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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: August 14, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear on the mainland this morning except for a few light scattered clouds, a few more in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Generally fair weather with a light easterly airflow prevails.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated, with a few more and isolated thunderstorms developing over the south.
Winds: E, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: (Mon & Mon night) Partly cloudy with isolated showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over the south.
Sargassum Forecast from August 9 to August 17: There continues to be a low to medium chance of more sargassum landing on local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:


Phoenix Resort in San Pedro

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean. An upper-level trough axis extending from the SE Bahamas across eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras is supporting isolated showers and tstorms over the NW Caribbean, while earlier convection across Haiti and Cuba has ended. The east Pacific monsoon trough, situated over the SW Caribbean along 11N, is inducing scattered moderate isolated strong convection along it between 75W-77W, just off the coast of Colombia. Moderate trades prevail across the eastern and central Caribbean, locally fresh in the south-central Caribbean offshore of NE Colombia. Gentle to moderate trades are elsewhere. Seas are estimated at 4-6 ft over the south-central Caribbean and 2-4 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, high pressure extending from the central Atlantic SW to the central Bahamas and will gradually weaken through Tue. A broad trough associated with a tropical wave along 61-62W will move westward across the eastern Caribbean today, reach 70W Sun night, move across the central Caribbean Mon through Tue, and across the western Caribbean Wed through Thu. This will yield mainly moderate to locally fresh trade winds across the basin thought late Mon. High pressure will begin to build in across the region behind the tropical wave Tue through Wed and bring a return to fresh to strong winds across the south central Caribbean.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
Low: 5:13 AM High: 11:35 AM
Low: 6:08 PM High: 12:12 AM (Mon)
Sunrise: 5:35 AM Moonset: 8:05 AM
Sunset: 6:19 PM Moonrise: 8:39 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning it's sunny and warm with a calm sea around our barrier reef. The wind is from the East at 10 mph and the expected high temperature is 88 f. A good lookin morning.

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White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Awesome photo!

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Steady normal easterly Caribbean winds with some cloud, minor clashing up north causing a few small rain patches and a little coastal rain down south. The hurricane people think there could be a storm off Texas, that was due to the cloud coming down from the States over the past week, meeting high level winds from the SW, I don't think it will develop into anything, but their web site not working properly.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, with clouds developing during the morning, only a small chance or any rain.

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Last Night 26 °C 78 °F Yesterday max. 33 °C 91 °F Yesterday Rain 20 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Humidity 89 % Pressure 1003 mBar ( 29.6" ) Very Low

B044CAEF-236A-4F6B-BECA-55EC6F78C941.png 9612141D-B50F-4BD8-9412-32B6B9BB6AEF.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear on the mainland, a bit of cloud cover in the very north and south. Mostly clear in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon and tomorrow morning and cloudy skies at times tonight. Showers or thunderstorms will be isolated, except for a few more over inland areas this afternoon, the southern districts tonight and some coastal areas tomorrow morning.

Outlook: Between Monday afternoon and Tuesday midday is for isolated showers or thunderstorms, except for slightly more over inland areas Monday afternoon.

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Happy Sunday from The Lodge at Jaguar Reef in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

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Happy Sunday morning view from Corozal Town. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Crown Weather:

A tropical wave now located over the eastern Caribbean is expected to push westward this coming week reaching the western Caribbean by about Wednesday. Once it reaches the western Caribbean, it is anticipated that this tropical wave may find itself in an environment that's favorable for development.

The model guidance are sort of lukewarm with their forecasts of development. Both the GFS model and the European model are hit and miss with its forecast of development with some forecast runs showing development in the Bay of Campeche and then the western Gulf of Mexico late this week.

At this point, this is something to not be overly concerned about, but it is something that I'll be keeping an eye on, just in case.

This Is What I'm Now Thinking For The Next One To Two Months Or So - I expect that the dry, dusty air across the tropical Atlantic will weaken over the next couple of weeks and give way to an increase in the organization of tropical disturbances pushing off of Africa. A large Bermuda High pressure system looks to set up leading to a potential path for any tropical systems to head either across the northern Caribbean or just north of the Caribbean and then towards the East Coast of the United States. My highest threat area for potential tropical storm/hurricane impacts for September and October continues to be an area from the eastern and northeastern Gulf of Mexico through the entire state of Florida and then up the entire East Coast of the United States as well as across Atlantic Canada.

==========

A ropical wave approaches the Western Caribbean. It would be arriving on the peninsula between Monday and Tuesday.

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Beautiful moonlight in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

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