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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: September 10, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy throughout the country with rain in many areas. Less so in the north. Mostly cloudy in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions prevail over the area.
Advisories: A small craft caution is in effect for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms. A flood watch is in effect for the possibility of localized flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas. A strong thunderstorm watch is in effect for the possibility of severe lightning, damaging winds and heavy rainfall, especially during the late night and early morning periods over the next couple of days.
24-hour forecast: Cloudy skies with sunny breaks today becoming overcast tonight. Periods of rain, a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mainly over coastal and offshore areas this morning, then over northern and central areas by midday; decreasing. Activity will redevelop tonight starting over the south, then increase and spread to most places.
Winds: E-SE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Light Chop-Choppy BECOMING Choppy-Moderate
Waves: 2-5 ft BECOMING 3-6 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: Cloudy to overcast skies with some showers, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms on Sunday, decreasing during the afternoon. Then activity will redevelop Sunday night over most places.
Sargassum Forecast from August 30 to September 14: There is a high chance that the country could be affected by more sargassum mats during the next few days. San Pedro has a high probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 9:00 pm last night, Hurricane Earl was located near latitude 38.1N, longitude 55.9W or about 610 miles south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:


View at the airport/sunset

The Caribbean Sea

A ridge of high pressure is north of the Greater Antilles along 23N extending northwest to northeast of the Bahamas. Moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds dominate the basin, except light to gentle in the SW Caribbean. Seas are 4-5 ft in the south-central Caribbean, as well as offshore eastern Honduras, and mainly 1-3 ft elsewhere. Some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted from 13N to 18N between 78W and 85W, mainly due to a TUTT low. Deep and intense convection has also developed in the Gulf of Honduras early this morning to across nearby land areas.

For the forecast, mainly moderate E to SE winds prevail today, locally fresh in the south-central Caribbean and offshore eastern Honduras where winds will increase to fresh to strong by this evening, and again Sun evening. A surge of fresh to strong easterly winds may accompany a passing tropical wave from the central to western Caribbean midweek. Northerly swell will propagate through Atlantic passages early next week.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 33° C
91° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 24° C
76° F
19° C
67° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
High: 9:53 AM Low: 4:18 PM
High: 10:26 PM Low: 4:15 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM Moonset: 5:48 AM
Sunset: 5:58 PM Moonrise: 6:32 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

Hurricane Earl is now moving away from Bermuda, having made its closest approach overnight. Earl stayed well offshore, so the island only received tropical-storm-force winds, as forecast. Earl is continuing to strengthen, however, as it moves into the North Atlantic.

The storm is forecast to reach its peak strength today before beginning the process of merging with a non-tropical low-pressure system and dip in the jet stream overtaking it from the west. This non-tropical system is the one that brought the rain and ushered in cooler weather across the Northeast and New England.

The combo weather system is forecast to become a giant non-tropical system that will stall off the coast of Newfoundland, Canada, but close enough to produce high winds and heavy rains over the land.

The combo low-pressure system will eventually dissipate in the North Atlantic next week as it heads in the general direction of Europe.

Large swells emanating from Earl and eventually the combo system will impact the U.S. East Coast for several days making surf conditions dangerous.

In the central tropical Atlantic, Tropical Disturbance #1 has not been able to pull itself together, and it's looking less like that it will before it is pulled north behind Earl and dissipates. Winds over 40 mph have been measured well away from the circulation center, so if it can consolidate, it would be named Tropical Storm Fiona.

Hostile upper-level winds have torn it apart, separating the thunderstorms from the center. It's still not impossible that they could let up enough for a brief period of organization, but the window of opportunity will close soon.

Tropical Disturbance #2 is a poorly organized cluster of showers in the far eastern Atlantic. A large area of dry air is just to the north. In 2 or 3 days, there is a slight chance the atmospheric environment will become conducive enough for the disturbance to organize, although the consensus of the long-range computer forecast models is that it will move across the Atlantic as a moisture surge.

The National Hurricane Center is giving it a low chance of developing in the next 5 days.

Tropical Disturbance #3 is still over Africa. It is forecast to cross into the Atlantic late in the weekend, and will have an opportunity to organize a few days later. Again, the computer forecast models are not showing a lot of development, so for now, the National Hurricane Center is giving it a low chance of developing in the next 5 days.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

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Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning we have thunderstorms after a long night of rain. The sea state around our barrier reef is moderate. Today's expected high temperature is a cool 84f.

FB_IMG_1662814822924.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
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Marty Offline OP
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The mid-high level winds are coming up over Belize from the SSW. There has been a large swellup over the coast of Belize, that has cause a large area of rain over central coastal areas and northern areas of Belize and is moving further up northwards. The Caribbean winds have also been deflected up to wards the north.

Looks as if Belize will remain cloudy for most of us for much of the day, northern rains reducing later.

Last Night 25 °C 78 °F Yesterday max. 30 °C 85 °F Yesterday Rain 1.0 mm ( 0.04 " ) Over Night Rain 0.2 mm ( 0.01 " ) Humidity 88 % Pressure 1003 mBar ( 29.50" ) Very Low

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Happy September 10th (Battle of St. George's Caye Day) Photo by the Ambergris Today

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Happy St George's Caye Day from Belize first capital! Photos by Jorge Aldana.

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Remembrance ceremony on St George's Caye to celebrate 224th Anniversary that Belize started the road to independence! Our first Capital and it's always patriotic to be be here on the 10th of September.

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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WOW! Serious freak storm this morning.



We had quite a strong storm roll in this morning; even the power went out for a while. Top photo by the Ambergris Today

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Man, that storm this early morning blew in FAST & STRONG. I'm adding to other posts of island damage from my drive to town after the rain stopped. Mostly tree damage. Photos by Jan Brown.

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Click photos for more pictures!

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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The cloud is thinning and the rain has nearly stopped.

[Linked Image]

Present Condition: Mostly cloudy throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Moist and unstable conditions continue over the region. Small craft caution for gusty winds and locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms, mainly tonight and tomororw morning. Flood watch in effect for the possibillity of localized flooding in low-lying and flood prone areas. Strong thunderstorm watch in effect for the possibility of strong thunderstorms accompanied by severe lightning, heavy rainfall and damaging winds, especially duringthe late night and early morning hours.

24hr Forecast:
Cloudy spells this afternoon with generally isolated showers and thunderstorms developing inland. Cloudy to overcast tonight and tomororw morning with some showers, thunderstorms or periods of light rain over most areas, but especially over southern and central districts tonight, then over northern areas tomorrow morning.

Outlook: (Sun afternoon - midday Mon) Xloudy spells with a few showers and thuderstorms manly inland Sunday afternoon, then mostly over the southern and central portions of the country Sunday night; with showers and thunderstorms becoming isolated Monday morning.

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Weather analysis shows that we continue under the influence of an extensive and deep stream over the Gulf of Mexico. A new tropical wave will be added to it starting tomorrow.

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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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San Pedro: Happy Battle of Saint George's Caye Day, Belize! Photo by Marlena Gomez

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10th September in San Ignacio Town. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

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Hopkins by full moonlight



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