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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: May 27, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas of the Toledo District.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy skies today and tonight with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms and periods of rain across the country, but especially over the south and along the coast.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for similar weather conditions.
Sargassum Forecast from May 25 to June 1: There continues to be a medium to high chance of more sargassum landing on beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Models are not showing cyclonic development in Caribbean waters for the month of May. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There is a tropical wave moving across the SW Caribbean.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms prevail over northern Honduras and Guatemala including the Gulf of Honduras. Another area of scattered convection is noted S of 11N between 78W-83W related to the monsoon trough. The rest of the basin enjoys fairly tranquil weather conditions. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured fresh to strong trades in the central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage, with the strongest winds occurring offshore Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh winds prevail in the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, light to moderate trades prevail. Seas of 4-7 ft are present in the central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras, with the highest seas occurring offshore NW Colombia. Seas of 2-4 ft are prevalent in the rest of the basin.

In the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the area will support moderate to fresh trades across most of the Caribbean through early next week. Fresh to strong winds will also pulse off Colombia and Venezuela each night through early next week.


  High Low
Coastal 29° C
84° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
18° C
65° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
High: 7:50 AM Low: 2:40 PM
High: 9:22 PM Low: 2:09 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonset: 4:12 PM
Sunset: 6:22 PM Moonrise: 3:57 AM (Sat)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

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Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning the strong winds are waning. Currently, at 16 mph wind from the East but we still have rough sea conditions around our barrier reef.

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Last edited by elbert; 05/27/22 09:01 AM.

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Marty Offline OP
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We are right in the middle of the ITCZ activity, although we only had a band of rain over southern Belize earlier, presently very little rain, but this can change at any time.

Looks as if today will be mainly cloudy, low and high clouds, the potential for rain at any time, could be some this afternoon..

Last Night 25 °C 76 °F Yesterday max. 33 °C 91 °F Yesterday Rain 1.5 mm ( 0.1 " ) Over Night Rain 2.00 mm ( 0 .1" )

74608287-FBDF-4D99-810E-783338647980.png 9307D2CC-569C-4EC7-9543-AD30601A0254.png
Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly cloudy, including in San Pedro where it is fairly windy also. Relatively moist and unstable conditions continue over the area. A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas of the country..

24hr Forecast: Cloudy at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over northern, central and inland areas this afternoon, southern and coastal areas early tonight, then spreading to most areas tomorrow morning.

Outlook: A few showers and isolated thunderstoms will continue affecting the country on Saturday afternoon and Saturday night, increasing on Sunday.

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Musical Interlude. The Los Hijos del West performed in Bullet Tree Wednesday night. Great performance, as always.

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Flood Report and Forecast for May 27, 2022

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas, all levels are above normal and decreasing. The NEW RIVER at Tower Hill remains below normal; and at Caledonia, levels are above normal and decreasing.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge.

The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is near normal and steady.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are near normal and decreasing; lagoon levels on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON are below the causeway and steady.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels are above normal and steady. The SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is above normal and falling.

In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are above normal and steady.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, levels are normal and decreasing. On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia, levels are below normal and steady; and Big Falls South, above normal levels exist. The DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is near normal.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are above normal. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, below normal and steady levels continue.

REGION 13 - The SARSTOON RIVER is normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast, levels expected to increase minimally. On the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill, near normal levels expected; and at Caledonia, above normal levels expected to continue.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to increase; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to increase but remain below the low-level bridge.

On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, above normal levels expected. On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to increase but remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, above normal levels expected to continue. The SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, is expected to remain at above normal levels.

In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, above normal levels are expected to increase.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, above normal levels expected; On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, above normal levels expected. The DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, is expected to increase to above normal levels.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are expected to increase to near flood stage levels.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal levels expected.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued as necessary


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