.com 
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