Belize Weather Forecast: June 8, 2022 General Situation: Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post! Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail. Advisories: None. 24-hour forecast: Cloudy spells with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms around the country this morning, decreasing this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will re-develop tonight, especially along coastal areas. Winds: E, 10-20 kts Sea State: Moderate Waves: 4-6 ft Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85 Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the country, especially northern and coastal areas. Sargassum Forecast from June 7 to June 15: There continues to be a medium chance of more sargassum mats drifting onto beaches across the country in the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability with a moderate impact. Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook... Marine Conditions: Phoenix Resort in San Pedro The Caribbean Sea Generally stable atmospheric conditions prevail across most of the basin due to sinking motion induced by a middle level trough extending from the Leeward Islands to Colombia. Scattered showers and a few small clusters of thunderstorms are seen across the southwest Caribbean south of 13.5N and west of 75W associated with a tropical wave moving across the basin. A narrow ridge across the western Atlantic to the central Bahamas is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds across the basin, except fresh to strong winds across south central portions and the Gulf of Honduras. Seas are 4 to 6 ft except 7 to 8 ft across south-central portions, north of Venezuela and Colombia. For the forecast, a weak Atlantic ridge to the west of 55W will maintain a modest pressure gradient and moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the Caribbean basin throughout the week. Fresh to strong winds are expected across the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, mainly at night through Fri night. Fresh winds will pulse each night through the end of the week across the interior Gulf of Honduras. Atlantic high pressure will strengthen north of the area over the upcoming weekend to produce fresh to strong trades across much of the basin.   High Low Coastal 31° C 87° F 27° C 81° F Inland 35° C 95° F 23° C 74° F Hills 28° C 82° F 20° C 68° F TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE: High: 4:44 AM Low: 11:13 AM High: 4:38 PM Low: 11:20 PM Sunrise: 5:17 AM Moonrise: 12:54 PM Sunset: 6:26 PM Moonset: 1:19 AM (Thu) Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO) Ambergris Caye: https://sanpedrowx.com/ https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro Philip S W Goldson International Airport: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today Belmopan: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78 Caye Caulker: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village

An area of low pressure is forecast to form just to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec later this week. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves little or drifts northward. It has a near zero chance of formation in the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance of formation in the next 5 days.



GFS model guidance continues to show possible tropical formation June 12-19, 2022 in the Western Caribbean Sea. Although the GFS model has been extraordinarily consistent with possible tropical development next week, other model guidance runs have NOT suggested any tropical formation and or influence from the Caribbean gyre. If tropical formation occurs, the next designated name is Bonnie.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

On Ambergris Caye this morning a 19 mph wind from the east making the sea around our barrier reef choppy. Today's expected high is 86 f.

The Caribbean winds are back properly, but there is also several mid-level and high level thing clouds around and a few swellups. So there have been small scattered showers in many places earlier this morning some continuing.

Looks as if today, and possibly the next few days will be a mixture of sunshine, cloud and scattered rain showers.

Last Night 26 °C 79 °F Yesterday max. 33 °C 92 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 2.3 mm ( 0.1 " )

Present Condition: Light clouds on the mainland except for in the very north. Sunny skies in San Pedro. A moderate but somewhat gusty easterly to southeasterly airflow prevails over the area. A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. Showers will be isolated this afternoon, increasing slightly along coastal areas tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: From Thursday afternoon through to midday on Friday is for similar weather conditions to prevail.





Flood Report and Forecast for June 8, 2022

River Conditions

REGION 7. On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast, all levels are below normal and steady. The NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia is above normal and shows a minimal increase.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels remain below the low-level bridge. The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is near normal and steady.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, levels are near normal and steady; the CROOKED TREE LAGOON is below the causeway and decreasing.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Mon, levels are below normal and decreasing. The SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village is above normal and shows a minimal increase. In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, levels are normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is near normal and decreasing. On the Swaney and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels are below normal and steady. The DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank is near normal and steady. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, levels are above normal and decreasing. On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, levels are below normal and decreasing.

REGION 13 - The SARSTOON RIVER is normal and steady.

FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7. On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast; and on the NEW RIVER, at Tower Hill and Caledonia, a minimal increase in river levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, above normal levels expected.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, norm' levels expected. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to remain below the causeway.

REGION 11 - On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, above normal levels expected.

In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, levels are expected to increase to above normal levels.

Most areas on the Swasey and Oboes branches of the MONKEY RIVER, the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, and on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, is expected to increase to near Bankfull Stage.

Levels on the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, and on the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, is expected to increase to near Bankfull stage.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal levels expected.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued as necessary

Wednesday at Maxim's Bar and Grill in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut



A tropical wave in the south of the country and instability in higher levels of the troposphere will leave another afternoon of storms in several areas of the Peninsula. Another tropical wave is arriving tomorrow.