Belize Weather Forecast: May 22, 2022

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, including in San Pedro. Fair and warm weather will prevail.
Advisories: A small craft warning is in effect for strong gusty winds and rough seas. Residents, especially those living inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during the daytime as much as possible.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells and partly cloudy tonight. Showers, if any, will be isolated.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Gusty
Sea State: Rough
Waves: 6-9 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Monday and Monday night continuing fair and warm weather with only isolated showers.
Sargassum Forecast from May 17 to May 20: Coastal areas across the country will continue to be affected by Sargassum during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Models are not showing cyclonic development in Caribbean waters for the month of May. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is a gale warning in the Gulf of Mexico.

In addition to winds to gale force, recent scatterometer satellite information indicated a broad band of fresh to strong SE winds reaching from the south-central Gulf to parts of the northwest Gulf. In addition to the estimated 11 to 13 ft seas near the line of thunderstorms in the central Gulf, seas 7 to 9 ft may be possible elsewhere in the area of fresh to strong winds based reports from buoys to 7 ft just outside the main area of winds. Moderate to fresh SE winds with 4 to 6 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Several platforms over the northwest Gulf have been reporting visibility limitations due to haze. This may be due to smoke from agricultural fires over southern Mexico impacting the visibility over much of the western Gulf.

For the forecast, the thunderstorm activity will diminish later this morning or early afternoon. Winds and seas across the central Gulf will diminish into Mon as the low pressure farther south weakens, except for pulses off fresh to strong winds off the north coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, mainly at night. Looking ahead, a ridge will build from westward from the western Atlantic across the northern Gulf through mid- week. The associated gradient between the ridge and low pressure with a cold front west of the area will support fresh southeast return flow over the western Gulf Tue through late Wed. The cold front is expected to move into the western Gulf on Thu followed by gentle to moderate north to northeast winds.

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 22, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557411 05/22/22 06:05 AM 05/22/22 06:05 AM Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 83,965 oregon, spr Marty OP . Marty   OP Last Tuesday, the GFS weather forecast model had projected for this weekend the formation of an area of atmospheric instability with the possibility of cyclonic development off the coast of Quintana Roo. Today, the zone of instability is located off the coast of Nicaragua with no possibility of development, it is expected that the phenomenon associated with the number one tropical wave of the season will continue moving west over Central America. As it passes through the region, it will be causing unstable weather with probabilities of heavy rains, electrical activity and high waves in areas of the Yucatan Peninsula during the next 24 to 72 hours.

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 22, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557412 05/22/22 06:12 AM 05/22/22 06:12 AM Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 13,675 San Pedro Belize elbert . elbert   On Ambergris Caye this morning it's windy. The 27 mph wind from the East is causing sea conditions around our barrier reef to be rough. Today's expected high temperature is 87 f. White Sands Dive Shop https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 22, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557414 05/22/22 10:39 AM 05/22/22 10:39 AM Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 83,965 oregon, spr Marty OP . Marty   OP Despite the no rain weather forecasts, we are now getting into the ITCZ rainy season type of weather. There has been a lot of ITCZ swellups over Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador and other central areas. . .. It is just a matter of time before we find our selves in it. To further complicate things, there is weather activity again coming rapidly down from North America, across the Gulf, with one advanced line of thin cloud, rapidly approaching Belize. Despite all this activity, there is no rain around, there was some last night in Guatamala and Honduras, and off shore early this morning. Despite all this action over and around the Yucatan, our weather will be similar to yesterday, sun and cloud and probably no rain. No rain on the radar. Last Night 27 °C 81 °F Yesterday max. 35 °C 95 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " )

Re: Today's Belize Weather Report for May 22, 2022 [Re: Marty] #557416 05/22/22 12:02 PM 05/22/22 12:02 PM Joined: Oct 1999 Posts: 83,965 oregon, spr Marty OP . Marty   OP Present Condition: Partly cloudy on the mainland, mostly sunny in San Pedro. Fair, warm and mostly dry conditions prevail. A small craft warning remains in effect for dangerous waves in easterly swells. Residents, especially those living inland, are advised to stay hydrated and avoid outdoor activities during the daytime as much as possible. 24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon and tomorrow morning and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers if any will be isolated, along with the chance of isolated thunderstorms over the maya mountains this afternoon. Outlook: Between Monday afternoon and Tuesday midday only isolated showers will develop arround the country.