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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: May 28, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning, including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail over the area.
Advisories: Small craft caution in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers or thunderstorms. A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding this weekend over low-lying and flood prone areas across the country.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy skies with some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain over most areas this morning, decreasing this afternoon; cloudy skies at times tonight with a few showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain mainly over southern and coastal areas.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts Gusty
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Sunday and Sunday night is for cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, thunderstorms and periods of rain over most areas.
Sargassum Forecast from May 25 to June 1: There continues to be a medium to high chance of more sargassum landing on beaches across the country during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Models are not showing cyclonic development in Caribbean waters for the month of May. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are observed in the SW Caribbean, within 60 nm of Panama. Elsewhere, divergence aloft is producing scattered showers over the SE Caribbean, mainly affecting NE Venezuela and the southern Windward Islands. The rest of the basin enjoys fairly tranquil weather conditions. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured fresh to strong trades in the central Caribbean, with the strongest winds occurring offshore Colombia and Venezuela. Seas in the area are 5-8 ft, with the highest seas occurring offshore Colombia. Light to moderate trades and seas of 2-5 ft are prevalent elsewhere in the basin.

In the forecast, the subtropical ridge N of the area will continue to support moderate to fresh trades across most of the Caribbean through early next week. Fresh to strong winds will continue pulsing each night off the coasts of Colombia and Venezuela through early next week with seas to 8 ft.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 31° C
88° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
High: 8:18 AM Low: 3:23 PM
High: 10:02 PM Low: 2:44 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonset: 5:03 PM
Sunset: 6:22 PM Moonrise: 4:36 AM (Sun)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

Above is a graphic showing the potential track and impact areas for a possible tropical system, May 27-June 7, 2022. This map is SUBJECT TO CHANGE in both track and intensity.

#91E / Invest91E in the East Pacific Ocean is likely developing into Hurricane Agatha. HURRICANE Agatha will make a possible LANDFALL across Oaxaca, Mexico May 30, 2022. Upon LANDFALL, Agatha may track across southern Mexico, entering the Bay of Campeche of the Gulf of Mexico, and reforming into a possible TROPICAL STORM or HURRICANE to be named Alex.

We project the possible LANDFALL of a tropical system (Alex) along the west Yucatan Peninsula / Yucatan Peninsula, coast, June 3, 2022.

Impacts including strong tropical squalls + 40-65 mph winds + inland flooding are possible June 3-5, 2022. The tropical system will enter the Gulf of Mexico and track towards Florida June 5, 2022 late.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 6,266
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IMHO - The Hurricane-Tropical Alerts posts are alarmist clickbait. They point out "possible" but when you check the % of possibility you often find 10-20% ......


Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning rain washed the dust off our island and made the flowers sing.

10258922_10153239834564525_5253100651408506949_n.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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There has been a large ITCZ swellup just off the coast, which has resulted in a broad line of heavy rain sweeping up over Belize, from the south to the north and presently still over Orange Walk and Corozal districts. We are now in the Rainy season.

Looks as if it will be cloudy for most places much of the say, perhaps the occasional glimpse of the sun, but patches of rain may still occur anywhere today.

Last Night 23 °C 74 °F Yesterday max. 31 °C 89 °F Yesterday Rain 7 mm ( 0.3 " ) Over Night Rain 21 mm ( 0.8 " )

C48AA00A-3537-49CE-8C0B-0EBF31C2669F.png ABB4D76B-4B52-4400-A02F-C6F55288CA1C.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Cloudy throughout the country including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail over the area.
A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers or thunderstorms; a flood watch remains in effect for the possibility of localized flooding over low-lying and flood prone areas across the country.

24hr Forecast: Continuing mostly cloudy, along with a few showers, periods of rain, and isolated thunderstorms around the country, mostly inland as well as offshore this afternoon, and then mainly over coastal and northern areas tonight into tomorrow morning.

Outlook: For Sunday afternoon through to midday on Monday is for some showers, periods of rain, and thunderstorms occurring over most areas of the country.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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Several ITCZ storms active over Belize this afternoon.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,392
Marty Offline OP
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This is the 24 hour accumulated rain by 9:00 am Saturday morning : We are in the rainy Season.

[Linked Image]

Downtown traffic in San Pedro. Photo by Tacogirl

[Linked Image]

A beautiful rainy Saturday in Hopkins at Lebeha Restaurant & Lounge.



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