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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: August 16, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Partly cloudy on the mainland this morning, mostly clear in the north. Mostly clear with a few clouds in San Pedro. A light to moderate east to southeast airflow supports generally fair weather today.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny skies today with a few cloudy spells. Tonight skies will be partly cloudy. Shower activity will be isolated today, expect inland isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Tonight and tomorrow morning a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop over the extreme south.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: For Wednesday morning is for cloudy skies with some outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms starting first along the coast and then spreading to most areas during the datyime. Then on Wednesday night thru to Thursday morning expect showery and continuous outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms across the country and this will be associated with the passage of a strong tropical wave.
Sargassum Forecast from August 9 to August 17: There continues to be a low to medium chance of more sargassum landing on local beaches during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:


Phoenix Resort in San Pedro

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and two in the Caribbean. Aside for the convection in the SW Caribbean Sea discussed in the Tropical Waves section, the remainder of the basin enjoys tranquil weather conditions. A weak high pressure regime also across the western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds across the central and SE portions of the basin and the Gulf of Honduras. Seas in these waters are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, light to gentle trades and seas of 1-3 ft prevail.

For the forecast, weak high pressure resides across the W Atlc to the north of Puerto Rico along 27N, and is producing a very modest pressure gradient across the basin. Two tropical waves across the Caribbean, along 75W and 81W, are inducing scattered to numerous thunderstorms across the SW Caribbean to the west of 75W this morning. These waves are expected to gradually merge by Wed as the continue moving westward. Expect very active weather with and ahead of these tropical waves today across the SW Caribbean and coastal Nicaragua, then shifting westward across Central America and the Gulf of Honduras tonight through Wed night. High pressure will strengthen modestly to the north of the region behind the tropical waves Tue night through Fri to gradually bring a return of fresh to strong trade winds across the south-central basin.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
Low: 7:11 AM High: 1:09 PM
Low: 7:22 PM High: 1:21 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:35 AM Moonset: 9:54 AM
Sunset: 6:17 PM Moonrise: 9:54 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

A tropical wave currently located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is forecast to move across Central America during the next few days and emerge over the Bay of Campeche, where an area of low pressure could form on Friday. Some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through the weekend. It has a near zero chance of formation during the next 48 hours and a low (20 percent) chance of formation during the next 5 days.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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The easterly Caribbean winds are slow at present, there is increasing high level from the SW, but there is a new area of ITCZ swellup over eastern Honduras, which could bring rain in overnight.

Looks as if today will be mainly sun with significant cloud, no rain expected this morning.
No rain on the Radar this morning
Last Night 26 °C 79 °F Yesterday max. 33 °C 91 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Humidity 84 % Pressure 1002 mBar ( 29.6" ) Very Low

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Good morning from beautiful GariMaya gift shop in Hopkins. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]

Good morning from Altun Ha Archeological Park. Located in rural Belize District on the old Northern Highway in Rockstone Pond Village, Altun Ha is one our iconic Belizean pride! It's translated meaning "Rockstone Water" is synonymous to the village name! Photos by Jorge Aldana.

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear skies on the mainland. Mostly clear with a very few scattered clouds in San Pedro. Relatively fair conditions will prevail today, then moist and unstable conditions to set in tomorrow.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells this afternoon with generally isolated showers and isolated inland thunderstorms. Partly cloudy skies with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms developing over the south tonight into tomorrow morning, and isolated showers elsewhere. Then activity will gradually increase starting along the coast tomorrow.

Outlook: Cloudy skies with a few showers and thunderstorms around the country, but especially over the south on Wednesday afternoon. Then some showers, periods of rain and thunderstorms will affect most places wednesday night through midday Thursday.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Flood Forecast for August 16, 2022

The National Hydrological Service hereby updates the public on river conditions in the country and issues the following:

REGION 7
The RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, Douglas, and downstream to the coast, and on the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia, normal levels expected.

REGION 9
On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, normal levels expected. On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels at all BECOL facilities expected to remain below the spillways; and at San Ignacio, levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge.

On the BELIZE RIVER at Double Run, normal levels are expected; and, on the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected to remain below the causeway.
O
REGION 11
On the SIBUN RIVER at Freetown Sibun, Bank Full Levels expected to continue to decrease. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON at Gales Point Village, expect above normal levels.

In watersheds on the EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MAYAN MOUNTAINS, and on the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge, above normal levels are expected. On the Swasey and Bladen branches of the MONKEY RIVER, and on the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank, above normal levels expected.

On the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls South, above normal levels expected. On the MOHO RIVER at Blue Creek South and Jordan, above normal levels expected.

On the TEMASH RIVER at Crique Sarco, above normal levels expected.

REGION 13
On the SARSTOON RIVER, above normal levels expected.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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There is an ITCZ swellup over eastern Honduras.

[Linked Image]

The tropical wave will start to affect us Wednesday has a small chance of becoming a tropical cyclone after it has crossed us and emerge in the Gulf of Mexico.

Development before it reaches us is highly unlikely. However, it will bring heavy rainfall starting tomorrow, increasing in the night into Thursday then decreasing thereafter. Flooding is likely over the usual low-lying and flood prone areas"

[Linked Image]

Sunset in San Pedro. Photo by Marlena Gomez

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Tuesday in Corozal and moonrise. Photos by Belize Scoop Blogger

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