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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: October 4, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear, light clouds cover the north and south part of the mainland this morning. Should clear up early. Light cloud cover in San Pedro. Fair weather continues, then an increase in shower activity to start later tonight.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. Showers will be isolated today with a few more developing over the mountains this afternoon, along with a chance for isolated thunderstorms. Then a few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mainly over northern and coastal areas tonight.
Winds: N-NW, 5-10 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: Cloudy at times. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur over northern and coastal areas Wednesday morning, then inland and south during the afternoon. Activity will decrease over most places but linger over southern coastal areas on Wednesday night.
Sargassum Forecast from September 27 to October 5: There is a medium chance of new sargassum mats coming ashore during the next few days. San Pedro has a medium probability with a moderate impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: An area of low pressure, a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves generally northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:


Phoenix Resort in San Pedro


View at the airport/sunset

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and none in the Caribbean.

A surface trough curves northwestward from offshore of northwestern Colombia to a 1010 mb low just east of northeastern tip of Nicaragua and continues northwestward to inland the southern Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen mainly from 12N to 16N between 77W-80W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere west of 77W. Moderate to fresh northeast to east trade winds along with seas of 4-6 ft are over the south-central portion of the sea to near northwest Colombia. Light to gentle trade winds, with relatively low seas of 1-3 ft are over the southwestern part of the sea. Gentle to moderate northeast to northeast to east trade winds along with seas of 2-4 ft prevail over the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast, the 1011 mb low and its associated surface trough will change little through Wed, sustaining unstable weather in the area. Weak Atlantic high pressure will remain centered across the central Atlantic through Thu before shifting northeastward. Then, the aforementioned tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles will bring showery and gusty conditions to the Windward Islands and eastern basin near midweek, then to the western basin over the weekend. Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate trades and slight to moderate seas are expected across the basin through late Wed. Fresh northeast winds then develop out ahead of the tropical wave through Sat night.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
87° F
25° C
76° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
18° C
65° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
Low: 12:07 PM High: 7:14 PM
Low: 11:09 PM High: 5:36 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:43 AM Moonrise: 2:09 PM
Sunset: 5:38 PM Moonset: 1:33 AM (Wed)


Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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The inhabitants of Honduras and Nicaragua, without ruling out the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize, should closely monitor this system, the National Hurricane Center will probably once again increase its chances of development. The chances of cyclonic development have decreased as conditions have become a little unfavorable for this tropical wave which is disorganized. The National Hurricane Center has marked that likelihood of development while it moves west and reaches the Caribbean where perhaps the conditions will be more favorable during the next few days.

[Linked Image]

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a slight breeze from the North and the sea is flat calm. The expected high today is 87f.

FB_IMG_1664806304063.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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There is very little actual air movement around, just some low, and a fair bit of high cloud milling around, but there is some clashing off shore.

Looks like another sunny day, with clouds developing, a small chance of some rain showers this afternoon.

Last Night 25°C 78 °F Yesterday max. 32 °C 89 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Humidity 80 % Pressure 1004 mBar

1D6F0A65-114D-4B49-893A-25BC9238F8E7.png 987251FB-3FFE-4383-9F5C-339849491F2D.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Tuesday morning views from Corozal Town. Photos by Belize Scoop Blogger

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]


The Belize Weather Forecast - Evening of October 3rd, 2022
Ronald Gordon, National Meteorological Service of Belize.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. A slight increase in moisture and instability is expected tonight.

24hr Forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells this afternoon along with isolated showers, and the chance for an isolated thunderstorm inland. Cloudy tonight and tomorrow morning with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over northern and coastal areas.

Outlook: (Wed afternoon - midday Thur) Mostly cloudy a few showers or thunderstorms mainly inland Wednesday afternoon, then mainly over southern districts Wednesday night and Thursday morning.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]


A Tropical Storm May Develop in the Caribbean
A tropical storm may develop in the Caribbean as soon as this weekend or early next week. A strong tropical wave will move into the Eastern Caribbean and bring the chance of flash flooding.

Once it gets into the Central Caribbean, conditions are conducive for development. The water is very warm and the wind shear will be low. The probability of cyclonic formation in the Caribbean increases to 60% for the next few days.

At the least, this will develop slowly and could become a tropical depression or storm as it reaches the Western Caribbean. As it stands now, there is a slight chance it could become a hurricane.

[Linked Image]

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Today's Moon phase at 4pm. Simply beautiful. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

[Linked Image]


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