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Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
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Belize Weather Forecast: October 25, 2022

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Light east-southeast airflow. Mainly fair and warm weather will prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Mostly sunny today and partly cloudy tonight. Showers will be isolated; with the chance for a few more over the south tonight.
Winds: E-SE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Light Chop
Waves: 2-4 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 85
Outlook: (Wed & Wed night) Partly cloudy with isolated showers, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms inland.
Sargassum Forecast from October 18 to October 26: The chances of new sargassum mats affecting the country remain low. San Pedro has a low probability with a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: An area of low pressure about 60 miles south-southeast of Bermuda has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression during the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic, and one in the Caribbean.

The southern extension of the western Atlantic sharp upper-level trough stretches from eastern Cuba southwestward to coastal Nicaragua. A very moist and unstable environment east of this trough, combined with a tropical wave, is sustaining scattered showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient is supporting generally gentle to moderate trade winds across the basin along with relatively low wave heights of 2-4 ft.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the regional Atlantic and Caribbean will maintain gentle to moderate trade winds and light to moderate seas across the Caribbean basin through early Wed. A deep layered trough is expected to develop across the central Caribbean today through Wed and lift northward Thu and Fri. A tropical wave along 59W will move westward and become absorbed within the trough along 67W Wed night through Thu. These features will induce numerous thunderstorms across the eastern half of the basin Tue through Thu, and extend across the NE Caribbean islands into the adjacent Atlantic. Fresh to locally strong trade winds and increasing E swell are moving into Tropical Atlantic waters this morning, behind the tropical wave, and will gradually shift into the far eastern Caribbean tonight through Wed.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
27° C
81° F
Inland 34° C
93° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
High: 10:09 AM Low: 3:37 PM
High: 9:43 PM Low: 4:31 AM (Wed)
Sunrise: 5:48 AM Moonrise: 5:55 AM
Sunset: 5:24 PM Moonset: 5:44 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Crown Weather:
Caribbean Sea Tropical Development Is Possible This Weekend Into Next Week

There's the very real potential for a tropical system to become a problem in the Caribbean Sea beginning this weekend and especially during next week. Both the deterministic model guidance and the ensemble model suite are pointing to the area around the central Caribbean Sea just south of Hispaniola will be the spot to watch for development.

The question then becomes what is going to be the catalyst for this potential development? It actually seems the development stems from a tropical wave that's now located to the east of the Windward Islands near about 50 West Longitude. It looks like this tropical wave will reach the southeastern Caribbean at the very end of this week and then reach the central Caribbean Sea at around the beginning part of next week.

There are a couple of concerning trends in the guidance since I last wrote late last week - The first is that there seems to be a trend towards more ridging over the western North Atlantic next week, which could allow for any tropical system to move towards the northwestern Caribbean Sea. The second trend seen in the latest guidance is for an increasingly more favorable environment for both development and strengthening next week in the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea.

I do think that it's actually fairly likely that we are going to see tropical development in the Caribbean Sea as soon as this weekend and probably more likely next week in the area around the central Caribbean Sea.

[Linked Image]

Last nights Weather Report by the National Meteorological Service of Belize.

Caribbean Tropical Storm Possible
A Caribbean tropical storm is possible. An area of heavy rain in the Eastern Caribbean could develop this weekend, potentially into a tropical storm. If it develops, it could track to the northwest. Interests in the Caribbean, including Jamaica, Haiti, The Dominican Republic, and Puerto Rico, should pay close attention the next few days.

Regardless of development, the rain and flood threat will increase in other areas too, such as Trinidad and Tobago, Barbadoes, Grenada, St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Anguilla, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, Antigua & Barbuda, and the US & British Virgin Islands.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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The easterly Caribbean winds are in control this morning, but they are being turned up northwards by some action in the Gulf, the remnants of a Pacific storm. There is very little cloud around, but some will build during the morning.

Looks as if today will be mainly sunny, with some white clouds around, probably no rain.

Last Night 25 °C 77 °F Yesterday max. 31 °C 88 °F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Over Night Rain 0 mm ( 0 " ) Humidity 79 % Pressure 1002 mBar

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Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a wind from the South East at 15 mph creating a moderate sea condition around our barrier reef. Today's high temperature is set at 88 f.


White Sands Dive Shop
Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Good morning from beautiful Sittee River Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Clear skies throughout the country, including in San Pedro. Generally fair weather prevails.

24hr Forecast: Mostly sunny this afternoon and tomorrow morning and partly cloudy skies tonight. Showers will be isolated, but slightly more will affect the southern districts tonight.

Outlook: Between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday midday is for isolated showers, along with isolated thunderstorms over inland areas Wednesday afternoon.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Joined: Oct 1999
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Pretty Front Street view. Photo by San Pedro Scoop

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Tuesday morning view from Corozal Town. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger

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Sunset on the beach in Hopkins Village. Photo by Hopkins Uncut

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