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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: June 30, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy this morning, less so in the north. Mostly clear skies in San Pedro. A light easterly airflow will support generally fair conditions over the area.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, except for a few more inland and over the toledo district this morning.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Friday and Friday night is for mainly fair weather with only isolated showers developing.
Sargassum Forecast from June 29 to July 6: Latest satellite imagery show a general decrease in sargassum over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Honduras. However, there is still a medium chance that a few mats could drift onto local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: An area of low pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. At 6:00 am Potential Tropical Cyclone #2 was located near latitude 12.0N, longitude 73.3W or about 710 miles east of Bluefields, Nicaragua. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:


Phoenix Resort in San Pedro

The Caribbean Sea

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two near 12.0N 72.4W 1009 mb at 5 AM EDT moving W at 17 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Please see the Special Features section for details on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two. The pressure gradient between Two and the Atlantic ridge to the north continue to support mainly fresh trade winds across the E Caribbean and fresh to strong winds across the north-central and portions of the SW basin. Seas in these regions fluctuate between 7 to 10 ft. The far western Caribbean is under the influence of gentle to moderate winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft.

For the forecast, Two will move to 12.0N 75.3W this afternoon, 11.5N 79.0W Fri morning, 11.1N 81.9W Fri afternoon, inland to 11.1N 84.6W Sat morning, 11.1N 87.1W Sat afternoon, and 11.5N 89.6W Sun morning. Two will change little in intensity as it moves near 12.8N 95.2W early Mon. A tropical wave with axis near 54W will merge with a trailing wave late today and move across the Lesser Antilles along with a surge of winds and waves on Fri. The wave is forecast to move across the eastern Caribbean Sat, and the central Caribbean on Sun.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
19° C
67° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
High: 10:19 AM Low: 5:48 PM
High: 11:50 PM Low: 4:29 AM (Fri)
Sunrise: 6:30 AM Moonrise: 5:38 AM
Sunset: 6:31 PM Moonset: 8:05 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

Significant wind impacts can be expected in Nicaragua and around Central America as the next Tropical Storm #Bonnie makes landfall on Friday. Sustained winds up to 75-80 MPH with gusts exceeding 90 MPH can be expected.

The government of Nicaragua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the Caribbean coast of Nicaraguan, from the Nicaragua/Costa Rica border to the north. to Pearl Lagoon, and a Tropical Storm Watch from North Pearl Lagoon to Sandy Bay Sirpi.

The government of Costa Rica has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the Caribbean coast of Costa Rica from Lim´┐Żn to the North, to the border between Nicaragua and Costa Rica

[Linked Image]

In the Atlantic we have 3 tropical disturbances that are #PTC2, #95L and a tropical wave, Potential Tropical Cyclone No.#2 is still expected to become Tropical Storm Bonnie, and invest 95L with possibility of 40% over in the Gulf or Mexico could become one depression or short-term storm. Meanwhile the Tropical Wave over the Eastern Atlantic with a 30% chance of becoming development over the next 5 days.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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There has been scattered rain over night, particularly in the south Toledo, but that is clearing now. The easterly Caribbean has significant clouds and could cause a few scattered rain showers later. Not much high level around but something pushing down over Cuba.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, but with significant clouds building, probably little rain around.

Last Night 26 °C 78°F Yesterday max. 33 °C 92 °F Yesterday Rain 0.2 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 3.0 mm ( 0.12 " )

80FFA08D-EBBE-4A14-B471-AA3D101A6E3C.png 82AE10E1-EF08-4D6E-8BFD-BA60319706AA.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Clear skies with a few widely scattered clouds throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Mainly fair weather prevails over the area.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny during the daytime and partly cloudy tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.

Outlook: For Friday afternoon to midday on Saturday is for similar weather conditions to prevail.

[Linked Image]

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A tropical wave is crossing the region.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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That potential storm area is approaching Panama and they think it might get to hurricane when it gets into the Pacific, but will have very little effect on our weather.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Beaches are clearing up. Little to no sargasso washing up on the beaches. Photo by Ambergris Today.

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Sunset lover. Photo by Marlena Gomez

[Linked Image]

If your a 'Homer Simpson' or know one, the cotton candy man is waiting for you. Photo by Tacogirl

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The Hopkins Village beach is back! Let's do our part and clean our beach front! Photo by Hopkins Uncut

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Monthly Weather Summary, June 2022

National Meteorological Service of Belize

The start of the 2022 rainy season continued in the month of June while normally signals the start of rains for most other regions of the country apart from the Toledo District. The first rainfall maxima normally occur in the month of June for central locations due to the passage of tropical waves as June is one of the peak months for these systems. Normally, a total of 15 tropical waves, both active and inactive would cross Belize. Rainfall is also supported during this month by upper level and surface troughs. During the month, troughing due to surface troughs north of the area was the main feature coupled with two low pressure systems and five tropical waves that cross the country. This supported several days of rain throughout the month and resulted in rainfall activity being above normal over the Corozal and northern orange walk district and below normal over the remainder of the country except for near normal conditions over the south. The highest amount of rain days occurred over south-eastern Belize near the Savannah Station with 24 rain days and the highest one-day rainfall total occurring over the Corozal district with 197.2 mm on June 18 near Libertad. June had above the normal amount of rain days indicating that rainfall accumulation was distributed over most of the month except for the extreme north and south of the country, however, rainfall activity in most areas was normal to below as was forecasted.

Moist and unstable conditions prevailed to start off the month due to the presence of the monsoon trough near southern Belize and a low-pressure system over Belize that was deemed potential tropical cyclone one by the National Hurricane Centre. This lasted throughout the first week of the month with high available moisture in both the lower and upper levels with a divergent pattern aloft supporting the development of showery activity over Belize. This was supported by a broad upper-level anti-cyclone producing a west to south-easterly upper-level wind component through the period. The presence of the low-pressure system produced a light west to south-westerly flow from June 1st to 4th then a weak ridge north of the area shifted the winds to a more east and south-easterly flow from June 5th to 7th. Several outbreaks of showers, intense thunderstorms and periods of rain occurred over most areas on June 1st and 2nd then only concentrated over inland areas on June 3rd. Rainfall activity began to decrease over the area on June 4th through to the end of the week and generally isolated showers and thunderstorms prevailed, primarily over inland and central locations.

In week two, ridging was the dominant feature for most of the week that supported a light to moderate east to south-easterly surface flow. Most of the moisture over the area was capped in the low levels, except for the end of the week where two tropical waves approached and crossed the country back-to-back on June 13th and 14th resulting in an increase in moisture through to the upper levels. An upper-level ridge to the east of Belize over the western and central Caribbean Sea supported a north-westerly upper-level flow and neutral to weakly convergent conditions for most of the week. A shift to the west and southwest was observed on June 11th and 12th due to an upper level low to the west of Cuba. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms occurred mostly over the Maya Mountains during the afternoons with most of the rainfall over some northern and southern locations. During this week, significant rainfall activity occurred over central and southern locations around June 8th and 9th. The passage of the tropical waves supported some showers and a few thunderstorms across the country starting on June 12th and continuing into June 13th. A few showers continued to affect the south on June 14th.

Moisture persisted into week three which was supported by the presence of a trough of low pressure over the area and the passage of a tropical wave towards the end of the week. The trough of low pressure moved over Belize on Saturday, June 18 producing intense rainfall mainly over the Central and Northern Districts. Very moist and unstable conditions persisted June 19 even though the area of low pressure had already moved west of Belize as activity ahead of an approaching tropical wave and helped to maintain the wet conditions. Extreme rainfall was reported in the north, especially near San Estevan and Towerhill during June 18 to 21 that resulted in significant flooding and a flood warning was issued prior to the event on June 16 for those areas, and other low lying and flood prone areas of the country. These showers and intense thunderstorms were supported by strong outflow at the upper levels with a divergent pattern observed over our area throughout the week from an upper-level ridge accompanied by a North-westerly upper-level flow. The surface winds were east to north-easterly June 15 to 17 then became east to southeast from June 17-20. A north eastly flow prevailed on June 21 due to the passage of a tropical wave.

Relatively moist conditions started off the last week of the month with a gradual decrease in moisture as the week progressed. A light east and north-easterly flow prevailed with a ridge pattern as the dominant feature over the week. Two tropical waves crossed the country during the week, the first on June 25 and the second on June 30. These supported a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over southern and inland locations. Rainfall activity over most other areas was isolated.

The graph and maps below summarize the total rainfall and average maximum and minimum temperatures. They also give an indication of how these readings compare to the normal for the month across the stations sampled. As can be seen, most of the country experienced below normal rainfall, especially along western areas while near normal conditions was observed over the Toledo district and above normal rainfall over the northern portions of the country due to an extreme rainfall event from a low-pressure system during the month. In terms of temperatures, most of the stations sampled show near normal maximum/daytime and minimum/night-time temperatures where slightly cooler than normal minimum temperatures were recorded over central coastal areas and the southern districts.

Monthly Rainfall Summary

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Monthly Maximum Temperatures

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Monthly Minimum Temperatures

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Rainfall Observed: June 2022 (mm)

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Rainfall Observed: June 2022 (% Above/Below Average)

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