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Belize Weather Forecast: July 13, 2022

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy throughout the country this morning, including in San Pedro. A moderate easterly to southeasterly airflow prevails.
Advisories: A small craft caution will likely go into effect for tonight.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and partly cloudy to cloudy. A few brief showers will occur mainly over central and southern areas, while a few showers and thunderstorms can also be expected over the extreme southern toledo district tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Thursday and Thursday night is for isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms developing, except for a few more occurring over the extreme south at night.
Sargassum Forecast from July 12 to July 202: Latest satellite observations show an increase in Sargassum over the northwest Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Honduras. As a result, there is now a medium to high chance that more sargassum mats could drift ashore during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: There is a very low chance that an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northern Gulf of Mexico will further develop into a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Aside from convection associated with the tropical wave along 82W, scattered moderate convection is seen along the north coast of Honduras extending north to 18N. Isolated showers are possible over the eastern part of the sea east of about 69W.

Upper-level cyclonic wind flow covers the Caribbean Sea and the Atlantic Ocean north of 12N between 60W-80W. High-level clouds cover the area that is from 25N southward between 60W and 70W on the eastern side of the upper level cyclonic wind flow.

The pressure gradient between the Azores high pressure area the comparatively lower surface pressure in the southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing strong to near gale trade winds and wave heights that range from 8-10 ft in the central Caribbean Sea.

Moderate to fresh easterly winds and wave heights that range from 4 feet to 6 feet, are in the eastern Caribbean Sea. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds, and wave heights of 2-4 ft in the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High will maintain strong to near gale trade winds over the south-central Caribbean through tonight. The high will weaken Thu allowing for the trade winds to diminish to fresh to strong through the end of the week. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds in the Gulf of Honduras will continue through Thu night before diminishing. Large NE to E swell is anticipated to begin impacting the tropical Atlantic zones Thu night and continue through early Sun.

  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 32° C
90° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
21° C
69° F
High: 9:02 AM Low: 4:26 PM
High: 10:57 PM Low: 3:19 AM (Thu)
Sunrise: 5:25 AM Moonset: 5:04 AM
Sunset: 6:31 PM Moonrise: 6:53 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

A large area of dry and dusty Sahara air is moving across the tropical Atlantic, suppressing the development of showers and storms. This is backing up fairly calm weather conditions across much of the basin.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a 20 mph wind from the East creating rough sea conditions around our barrier reef. Today's expected high temperature is set at 86f.


White Sands Dive Shop
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July 13, 2022 - Full Moon, Supermoon

The Moon will be located on the opposite side of the Earth as the Sun and its face will be fully illuminated. This full moon was known by early Native American tribes as the Buck Moon because the male buck deer would begin to grow their new antlers at this time of year. This moon has also been known as the Thunder Moon and the Hay Moon. This is also the second of three supermoons for 2022.

It is referred to as a supermoon because the Moon will be near its closest approach to the Earth and may look slightly larger and brighter than usual.


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Marty Offline OP
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Presently, there is some very strange weather, but mainly in the mid-high level winds, presently coming down over the Gulf and over Merida, but, at the same time, there is high level moving up from Honduras over the Caribbean and Cancun. This, and the easterly Caribbean lower winds are causing a number of rain showers all over the place. Despite this, the rain in June, was very low and so far low for July.

Looks as if this morning will be a mixture of sunshine, clouds and small patches of rain, possibly for much of the day.

Last Night 26 °C 78°F Yesterday max. 33 °C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0.6 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0.1 mm ( 0 " )

7A62F32C-03E8-465B-B939-94D640987125.png 5D2033B2-CA81-4F82-BD97-34841A8F324E.png
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Present Condition: Mostly cloudy throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Relatively moist conditions prevail. Small craft caution in effect for occasional gusty winds and locally rough seas.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon and tomorrow morning and cloudy spells tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect the country this afternoon, especially inland areas and the southern districts tonight and tomorrow morning.

Outlook: Between Thursday afternoon and Friday midday is for only isolated showers or isolated thunderstorms to develop around the country.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Flood Forecast for July 13, 2022

The National Hydrological Service hereby updates the public on river conditions in the country and issues the following:


On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek North, and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas, to the coast, levels are expected to remain below normal and steady. Levels on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill expect a minimal increase and Caledonia are normal and steady levels expected.


On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, below normal and steady levels expected. The CROOKED TREE LAGOON will remain below the causeway.

On the MACAL RIVER at all BECOL facilities, reservoir levels expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, near normal and decreasing levels expected.


On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, levels expected to increase minimally, and on the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village, normal levels expected.

In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, above normal and a minimal increase in levels expected.

On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, above normal levels expected. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank and on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, levels expected to increase to above normal levels.

On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and at Jordan, increasing levels expected. On the TEMASH RVER at Crique Sarco, levels expected to increase to near Flood Stage.


On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal and a minimal increase in levels expected.

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Tuesday in Hopkins.

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