Belize Weather Forecast: May 17, 2022

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy this morning including in San Pedro. A light easterly airflow continues to support warm conditions over the area.
Advisories: Heat Alert: Residents, especially those living inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during the daytime as much as possible.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today and clear to partly cloudy tonight. There will be little or no rainfall, except for the chance of isolated thunderstorms developing over the mountains this afternoon.
Winds: E, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Wednesday and Wednesday night is for warm and dry conditions to prevail.
Sargassum Forecast from May 10 to May 18: More sargassum is expected to drift onto beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: The weather pattern continues to look like it’ll be favorable for tropical development in the western Caribbean starting later this week and continuing through the weekend. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

The gradient between high pressure in the Atlantic and lower pressure over South America is maintaining moderate to fresh easterlies in the central and eastern Caribbean. Winds are light to gentle in the NW Caribbean, where a surface trough is analyzed along 82W. Seas are 5 to 8 ft in the central and eastern Caribbean and 2 to 4 ft in the northwest Caribbean. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are observed in the SW Caribbean along the monsoon trough.

For the forecast, surface ridging over the western Atlantic will continue to support moderate to fresh trade winds across the east and central Caribbean through mid week, with fresh to strong winds pulsing off Venezuela and northwest Colombia. Winds and seas across the basin may increase through late week as the ridge strengthens and broad low pressure forms over northern Central America.

Looking ahead, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form over northern Central America by the end of the week. Winds and seas across the basin may increase through late week as this broad low pressure forms and the ridge north of the area strengthens. Moist onshore flow may also promote heavy rainfall across northern Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula by late week.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 17, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557293 05/17/22 06:05 AM 05/17/22 06:05 AM Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,209 oregon, spr Marty OP . Marty   OP Possible cyclonic development off the coast of Quintana Roo The population and maritime navigation of the Yucatán Peninsula are advised to stay informed over the next few days, as during the weekend a possible cyclonic development is forecast off the coasts of Quintana Roo. The GFS weather forecast model shows that over the next few days a broad area of clouds will develop with the potential for cyclonic development over the Northwest Caribbean Sea. At the moment it is difficult to specify what its possible trajectory would be and what intensity it would have because there is still uncertainty among the other numerical models, as the days progress you will get a more accurate picture. What will be likely for the states of the Yucatán Peninsula is the severe thunderstorm watch over the weekend. Being Quintana Roo and Yucatán the most vulnerable states to flooding and dangerous surge. It should be noted that the 2022 hurricane season for the North Atlantic which includes the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico officially starts on June 1st and will continue until next November 30th. For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 17, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557304 05/17/22 08:23 AM 05/17/22 08:23 AM Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,209 oregon, spr Marty OP . Marty   OP Still there is very little Caribbean air movement. There are many ITCZ (Inter Tropical Convergent Zone ) activity over Panama El Salvador and much of southern Central America now. . . The rainy season is coming, but not to us yet, but it is causing some cloud and again it caused some evening rain near our western border last night, and could again tonight. Looks as if today will be very similar to the last few days, sun and cloud and little or no rain, except near the mountains. No rain on the radar. Last Night 24 °C 76 °F Yesterday max. 35 °C 95 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " )

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 17, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557307 05/17/22 12:01 PM 05/17/22 12:01 PM Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,209 oregon, spr Marty OP . Marty   OP Present Condition: Mostly clear, a few widely scattered clouds on the mainland, more so in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Fair and warm conditions prevail over the area. Heat Alert: Residents, especially those living inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during the daytime as much as possible. 24hr Forecast: Sunny during the daytime and clear to partly cloudy tonight. Showers, if any will be isolated. Outlook: For Wednesday afternoon to Thursday midday is for continuing warm and mostly dry weather conditions. Weather analysis shows tropical wave approaching Caribbean area where extensive induced trough is located.

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 17, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557312 05/18/22 05:17 AM 05/18/22 05:17 AM Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 84,209 oregon, spr Marty OP . Marty   OP Pelican Street sunset view, San Pedro Town. Photo by Marlena Gomez