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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: May 15, 2022

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy on the mainland this morning. Clear skies in San Pedro. Fair, warm and dry weather continues.
Advisories: Heat Alert: Residents, especially those living inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during the daytime as much as possible.
24-hour forecast: Sunny today and partly cloudy skies tonight. Except for chance of thunderstorms over the Maya Mountains this afternoon, little or no rainfall is expected.
Winds: E, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night is for generally fair weather with little or no rainfall.
Sargassum Forecast from May 10 to May 18: More sargassum is expected to drift onto beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: The weather pattern continues to look like it'll be favorable for tropical development in the western Caribbean starting later next week and continuing through next weekend. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Broad deep-layer troughing is present west of 80W. At the surface, a trough extends from western Cuba near 23N82W, south- southwest to 19N83W and south to 13N82W. The eastern segment of the eastern Pacific Ocean monsoon trough protrudes into the far southwestern Caribbean from the border between Costa Rica and Panama, east to northwest Colombia near 10N75W. Upper-level divergence combining with low-level convergence is helping to sustain recently developed scattered moderate convection over the southwestern Caribbean from 10N-15N and between 78W-81W. Broken to overcast multilayer clouds, with embedded scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are elsewhere between 75W and the surface trough. Isolated showers, moving westward in the trade wind flow, are over the central Caribbean north of 12N between 69W-75W and over the eastern Caribbean north of 14N east of 69W.

Overnight ASCAT data passes reveal fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean south of 15N between 68W-74W, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh trade winds are elsewhere east of 80W. Light to gentle winds under a weak pressure pattern are west of 80W. Wave heights range of 6-9 ft are over the waters between 72W-79W, wave heights of 4-7 ft are east of 72W, and lower wave heights of 3-5 ft are between 80W-83W. Lower wave heights of 2-3 ft are present W of 83W, including the Gulf of Honduras.

For the forecast, Atlantic high pressure north of the Caribbean Sea will support fresh to strong trades across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through tonight. Thereafter, mainly fresh trade winds are expected in the Colombia basin. Fresh to strong northeast to east winds will be in the Gulf of Venezuela through Thu night. A tropical wave along 58W and south of 15N will approach the Windward Islands this afternoon, and move across the eastern Caribbean Sea tonight through Tue. Moisture accompanying this wave is expected to increase the chances for showers in the eastern Caribbean Sea through at least Tue night.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 36° C
97° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 28° C
83° F
20° C
68° F
High: 8:53 AM Low: 3:56 PM
High: 10:25 PM Low: 3:15 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:20 AM Moonset: 4:48 AM
Sunset: 6:17 PM Moonrise: 6:04 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Long-range outlook shows potential tropical storm forming later in May

Here is a GFS model run that projects possible tropical development late next week, May 15-22, 2022.

Here is the potential track if a tropical system develops late week, May 15-22,2022.

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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There was some rain in Guatamala and on our border last night, due to a swellup. The Caribbean winds are still being held back by this bubble of air from the north, so not much air movement in our area still.

Looks as if today will be similar to yesterday, sun cloud, no rain, could be some and thunder over the west mountains this evening. No rain on the radar.

Last Night 25 °C 77 °F Yesterday max. 33 °C 91 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " )

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Good morning from beautiful Hopkins! Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear throughout the country, clear skies in San Pedro. Warm and dry conditions continue to dominate our weather. Heat Alert: Residents, especially those living inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during the daytime as much as possible.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny skies today. Tonight skies will be clear to partly cloudy. Little to no rainfall is expected, except for the chance of isolated thunderstorms developing over the mountains during the afternoon and evening.

Outlook: Monday afternoon thru to Tuesday midday is for continuing warm and mainly dry conditions to prevail.

[Linked Image]

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Weather analysis shows tropical wave entering the Caribbean Sea. At higher levels a trough is seen over the Gulf of Mexico, generating a divergent pattern and instability in the western Caribbean. Atmospheric patterns are starting to shift.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,398
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

Here's a clip of the Moonrise in San Pedro. Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

Sunset in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

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