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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: May 23, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, including in San Pedro. Fair and warm weather will prevail.
Advisories: A small craft caution is now in effect for coastal waters.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and cloudy skies at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect the country, especially southern areas.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts Gusty
Sea State: Moderate - Rough
Waves: 5-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue on Tuesday, decreasing Tuesday night.
Sargassum Forecast from May 17 to May 20: Coastal areas across the country will continue to be affected by Sargassum during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Models are not showing cyclonic development in Caribbean waters for the month of May. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

The main drivers impacting Caribbean weather continue to be a strong subtropical ridge north of the area and lower pressure over the eastern Pacific and southern Mexico. Scatterometer satellite passes from the past several hours show fresh to strong E winds off northwest Venezuela and northeast Colombia, as well as a large area of fresh E winds over the northwest Caribbean. Concurrent ship observations and an altimeter satellite pass confirmed 8 to 10 ft seas were still present over the central Caribbean. Buoy observations indicate 4 to 6 ft seas elsewhere. This pattern shows there is a subtle weakening trend in place with the areal extent of the strong winds and rough seas decreasing from earlier. This is indicative of a weaker pressure pattern setting up, to include a weaker ridge to the north and rising pressure over Central America. Nonetheless, there is still enough low level moisture and convergence to support clusters of heavy rainfall across much of the Northern Triangle areas of Central America and into southern Mexico. Please refer to bulletins and forecasts that are issued by your local or national meteorological agency for more information concerning rainfall in these areas.

For the forecast, winds and seas will diminish some today and tonight, then more on Tue as the gradient weakens. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds will continue to pulse over the Gulf of Honduras and off Colombia through the latter part of the week.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
High: 5:18 AM Low: 10:33 AM
High: 4:26 PM Low: 11:25 PM
Sunrise: 5:18 AM Moonset: 12:46 PM
Sunset: 6:20 PM Moonrise: 1:33 AM (Tue)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

We do not project tropical development from multiple tropical waves in the Atlantic basin thru Sunday, May 29, 2022. Tropical waves will enhance rain chances in the vicinity of the path.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye, we had high wind and rain showers during the early morning hours giving the island a pleasant relief from dust. Currently, the 21mph wind from the East is causing sea conditions around our barrier reef to be rough. Today's expected high temperature is 87 f.

61204691_10157290335644525_8952488724373962752_n.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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As you can see, we are presently well within this ITCZ activity area this morning, that I was mentioning yesterday. It has now moved from the Caribbean sea to over Belize over night. There was a very significant ITCZ swellup that threw a front, rapidly over Belize and into the Yucatan during the early hours and cause a narrow band of heavy rain. Now the main body is over us. At the same time, that air from the north, is still pushing down over Guatamala towards southern Belize and aggravating the situation. So now we have a lot of rain in the south, some in central parts and out at sea.

I measured 25mm ( 1" ) of rain over night. But to call this the start of the rainy season, we need over 30mm ( 1�") Rain in a Week, and 5 of the rest of the week are significant rain days.

Today will remain cloudy for almost everywhere, some thick cloud and some heavy rain for the south much of this morning and more isolated rain for central and northern areas, but some could be heavy.

Last Night 26 °C 79 °F Yesterday max. 34 °C 93 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 25 mm ( 1.0 " )

D8F21A08-8110-4EFD-95CE-7D9AD9A66FC8.png A7C892B3-9EA6-471A-8255-8D5C7985C38D.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Stormy weather on La Isla. Current temp is 81degrees with a 40% chance of very welcomed rain!



The rain areas are changing. . . The heavy southern rains have been pushed back from the mountains, and reducing in Toledo. The out at sea heavy rain is now moving northwards, not likely to come on land. The fragmented areas of rain in central areas, still heavy over Belize city, are now moving up into northern areas.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition: There is cloud cover over the whole country, including in San Pedro where it is very windy. Moist east to southeasterly airflow prevailing.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy skies today and tonight. Light showers and periods of rain, with the chance of isolated thunderstorms will continue to develop mainly along coastal areas and offshore this afternoon. Showers will become isolated by late evening and then redevelop later tonight and tomorrow morning, affecting mainly coastal areas.

Outlook: For Tuesday afternoon is for cloudy spells with a few showers and the chance of isolated thunderstorms developing mainly over northern areas, elsewhere showers will be isolated thru to Wednesday day midday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Sahara Dust hasarrived on the Yucatan Peninsula. It'll stay a few more days, generating foggy skies, orange-colored sunrises and sunsets. Should slow down in half a week.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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Flood Report and Forecast for May 23, 2022

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas, levels have increased minimally to above normal levels. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill levels remains below normal and increasing steadily; and at Caledonia, levels are above normal and falling.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge.

The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is normal and steady.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, above normal levels reported as a minimal increase in levels occurred over the weekend; lagoon levels on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON are below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11- On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, normal levels increased minimally over the weekend. The SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village near normal levels recorded this morning.

In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, levels recorded shows minimal increased and is now steady; and the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are above normal and steady.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are near normal and steady. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia, below normal levels continue, and at Big Falls South, levels are near normal and shows a minimal increase. Levels on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is below normal and stead.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South, levels are above normal and steady. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are near normal and steady.

REGION 13 - The SARSTOON RIVER is normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

RESIDENCES IN THE SOUTH CAN EXPECT THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING

REGION 7 � On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast, above normal levels is expected to continue. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill, steady levels are expected to increase but remain at below normal levels; and Caledonia, levels expected to become steady then increase minimally.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to increase; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to increase.

On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, normal levels expected to continue. On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are expected to become steady the increase. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to increase minimally.

REGION 11- On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.

In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, levels expected to increase in above normal levels; and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, above normal levels expected to continue.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels expected to increase minimally; On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and at Big Falls South, river levels are expected to increase. The DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is expected to increase.

Levels on the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, are expected to increase.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, levels are expected to increase.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued as necessary.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,395
Marty Offline OP
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1 minute of Hopkins Village





Big respect to "Titan" for fostering a positive activity with some of the youths here in Hopkins on a daily basis. You do it with humility, without asking for nothing. Much respect to A GREAT CITIZEN of Hopkins. This is how we grow to be great individuals in a wider Belizean population. In my mind, "Titan" is an UNSUNG BELIZEAN HERO.



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