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Joined: Oct 1999
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Marty Offline OP
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Belize Weather Forecast: November 18, 2022


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly clear on the mainland this morning, a few light clouds but most cloud cover remains offshore. Mostly clear skies in San Pedro. Relatively moist and unstable northeasterly airflow.
Advisories: Small craft caution remains in effect.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with cloudy spells today and mostly cloudy tonight. A few showers will affect most areas today, along with isolated thunderstorms mainly inland and over the south; then tonight will showers increase, especially over the coast.
Winds: NE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy - Moderate
Waves: 3-6
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 84
Outlook: (Sat & Sat night) Cloudy at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly over the north and inland on Saturday; then a few showers afect the coast Saturday night.
Sargassum Forecast from November 15 to November 30: Latest satellite imagery suggest there is little to no sargassum over the area and therefore the chances of sargassum affecting the country will remain low over the next two weeks. San Pedro has a low probability with a minimal impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico within the next 48 hours. Click for more of the tropical weather outlook...

Marine Conditions:


View at the airport/sunset

The Caribbean Sea

A stationary front extends from western Cuba to just south of the Yucatan Channel to north of Cozumel, Mexico. Fresh to strong winds are north of the boundary while seas of 7-10 ft in N swell are spilling through from the Gulf of Mexico. Scattered showers are possible near the front. A surface trough is generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the northwestern and west-central basin, including the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades dominate the remainder of the basin. Seas are 4-7 ft in the central Caribbean, 2-4 ft between Cuba and Jamaica, and 3-6 ft elsewhere. Gentle to moderate monsoonal winds with 3 to 5 ft seas prevail near Panama.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure in the central Atlantic and lower pressure in the SW Caribbean will support moderate to fresh trade winds during the next several days, pulsing to strong in the central Caribbean this weekend. The stationary front near the Yucatan Channel will gradually dissipate through Sat. Fresh to strong NE winds will prevail north of the front across the Yucatan Channel through early Sat, while seas build across the far NW Caribbean through Fri night. Increasing winds and seas may impact the NE Caribbean including Atlantic Passages early next week.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
24° C
76° F
Inland 32° C
89° F
21° C
70° F
Hills 27° C
80° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES, SUNRISE & MOONRISE:
High: 5:00 AM Low: 12:16 PM
High: 6:11 PM Low: 12:36 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:59 AM Moonset: 1:46 PM
Sunset: 5:16 PM Moonrise: 1:54 AM (Sat)


Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://sanpedrowx.com/
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/caye-caulker-village


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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[Linked Image]

In our forecast at 96 hours out it stands out that after the cold front Chacnict� (no. 9), cold front will affect Dzan (num. 10) from Sunday, with very similar effects. Image above predicts the situation on NOv. 21.

For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.

The Belize Weather Forecast - Evening of November 17th, 2022


Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13,675
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On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a moderate sea condition from a Northeast wind blowing at 14mph. Today's expected high temperature is set at 86 f.

FB_IMG_1668779048345.jpg

White Sands Dive Shop
https://whitesandsdiveshop.com/
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Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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There is strong mid-level cloud coming up from the south and fast high level from the SW over Yucatan and Cuba, and the Caribbean winds and cloud are still being pushed south by low winds from the north.

Looks as if today will be largely cloudy, but with some periods of sunshine and could be patches of rain from time to time.

Last Night 23 °C 74 °F Yesterday max. 30 °C 86 °F Yesterday Rain 30.6 mm ( 1.2 " ) Over Night Rain 4.4 mm ( 0.2 " ) Humidity 81% Pressure 1014.5 mBar

D308BFC5-52F5-4FAE-99E0-49573CFA332D.png 44CD5DB8-AA0D-4A51-91D5-18D07BFACD5E.png
Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Present Condition: Mostly clear in the north, becoming cloudier in the south. Mostly clear in San Pedro, a few clouds are about. The weather out to sea is moving a bit closer. The stationary front Chacnict� (num. 9) will continue to produce precipitation today, as well as cool winds and high tide off the coast. Moist and unstable conditions linger across the country. A small craft caution remains in effect for locally rough seas near heavy showers and thunderstorms.

24hr Forecast: Mostly cloudy this afternoon with a few showers, periods of rain and isolated thunderstorms around the country this afternoon, increasing tonight, especially over the southern districts.

Outlook: Between Saturday afternoon and Sunday midday is for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms to continue affecting the country.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Weather analysis shows stationary front Chacnict� (num. 9) over the North Peninsula.

[Linked Image]


Gulf Spin Up & Late Season Storm
A spin-up in the Gulf will create lots of wet weather, and in the Western Caribbean, a late season storm may develop.

Regardless of development, heavy rain will be likely for parts of: Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, and Colombia.

Friday morning view from Corozal. Photos by Belize Scoop Blogger

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

Beautiful weather for the Punta Paranda Festival tonight at Lebeha Drumming Center & Restaurant in Hopkins.



Happy Children's Day at Corozal Methodist School



Happy Garifuna Settlement weekend. Video from the Garifuna drumming at Builder's Hardware in Belmopan.


Joined: Oct 1999
Posts: 84,400
Marty Offline OP
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Rainy day in San Pedro. Photo by San Pedro FM

[Linked Image]

Rainy afternoon in Corozal. Photo by Belize Scoop Blogger

[Linked Image]

Last edited by Marty; 11/19/22 06:16 AM.

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