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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: May 26, 2022

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, partly cloudy in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevails over the area.
Advisories: Small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over the south this morning and tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Moderate - Rough
Waves: 4-7 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: Friday and Friday night is for cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly over coastal and offshore locations.
Sargassum Forecast from May 25 to June 1: There continues to be a medium to high chance of more sargassum landing on beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Models are not showing cyclonic development in Caribbean waters for the month of May. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

The moderate pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean Sea and lower pressures in northern South America and the tropical East Pacific result in moderate to locally strong trades across most of the Caribbean Sea. Satellite- derived wind data from a few hours ago captured a large area of fresh to locally strong winds in the central Caribbean Sea, with the strongest winds occurring offshore Venezuela and Colombia. Fresh to locally strong trades are also pulsing in the Bay of Campeche. Seas of 5-8 ft are prevalent in the central Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Honduras, while 3-5 ft are noted elsewhere in the basin.

In the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the area will support moderate to fresh trades across most of the Caribbean during the next few days. Winds will pulse to strong north of Honduras tonight. Fresh to strong winds will also pulse off Colombia and Venezuela at night through the weekend and into early next week

  High Low
Coastal 29° C
84° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
20° C
68° F
High: 7:21 AM Low: 1:52 PM
High: 8:31 PM Low: 1:33 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonset: 3:32 PM
Sunset: 6:21 PM Moonrise: 3:20 AM (Fri)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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The easterly Caribbean winds are slow over southern Belize, but resulting in a lot of cloud. There is a lot of ITCZ activity in the Pacific, throwing out a lot of high level cloud over the Yucatan and Belize, but presently, not resulting in any rain. The met office think there will be more rain over the next few days, particularly Saturday through into next week.

Looks as if today will be mainly cloudy, low and high cloud, not much sunshine today, could be some patches of rain this afternoon. No rain anywhere on the Radar at present.

Last Night 26 °C 78 °F Yesterday max. 33 °C 91 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " )

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Partl cloudy on the mainland, more so in the south. Cloudy and fairly windy in San Pedro. Relatively moist conditions prevail.

24hr Forecast: Cloudy spells this afternoon, tonight and tomorrow morning. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect mainly southern districts. Showers will be isolated elsewhere.

Outlook: Between Friday afternoon and Saturday midday is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting mainly southern and coastal areas.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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There is some Thunder around right now. And patches of rain.
I am going to say the 2022 Rainy season started on Monday 24 May

The Rainy season start is loosely defined as :
" Over 30mm ( 1�") Rain in a Week, and 5 of the next 7 days are significant rain days. "

On Monday we had 25mm ( 1" ) of rain over night.
Belmopan may not have had much rain until today, but many other parts of Belize have had a lot of rain.
And the forecast is for significant rain over the next 4 or 5 days.
So I feel we can say we are now in the Rainy season, even though we could easily have a fair bit of dry in early June.

[Linked Image]

Weather analysis shows tropical wave over Central America.

[Linked Image]

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