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Here comes Dean

Posted By: Otteralum

Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 03:58 PM

Anyone keeping an eye on this guy???

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Posted By: LIBeachBum

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 04:05 PM

I'm supposed to catch a flight to Belize tomorrow morning...I've been watching intently for the past couple of days. Looks like I picked the wrong week for a vacation...I'm working on canceling everything now.

Good luck to all living there! Be safe!
Posted By: belizegial

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 04:19 PM

Certainly, we are monitoring this hurricane and is hoping that it goes north of us.

Lets keep on praying.
Posted By: elbert

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 04:35 PM

Hea wait a min. I'm North of you.
Posted By: 2MILESNORTHOFCUT

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 10:16 PM

Yea, Me too!! Let it go east. waaaaaaaaay east eek
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 10:52 PM

Hey we were there just north of Elbert G. has week...Felt like Florida....tropical storm moved in just as we arrived Saturday, Aug 4th...Glad we had plenty of booze....we drank and watched the chairs and table on our deck go by.....Wind was strong.

Dean doesn't look like anything like last week...Y'all take care...and keep an eye on this storm....

All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: beachboy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 11:12 PM

I think it will miss, but watching the dive boats, loaded up with all there equipment, leaving today for Belize City is a first for me.

Dive shops have already closed which is so unnecessarily early.

Please everyone pray it misses and remember the people who give their time for rescue etc who will not leave as that is why they give their time.

Posted By: Otteralum

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 11:23 PM

beachboy, jesse and belizegial

you bet I'll be prayin. I agree it seems early for dive shops to close down -- you can't be getting any unfavoarble conditions for at least another 48 hours or so -- likely much longer
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/16/07 11:34 PM

The latest models have all pushed it north of us. I think Cancun must be getting pretty worried, just after they've rebuilt...
Posted By: GoHawks

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 12:09 AM

So I'm getting some conflicting information and impressions and wanted to see what the general vibe is down there.

We're supposed to be leaving on a flight down there in about 8 hours. I've been watching Dean like a hawk and while yesterday was looking pretty bad, today things are looking a bit better for Belize, but not so good for Cancun.

We checked with the owner of the house we are staying at and he said the impression he's getting is that it is going to move north, as has been the impression mentioned by some others here.

Obviously I know that things can change at anytime, but I was starting to get a better feeling for Belize to be spared, at least the brunt of it.

I sent an e-mail Steve at FishingSanPedro since I have fishing trips scheduled for early next week to see about rescheduling for later next week to avoid the bad weather and his response was a lot more worrisome.

He indicated that the general feeling is that Dean is heading right for us and is due around Monday or earlier, that he recommends changing plans and look at making recommendations at an inland mainland resort, that if we head out to the island we'll be in the middle of an evacuation.

If it does come in as a Cat 4 or 5 up by Cancun, what kind of impact can we expect down at Ambergris Caye? Should I be trying to reschedule or cancel my trip right now? We've been planning this thing for a year and half, I'd hate to cancel but I'd hate to fly down and be in the middle of a hurricane too.

I know that nothing is definite but whats the overall opinion down there right now?
Posted By: beachboy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 01:40 AM

GoHawks and anyone else who is coning to Belize,

Fear factor can make certain individuals panic or do many things which when looked at in the clear light of day is without cause.

What we all need to appreciate is that we are dealing with the unknown and businesses such as a dive shops with all their money invested may well think it a god time to have a staff vacation top get the cost out of the way at the same time etc.

This next 24 hours will give a much better indication as to the Hurricanes path. History shows that in almost every case the winds drive Gods power north. That is the prognosis which ends up in the opinion that the storm will go north.

None of us know which way it will go, it is the lap of the Gods.

We receive US Television here and are as up to date as anyone. Most people are staying and will continue to do so. Please anyone who thinks Belize does not know how to protect it's citizens and visitors in such a climate must be very much misinformed. We are part of a regional response whom are very much in the know!

Sterling is the man who is potentially again in the forefront following his recent headline exploits in The Med. It his his boats which stay and his staff, colleagues and team who remain to save lives and property wherever possible.



Posted By: Anonymous

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 01:48 AM

The sea has been so rough today that there's been no prospect of diving anyway, and it looks like getting steadily worse from now on in. Why wait until the last moment when seas are really rough and it's difficult to move boats? - better get them to safety earlier.
Posted By: GoHawks

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 02:10 AM

Thanks for the feedback. This is so frustrating, but we've got so much already invested in this trip and we want to hope for the best so it looks like we are on our way, now to pack.
Posted By: ScubaLdy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 05:10 AM

Regardless of Deans path the seas are very rough right now and there won't be any diving for awhile. I think people are smart to take care of their assests. Dive shops have too much "loose" inventory to just leave hanging.
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 03:05 PM

If you are coming down as a visitor this weekend and can postpone your trip without too much hassle, I suggest you do this. Even if a Cat4/5 hurricane hits about 300 miles north of us, there will be no diving, no snorkeling, or water activity. The water will be very high and rough. Remember when Wilma went by? Many people will evacuate which means its possible many businesses will be closed.

However, if you still want to come, you can surely bet there will be lots of excitement in the air!
Posted By: elbert

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 04:30 PM

You got to appreciates this, I was in town yesterday and already there is a bustle of buying candles, battery's and such.
At the Grocery was an old lady of about 60 years+ with 5 bottles of Dark Carribean on the check out counter. She was counting them mumbling to herself as she pointed her finger at each bottle one at at time saying, "Saturday,Sunday,Monday,Tuesday...I wonder if they will be open by Wednesday?".
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 04:34 PM

LMAO! elbert, that is FUNNY!!!

We in Houston are worried about it too... hope it just dies down!
Posted By: ScubaLdy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 04:48 PM

ELBERT! YES, I AM SHOUTING AT YOU. YOU THINK 60 IS OLD? No more Manelly's for you.
Posted By: elbert

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 05:35 PM

60 is old on some people Harriet
Are you saying something about your age? you sure don't look it.
Posted By: buzzbean

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 06:25 PM

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/CaribbeanSatellite.aspx?animate=true
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 06:39 PM

This model shows it hitting CAT5 170mph just before landfall near Cancun.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200704_v5d.html?extraprod=v5d#a_topad

The 5 day has it hitting Texas as a CAT3
Posted By: Sir Isaac Newton

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 07:14 PM

Dean, please go to Crawford TEXAS!
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 07:32 PM

SIN, what have you got against Crawford anyhow?
Posted By: Grace

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 07:55 PM

I was the last gringo off the island for Mitch...so ya'll be prepared...my prayers are with everyone.
Posted By: xmost

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 11:41 PM

I'm scheduled to leave arrive Saturday for a week at the Hamanasi Resot in the Stann Creek district (Hopkins Village). I'm hoping to do some scuba diving and other adventure stuff. What do you guys think? Hamanasi is quite a bit further south than Ambergris Caye, so I would think it would fare better. Is scuba diving out of the question for the next week?

thanks!
Posted By: elbert

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/17/07 11:52 PM

Better check directly with Hamanasi.
I just got cancellations from divers who where going to stay at Captain Morgans ,due to arrive tomorrow(Saturday), that said Captain Morgans wasn't accepting arrivals.
Your decision may be made for you.
Posted By: ScubaLdy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 12:08 AM

My first trip to Belize was October 1998 - yep- fifth day here we were evacuated for hurricane Mitch. What shocked me most were the people on the plane out of BZE to Miami that the US government brought in who actually arrived the day before and knew nothing about the hurricane. They said the airlines never mentioned it!
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 02:00 AM

Hurricane Dean strengthens to Category 4 Storm

Fri Aug 17, 2007 8:09PM EDT

MIAMI (Reuters) - Hurricane Dean strengthened into an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane on Friday as it crossed the Caribbean Sea toward Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and the Gulf of Mexico beyond it, U.S. forecasters said.

In an advisory at 8 p.m. EDT, the Miami-based National Hurricane Center said Dean's top sustained winds had surpassed 130 miles per hour (215 kph) on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity.

Reuters
Posted By: tacogirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 03:32 AM

I saved this from an old post from last year and thought it is worth reposting now. I think it was Diane C who wrote it but not 100% sure IO just knew it was worth saving

Hurricane Plan

Part A – insuring personal safety –
1. Stay away during the height of storm season
2. If you are here – be prepared to take care of yourself (leave the kids at home) If you cannot take care of yourself, activate item #1 above.
3. Do not attempt to weather a storm in a boat.

Part B – taking care of yourself – evacuation?
1. Get out early if you plan to get out. Know where you are going, how you will get here and how you will pay for it. Government will not help you. US Embassy will not help you. Lines at airline counters will be long, and seats will be limited. International flight reservations will be honoured in order received. You do not want to ride out a storm at the International Airport.
2. Have cash-money available. Credit cards may not work.
3. Have ID (passports) on your person.
4. Have a cellular phone and numbers of airlines, water taxis etc with you.

Part C – Be prepared to be stuck in a hurricane.
1. Water – have at least two clean 35-gallon plastic garbage containers (with lids) on hand – if a storm threatens, put one in kitchen and one in a bathroom, fill with water.
2. Food - have an “action-packer” type container filled with food sufficient for (at least) a week for all occupants. High-energy foods like chocolate milk, energy bars, etc. are a must. Remember that you may not have a source of cooking-fuel for a while, so uncooked pasta and rice are not particularly useful during the initial phases of such an emergency. Consider a bar-b-q and some dry (?!) coco husks or a camping stove as a back-up for food prep.
3. Medical - have (at least) two weeks supply of necessary meds on hand – heart, insulin, etc.
4. Seeing - have spare glasses and contact lenses.
5. Emergency tools & equipment – hammer, hack-saw, crowbar, ax, hose, 200 feet of rope, life jackets, goggles.
6. Feet – thick soled, closed toe shoes for each occupant.
7. Hands – work gloves for after the storm, rubber gloves if you are called on to render medical assistance.
8. First Aid – fully stocked first aid kit.
9. Plastic bags - all sizes zip lock, many large garbage bags – to protect your stuff.
10. Duct Tape – taping windows, securing plastic bags, emergency repairs.
11. Communications – battery operated radio / well-charged cellular phone / walkie-talkies for use within the neighbourhood.
12. Flashlights – water-proof, have several on hand with plenty of spare batteries. Keep batteries in refrigerator for longer life.
13. Raincoats – one for each person

Insurance - keep policy in a location away from area that could be affected by storm
Document contents of our home – you will not be able to make a claim for contents damage if you have not done this in advance. Digital photos are very helpful.

Securing Property -
Cover glass windows and doors (outside) with plywood.
Put away lawn furniture and any other objects that could blow around.
Pull boats out of water - put on high land and tie with ropes to something that will hold them fast in a surge.
Turn off your electric breakers - town board will turn off power if a storm approaches, but do it on your own place too - this will help you avoid surges and dangerous downed live wires after the storm.
Knock down coconuts from trees - they are cannonballs in a wind.
Check your roof material now to see if it is securely fastened - flying roof tiles and/or flying zinc are deadly. A few extra nails now will also keep your house dry in a storm.
Assemble rags & long bits of foam to place at the bottom of doors - water will blow in below them regardless of the method of installation, so have something there to absorb it.


Who is in Charge during a Force Majeur?
National Emergency Management Organization = NEMO.
NEMO’s word will be law – NEMO can commandeer your home, boat or vehicle for emergency service. They can arrest and detain. Local radio stations will turn into emergency communications networks. During Keith, LOVE FM broadcast 24-7.
You can access LOVE FM on your computer. Reef Radio is our local island station, and local NEMO Broadcasts will be made there. Broadcasts depend on people being available, power being available, broadcast towers standing tall and equipment remaining in place.


Keys - make sure you have a spare set of keys to your home placed somewhere that family members can locate.

Kids - make sure they have ID and family contact information on their person. Small laminated information cards are an excellent idea.

Phone Tree - have somebody you know who lives Outside the area be your point of communication. Tell all your family and friends that this is who they call for information about you after a storm. When the storm is over the phone lines will be very congested. If you can call one person in the US or Mexico or wherever, give them an update, they can call out to your family and can receive calls for you. Organize this now. If you have such a phone-tree, inform your neighbours of who is your initial contact person.


Food shopping - storm prep made easy ..
Each time you go shopping for food tell yourself that you are coming home with one or two complete hurricane dinner-style meals for yourself and family. In a short while you will have all you need and it won't have ruined your budget.
If you just go out willy-nilly buying canned goods you will end up with 10 cans of sauce and nothing to put it over, or a lot of tuna and no mayo - ick. You can do some amazing things (good ones) with smoked spam lite. Lots of lime and pineapple squash are good for a taste treat and to boost your energy. I also find that a couple dozen packets of Lasko food drink powder are invaluable - solid nutrition, no cooking, easy and the chocolate one is a feel-good food too.
DO buy a stock of liquid bleach - you may need it for your water supply.

OK - enough about storms. Prepare, stay informed and then relax.

A plastic tarp can be very useful, particularly if part of your roof is gone. Water from a swimming pool can be used to flush toilets. Get to know your neighbours, who needs help, who can give help, who belongs and who doesn't. Candles can be very dangerous, be careful.

Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 10:21 AM

My friends told me that many of their belongings were lost during (and after Keith). They would kind of put their heads to the side, almost wink and say "the hurricane took it". I took this to mean, that they hadn't gotten back to their homes to salvage their own things as fast as someone else may have done.
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 02:03 PM

We can only add our own update as we get information and from what we are observing living further south on the island. Many families have left the island, particularly those living in low lying areas or in vulnerable homes. The cats from SAGA are now being cared for safely in a concrete building. Boats have been pulled out of the water and many condos and houses are now boarded up. We all feel pretty confident right now that we will just get tropical storm force winds and high water, but that could change in an instant so we are preparing for the worst. Our lovely friend is in Dominican Republic right now visiting friends. We send out big love to her right now. We are also thinking about Jamaica and sending good vibes their way. This is unlikely to be the only storm we'll experience this year, so even if we don't get whacked hard, it is a great dress rehearsal for those of us who haven't lived on AC long enough to have survived a hurricane here.
Posted By: elbert

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 03:00 PM

Taco Girl thats great info.
I've been here for quite a few of these events and have a couple of things to add.
The Banks have a different evacuation policy than everyone else and bail early. Belize Bank closed up one year earlier than most people could get some cash out. When customers tried to get money out in other parts of the country from the Belize Banks they where told they couldn't because records of there accounts could not be accessed due to the San Pedro branch closing.Moral of this is get cash out now.
The second thing is Big Rubber Boots, those Big black boots you see around are invaluable if walking through water and muck for days.Dry healthy feet are good to keep you from getting all kinds of health problems. wink
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 03:01 PM

Hello Ambergris Caye,

We were there on your lovely island Aug 4th - 5th. My thoughts and prays go out to all of you. I know many of you can prepare for this hurricane, but what happens to the ones who don't have the means.
While on the island we traveling on the North and South part of the island. We saw many people that would not have the means to evacuate. The island is so flat I could see the water surge going over the whole island if the conditions were right. I have seen this happen here in Florida many hurricanes.
It sounds like many of you are staying as I have been reading your messages.
When Ivan came through Florida years ago. My husband, the boy scout he is, prepared for 3 weeks of food and water -knowing we would be without power for a long time. We were the lucky ones. We were only without power for one week. Many others went without power for several weeks and into the months.

Keep us all posted on this site....as there are many readers on this board who care about all of you!

Take care,
All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 03:39 PM

Many of these people are already evacuating the island. Avoiding the rush is a very smart thing. When it is neccesary for people to evacuate, the water taxi does not charge a fee or charges very little. The airlines also cuts their rates by about 90% in the event the island needs to be evacuated. I remember for Wilma, there was a line up at tropic air all the way down to Monchos.
Thankfully, we are not at this stage yet and all the computer models now show it going north http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200704_model.html. but still too soon to let our guard down.
Posted By: XIIthMan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 03:45 PM

Y'all take care of yourselves down there, our prayers are with you.
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 03:46 PM

Many blessings going out to Tropic Air and Maya Island Air and Water Taxi's helping all.

Please keep all of us informed on weather conditions on the island.

All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: Diane Campbell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 03:50 PM

Elbert's comment is really useful - you do need cash, and small denominations are better than large.
Rubber boots and/or hard-soled shoes - a must.
Also recommend extra ropes, axe and crowbar.

Communications are another interesting aspect of an event like this ............ if your house is like our house, the phone rang a bunch last night right after CNN or TWC got excited about Dean. Soon the phone lines for Belize will be jammed up and that will freak out your family more than even a Fox News live-hystericast.
Suggest that you select one contact person who is out of country, and out of the path of energency. Have that one person be your one outside contact - in the event of a problem, you call them (not the other way round) and people can call this contact person instead of trying to get through to Belize. Once that contact tree is established, inform friends and family.

other things you may not have done yet ........... back up computers now - put important items on a couple of discs or sticks or whatever, put in ziplock bags and stash in safe (dry)places.

AC is not likely to get hit by Dean -- but there are inconveniences that can happen anyway --------- shipping can be disrupted and that can result in shortages of things you really need ......... in particular medications, contact lenses, gas and diesel. Put some extra away today.

We like to have fresh water easily available if power crashes, which it will do in a storm. Suggest two or three clean plastic trash cans --- one in kitchen, another in bathroom(s) --- take hose and fill them with freash water.

From what I can tell, NEMO has it's act together - and they say we're reasonably clear of danger - thanks Jim !
Posted By: elbert

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 04:02 PM

A phone trick
If you happen to run out of cell phone credit and stores are boarded up if the phones are still working start leaving messages/updates as a greeting for your voice mail . there is no charge and it keeps working even after the phone credit runs out.
Diane I'm staying Kate and I have a global phone as well that doesn't depend on anything local if you need something.
Posted By: Diane Campbell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 06:10 PM

Elbert we have to quit meeting like this.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 06:49 PM

yeah the path is sliding north again this am

[Linked Image]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc07/ATL/04L.DEAN/ssmi/gif/full/Latest.html

[Linked Image]

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_04.gif

James Janmohamed is NEMO commander for Cayes and he will issue evacuation
orders if necessary. I have not received a US alert. Caye Caulker has set
up a network with the hotels for evacuation of tourists. If an evacuation
is ordered, it is mandatory that ALL tourists must leave Cayes. Tourists
names and nationalities will be forwarded to their respective embassies
advising their movement from the cayes to the mainland.

Below is an interview with Mr. Jim:
San Pedro prepares for evacuation
When the Coast Guard boats arrive at San Pedro tomorrow they will be
visiting the community that is the most susceptible to hurricanes in all of
Belize. The reason? That same close-in reef and proximity to deep blue water
that make Ambergris Caye such a paradise for divers and fishermen also makes
it extremely vulnerable to waves and storm surge. Even a hurricane whose
winds never touch the island-like Mitch in 1998-can damage or destroy almost
every pier on the caye. This afternoon News Five's Stewart Krohn spoke to
the NEMO Coordinator for San Pedro and Caye Caulker, Jim Janmohamed.

James Janmohamed, NEMO Coordinator for San Pedro and Caye Caulker
"Stewart, you now realize that this is still not hit our preliminary
phase line, but however, with living on an island, because of the narrow
opportunity of evacuation, we have already started our meetings with both
islands with their emergency committees, San Pedro Emergency Committee and
Caye Caulker Emergency Committee. We have both been on radio to inform our,
both the island residents that the storm of course, is approaching, and to
start getting their plans in motion and getting out, and start revising them
and to see that what they're gonna do and how they gonna do it. The
decisions for evacuations will probably be made late Saturday. We are in
process, at the moment, of sending advisory to all the hotels, what to tell
their tourists. This morning, we realized that some of the tourists in St.
Lucia had been stranded because they made a decision to move themselves a
little too late, and they were no aircrafts flying in, so they got stranded.
And Jamaica has already started to empty it's tourists out, so I think by
tomorrow morning, or late tomorrow afternoon, we will decide to evacuate our
tourists first and maybe that might happen as early as tomorrow afternoon or
as late as Sunday morning."

Stewart Krohn
"In the town itself, are people starting to board up windows, and
otherwise prepare themselves?"


James Janmohamed
"Yea, as you drive through there're certain people are boarding up,
certain hotels have already taken it upon themselves to remove the tourists
and release their staff. However, we haven't given that notice of evacuation
to anybody at the moment. It would be rather too early."

Stewart Krohn
"Jim, when the time comes-if the time comes-where you have to do a
mass evacuation of the island, do you have the air capacity and boat
capacity to get everyone who want to go, off the island?"

James Janmohamed
"Yes, Stewart, once we tell them that they have to evacuate, we have
ample time for evacuation and the aircraft, and the boats will be able to
bring them out. However, the only problem we always face is with
procrastinators, once they decide to procrastinate and not come out on time,
then of course, we get into trouble. But if the people start to move when we
tell them to, I believe we have the capacity to move them out."

Stewart Krohn
"By the way, where do you move them to?"

James Janmohamed
"We've tried various evacuation points and the only one that seems to
work the best is Belize City, the reason being that lot of the people have
family and friends who pick them up and take them wherever they going. They
feel more comfortable to be in a city where there is a bus transportation to
various directions of the country. And lot of the people that evacuate from
San Pedro of course are not indigenous to San Pedro, but are from Cayo,
Corozal, Orange Walk, Punta Gorda and Dangriga. "

Those boats and planes, it must be remembered, must also find shelter
for themselves once they complete their critical evacuation work.
Posted By: Otteralum

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 07:50 PM

Long story short -- Jamaica is screwed. Thoughts and prayers with everyone, especially in the Kingston area likely to take the brunt head-on
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 09:45 PM

I guess most of the resorts closed...I can't image the airlines taking tourist in. On Grand Cayman's message board it said...only residents of Grand Cayman are allowed to enter now.
All the best to all of you.
I was at Costa Maya Reef the 1st week in August. They have staff which live on-site...I hope, Jose Meggs and his staff are OK. They are wonderful people. Elbert do you know if they are staying at the resort?...Surely they didn't have new guess arrive today(Saturday). Surely tourist are not showing up to the island as weather is unsure. If Dean does go North of Ambergris Caye, does that mean you will only have wind, rain, and of course water surge?

Take care,
All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: Sir Isaac Newton

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 10:12 PM

there have been no significant changes in the structure of Dean
during the past several hours. The last reconnaissance aircraft
into the eye measured 930 mb and the reported winds support an
initial intensity of 130 knots. However...the crew observed a
double eyewall and the presence of this feature will probably
result in short term fluctuations in intensity. The satellite
presentation is outstanding with a well defined eye...numerous
spiral bands and an expanding outflow. With an environment of low
shear and very high oceanic heat content between the Cayman Islands
and Yucatan...some additional intensification is possible. In
fact...Dean could become a potentially catastrophic category five
hurricane at any time before it reaches Yucatan.
The hurricane is heading on a steady west-northwestward track or 285
degrees at 16 knots. The strong high to the north of the hurricane
is expected to build westward as indicated by the latest global
model runs. This pattern calls for no significant change in track
or speed through 5 days...but perhaps with a slight turn more to the
west in a day or so. The GFDL continues to be on the northern side
of the guidance envelope and is the only model that brings the
hurricane over the southern Texas coast. The official forecast GOES
along with the consensus of the dynamical models and keeps Dean in
the Bay of Campeche or southern Gulf of Mexico by day four. There
could be very uncertain days ahead since the GFDL has had a very
reliable track record.
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 10:38 PM

One beautiful hell of a storm. Have a look at this

Hurricane Dean
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/18/07 10:43 PM

Portofino Restaurant and Resort is still open. We will decide Sunday at noon what to do - 36 hours before Dean even gets close and after the storm has passed Jamaica (unless NEMO makes a decision before that). We are prepared and we know from experience that we will be ready in 4 hours - including evacuation and relocation of our guests.

So when you don't know where to dine tonight, you are more than welcome at Portofino (6:30 Free pick up at Fido's dock).

Jan van Noord
Portofino Restaurant and Resort
Call 220 5096 for reservations
Posted By: islandferry

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 02:14 PM

Hello

Island Ferry will remain on regular schedule until 1700 today. After 1700 today (Aug 19)privates will be available on demand until conditions prevent safe navigation. Our office will remain open and we can be reached on vhf 11 and 226 3231.


Sterling
Posted By: shuffles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 03:50 PM

We had guests arrive both yesterday and Friday Just sent them off this morning...one to Placencia one to Cayo. We will wait til noon as well to decide what to do.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 04:01 PM

This doesn't look good....dropped south.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc07/ATL/04L.DEAN/ssmi/gif/full/Latest.html
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 04:15 PM

Just checked with Google Earth and that puts it within 125-135 miles of us. There's many people walking into town carrying their bags and hammers and saws are the sound of the day. Castillo's Hardware has even opened up for the day to take care of everyone's last minute needs.
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 05:17 PM

Here is what it looked like at Costa Maya Reef Resort the 1st of August.....Sunrise...not sure it looked like that this morning.
Take care all.

https://www.youtube.com/robpanama
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 05:24 PM

Results for Ambergris Caye (San Pedro), Belize (18.03N, 87.9W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 19.7N, 87.4W or about 119.8 miles (192.7 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 45.6 hours (Tuesday, August 21 at 8:36AM EDT).
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 05:44 PM

rad sunrise video Ruth

sunday morning track slid south a bit

[Linked Image]
Posted By: lakegirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 05:48 PM

We have been watching the weather channel this am and indeed the storm has slid south. We are hoping that changes but right now it doesn't look great.

You are all in our thoughts and prayers right now.

Be safe.........
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 06:17 PM

it is moving at about 285 degrees which is lifting a little above due west. The center is just about due east of Bze City right now.
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 07:30 PM

Just listened to the radio announcement of NEMO, and there is no evacuation order at this moment. The next radio announcement will be tomorrow (Monday) morning at 8am.
Posted By: SASSIK

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 07:31 PM

Awesome map. Thanks. What's the web address?
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 07:57 PM

Guess we'll have an other beautiful day in paradise here tomorrow; http://www.hydromet.gov.bz/ says: A few showers or isolated thunderstorms. According to Weather.com the Hurricane will only get close early Tuesday am; and so Yes, Portofino Restaurant will be open tonight (6:30 Free pick up at Fido's dock).

Jan van Noord
Portofino Restaurant and Resort
Call 220 5096 for reservations
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 09:11 PM

NEMO has announced a voluntary evacuation. Phase 1 will go into place at 6am tomorrow morning (if required.)
Posted By: Jason Campagna

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 09:33 PM

Well, this is no fun at all. We have a flight to Ambergris Caye scheduled on Wednesday.

Everyone stay safe!
Posted By: kris48

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 09:59 PM

Stay safe, everyone. You are in our thoughts and prayers.
Posted By: JeanH

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 10:07 PM

Every update seems to have the eye passing further and further south on the Yucatan peninsula. I feel so useless up here in Iowa, not that there would be a thing I could do if I was on Ambergris.

Please stay safe. My thoughts are with everyone. Jean
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 10:26 PM

If anyone wants to view images from today's storm preparations, we have updated our blog http://exploringbelizecontinues.blogspot.com
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 10:40 PM

Hey Collyk,
Thanks for the update and photo's -
I am sure everyone who has ever been to Ambergris Caye...
Wants up-dates on y'all.
Take care and Take cover.
All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/19/07 11:13 PM

I wish I could say that it is a pleasure, but it helps us to feel in touch. Meanwhile......."Extremely dangerous Dean scraping the southern coast of
Jamaica...
At 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...the government of Belize has issued a
tropical storm watch from dangriega northward to the border with
Mexico."
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 12:28 AM

OK, so this is where the discussion is at -- I was foolishly looking in the Weather Forum -- silly me! ;-)

'Lena
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 12:29 AM

Well, it is now 32 hours before the storm is expected and it doesn't look good:

"The initial motion is 280/17. There is no major change to the forecast thinking...although model guidance has been trending southward...with nearly all of the large-scale models building the subtropical ridge westward in tandem with Dean. The upper low in the Gulf of Mexico continues westward and is not expected to be a major player in the future track of the hurricane. The official forecast has been shifted a little to the south...but still lies to the north of all the major models except for the hwrf. Although I cannot explain why...the deterministic run of the GFS is along the southern end of the guidance envelope...while the GFS ensemble members are almost uniformly along the northern edge. Because most of the guidance models lie to the south of the official forecast...some additional southward adjustments to the track are possible."

Taken from this site:
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200704.disc.html#a_topad

We will close down tomorrow, and the last guests will have left Portofino by 8:00 am (18 hours before the storm).

Jan van Noord
Portofino Restaurant and Resort
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 12:43 AM

Listen to Reef Radio at //ambergriscaye.com/reefradio/ for regular reports. I'm told the 10 to 6 report will be very important tonight.
Posted By: 2MILESNORTHOFCUT

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:13 AM

Thanks for the info Simon, Very informative. Be safe Bro.
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:26 AM

So y'all let us know what they said on the radio....So we all know what is going on with you guys...

Take care, Be safe
All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:32 AM

To me, this is all quite reminiscent of Iris in 2001, which had (at that time and thus far) the same track and forecast trend as Dean today. I have starting an article on my blog at http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com which I'll update in real time.
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:44 AM

NEMO BULLETIN #3-HURRICANE DEAN
//ambergriscaye.com/forum/ubbthreads.php?ubb=showflat&Number=245472#Post245472
Posted By: KC Jayhawk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:55 AM

In spite of all, be thankful that predictions and advance warnings have come such a long way . .we were caught in Playa del Carmen in 1988 when Gilbert came ashore. We had no notice from anyone until we were told we couldn't return to Cozumel because the ferries had been shut down. We rode it out inland in Vallodolid. Looking back, one of the the most intense experiences of my life . .at the time, I feared for my life. We were so saddened by the suffering that occurs when man is pitted against forces far out of his meager control. God protect you all . . this too shall pass, and we will be down in November, no matter what.
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:15 AM

Just found an excellent site with detailed info:
http://crownweather.com/tropical.html

[Linked Image]
Posted By: DitchDocDiver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:21 AM

I made the trip to Cozumel shortly after. The damage was crazy, crazy. The top of the reef looked like someone went through with a chainsaw and cut it off 10-20 feet below the surface, and left the debris all over littering the ocean.

After living through a few tornadoes, and seeing the damage that they do, I see simular types of scenes.

Bottom line, Nothing is bigger than the weather!

Stay Safe!
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:45 AM

Wendy,

I am afraid NEMO is taking these steps because on mood on Ambergris is panicky. Journey's End and Captain Morgan's had already evacuated on Friday, yesterday I saw several businesses pulling the boards from their docks (way premature), and the Ferry has discontinued scheduled transportation to the North of the Island as of 3 pm today.

Not having had any warnings last year may be contributing to the mood, but I am afraid that some individuals in town are scaring newcomers with made up stories. Stay with the facts and keep your head cool, because panic can be far more dangerous and costly than the storm itself!!

Jan van Noord
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:13 AM

FROM NEMO 3pm Sun

NEMO had a meeting this morning in Belmopan and subsequent to that the San Pedro Emergency Committee and Caye Caulker Emergency Committee were also meeting and continuing to monitor the activity of Hurricane Dean. We do not foresee going into Preliminary Phase before 6am Tomorrow morning.

The metrology department is putting the forecast track hitting land at just north of Majahual which puts Tropical storm force conditions as far south as Caye Caulker by Monday Midnight. At 11am this morning We put an advisory to the residents of both islands: If your home can not withstand tropical force winds of up to 60 MPH and you are living in very low lying area please evacuate to the Main land. To hoteliers please if your hotel cannot withstand tropical force winds of up to 60 MPH and if you cannot guarantee the safety of your guests please advise them to evacuate.

However the residents and tourists have been leaving the Islands steadily. We will have some numbers of the amounts of Evacuees after our meeting at 6pm this evening.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:15 AM

AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM DANGIGA NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/MEXICO
BORDER...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY
SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:23 AM

Wendy, remember Keith ?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:31 AM

hey miss lena, nice to hear from you. love your blog. we need to have lunch again, this time in Belize!!!!! Maybe in November when i am down next? was in dangriga briefly recently, came up from the south. bet we were really close. i was with katie valk and her delightful doggies
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:36 AM

Ernie,

Keith was a late (Sept - Oct) tropical storm that originated off the coast of Honduras, and became a hurricane at the last minute. Dean on the other hand is an early hurricane that originated off the coast of West Africa. There is a big difference between the two.

Jan


[Linked Image]
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:39 AM

Hi Immissing:

I do remember Keith. It was an October storm, not an August storm. Major difference.

If you will do a quick check you will find that not a single hurricane (save for one tropical storm named Chantal) has ever hit Belize in the month of August as long as hurricane records have been kept.

Big difference between August storms and October storms. But I can possibly understand the panic situation after the experience of Keith.

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:42 AM

update on reef radio in 15 minutes, 9pm
http://cobra.mediacast1.com/djmauricio
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:49 AM

Im afraid Jon and WEndy misunderstood my comment. Dont take things to lightly as we did during Keith. It doesnt matter what month it happened, it can happen at anytime. Just MHO.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:50 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:54 AM

Thanks for posting that, Marty, but I think the current position of the storm makes this pic a little old. The storm has already passed underneath Jamaica and is heading towards the Caymans.

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:55 AM

that was 6pm eastern time. posted it for the track. here is current position

[Linked Image]
Posted By: spsun

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:57 AM

000
WTNT24 KNHC 200244
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
0300 UTC MON AUG 20 2007

AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY
NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE
BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:57 AM

moving this thread to the Hurricane Forum
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:09 AM

Thanks for posting that, Marty. SWEEEEEEET to hear Eiden live via the internet.

According to Eiden, the coordinates are 78.8 and 17.9. Caye Caulker is at 17 and 88. Pretty much, the eye is already north of us.

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:10 AM

Jim is now on the radio, storm flags are up, cool it on the booze, assist the police force doing their jobs. tomorrow morning people who's homes will not stand hurricane force winds should evacuate early. may not have all day tomorrow to evacuate. waves may get bad, wind too. get to dock early and get to the mainland if your home cannot stand those winds.

hurricane watch now a warning. but officially still in red one. not in red two til midnite tonite or 0600 tomorrow probably.

yeah sweet to hear eiden...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:12 AM

thanks Wendy, good to hear those coordinates JJJ doing evac tomorrow but not sure what time they start. thunderbolt did two runs today, probably two tomorrow
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:15 AM

[Linked Image]
latest navy track, just out. still slipping south
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:17 AM

Marty, just to clarify, Eiden asked the questions about the flags and Mr. Janmohammed responded that the National Hurricane Center (in the U.S.) has it wrong, Belize is under a hurricane WARNING, not a hurricane WATCH. A hurricane watch according to Belize's system of measurement is a Phase 2 and we are still in Phase 1. They will evaluate the Phase 2 situation at 6:00 a.m. tomorrow.

The second thing I heard clearly, it is still a voluntary evacuation scheduled for tomorrow, not a mandatory one.

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:18 AM

often storms are forced to go west by the topography of Jamaica. sometimes once they round the NW corner of Jamaica they turn a lil more north again... that generally has happened this time, the track was more northerly a couple days ago and was expected to go thru the middle of jamaica. but it went around to the south of jamaica, as it amazingly often does, and the track has wested a bit. hopefully once it clears jamaica it will go north a bit more
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:22 AM

5529 people moved from san pedro so far. 975 from Caye Caulker
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:22 AM

not including those who left on friday
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:30 AM

or independently of public transportation.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:30 AM

its expected to arrive within 36 hours, thats the 'warning' definition
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:33 AM

MODELS
[Linked Image]

HISTORICAL
[Linked Image]
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:34 AM

No booze will be sold tomorrow so get your booze today ;-) That's what I heard (well, at least the first part).

Cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:35 AM

17.6N latitude currently. same as Belize City, says Reef Radio. more talk about westing, less talk about northing

on reef radio, they say they strongly suggest at first light tomorrow folks start moving. san pedro emergency center at the town council, open 24-7 til we go GREEN again, phone is 226 3695

reef radio off at midnite tonite and on at 5am tomorrow
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:35 AM

Whatever. We're gonna get whacked.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:40 AM

no decision has been taken on a curfew. the emergency committee is trying to clarify that soon. 20 hours til the beginning of the effects of the storm. hard rain, clouds, waves. thats late afternoon on Monday
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:40 AM

Adrenalin pumping, indeed. Its the next most exciting thing to the national past time which is chismiar (gossiping) :-)

Cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:41 AM

always good info from the wunderground.com site:

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 19, 2007
the eye of Dean has been passing just south of Jamaica since about
1900 UTC and has just crossed the longitude of negril on the
western end of the island. The center came within about 20 N mi of
Portland Point on the south-central coast...close enough to bring
hurricane-force winds to Kingston. While passing by Jamaica...
satellite imagery suggested the eye diameter was gradually
shrinking. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft arrived in the
eye of Dean at 0130 UTC and revealed that the pressure had fallen
to near 925 mb...and that Dean now has a single eyewall at a
diameter of about 15 N mi. Maximum surface winds from the SFMR
have been 121 kt...and flight-level winds have been as high as 143
kt...both of which support maintaining the advisory intensity at
125 kt.
Dean is heading toward 280 degrees at about 17 kt with steering
provided by a strengthening mid-level ridge over the southeastern
United States. The models all agree that the ridge will get even
stronger and move a little westward with Dean...meaning that Dean
will probably move in a rather straight line until final landfall
in Mexico. Overall the models have again edged a little
southward...and so has the official forecast. The NOAA
Gulfstream-IV jet conducted a synoptic surveillance mission this
evening to provide data for the 0000 UTC model cycle. The jet will
continue to fly missions every 12 hours to collect data through the
12z model cycle Tuesday morning.
All of the objective guidance calls for strengthening in the
northwestern Caribbean where the shear will remain weak and the
ocean heat content very high. The official forecast follows suit
and indicates that Dean could reach category five status during the
next day or so. The hurricane will weaken while over Yucatan in
proportion to just how long it spends over land. The opportunity
for restrengthening over the southwestern Gulf likewise depends on
the exact track...and that window has been shortening with the
southward shifts in track. Although not explicitly indicated in
the new official forecast...it is still possible that Dean could
restrengthen and again reach major hurricane status prior to final
landfall along the coast of Mainland Mexico.

Forecast positions and Max winds
initial 20/0300z 17.6n 78.8w 125 kt
12hr VT 20/1200z 18.0n 81.4w 130 kt
24hr VT 21/0000z 18.5n 84.9w 140 kt
36hr VT 21/1200z 19.2n 88.4w 105 kt...inland
48hr VT 22/0000z 19.8n 91.9w 80 kt
72hr VT 23/0000z 21.0n 99.0w 55 kt...inland
96hr VT 24/0000z...dissipated
$$
forecaster Knabb
Posted By: DitchDocDiver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:41 AM

Originally Posted by collyk
Whatever. We're gonna get whacked.


I agree!

Bottom line. Period. End of story.

We care, and we all wish we could do more.

if you are waiting for "someone" to help you, (govt) or bail you out... shame on you!

You have been warned!
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:44 AM

17.6 is the latitude of Caye Caulker, not Belize City. Caye Caulker is 21 miles north of Belize City (mas o menos).

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:44 AM

can't believe everything i hear on the radio i guess! didn't check my charts...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:45 AM

8am meeting of the emergency committee tomorrow, 9am reef radio update will cover the meeting
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:46 AM

Locations Latitude Longitude
Ambergris Cay 18.00N 88.00W
Belize City 17.25N 88.00E
Belmopan 17.18N 88.30W
Benque Viejo 17.05N 89.08W
Caye Caulker 17.45N 88.30W
Corozal 18.23N 88.23W
Dangriga 16.96N 88.21W
Hondo 18.25N 88.21W
Maya Mts 16.30N 89.00W
Midlesex 17.02N 88.31W
Monkey River 16.22N 88.29W
Orange Walk 18.06N 88.33W
Punta Gorda 16.10N 88.45W
San Antonio 16.15N 89.2W
Turneffe Is. 17.20N 87.50W
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:53 AM

police going on 12 hours shifts instead of 8...
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:57 AM

for calculating the forcast coordinates into N. Miles, this is handy:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gccalc.shtml
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:57 AM

Poor guys. They take the lik so we don't have to everytime. Nuff respect to all my brothers n sisters in the BZPD during these stressful times.

Cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: UCLA987

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:11 AM

NHS' Helpful RSS feed for everyone to subscribe in TRACKING Dean is:

(Notification occurs as soon as the site has been changed.)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_at4.xml

Other Feeds are:

Basin-wide feeds
Atlantic (English): http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index-at.xml
Atlantic (Spanish): http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index-at-sp.xml
Eastern Pacific (English): http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index-ep.xml
Per-storm feeds
Atlantic Wallet 1: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_at1.xml
Atlantic Wallet 2: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_at2.xml
Atlantic Wallet 3: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_at3.xml
Atlantic Wallet 4: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_at4.xml
Atlantic Wallet 5: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_at5.xml
Eastern Pacific Wallet 1: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_ep1.xml
Eastern Pacific Wallet 2: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_ep2.xml
Eastern Pacific Wallet 3: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_ep3.xml
Eastern Pacific Wallet 4: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_ep4.xml
Eastern Pacific Wallet 5: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhc_ep5.xml
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:12 AM

Hey Marty, sorry it took a hurricane to bring me back in contact. Are you on the island or on the continent?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:43 AM

got back on the continent a couple weeks ago
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:46 AM

here's the links page i work from. not pretty. its a working page that i just put up to share

//ambergriscaye.com/hurricane/links.html
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:12 AM

I am keeping my blog updated with the most current info I have.
http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com

Marty, you drove right past...
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:19 AM

Things will get dicey, yes... but hurricane force winds do NOT extend 300 miles in either direction... And less Dean take a dramatic dive to the south, winds (on Ambergris for example) will be coming from the west, so it's doubtful any place in Belize will experience a 20 foot surge. It's gonna be a big mess to clean up, but again, unless Dean starts heading south, Belize could have it much worse. We're boarded up/hunkered down (5 1/2 miles north of San Pedro.)
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:23 AM

I will stop next time Lena!!!!! wasn't sure where you were exactly
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:25 AM

PLEASE do not give predictions and interpretations unless you are a weather man, and then do it on your own web site. When you quote news from the internet, please also leave the link to the article or animation, so it can be verified - no movie clips.

We do not want to spread false information that can lead to panic at this point. STAY WITH THE FACTS.

Jan van Noord
PS: Jeff, I am not talking about your post but the post you are responding to - and that has been deleted - you are 100% right.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:42 AM

nice Jan. thanks
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:58 AM

...'figured that Jan, thanks. We're down the beach if you need anything. Have Sat. phone here too if BTL goes out.

-J
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:03 AM

HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
200 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM BELIZE CITY
NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE
BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF DEAN WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY
FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. DEAN COULD
REACH CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES
...335 KM.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 926 MB...27.34 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREAS
IN JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES
IN JAMAICA SHOULD SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 9 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE DEAN MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
JAMAICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
INCHES.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...17.7 N...79.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...926 MB.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:10 AM

track of hurricane iris, October 2001

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:19 AM

google earth image

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:07 AM

google earth overlay for storms
download this file and then run it

http://bbs.keyhole.com/ubb/download.php?Number=110283
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:21 AM

WTNT34 KNHC 200838
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
500 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DEAN MOVING SOUTH OF THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...HEADED FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM BELIZE CITY
NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN COASTS
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF
GUANTANAMO.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE
BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES
OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA... CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS... CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE SOUTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...
185 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 495 MILES...795
KM...EAST OF BELIZE CITY.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE
APPROACHING THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DEAN IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REACH CATEGORY
FIVE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 926 MB...27.34 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES IN
JAMAICA ARE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9
TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE DEAN MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
JAMAICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
INCHES. AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...17.7 N...80.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...926 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN
Posted By: Otteralum

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:12 PM

I hate what I'm seeing in the forecasts. It may be some consolation to be on the south side of this thing, but very little when you're talking a CAT 5. To all my friends -- I love you and you remain in my prayers. God bless and please make your personal safety your first consideration.
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:13 PM

Most recent from NEMO here:

To All:

The Government of Belize has put the country on Red 2 as of this morning and the San Pedro Emergency Committee and the Caye Caulker Emergency Committee are advising as follows:
AIRCRAFT AND SATELLITE FIXES OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS OR SO GIVE ESSENTIALLY A DUE WESTWARD
MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED...270/18.
DEEP-LAYER HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTH-EASTERN U.S. WILL BE THE DOMINANT STEERING MECHANISM FOR DEAN. THEREFORE...A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTH-WESTWARD MOTION .. ALSO THE CONSENSUS OF MOST OF THE FORECAST MODELS … IS LIKELY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

LANDFALL FOR THE CENTRE OF VERY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DEAN IS NOW FORECAST TO BE NEAR 21/0600Z 18.8N 87.0W WITH SUSTAINED MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 140 KT. NEAR 30 to 50 Miles north of Chetumal

THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS THEREFORE RECOMMENDED IMMEDIATE VOLUNTARY EVACUATION OF LOW LYING AREAS AND THE OUTER ISLANDS AND CAYES TO BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

NEMO IS URGING ALL RESIDENTS OF AMBERGRIS CAYE, SAN PEDRO AND CAYE CAULKER TO COMPLETE THEIR EVACUATION PLANS NOW.
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:28 PM

I am humbled by the path this storm has taken. Never in my wildest dreams would I have thought yesterday at this same time that Belize would be facing this today. All the tracks had it heading North and Belize has never been hit by a hurricane during the month of August before.

My thoughts and prayers are with everyone. Be safe and stay safe, please.

diver22, so glad your nephew and his new bride made it home safe in time.
Posted By: Seachange

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:30 PM

Sending prayers and love to all involved. May everyone stay safe and protected.
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:32 PM

SFJeff made a very good point that people who decide to stay on the island should remember. Because we will be south of the eye, the wind will be coming from the lagoon, not the front of the island.
Posted By: Anonymous

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 01:40 PM

A key reason for staying for many of the people still here is fear of looting. During the Wilma scare when many people left the island quite a few businesses and private homes were broken into. Some people were reportedly arrested on AC yesterday "tooled up" and ready to break into places.

In Jamaica two suspected looters were shot yesterday. Perhaps they have the right idea.
Posted By: carnes

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:07 PM

what time is the weather going to start going down
Posted By: lakegirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:16 PM

Please everyone stay safe! We are thinking of all of you and are hoping and praying that it's not going to be as bad as it seems right now.
Posted By: Julian Foster

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:21 PM

Please take all precautions you can... sounds like you are in for a rough but not overwhelming weather. The surge is usually much less on the southern side of the eye and, as has been said, will come from the land side with the winds.

I would think the main problems will be power out and water gone for a good while.

Good luck to all of you and can't wait to hear that you all came through just fine!! cool We're praying for you in SC!!

Julian
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:23 PM

Pedro, no amount of posessions is worth your life. E V A C U A T E!!!!!
Posted By: Julian Foster

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:31 PM

Question for Marty:

Is the server for this bulletin board website physically on the island or somewhere in the way of the storm?

Julian
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:38 PM

No, the server is located in the US
Posted By: Julian Foster

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 02:39 PM

Great... Thanks Jesse

grin
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:10 PM

If any of the brave souls that will be roughing it out on the island could take pics and email them it would be lovely. I would be especially interested in CC pics for the Chronicles. We are a poor community paper, however, and can ill afford to pay for snaps.

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:11 PM

Sorry about that... the email is [email protected]

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: buzzbean

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:16 PM

Pictures of the approachings storm would be great, just so long as safety is the first rule.

Everyone staying for the duration, take care! Keep us informed as long as it is safe and you're not busy doing other preparations.

It looks like we'll have one major subject to talk about in November.
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 03:34 PM

From Dr. Jeff Masters:
Hurricane Dean is headed west towards the Yucatan, still packing Category 4 winds, with the potential to add even more punch. Dean is over waters with some of the highest heat content anywhere in the Atlantic, and could well take advantage of this energy source and become a Category 5 hurricane today. Landfall will occur late tonight or early Tuesday morning over the Yucatan Peninsula. Landfall should occur over 100 miles south of Cozumel, so the Mexican Riviera areas of Cancun and Cozumel will only experience tropical storm force winds. The region where Dean is expected to hit, just north of the border with Belize, has one large city, Chetumal. Chetumal is well inland, and the expected storm surge of up to 11 feet will mostly flood very sparsely populated areas. Damage from Dean in Mexico may be considerably higher for the storm's second landfall, if it hits the major city of Tampico in the western Gulf of Mexico.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:29 PM

winds will come from the lagoon only if the storm stays to the north. if it drops below the island winds will come from the east. the path continues to drop south

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Nadine

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:37 PM

Hi Guys! All my thoughts are with you. In the UK just now and 7 months pregnant but my husband is still there (hopefully leaving CC right now) and so many friends as well as our home. I met loads of you AC folks doing the Rough Guide research too. In fact can't get through to him just now, so just wondering if any banks/ATMs are still open in BC or elsewhere? Are buses still running out of BC? Really hope no one is going to try and cash in from this, and that everyone can afford to get out safely. I've even caught myself praying for you all (and that's not me!)Thanks to all of you with the updates, but please put your personal safety first. Property can be replaced in time. Lives can't! Keep safe!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:37 PM

late afternoon we should start feeling the effects, tho there is already some activity beyond the reef. waves are picking up as is the wind

Hurricane Dean close-up taken from the Space Shuttle Endeavour, Saturday
August 18, 2007 at 1pm EDT.


[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:47 PM

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...17.9 N...82.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB.
Posted By: Nadine

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:52 PM

Anyone know if BTL is turned off already? It rings but doesn't go through to answer phones, just wondering...desperately!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:53 PM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 04:54 PM

btl is running, i am listening to reef radio

The closest National Data Buoy to San Pedro (Station 42056 - Yucatan Basin -

19.87 N 85.06 W (19°52'27" N 85°03' 33" W))- http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056

[Linked Image]

42057 is out, has been for awhile
The data bouy has started to show increasing wind & wave action
Posted By: Nadine

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:06 PM

Thanks Marty. Still just rings and rings, landlines and Digicell, no answer phones at all. Tried Tropic too, but that was the same and thought they were staying till noon?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:09 PM

just swamped i bet. lots of "all circuits are busy" when i call, but i do get thru sometimes

in Belize City, a couple of the big department/grocery stores are
announcing closure at mid-day. The preparations are well
under way. Treasury Dept announcing closure. All schools,
esp the private ones closed. Batten down the hatches.
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:21 PM

the hope of getting bypassed is almost gone unless this mega storm makes a Mitch turn South right now...or a Keith turn North, right now

Posted By: Penn State Diver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:36 PM

Good Luck and God Bless and keep you all safe!! Our thoughts and prayers are with you
Posted By: Algae

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:41 PM

For those inquirying about BTL....I just finished calling successfully to San Pedro and Belize City. The phones currently seem to be working
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:53 PM

Belize Electricity Limited has said that it has enough generating
capacity to power the entire country.

It says that even if its feed from Comision Federal de Electricidad
goes down, the Chalillo and other dams along with the gas turbine have
enough juice.
Posted By: wonderwoman

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 05:59 PM

Getting weirder around here...no boats, no people on beach up north here. Very quiet!!! Sure looks like it's coming straight for us!!! Just pray all the roofs stay on and not much flooding!
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:05 PM

starting to thunder out here... water is wierd... every once in a while you hear a looong "slosh" from a wave coming in...
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:06 PM

Hang tight Jeff !
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:12 PM

3pm last flight out for Maya Island
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:13 PM

lost the reef radio connection...mmmmmmmm
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:14 PM

is Tropic still running?
Posted By: Scuba do

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:14 PM

Hang in there Linda
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:19 PM

tropic is running. internet reef radio still up for me...
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:22 PM

Thanx, I lost the radio signal
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:25 PM

KHMH, other hospitals closing at 2, evacuating patients There will be no emergency services for Belize City tonight.
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:25 PM

Just spent the last 30 minutes trying to catch/bring inside our parrot and two parakeets... Funny. All in now, 6 dogs, 5 cats, 3 birds and 1 fish.

Starting to rain... small waves starting to roll in

Will keep ya posted until our sat connection goes down or our dish blows away...

-J
Posted By: ohiolazo

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:25 PM

Anyone have info on flights to U.S.? Daughter and new son-in-law (on honeymoon) made it from S.P. to the airport, but Delta just posted that they cancelled their flight out! Thanks.
Posted By: snorkelgirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:26 PM

Marty,

What's the URL for reef radio internet?


A/C folks,
Stay safe, we are praying for y'all. There's no pleasure in Louisiana dodging a storm when it means y'all will get it : (

Thanks, tacogirl for the blog.
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:28 PM

Why the hell would they canx an out bound flight ? They sure dont want that eqpt sitting on the ramp at the airport!
Posted By: belizegial

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:30 PM

Just heard on Love FM that accident & emergency at KHMH will be kept open as long as they possibly can.
Posted By: ohiolazo

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:35 PM

I'm guessing it was really cancelled inbound and they posted it late to their website. We haven't heard from them and I'm hoping they are making the rounds of other carriers to see who is flying North. I suggested they go South to Honduras for a couple of days. That option was probably the right one but they didn't take it.
Posted By: captjeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:36 PM

Ernie think they never sent the plane down??? only a idiot would send a plane down then not let it fly out of harms way !! unless plane had mechanial problems..??? hope all works out...
Posted By: buzzbean

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:38 PM

I heard on Reef Radio that Maya Air's last flight out of San Pedro is at 3:00pm today.
Posted By: Islenutt

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:39 PM

The Delta website is showing the 12:35 flight BZE to ATL as cancelled.
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:41 PM

Makes no sense. Unless they canx the inbound flight also.
Posted By: carnes

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:45 PM

The Delta flight never left Atlanta....cancelled on that end first
Posted By: buzzbean

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:47 PM

You'd think they'd just up the schedule of all of their outbound flights and pack everyone on they can fit that want to go. Save people and equipment at the same time. Well, I suppose Belize City won't be getting hit as hard as SP and areas north. I can only guess at their logic.
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:51 PM

They're moving people as fast as they can..with every available plane. A great job!!!
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:54 PM

Probably. Tropic Air will have the last flight at 1 pm, and they are already full.
Jan
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 06:58 PM

Hello Jan -
Are you staying...I was wondering if you know if Costa Maya Reef is staying too. I spoke to Jose Meggs a couple of days ago...Y'all all take care of each other...
I was listening to the Reef Radio...lost my connection...maybe they closed down the station...

Please keep all of us informed how you are doing...
You are in our thoughts and prayers.

All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:06 PM

over 9000 evacuated. last of the boats have left

tanisha tours says three boats will be leaving at 1 at tanisha dock going to corozal
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:06 PM

curfew will be 8pm til 9am tomorrow morning
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:07 PM

they have reached the figure they normally evacuate, actually exceeded it by a little bit/ getting calls from people worried about nonsecure construction debris

Posted By: Lisa D

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:08 PM

My parents, RB and Judy have left San Pedro and we believe that they were headed to the Cayo district somewhere with friends. Any info. on how that area might fare?

Thanks,
Lisa
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:08 PM

one or two hours more of evac then everyone left cannot leave. so secure all yards of anything that can blow, anything for the boats do it now. time to get ready to expect the storm
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:09 PM

caye caulker very well set, evac winding down. getting ready to hunker down and await the storm. there is a bdf section to help there too
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:10 PM

thats all from Jim. Winston says its going not exactly west, a lil north of west. its coming nearer than we would have liked it to be, but we will still have minimal hurricane force winds if it falls north of chetumal as expected. we are on the better side of the storm

Posted By: captjeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:12 PM

DELTA SUCKS., BIG TIME ....DELTA IS NEVER READY WHEN YOU ARE...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:18 PM


if track continues to go exactly west, it will go perhaps right over chetumal. the practical thing is that it is not changing as much as it is predicted. having said that, all the models are convinced that it will turn a little bit more towards the northwest

the weather seems to be getting worse. we have seen some clouds appearing on the horizon, a lot more activity on the reef, the weather in the next coming hours will begin to deteriorate. once it starts to deteriorate it will be very fast. in less than an hour from that point

once the sky clouds over, it will cover totally quickly. then squalls will begin to come it. if two squalls come in, it will then stay bad. in the last few minutes it has started raining and there is thunder
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:19 PM

winston says the storm is intensifying, so he is sure it will continue to increase, he knows for a fact that the water outside the reef is very warm to a great depth, so there is 87 degrees to a depth of 100 feet. the average is 82 or less
Posted By: tropical girl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:19 PM

Lisa D.
This is Mary Stephenson. I am in Houston but I spoke with your parents this a.m. when they were still at the Radisson. Tom & Josie were picking them up about 7 and they were driving to Cayo. About an hour ago I spoke with Alisa in Cayo and she was out weeding her garden. There really shouldn't be too much there except some wind and rain. Can't say the same for San Pedro though. Pray for the people there and their (our) homes.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:22 PM

storms do wobble a little, it can wobble 30 miles easily. but the wobble is a lil north, the real track is wnw. movement 21 mph. nothing that might slow it down til landfall. as soon as half the storm is over the peninsula, it will slow the storm down and change the track most likely northward

during the feeder bands, the squalls, don't panic. this storm has developed three feeder bands before you get to the storm. these bands radiate away from the storm. they come in faster than the storm center itself. one feeder band set in ten minutes ago

that will pass in 20-30 minutes. then regular rain. after 2-3 feeder bands the weather will settle down to a dull grey continuous rain (still from winston)

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:24 PM

re: waves in front of ambergris caye, this storm have the wave conditions exactly what they have predicted.

there have been waves up to 30 feet so far, but that was an unusual event. but the general wave train is 8-12 feet, that could build to 16 feet, those are the waves coming in from the storm and across the barrier reef. the west windw are already here.

users over the internet are maxed out.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:27 PM

Jim says we are ready and waiting.most evac completed. police and bdf and coast guard staying on the island during the storm. we will address any emergency immediately after the storm. the last of the boats and planes will hunker down soon. get those last bits and pieces to prepare the homes. please when the seas are rough this afternoon keep the children away from the beaches and the river. currents will be strong.

sale of liquor has stopped. he begs the community to stay sober, you may be need ed to help your family. the emergency committees are ready.

caye caulker has its last boat ready to be picked up,. 12:45 it leaves
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:27 PM

JJJ just took off for its last run. maya and tropic air continue til 1pm
Posted By: Lisa D

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:33 PM

Thanks Mary! I just got an email from Dad telling me where they were. Glad you all are somewhere safe. I will be saying my prayers for all in San Pedro. If you get any more info. could you keep me posted? Dad gave me some phone numbers a few days ago, but am not sure these are the ones where they are staying.

Lisa
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:33 PM

if the emergency committee thinks the electric lines may fall, they will shut off the power for a few hours for the duration of the storm, then turn it back on once the major winds pass.

there are rumors around that the storm cannot be as bad as keith, come and go and thats it. winston, what do you say about that?

winstons response: mitch, didn't come but sent waves in crashing from the east. keith: developed here turned in some circles and brought the weather from the opposite direction. dean is attacking from both sides, east and west.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:37 PM

there are about 2000-2500 people that didn't leave in keith, and jim assumes that number is a bit higher this time. these folks have good homes and know what their homes can take. those with weaker homes should have evacuated by now
Posted By: MN Girl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:37 PM

Miles and miles away, we all feel so helpless. Our thoughts and prayers are there for you.
Posted By: tropical girl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:38 PM

If you have Alisa's phone #, you could ask her for sure. I have the # but don't want to post it. They may be staying with her or she would know where.
Mary
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:38 PM

hurricane dean in front of us as we speak, will be very close to ambergris caye, there is good communication with the resorts up north. some bdf forces will be up north with a radio with a police officer or two
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:39 PM

repeat emergency committee phone number 226-3695
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:41 PM

DFC is mostly evacuated. san pedrito is being emptied almost completely. a few people in san mateo were refusing to leave.. now its too late for them . weather was great just recently so some folks didn't evac. very small number of these people.

its completely different weather outside now than it was a few hours ago. so when its sunny some folks think they don't need to go. then whoa nice thunder on the radio. rain getting moderate to strong
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:43 PM

stay in homes or shelters with families, find something to do, and listen to the radio, updates will continue. godfrey smith will be calling to address san pedro momentarily
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:51 PM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:52 PM

just spoke with maralyn, she is in eugene here with me and is coming over....
Posted By: FenUK

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:54 PM

I have family sheltering at Sueno del Mar, AC, (unless Greg changed his mind at the last minute and left altogether) - does anyone have any news from there, please? How are things faring there so far?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 07:56 PM

please post in looking for people thread
Posted By: Penn State Diver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:04 PM

Does anyone know if Patojo Paz made it back down there from the states? he was at my house in Pennsylvania last week and wasn't due back there until tomorrow. I assume he went back early, but I haven't been able to get ahold of him.
Posted By: Nadine

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:07 PM

Anyone else still trying to get through to phones from outside. Think they are jammed. Internal lines may still be OK. I got a text from my husband and he is safe. But can't call him back, just rings and rings. Try texting instead. Good luck to everyone and keep safe all of you!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:08 PM

most boats moved to the back side (west) not much on the east side, a couple way out but not much

be careful of the seas and the winds, find some board games, keep the radios on, keep spare batteries for the radio to stay informed on what is happening. don't run around outside

Jim / winston off the radio. back with updates at 3pm and 6pm

community focused no panic at all. winston has one window to nail up still :>
Posted By: Penn State Diver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:24 PM

Ok thanks much
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:44 PM

The NHC 11:00 EDT Discussion says, in part,

"THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING...MODEL GUIDANCE...OR OFFICIAL FORECAST. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A TRACK BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS WITHIN A VERY NARROW GUIDANCE ENVELOPE."

In other words, for now the eye is still on track to make landfall north of the Belize border. Dean continues to put on some size, however, and (on the current forecast track) hurricane force winds may occur as far south as B City with TS conditions all the way through the south.

I have an updated the discussion and images at http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com accordingly.

The next hunter plane was scheduled for 12:00 Belize time, and we await the updated guidance.

'Lena
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:54 PM

its above 18 degrees

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 08:57 PM

madGo North young man, go North!!
Posted By: Rubba

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:02 PM

Hold tight, all. We're all keeping our fingers crossed for ya. Lets hope for a Mitch-like diversion.
Posted By: Penn State Diver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:03 PM

I know the logical thing is to put all boats on the back side of the island, but if the hurricane hits north of the caye, will there be just as much danger on the backside because of NW winds. Sounds like a lose/lose situation and that stinks
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:06 PM

They usually put the boats back in the mangroves so theres mangrove surrounding on all sides. Worse case: the boat is blown up on top the mangroves but can be retrieved later. Biggest problem is boats sinking from heavy rain accumulation in the bilge.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:07 PM

ladyville update

1) gas station out of regular gas at 11am (gas prices down
a bit to 9.55 a gallon since sunday)
2) but food vendors selling pre-packaged r &beans as at 12
noon

3) love reporting power outage at the central station in bc
4) we still have power in ladyville

5) no bread on shelves in ladyville
6) plywood prices thru the roof up at least 50% in most
places

7) thunder & lightening from bc to corozal (and rains) and
continuing for the past 15 mins
8) new airport security checkpoint; all vehicles stopped &
questioned before entry

9) 2 red flags up everywhere

10) northern highway will be shut down at 8pm... cant reach
villages b.boom, b. landing, rancho d, lemonal, cocklaugh,
flowers benk, others...

11) more later...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:07 PM

Smartphone is still up, at least in San Pedro. one report Tried to call three people in Mango Creek and got 'fast busy.' Physically located them and they said the Smart system was out.
Posted By: Bobber

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:18 PM

To all in the path, our hearts and prayers are with you. Keep your heads down, your feet dry, and the loved ones close. You are all in our thoughts.

Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:23 PM

Just uploaded pictures from today and the approach of the storm. These are chronological. Last picture taken about an hour ago. http://exploringbelizecontinues.blogspot.com
Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:24 PM

Hola all, I just chatted with Amanda who is in her house with emma. They said cable is out but internet on cable is still up. They are starting to hear big time thunder.

Yvonne
Iguana Gardens
Barefoot Iguana
Posted By: Mayfield

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:30 PM

I am new to this board. My husband and friends stayed at White Sand Cove last February. We fell in love with Ambergris Caye, CC and Sand Pedro. We actually came really close to buying a home.
We are hoping and praying for this thing to pass quickly and spare all. Stay safe. We just feel so bad for all the locals, resort owners and all in the path of Dean.
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:31 PM

well to me it seems that for the moment at least, this monster is starting to track slightly more north....
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
Posted By: Belize_Pete

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:33 PM

I spoke to Linda Carter via her cell phone in San Pedro about 30 min. ago. She and Kathy (Beachin Kitchen) are staying on the island. Linda told me that she could not leave now even if I talked her into it.

Linda's cell phone worked perfectly but once the power is shut off she won't be able to charge it. (Which could obviously be moot if all the towers/power are offline.)She also said cable/internet has been on and off.

Linda says they've had thunder and lightning but now it is "eerie calm". She rode out Hurricane Keith and is hoping to do the same this time. She did ask for prayers though and added "I just hope my roof stays on this time!" Ya gotta love Linda!

I'll keep calling her cell phone over the next few days and post any news when I reach her.

Pete Sisco [email protected]


Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:36 PM

Chatted with Barefoot Skinny.... he's not there but had info on where people are supposed to be:

T Budd says (4:32 PM):
Don't know. The kids are all off. Elliott here, Amber in Corazol and Nahuel in Florida
T Budd says (4:32 PM):
Lacy went to San Ignacio
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:36 PM

collyk, thanks so much for the pictures..please keep them coming...in a safe way!
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:41 PM

Hi Big Pete, Al Kruebbe (Bermuda Landing) here, we tried to talk Linda off the Island and wanted to buy ticket.....she been there to long to leave.....we're praying for her and the rest that decided to stay.
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:50 PM

We're taking video footage of the approach as and when it is safe. We won't be able to make it available until after the storm. It is very dramatic and interesting. We are cowards and won't be taking any risks.
Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:52 PM

Spoke with Laura at Iguana Gardens. They are all safe... cell servce and internet are in and out. Not alot of wind yet.... same thunder report.
Posted By: daveindestin

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:53 PM

The Weather Channel shows hurricane force winds around Chetumaland north. Without wishing bad to others the path should remain north of yall and wave heights 10-16" above normal. Dont let your guard down.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:54 PM

from reef radio
heavy showers, then cleared for awhile. Jim informed us that a lil less than 10,000 people evacuated the island

walking down the main streets everything is boarded up, a few golf carts around of folks going to their hunker down spots.

can still hammering going on for last minute preparations. weather getting bad. rough feeder band went thru at 2 oclock. now slight rain , overcast, wind from north or nw
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:55 PM

thanks a bunch Colette and Maya
Posted By: Belize_Pete

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:55 PM

Hi Al (and Janet)!

Yes I also offered to pay Linda's way to a safer place but she isn't leaving. They're hoping that the winds from the lagoon side will not hit as hard as they would from the open sea. Personally, I wouldn't take that bet but I'm still a landlubber at heart and a Cat 4 scares me more than it scares Linda.

Pete

[email protected]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 09:56 PM

At 500 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Dean was located
near latitude 18.2 north...longitude 84.2 west or about 270 miles...
435 km...east of Chetumal Mexico.

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the entire coastline of
Belize...along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from the
Belize/Mexico border northward to Cancun...and along the West Coast
of the Yucatan Peninsula from south of Progresso southward to
ciudad del Carmen. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.

Dean is moving toward the west near 20 mph...32 km/hr...and and a
westward or west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 24
hours. On this track the center of the hurricane is expected to
make landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula very early Tuesday morning.
However...conditions will begin to deteriorate along the coastline
this evening.


Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph...240 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dean is an extremely dangerous category four hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some strengthening is expected later
today...and Dean is likely to become a category five hurricane
prior to making landfall.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles...280 km.


The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve unit
reconnaissance aircraft was 918 mb...27.11 inches.


Dean is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches
over the Yucatan Peninsula...Belize...Guatemala...and northern
Honduras...with maximum amounts of up to 20 inches. These
rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...is
possible in the Cayman Islands. Storm surge flooding of 12 to 18
feet above normal tide levels is possible near and to the north of
where Dean makes landfall along the East Coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:00 PM

latest track

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:04 PM

Belize Water Service will be cut off at 7 pm tonite. reservoir full to capacity for after storm
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:10 PM

from Dr Jeff Masters: Hurricane Dean is intensifying. The latest Hurricane Hunter data and satellite intensity estimates both show an intensifying storm, and the 3:54pm EDT eye report showed a 6 mb pressure drop in less than two hours, which is a big fall. The pressure now stands at 918 mb, which is the lowest pressure Dean has attained thus far. The storm is over waters with very high heat content, and is under light wind shear, so continued intensification is probable. Landfall is expected near Chetumal, Mexico, just after midnight local time. Dean will be a tremendously destructive storm for southern Mexico. Dean is powerful enough to be able to survive the crossing of the Yucatan as a hurricane, and hurricane advisories have been posted for cities on the western coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. The only hurricanes on record that survived crossing this portion of the Yucatan and maintaining hurricane intensity were Hurricane Roxanne of 1995, which hit just south of Cozumel as a Category 3, and emerged near Campeche as a Category 1; and Hurricane Janet of 1955, which hit near Chetumal as a Category 5 storm, then weakened to a Category 2 storm when it popped out into the Gulf of Mexico south of Campeche. We can expect Dean will carve out a path of great destruction all the way across the Yucatan Peninsula, then potentially re-intensify before hitting Mexico again along the Gulf Coast in the Bay of Campeche.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:16 PM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Danny2

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:23 PM

Wow. Good luck.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:41 PM

san pedrito evacuated, same with dfc. san marcos also. resorts evacuated except for minimal staff.
Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:46 PM

From: "Laura Raye Marlow" <[email protected]>
To: "Yvonne Bond" <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: Hurricane
Date: Monday, August 20, 2007 5:16 PM

At Iguana Gardens:

Arne Rodhall, Jonathan Mullen, Becky ...British Tourist/Volunteer, Mathias Rodriguez. Dave and Alana, Tom night manager Fidos #5 stayed, so did Shaggy. Everyone else is gone. Everyone from Coldwell is downstairs in #9. Becky and I are in your apartment.

Posted By: ohiolazo

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:47 PM

Just a quick note to close our loop - we got word that our kids emailed my brother (virginialazo) and they are on the American flight to Miami, where they will spend the night (at the airport probably). Delta will get a nastygram from me tomorrow! Our hopes and prayers go out to our S.P. friends (particularly Nellie, Gach, and the Holidays).
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:48 PM

i knew you lazo's were watching.....
Posted By: GrandpaHal

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:52 PM

American flight 2193 just landed at Belize City at 3:34 pm. Due to take off as flight 2194 at 4:30. Any word on when the airport in BC is closing? How much wind is there now? daughter is supposedly on that flight. I have visions of that last helicopter leaving saigon. weird huh?

Posted By: ohiolazo

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:52 PM

Some things never change!
Posted By: jas

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 10:58 PM

Does anyone know... did the majority of people leave? Who stayed?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:00 PM

Grandpa: this is very close to the belize airport
http://www.astrumhelicopters.com/wx.htm

winds 3mph she is fine....
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:01 PM

nearly 10,000 left, 2000 or so left, all kinds of folks stayed...
Posted By: jas

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:05 PM

Thanks Marty - where are you? in Belize?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:10 PM

i am in oregon
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:13 PM

now moving back west

[Linked Image]
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:17 PM

...some decent size rollers starting to come in.

...another band of rain too.

Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:20 PM

Marty you are amazing...Never cease to amaze me..with your information etc. .We have been reading your messages since we planned our trip to Ambergris Caye. We were there on Aug 4th - 11th...Had a blast... People and island was wonderful...I just wish the best for all of them.
All the Best,
Ruth
Posted By: jas

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:20 PM

Thanks - I live in SanPed for 10 yrs, but left a few yrs back. I don't think I know you. but - Wondering if my BFF Dali G. evacuated. If anyone knows, let me know.
Posted By: jas

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:21 PM

Marty - how are you getting your info/ I appreciate it.
Posted By: CKofABQ

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:23 PM

Watching from New Mexico here. (& listening to Reef Radio)
Our friends operate the San Pedro Sun.
We're due (?) to join them there Sept. 1-9.
Guess we'll be part of the aid and clean-up mission.

My bride and I were stuck on Cozumel during Wilma- and will be forever grateful to the locals who took care of all those who couldn't make it out before the storm.
All our prayers and good mojo to everyone in harm's way.
Craig-
Posted By: GrandpaHal

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:25 PM

Thanks for the note. I'm in Oregon looking after the grandchild, and we sure hope the daughter makes it home. I suspect if she doesn't get on that plane it could be a week until they get that airport up and going. I was reading about Belize city, which used to be the capitol of the country, but they moved it a while back because the airport, the entire city is at SEA LEVEL. (runway is actually 9 feet)

Thnaks again. I hope everyone gets out that wants to

Grandpa
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:26 PM

prime minister announces price freeze on all goods

BELMOPAN, 20th August 2007, 4:00 PM - NEMO hereby informs the public that hurricane shelters in the Corozal District, Orange Walk District, Belize District and Cayo District have been opened since noon today.

NEMO will continue to provide transport for those who are unable to afford to move. People are strongly urged to move out of low lying, coastal and valley areas to higher ground or begin to seek shelter as soon as possible.

NEMO reminds those businesses still open that there should be no increase of prices for goods and services. The Prime Minister, Rt. Hon. Said Musa has announced a price freeze on all goods and services.

NEMO also wishes to remind the public of the curfew from 8:00 pm tonight to 9:00 am tomorrow. In the Corozal District, Orange Walk District and Belize District, including Belize City, San Pedro, Ambergris Caye and Caye Caulker.

At 3:00 p.m. local time, the center of Hurricane Dean continues to move west ward near 21 mph. Hurricane Dean was located near latitude 18.2 N….84.2 W or about 267 miles east by North of Belize City, 247 miles east of San Pedro, Ambergris Caye and 275 miles east of Corozal Town. On this track, Dean is expected to make land fall north of Chetumal between midnight and 3 a.m. That will place the southern eye-wall over extreme northern Belize. Dean could become a Category 5 hurricane later today. The Government of Belize has extended the hurricane warning to the entire coast of Belize.

Weather conditions will gradually deteriorate as the day progresses. North to northwesterly winds will increase to 30-40 knots this afternoon or evening to hurricane strength in the north tonight. Seas will become rough with large swells this afternoon becoming very rough tonight. Wave height will be 6-9 ft. This will increase to 9-14 ft tonight. By this time, boats should be in safe harbour. Showers and thunderstorms will also increase. Tonight, we will get continuous rain with several outbreaks of showers and thunderstorms. Rains could cause flash floods and flooding.

Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:37 PM

Originally Posted by Marty
prime minister announces price freeze on all goods

Uh, kinda late, Mr. PM d00d...stores in Belmo were running out and closing at noon...

The weather drama has begun in our village south of Dangriga.

New images at http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com and new discussion shortly.

'Lena
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:37 PM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Mac&Erin

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:41 PM

My fiance and I are getting married on Ambergris in November and our thoughts and prayers are with all of you down there. Good luck, stay safe and hopefully the damn thing will make that north turn they've been talking about for 24 hours now.
Posted By: thespeedys

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:43 PM

Best of luck with your wedding....it sure is a great place to get married!

Can anyone tell me if Enes and Everette from Belize Diving Adventures went to the main land???

any info is appreciated.
Thanks
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:45 PM

JAS, getting info from websites, phone calls, reef radio, emails, etc... we may have met. been coming to the island since 1996. not sure on dali. i'm sure she's fine
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:46 PM

grandpa, where in oregon are you? i am in eugene right now. the intl airport is outside belize city. municipal airport is downtown but she's not there. i think its sea level is about 2 feet.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:51 PM


[Linked Image]
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:54 PM

We love Belize and San Pedro -- my husband and I have been 3 times and have always stayed at Caribe Island Resort. Our thoughts are with you all and just pray for your safety and the preservation of your island.
God Bless!

Steve & Shannon
Austin, Texas
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:55 PM

thespeedys, i think that they left because they live on a low area in sanpedro, besides Enes fam lives in belmopan
Posted By: ShellyMax

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:56 PM

Was on Caye Caulker a few months ago.... be safe everyone! We love Belize and wish you all the best!!
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:58 PM

ppl keep in mind that the water will be cut off after 7 pm.
Posted By: ditka3000

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/20/07 11:58 PM

i live in seattle. good Pac NW contingent up in this mug
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:05 AM

OK Marty...gonna have a COFFEE FUND for ya after this mother!
I'll start it with a gift card to the coffee shop nearest your heart!....I have a feeling I'll be drinking some tonight (don't do that often)....
my neighbors on CC just left SoCal TODAY!....but are hunkered down in Houston with relatives....be sorry that I don't have someone right next door to keep an eye on things, but very happy that they are safe and not on the caye tonight...actually I think this is the first hurricane he has missed in 73 years...yes, he was born on CC
God Love Him!
alson found that Continental is NOT charging any fees to change travel plans on flights...at least not the FIRST change, I think after that, it's biz as usual
Posted By: sassnfun

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:07 AM

Hang in their Peeps! freeze water Jugs!!!
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:11 AM

is anyone who's online right now located on caye caulker or any of the cayes? if so, what's the weather like from your location? i posted a "where are they?" question at the appropriate forum, to no avail, and i'm very concerned about my brother-in-law, pike, who (last i heard) was stubbornly refusing to leave the island (CC). (i think my mother and sister went up to cayo, thank god).
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:18 AM

its very difficult to find a single person or two at this time. things will have to settle out. folks are on the board who are on the cayes but many of them are busy and don't have time to look for folks right now. reports will filter out as time goes by.
Posted By: GrandpaHal

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:19 AM

Marty, I am in The Dalles.

Supposedly the plane has lifted off. Hooray.

Hal
Posted By: Los Arboles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:23 AM

Marty-Do you know if SP has lost power? Haven't seen a local here in a while.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:24 AM

slight movement straight west the last half hour, eyewall deepening getting better defined

[Linked Image]

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:24 AM

good news grandpa. hey we are close!!! the dalles isn't far away!!
Posted By: belize4

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:24 AM

JAS...Dali Guerrero is my aunt and she is doing fine, she's in California right now.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:25 AM

power is on. still getting phone calls
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:26 AM

We have power... 6 miles North.
Posted By: Gela

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:28 AM

This is deja vu from Keith 7 years ago. I'm praying for you all that are there.
Posted By: wonderwoman

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:30 AM

Yep, we still have power and cable and internet!! Very calm at this minute. Am 2 miles north. Surge is getting a hair bigger...and don't ask how big a hair is!! Hee, Hee!!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:32 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: morr41

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:35 AM

hunker down brother...good luck...Clearwater Beach Fl
Posted By: SASSIK

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:40 AM

Hey WW - hang in there! Su and Roger are safe at Xanadu.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:41 AM

does anyone know how far inland Cayo is? and what its altitude is? and also what sort of conditions are predicted for that area?
Posted By: mitzi

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:42 AM

Hopes and prayers going out to all.

Mitzi in Georgia
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:42 AM

Write Reef Radio...those guys are still on line...
http://www.thereefradio.com/
click on LIVE....
those two guys are going to be down there all night on Middle Street...
Local or tourist like myself I am sure they are glad to here from any of you....It will be a long night...
if you have ever been to Ambergris Caye you have met the people...there are many of them left....Please write something to them....Let them know you are thinking of them....
All the Best,
Ruth


Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:43 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:44 AM

Cayo is inland plenty, only possible problem there would be rain after the storm. altitude in san ignacio in cayo is 416 feet

[Linked Image]
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:51 AM

thanks, marty!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:52 AM

sure!!!

from reef radio, they walked the beach, the waves beyond the reef are impressive. between seven - nine feet. at shore, 1-2 feet, its also high tide

overcast, light winds over downtown san pedro, no rain. conditions calm
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:55 AM

Hang in there Linda! Janet & I and many many others are pulling and praying for you!! We'll hear the whole story when we come down in October if not sooner.
Love ya,
Al & Janet
Posted By: Ruth1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:55 AM

Reef Radio is keeping all informed...Thank you Reef Radio...
all the best,
Ruth
http://www.thereefradio.com/
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:55 AM

8:00 PM EDT on August 20, 2007

..Hurricane Dean very near category five strength...
...Outer bands arriving along the East Coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the entire coastline of
Belize...along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from the
Belize/Mexico border northward to Cancun...and along the West Coast
of the Yucatan Peninsula from south of Progresso southward to
ciudad del Carmen. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect on the Yucatan Peninsula
from north of Cancun to Progresso.

At 800 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Dean was located
near latitude 18.2 north...longitude 85.1 west or about 210 miles...
335 km...east of Chetumal Mexico.


Dean is moving toward the west near 20 mph...32 km/hr...and a
westward or west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 24
hours. On this track the center of the hurricane is expected to
make landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula very early Tuesday morning.
However...conditions are already beginning to deteriorate along the
East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.


Reports from an Air Force Reserve unit hurricane hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased and are now
near 155 mph...245 km/hr...with higher gusts. Dean is an extremely
dangerous category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Some strengthening is expected later tonight...and Dean is likely
to become a category five hurricane prior to making landfall.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles...280 km.


The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve unit
reconnaissance aircraft was 915 mb...27.02 inches.


Dean is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches
over the Yucatan Peninsula...Belize...Guatemala...and northern
Honduras...with maximum amounts of up to 20 inches. These
rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


Coastal storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...is
possible in the Cayman Islands. Storm surge flooding of 12 to 18
feet above normal tide levels is possible near and to the north of
where Dean makes landfall along the East Coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula.


Repeating the 800 PM EDT position...18.2 N...85.1 W. Movement
toward...west near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...155 mph.
Minimum central pressure...915 mb.
Posted By: jas

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:58 AM

Belize 4 - I'M SO GLAD TO HEAR DALI IS IN CA! THANK YOU! DO YOU REMEMBER ME? CHILL? WHO R U?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:58 AM

from a friend

Everyone heading to Belmopan. I cannot get out to the junction to see
the action. I can only hope the cops are waving on most traffic - go
west, guys, deep west, run for the border. Belmopan is full!

Still I understand many will not leave Belize City. Heard a couple of
conversations at the breadline today. Generally, they do not trust the
cops to take care of business as the last time they were cleaned out
by thieves. One guy said the last time they cleaned out his house and
even stole his dog.

Bumber to bumper on the Western Highway, hundreds of vehicles, 10
accidents so far, drivers being very mean and not giving way to
ambulances trying to get through - it's everyman (and woman) for
himself.

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:59 AM

still 18.2 for three hours. straight west. no northing.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:02 AM

from a friend

Just spoke to a person who is coordinating for Belize City with NEMO and
GOB just ordered a mandatory evacuation of the city, arranging for 100
buses to take people out. Mandatory curfew at 8pm in BC, OW and Corozal.
Posted By: b910gale

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:06 AM

Any one on line; on the island now?

IF SO

How are things there?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:09 AM

water rising, winds mild. no rain currently
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:09 AM

All international flights are operating as usual.
Tomorrow might be a different story.
Posted By: FincastleRita

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:11 AM

Thanks, Marty, for all the updates. Don't know how you do it (don't care how), it's just good to have a source connected to Ambergris Caye. I'm a frequent visitor with lots of friends there and I just wish them all the best. Good luck, Everybody.
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:15 AM

Quiet... cheerful mood for the moment.
Big waves at the reef. Got some pics over here:
//ambergriscaye.com/forum/ubbthreads.php/ubb/showgallery/Number/245821/Main/26154/#Post245821
Jan
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:15 AM

Its very calm out here. Haven't had rain in a while and there is a little bit of wind(10-17kts from the NW). The water level has risen about a foot and there are small rollers crashing on the seawall every 30 seconds or so. We expect once the weather starts getting windy and rainy again, it will stay that way until tomorrow.

Posted By: Kate

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:18 AM

My thoughts and prayers are with everyone in Dean's path.

Marty - Glad to see you are still providing this valuable communication outlet - we rode out Keith at the Palms and your board was my mom's support system for 3 days. Maybe you should get some sleep now before this board really heats up.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:21 AM

thanks Christopher!!!!

Winston says the center of the storm is a lil smaller. projected landfall is 30 miles north of chetumal give or take a lil. about 8pm the weather should get considerably worse. 5-8 swells at the reef currently

From Jim: we have prepared so far very well and may God bless you all.

next update is at 9pm
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:25 AM

Marty, thank you so much for the detailed updates, as ususal. I'm sending out lots of prayers for all the good peeps on AC and in Belize!

JZB, glad to hear all is ok with you - I see you've decided to stay. Prayers for you guys! Hang tight! xo
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:28 AM

weather still holding for now
Posted By: TravelGirlAtl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:33 AM

I'm new here, but have been following the discussions the past couple of days. My husband and I have visited AC a couple of times recently and just love it down there. Our thoughts and prayers are with all the people and animals who will be affected by this.
Posted By: belize4

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:38 AM

JAS..sent you a PM
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:42 AM

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:44 AM

shelters filled to capacity in Belize City. go to novellos terminal to get to the west. in the next half hour. if you have a friend stranded in belize city, tell them this

2 hour bus ride from belize city to belmopan. western highway very busy

Posted By: button pusher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:44 AM

As someone who helps in disater relief, I am anxious for all of you and the Country of Belize. I hope you are all safe and you are not forgotten!

Be Safe!

Buttons
Posted By: iluvbelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:51 AM

http://www.rumormillnews.com/cgi-bin/forum.cgi?read=108177

protection perhaps
Posted By: nannersyak

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:51 AM

Incredible pictures. Thanks for this invaluable coverage. Thoughts and prayers to all impacted by this storm.
Blessings on those who are giving and helping.
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:54 AM

ppl how is the lagoon so far?
Posted By: Tradewind

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:54 AM


Could someone post the offical report that Dean has gone to 160mph category 5 - 915 millibars
Posted By: bonz14

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:55 AM

Marty, See you in OCT Gods speed my man...let it go just go more to the east
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:57 AM

Got some more pics from 25 minutes ago over here:
//ambergriscaye.com/forum/ubbthreads.php?ubb=showgallery&Number=245861#Post245861
Jan
Posted By: bonz14

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:01 AM

go to weather.com It just hit Cat 5 winds 160 mph
Posted By: wonderwoman

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:06 AM

Now 160 mph...
Posted By: rafi312

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:10 AM

More Information
Video: Latest coverage from the Caribbean

Dean tracker

Interactive satellite


At 8 p.m. ET, the center of Hurricane Dean was located about 210 miles east of Chetumal, Mexico. It is moving toward the west at about 20 mph. Dean is expected to continue on a westward track toward the coast and make landfall by morning. Maximum sustained winds have been moved up to 160 mph making Dean a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.

The Cayman Islands avoided a direct hit. Earlier on Monday, the center of Dean passed about 125 miles to the south of Grand Cayman. Heavy rain, high winds, dangerous surf, and storm surge have all impacted the Caymans.

Weather conditions are now beginning to deteriorate over the eastern Yucatan peninsula and northern Belize. The center of Hurricane Dean is expected to make landfall north of the border between Belize and the Mexican state of Quintana Roo and south of Tulum. It is here where a water rise of 8 to 15 feet can be expected with monstrous waves of 25 to 30 feet.

The resorts of Cancun and Cozumel will not feel the full brunt of Hurricane Dean but waves on the order of 18 to 24 feet are expected to crash along the shores resulting in severe beach erosion. Squalls of tropical storm-force winds and heavy rains will rotate in across the resorts tonight and into the early morning hours.

Dean will then cross the Yucatan Peninsula and re-emerge into the Bay of Campeche, in a much weaker state, Tuesday night and make a final landfall somewhere along the mainland Mexican Coast sometime on Wednesday.

Various hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings are in place.

Remember that watches mean that conditions are possible within 36 hours; warnings mean that conditions are expected within 24 hours.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, a tropical wave is bringing disorganized showers a few hundred miles north of the Leeward Islands. There is some potential for slow development with this system as it moves to the west.

Posted By: Dallas Dave

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:10 AM

Did you pop every other plank on the dock Jan? I hope you don't lose it. Stay safe Bro. - Skinny (Logged in as Dallas Dave in Canada)
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:13 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:15 AM

hey skinny peace bro. sick of coronas?
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:18 AM

Marty, where is that planetary satellite view from?
I swiped it from you... ;-)
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:18 AM

Hey Skinny, yes, something like that - a little more at the tip, a little less at the ramp.

Weather.com is talking about a surge here of 2-4 feet (see pic), that's not more than with Wilma, so we should be able to hold out without too much damage. Pray that it goes by quickly - the dock and beach can only hold out for so long.
Jan

[Linked Image]
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:22 AM

Marty... RE: pic above, you got exact coordinates and bearing?
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:26 AM

WOW! Captivating pictures,Jan. Thanks for sharing.

Marty, those space shots of the hurriane aren't too dusty either. You are magic my friend.

Thanks and cheers,
Wendy
Posted By: Pam&Dave

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:34 AM

35.8 ft waves @ buoy (picking up)
Posted By: dbdoberman

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:39 AM

God Bless & keep safe those in Belize, especially those who chose to remain on AC, CC, and the other cayes. I, like everyone on this board, am so anxious, damnit, so scared for you. I am also filled with dread for those I know in the Xcalak/Majahual area. Prayers to all & good luck.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:46 AM

From Julian Rivero just now

Just took a ride around town & place looks like a ghost town except
there are Police & BDF patrols every 2 blocks. There are a few
people still on the beach observing the rise in wave action & beach
erosion in progress already. There is a slight north breeze & the
skies are becoming very overcast.
Posted By: belize4

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:47 AM

which bouy and where is it located.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:49 AM

We're sitting here in the US....and wish we were at our home on AC......it is so unbelieveable to listen to the media here in the US. It's like the eye of Dean is going to hit Cancun!! Don't they know that Belize even exist!! I'm pissed!!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:50 AM

[Linked Image]

Conditions at 42056 as of
0050 GMT on 08/21/2007

Wind Direction (WDIR): E ( 90 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 42.7 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 52.4 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 35.8 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 14 sec
Average Period (APD): 10.9 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWD): ESE ( 122 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.57 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.04 in ( Falling )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 84.6 °F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 85.5 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 76.5 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 94.3 °F

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:51 AM

Pam&Dave, what is this buoy and where is it?

I'm a bit confused as not even the hurricane service is predicting 35.8ft waves.

Thx.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:53 AM

the buoy location is pinpointed in the post above this one. its out at sea.
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:55 AM

OK. Update on today. We took walks with the dogs and met with neighbours. It is very humid. The atmosphere is strange. Everyone is wired, exhausted and merry. We know it is hitting at night. When the first band came, you could feel the pressure in your head change. Very strange sensation. The muppets and Tacos came round for a dog walk. At that time the beach just started to disappear. The bugs were running like crazy away from the sea. Lots of bugs. It was quite astounding. Not just one species. I saw at least three species, none of which I can name. A neighbour has pulled his boat out and all of us reckon the boat will be gone by morning. There is nothing near by we can tie it too. What a shame. Everyone seems to be taking advantage of the lull. Lots of people walking dogs and observing the sea rolling in. The end of Victoria House dock is under water. Waves are rolling in under and over the piers. Beach is eroding. I took a cycle at sundown with the dog in the hope of emptying him one last time for the night. The crocs at the lagoon near the water plant were up at the edge. Two of them. There were people enjoying the lull or trying to make it somewhere. Some were surfing. When I say people, I mean the small number who are here still. Maya has just come in and says the water has risen to the level of the Squirrels Nest Bar at Mata Rocks, right up to under the ground floor suite. The waves are huge. Royal Palms dock has started losing boards now. No wind. Just surge and waves. The Discovery Hut at the Royal Palms dock has water in it. We reckon that will be gone by morning. Sea wall at Royal Palms is covered. The water is at the gate. We'll update you when we can. Signing off from the seafront in San Pedro, Ambergris Caye, Belize, Central America.
Posted By: Pam&Dave

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:55 AM

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056
Buoy Website
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:57 AM

LOASUM - AL K> well doen't u remember i think it was for keith that CNN repoeted that we had vanished out from the hurricane when in reality we had no power and water
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:00 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: belizegial

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:01 AM

My brothers & sisters there on San Pedro, PLEASE STAY SAFE.

I am here in Dangriga thinking about you all.

Posted By: dbdoberman

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:07 AM

Loansum, so many of the weather predicters are so much crap, and not getting the real story out endangers so many.

Collyk, great reporting, thanks so much.

Dean is so damn HUGE!

I am always reminded Marty, what a wonder you are when it comes to times like this. I remember reading the posts of Mitch, when you brought comfort to so many by trying your best to stay on top of it all. Thanks also to the great folks of this board for posting what they know, and letting us see the real story.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:07 AM

[Linked Image]

for large version //ambergriscaye.com/art/dean-8-20-07googleearth.jpg
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:08 AM

Good luck guys! Our thoughts are with you all.
Posted By: Mac&Erin

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:12 AM

Posssibly some good news. It looks like it might be starting to take the turn from a W heading to NNW like they've been talking about all day.


http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bi...e=Animation&width=500&height=400

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:16 AM

[Linked Image]

for large version //ambergriscaye.com/art/dean-8-20-07googleearth2.jpg
Posted By: belize4

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:16 AM

Hey Marty, how did you get that image out of google earth. Is there a special feature in it to access the current weather?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:19 AM

i have two files i'll post em

//ambergriscaye.com/art/googleearthstuff.zip

Posted By: wonderwoman

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:20 AM

Boy, the surge is getting really big now...is reaching a good 20 feet in at the Palapa.
Posted By: CB Belize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:20 AM

"the more north the better" i cant say it enough..... thanks to everyone for the island updates please PLEASE keep them coming, my local weather man just said CAT 5 with gust up to 200 mph.. my thoughts and prayers to all my friends and family in SP.
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:20 AM

man, is Google rad or what. Thanks Google!!! (uh, and you too Marty.)

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:22 AM

people in central park watching the waves 8:10pm being asked to go inside by the bdf

slight drizzle

under curfew

waves getting bigger. radio staff was asked by the bdf to leave the park.
--------
from corozal

The times are very quite here -- for the last hour or so -- to quite -- not
even the slightest breeze -- dead stillness -- not birds chirping --
crickets -- frogs -- chickens crowing -- dogs barking -- snakes slithering
-- nada.

The sky is clear and spotted with a few normal looking high up clouds --
Moon and stars shining brite.

About ten minutes ago some very slight breezes stirred up -- and from the
north -- and cool -- almost chilly -- but just little tiny puffs.

I guess they no kid about the quite time just before the storm --

I'm cooking up a big supper -- who knows when we get to eat easy and well
again -- eh??

Using Google earth and the "Distance" function

One hour ago -- Center of Dean's Eye was 235 miles away

If Dean lands at 19 North (present unanimous prediction -- it will touch
land 184 miles from my house here in Xaibe.

The closest it will pass will be about 60 miles to the due north.

The active outer bands are presently 91 miles away from my house.

The very powerful bands -- great intensities -- are 163 miles away.

At 20 mph -- outer active banks (tropical force winds) should hit here 3
hours minus one hour -- 2 more hours

The major activity -- hurricane force winds -- say building to a max of 100
mph -- will hit in 8 - 1 = 7 more hours.

The entire event will probably last -- intense part -- 8 hours.

Should start 8 PM and be over by 4 AM tomorrow morning.

Think I drink a liter of strong wine and sleep it off in the shelter!!
Posted By: wonderwoman

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:23 AM

Ok, maybe 15 to 20....and yes, it does look like going a little more north!!! YAY!!
Posted By: belize4

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:26 AM

thanx Marty
Posted By: belizegial

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:27 AM

STAY SAFE ALL.
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:29 AM

SFJeff & ww, good to see y'all still have power! Many prayers for y'all! SFJeff, not feeling as bad for you as you have access to that wonderful food! :P Kiddin!
Posted By: Los Arboles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:29 AM

Glad to see you still online SFJeff. How high is the water up in your area?
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:36 AM

Still have power and sat. internet... internet will drop when the weather starts to turn really bad no doubt. Water is at/aboive dock height... we're all hunkered down in the south end of the bldg that Rojo is in... hurricane shutters are all down and we should be good to weather the night...

We'll fire up the generator in the am and start cleaning up...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:41 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Los Arboles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:42 AM

Glad to know that you guys are prepared and safe. It's hard to imagine what you are going thru while we are up here in Texas. Half of me wishes I was there and the other half is really glad I'm far, far away!
Stay safe and we'll be here all night on the 'net looking for news.
Sonny and Marsha
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:45 AM

Just starting raining on the south side. Waves rolling in are now licking the bottom of our dock. Will be interesting to see the aftermath when we wake up tomorrow. (If we can sleep)
Posted By: FincastleRita

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:46 AM

Me, too. I'll be here on the net looking for news. I sure hope it is relatively good news.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:47 AM

winston: swells may be above 12 feet at the center, much erosion there. undertow currents on the beaches. the storm just wrapped up a bit tighter, so it twirls a bit more like a ballet dancer. so its spinning a bit faster. its officially cat 5. its 130 miles off the coastline of the yucatan peninsula. gives it about 6 hours at 20mph
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:48 AM

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on August 20, 2007

...Eye of potentially catastrophic Hurricane Dean just a few hours
from landfall along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula...


at 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...the government of Mexico has extended the
Hurricane Warning westward from Ciudad de Carmen to Chilitepec. A
Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the entire coastline of
Belize...along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
from the Belize/Mexico border northward to Cancun...and along the
West Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from south of Progresso
southward to Chilitepec. Preparations to protect life and property
along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula should have already
been completed. Preparations elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning
area should be rushed to completion.


At 11 PM EDT...the government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm
Warning and a Hurricane Watch from west of Chilitepec westward to
Veracruz Mexico...and a Hurricane Watch has also been issued from
Veracruz to Tampico. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.


A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect along the northern coast
of the Yucatan Peninsula from north of Cancun to Progresso.


A tropical storm watch also remains in effect for the following
provinces of Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...and Isla de la
Juventud.


Interests elsewhere in the southern Gulf of Mexico should closely
monitor the progress of Dean.


For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.


At 1100 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Dean was located
near latitude 18.4 north...longitude 86.0 west or about 150 miles...
245 km...east of Chetumal Mexico and about 310 miles...500 km...
east-southeast of Campeche Mexico.


Dean is moving toward the west near 20 mph...32 km/hr...and this
motion is expected to continue tonight and Tuesday. On the forecast
track...the eye of Dean will make landfall along the East Coast of
the Yucatan Peninsula very early Tuesday morning. Dean will cross
the Yucatan Peninsula during the day on Tuesday and likely reach
the Bay of Campeche Tuesday night.


Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...260 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dean is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane
on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Little change in strength
is expected prior to landfall on the East Coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Although some weakening is forecast as Dean crosses the
Yucatan Peninsula...Dean is expected to maintain hurricane strength
throughout the next 24 hours.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles...280 km.


The most recent minimum central pressure measured by an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft was 914 mb...26.99 inches.

Dean is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches
over The Isthmus of Tehuantepec and Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico...Belize...Guatemala...and northern Honduras...with maximum
amounts of up to 20 inches. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Storm surge flooding of 12 to 18 feet above normal tide levels is
possible near and to the north of where Dean makes landfall along
the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.


Repeating the 1100 PM EDT position...18.4 N...86.0 W. Movement
toward...west near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...160 mph.
Minimum central pressure...914 mb.


An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 200 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 500
am EDT.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:50 AM

18.4
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:50 AM

reef radio still online
Posted By: denverdan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:51 AM

I love hearing RR and reading your report as they read aloud! ;-)
Thanks again for everything Marty!
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:53 AM

18.4 is my new favorite number.
...though I'll gladly swap favorites for 18.6 or 19.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:57 AM

they asked winston if there was any chance it would turn to the sw and he said NOTHING indicates such a thing will occur. should be worse weather for the next

6 hours til landfall. once it hits it slows. conditions will be really bad for how long they asked winston... the rear end of the storm the severe weather is of less duration. 3-4 hours on the south side, if 6hours of bad weather on the north side of the storm

don't be fooled by the apparent calm when the eye comes over. wait for the all clear.

conditions are deteriorating now over all of Belize. Waves will be up 9-14 feet, flash floods and heavy rain on the mainland

time to hunker down, to stay where we are, where the flashlight is, its time to be as safe as we possibly can. stay indoors. relax, feel free to feel you took the right precautions. then you will be ok. we have prepared for the worse case, if it doesn't get that bad then fine.

Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:57 AM

But isn't Corozol at 18.38? Too close!
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:58 AM

MY local online news does a pretty good report on Dean...

TULUM, Mexico — Hurricane Dean strengthened into a monstrous Category 5 storm Monday night as its first rain and winds began slamming the coasts of Mexico and Belize. Thousands of tourists fled the beaches of the Mayan Riviera as it roared toward the ancient ruins and modern oil installations of the Yucatan Peninsula.

Mexico's state oil company, Petroleos de Mexico, said it was evacuating all of its more than 14,000 offshore workers in the southern Gulf of Mexico, which includes the giant Cantarell oil field. Dozens of historically significant Mayan sites also were emptied.

Dean — which has killed at least 12 people across the Caribbean — quickly picked up strength after brushing Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.

By 7:35 p.m. CDT, it had sustained winds of 160 mph and was centered about 210 miles south-southeast of Tulum, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center. Category 5 storms — capable of catastrophic damage — are rare with only three have hit the U.S. since record-keeping began.

The eye was expected to make landfall early Tuesday morning near Chetumal, about 80 miles south of Tulum.

Cancun seemed likely to be spared a direct hit, but visitors abandoned its swank hotels to swarm outbound flights. Officials evacuated more rustic lodgings farther south, where Dean — which has killed at least 12 people across the Caribbean — was expected to smash ashore early Tuesday.

Eric Morovich of Orange County, Calif., waited outside Cancun's airport after trying unsuccessfully to book a ferry, rent a boat and charter an airplane. "The next option is swimming, I guess," he joked.

A hurricane warning was in affect from Cancun all the way south through Belize. All hospitals were closed in Belize City, the country's biggest, and authorities urged residents to leave, saying Dean is too strong for their shelters. Meteorologists said a storm surge of 12 to 18 feet was possible at the storm's center.

The storm was expected to slash across the Yucatan and emerge in the Gulf of Campeche, where Petroleos de Mexico decided Monday to shut down production on the offshore rigs that extract most of the nation's oil.

President Felipe Calderon said he would cut short a trip to Canada where he is meeting with President Bush and Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

"Given (the hurricane's) progression and dangerousness, I have decided to return to Mexico soon," Calderon said in Ottawa. "I'll personally oversee the aid effort in case of a disaster."

Shutting the 407 oil wells in the Campeche Sound will result in a production loss of 2.7 million barrels of oil and 2.6 billion cubic feet of natural gas a day, Pemex said. Of that, about 1.7 million barrels of oil a day is exported from three Gulf ports, where Pemex was loading the final tankers before shutting them as well.

Central Mexico was next on the storm's path, though the outer bands were likely to bring rain, flooding and gusty winds to south Texas, already saturated after an unusually rainy summer.

At the southern tip of Texas, officials urged residents to evacuate ahead of the storm. "Our mission is very simple. It's to get people out of the kill zone, to get people out of the danger area, which is the coastline of Texas," said Johnny Cavazos, Cameron County's chief emergency director.

Officials in the resort town of South Padre Island distributed sandbags after a state of emergency was declared.

In Mexico, the Quintana Roo state government said about two-thirds of the 60,000 tourists in the Cancun area had left. Some camped overnight at the city's airport to ensure a flight out. Many others were turned away.

"I'm just hoping that we get out in time. We've got two little kids back in the States," Morovich said. But the heavyset man wasn't too worried about survival, saying: "It would take at least a Category 5 to blow me away."

Workers hammered plywood over the windows of hotels along the tourist strip, where the skyline is still marked with cranes used to repair the damage of Hurricane Wilma. That storm caused $3 billion in losses in 2005.

Dean could be even stronger than Wilma, which stalled over Cancun and pummeled it for a day. The fast-moving Dean was passing farther south, and was likely to deliver a brief but powerful punch to Mexico's Maya heartland.

That area stretches from Tulum south to the growing beach resort at Mahahual, where authorities evacuated hundreds of tourists on Monday. Between the two lies the 2.5 million-acre Sian Kaan nature reserve, with a 1,200-year-old network of Mayan canals.

Government anthropologists said they were preparing 13 archaeological sites for the storm, pruning trees and removing signs and vegetation that strong winds could turn into damaging projectiles.

Cancun still could face tropical-storm-force winds — forecast to extend over an area of about 75,000 square miles, about the size of Nebraska or South Dakota.

"We're leaving. You don't play around with nature," fisherman Maclovio Manuel Kanul said, pulling equipment from his beachfront fishing shack near Cancun. "We still haven't been able to recover from Wilma, and now this is coming."

Belize, just south of Mexico, evacuated 6,000 people from the country's main tourist resort, San Pedro on Ambergris Caye, and 500 or so from nearby Caye Caulker, said national emergency coordinator James Jan Mohammed. People were urged to leave low-lying areas.

Authorities evacuated Belize City's three hospitals and were moving high-risk patients to the inland capital, Belmopan, founded after 1961's Hurricane Hattie devastated Belize City. Belize City Mayor Zenaida Moya urged people to leave, saying shelters aren't strong enough to withstand a storm of Dean's size.

Dean, the first hurricane of the Atlantic season, raked Jamaica and the Cayman Islands on Sunday, but both escaped the full brunt of the storm.

In Jamaica, the storm uprooted trees, flooded roads and collapsed some buildings. Downed utility poles left thousands without electricity or telephone service. Police said two men were killed: one when his house collapsed and another struck by flying debris.

Haitian officials on Monday reported two more deaths from the storm, raising the storm's death toll in the Caribbean to at least 12.

The worst storm to hit Latin America in modern times was 1998's Hurricane Mitch, which killed nearly 11,000 people and left more than 8,000 missing, most in Honduras and Nicaragua.

———

Associated Press writers contributing to this report included Karla Heusner Vernon in Ladyville, Belize; Howard Campbell in Kingston, Jamaica; Lisa Adams in Mexico City; Michael Melia in San Juan, Puerto Rico; and Stevenson Jacobs in George Town, Cayman Islands.

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:01 AM

constant drizzle outside. winds pretty calm.
Posted By: belizeonthebeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:04 AM

SF Jeff,
the Rojo building is probably one of the best places to weather this monster. I know 'cause I built it. The prevoius owner was pissed 'cause he had to replace the gutters after Kieth. Thats was it.
I am in Tres Cocos waiting for the s&*# to hit the fan.
Gonna be a long night.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:04 AM

winds now 15-20 from the north, gusts to 25
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:06 AM

I'm watching CNN as I write this and they are saying that Dean couldn't hit a better place since it is not so populated.......again no evidence that AC or Belize even exist!!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:06 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:08 AM

i heard that loansum. yuck. storm is 150 miles from the yucatan coast
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:10 AM

winston: indeed the security is tight enough, people have followed instructions well, accidents should be few.
Posted By: Mayfield

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:10 AM

Just heard the same thing CNN....unbelievable.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:11 AM

What the hell is going on with the media!?!? I've emailed all the networks that are ignoring Belize.....which are the most of them, to let them know that there is a country of Belize!
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:16 AM

belizeonthebeach: THANKS for all those trusses in the roof!!! Will be a long night... I just raided our refrigerators and bar!
Posted By: belizeonthebeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:18 AM

SF Jeff,
That main girder truss running north.south is a work of art if I may say so myself.
Posted By: Passport

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:21 AM

We have been to San Pedro once a year for the last 14 years and have many friends there. Eduardo Brown and Ramon Navarro and wish them the best possible outcome.

The Clarks, San Antonio, TX
Posted By: GeorgeA

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:22 AM

Just signed on, anyone downtown?
Posted By: Mayfield

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:23 AM

Oh my local news stinks. They are still saying a Cat 4..but maybe they can't figure things like this out in Minnesota.
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:24 AM

I was just outside again for the last time tonight. Waves are starting to get bigger and more consistent. We almost have Wilma water already.
Posted By: GeorgeA

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:26 AM

TY JZB, are you in SPR town?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:28 AM

channel 5 news
http://www.channel5belize.com/#a8

Posted By: shannymara

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:29 AM

Hi everyone, it's Shannon Key here. I just wanted to let you all know I'm thinking of you here in Texas, and I hope and pray you all stay safe during the storm. Thankfully the northern part of the eye will not be hitting you directly. Good luck all.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:31 AM

thanks Shannon, your pa is watching this one from up high huh? been thinkin a lot of him. always do. he's in my soul.

this from a friend

Just talked with SP @ 8:05. Weather there not bad right now, calm with little drizzle. Their on-island information has it coming onshore at around 18.2 N, with them getting winds in 75-80 mph range and about 5-7 foot surge, and weather to start really deteriorating 1-2 am.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:33 AM

from another friend....

I just saw Jim Mohammed on Channel 5's news, and he was saying they (NEMO) expect greater wave action/storm surges than what they had with Mitch, and they are expecting signifficant loss of piers and beaches ...
Posted By: lakegirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:33 AM

Please, please everyone be careful and stay safe. We are really worried about you all. We will not sleep well tonight thinking about this.

By the way Marty, great, great job.

Christie
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:34 AM

Sorry, No. About 3.5 miles south.
Posted By: ShellyMax

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:38 AM

Loansum, it's a losing battle with the media. CNN in the U.S. thinks Belize is in Mexico. I was just watching CNN and their weatherman said the hurricane will hit a nature preserve, so it couldn't hit in a better place. The anchor said, Well that's good news. They completely ignored Belize to the south. U.S. media is worthless anyway. Stay safe everyone, we are thinking about you!
Posted By: Mac&Erin

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:39 AM

Weather channel just said that the electronic equipment that they dropped into the hurricane didn't transmit the data like it should have and they won't have good information on it's strength and pressure until early morning when they upload it from the hurricane hunter plane when it lands. He also said that the estimate of 160mph winds was on the cautious side and it's very likely 165.
Posted By: July in Belize31

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:40 AM

I just left Belize last Friday and my heart is still there. I wish you well and pray for the best! Stay safe and thanks for letting us all know how you are doing!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:46 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: pnut

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:48 AM

I've been reading the posts all day, Marty thanks for all of your wonderful info. We just talked to Mr. German at Copacabana, they are hunkered down and riding it out. Many prayers to everyone on the island.
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:48 AM

Is anyone near the Belize Yacht Club or Changes in Latitude?
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:49 AM

if u go to weathernetwork.com it keeps it up to date pretty good of what is happening ...
Posted By: hollywood

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:53 AM

SP, our prayers are with you. We are from New Orleans and wish you all to stay Safe. We are friends of jules Escalante. Anyone know if he and his family left SP ?

Tom and Bea
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:56 AM

havent heard from jules but he has been through this before with keith ...sure he & family are fine
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:57 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:57 AM

is anyone near the BYC or Changes in Latitude? You think anyone on the island is online?
Posted By: GeorgeA

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:58 AM

Just spoke to my Mom downtown, waves almost at park's edge.
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:59 AM

I am thinking this is one that no one should have rode out on the islands.
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:02 AM

I am on island and on line.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:03 AM

Finally starting to get some legitimate lift away from the 18N parallel. It looks like almost about 18.5 now

[Linked Image]
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:03 AM

I wonder if the waves are at Changes yet, they will be close. I wished they would have went inland.
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:05 AM

So what degree is AC?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:06 AM

sea receding from corozal bay. lil of that occuring in san pedro, not as dramatic
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:06 AM

Or should I say, what degree is San Pedro?
Posted By: tawnya

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:07 AM

how is everyone at white sands cove??
Posted By: blat

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:08 AM

think SPR at 17.92, am a RVB newby to the island, as of 1:00pm EDT Jules was staying
Posted By: beachcowgirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:08 AM

Hello and Safe night to my new friends on AC, just left last week. Bought into Captain Morgan's last spring and will be back for the next 99 years smile Prayers and all the positive vibes I can send from Texas, will be up with you all night. Extra prayers for the sealife and gorgeous reef!
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:08 AM

its about time it went further north...to miss the island AC
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:09 AM

San Pedro 17.9 lat
Corozol 18.38 lat
Posted By: hollywood

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:09 AM

collyk,

What are the winds like ? Where are you riding out the storm ?
Be safe.
Posted By: drkeys

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:09 AM

Diana and Steve here
We just left Belizean Shores on Saturday.
To all the awesome people we met on our stay please be safe! To our friends at Belizean Shores and TuffENough Tours our thoughts are with you - Let us know you are ok!!! We are worried!!
Posted By: shannymara

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:09 AM

Marty how far out has the sea receded?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:09 AM

from corozal

http://www.ih2000.net/ira/navychart.gif

gives clear description on how to reach the Navy tracking graphic found at:

http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/center/Tropical/wtnt01.gif

By Navy's latest tracking --

OK -- being as we are to the South of the Hit zone -- we get less "effect"

Still -- Dean is huge -- a real monster.

Winds of 34 to 50 knots will blow across one end of Belize to the other --

The Northern Cayes will get hit with winds of greater than 64 knots --

Corozal area -- 64 to 60 knots.

BK - -check it out and verify.

This based on the tracking staying as it is -- not coming more south -- or
not going more north.
Posted By: ggbranum

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:10 AM

Hi All. I've been watching the message board intently just like I have for Mitch and Keith, and am praying for friends and everyone on Ambergris Caye. I work for the UpLink Foundation. We've been coming to San Pedro for 13 years (I've been to the island 20+ times). We have a shipment and trip scheduled to bring needed school supplies to the children of San Pedro for the start of the school year. Dean will certainly change the nature of things on the island, but we are still planning (unless circumstances make it impossible) making our trip as planned. For those of you who care, check our www.uplinkfoundation.org We are deeply commited to Belize and the people of Ambergris Caye. Our prayers are with you.
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:10 AM

What does that mean, Marty? Sea receding?
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:12 AM

Winds are currently WNW 12 to 14 kts.
Posted By: shannymara

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:13 AM

It could be (probably is) receding because of the fetch of wind out of the west since they're on the south side of Dean. I remember that happened once when I was down there (can't remember which storm did it, but we never actually got hit by the storm). It's also sometimes a precursor to storm surge.
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:15 AM

Thanks, Shannymara, I think I understand.
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:16 AM

Those latitudes are what I have on a print out from Lan from Oct 2001.
Thanks for being the "lifeline" again, Marty!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:16 AM

Jim: started at bridge for a patrol. lagoon, water has breeched some portions of the sealwall, especially by the boatyard. river getting higher. winds not too bad but increasing as the patrol went along. about 20 knots now

haven't seen anyone in the streets. very quiet and hunkered down. went down by bc's and the rivers are coming in further on the beach
Posted By: Jmarte01

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:17 AM

Been to AC many times and absolutely love Belize. Praying for everyone still in the area, hopefully things won't get as bad as predicted. For a great up to the moment picture look on www.weather.com at the interactive satelite picture of Dean (http://www.weather.com/outlook/trav...R0133?zoom=6&interactiveMapLayer=sat). You can zoom in and out and it actually shows San Pedro on the map when you zoom in, it is great. Also, does anyone know if Lil' Alfonse is still on the island/how he's doing? I already checked the other forums and couldn't find any info about him. Marty keep up the updates, if it wasn't for you I would probably be having a heart attack up worrying up here. Thanks a lot!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:17 AM

curfew in effect, bdf soldiers patrolling with police, and are armed. suggests residents stay in tonight, no need to come out and check anythihg. do that in daylight when curfew over.

no incidents reported so far at all. residents heeding the warnings on the radio
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:17 AM

5 miles North of town:

'just was out in the backyard taking a peek... W-I-N-D-Y... hard pressed to guess what the gusts are coming in at... trees starting to get tussled about pretty good... VERY sporadic still, up and down in speed. Very little rain at this point...

AMAZING we still have power... wierd, as BEL has been having trouble keeping the power on up north when it's been nice out all this past week...

no idea what the water is like, not going to venture out in front... last look there was a LOT of erosion and a few pieces off our pier... imagine our docks will not be standing come morning...

Posted By: carol2007

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:18 AM

Does it look like a lot of people have evacuated off the island
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:19 AM

curfew over at around 9am tomorrow morning.
folks will want to go out when the sun comes out, but the curfew will not be lifted til 9am. curfew set by governor general and prime ministers office.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:20 AM


Jim just spoke to Caye Caulker and policde officers are out, electricity is off as of 10pm, generators at police station and emergency committee

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:20 AM

yes it looks empty. no one is out at all now. 10,000 people off
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:23 AM

the water line recedes as the storm eye approachs ...like a undercurrent does but it takes the water with it ...it then surges back to the eye which sends it out with a force taking the energy out of it...via the heat of the water
Posted By: hicklin_house

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:23 AM

Hi Guys, i hope everyone is safe. Thank you for all the updates, but be safe!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:25 AM

water coming up a bit by perla escondida. rain starting to come sideways..satellite picture shows hard weather about to hit the island

[Linked Image]

most docks still fine, only one or two poor ones gone so far. wind definently on increase. by eiley bulkhead the water is on the rise

few huge rollers just rolled in. the lot south of the eiley bulkhead taking in a lot of water

water parallel to the seawall on lagoon side
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:25 AM

Marty, how come you know so much and you are not there?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:27 AM

steady winds 20-22 knots gusts to 39 at tropic air
Posted By: mobunny

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:27 AM

Because Mrty rocks!!!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:29 AM

phones, email, weather sites, its a small beautiful planet
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:29 AM

that is an amen from me, still curious tho, major connections going on up there to the island.
Posted By: mobunny

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:30 AM

Because Marty rocks!!!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:31 AM

municipal pier underwater
Posted By: luna11

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:31 AM

Went to CC in February. Didn't know when I booked the trip I would be recovering from surgery...Left the island refreshed and healed. Can only pass on that good feeling now when all of you are in Belize riding out the Dean tempest. Stay safe and hope to visit again in the future!! Peace.
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:31 AM

Wind now at about 26kts out of the West. I'm sitting inside my house and listening to the roar of the water and crashing waves outside. A weird sound for this island! We are not getting much rain right now but have collected .86 inches over the past 24hours.
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:32 AM

yes marty does rock he is our communication with the island ..and times like this is it...worried
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:33 AM

big waves washing in by woodys. the piers along downtown san pedro are taking some damage. wave action higgher still. holiday pier is receiving a lot of damage, part of it is broken, the part next to the beach
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:34 AM

some buildings starting to get water inside from the waves.

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:35 AM

from 8 til 10pm waves have doubled in size. thats from a view at the spindrift
the sign for bc's is underwater. thats about 10 feet away from the water
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:36 AM


the dock south from bc's has fallen. the damage has started on Ambergris Caye, mainly on the eastern side, it is getting bettered right now by big waves
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:39 AM

western side of the island, the water is rising pretty fast
Posted By: July in Belize31

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:40 AM

Marty,

When you say bc's, are you talking about bc's bar? Are you talking abou the dock in front of The Palms?

By the way, I am sure that your communication is helping alot of people deal with this terrible storm. It helps them calm down.

Here's to you Marty!
Posted By: AFD

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:41 AM

Please be safe Marty. We do appreciate your posts.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:41 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:42 AM

yes bc's bar
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:42 AM

and its only just getting started peir lounge may get alot of damage ....all beach front will i guess big surge happening
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:42 AM

here's to reef radio they are KICKING BUTT BIG TIME! pretty much unheard of what they are doing
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:44 AM

they are going the distance, and so am i
Posted By: meghann

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:44 AM

Thanks so much for all the updates! I just left San Pedro yesterday and have been so worried about the island and all the great people I met. Stay safe and please keep the updates coming.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:45 AM

Thanks Marty, looks like we could be losing communications anytime with our friends and family on the island. Our thoughts and prayers are with all of you. I will be standing in the gap for all of you, until we hear word tomorrow once the storm has passed.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:47 AM

from san pedrito area, water rising fast, a lot of wind
tropic air readings 30 knots
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:48 AM

wind blowing from the north and west on the west side really feeling it more than the east side
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:50 AM

getting to be the bad part of the storm. conditions going downhill now for awhile
Posted By: YogaGirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:50 AM

Any idea how Banyan Bay is doing?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:51 AM

boca del rio area, water up to as far as the street all the way to the beach. milo says winds STRONG there. often floods that area in storms
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:56 AM

water rising on tarpon street

waves on east side continues to batter docks. water rising fast on back side too.
Posted By: Amy Robinson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:56 AM

I know this is mostly about Pedro - but has anyone heard about Caulker???
Posted By: YogaGirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:57 AM

Thank you Marty...stay safe and HOLD ON!!!!!
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:01 AM

yeah, what crazy bastards are hunkered down on CC?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:01 AM

high tension wires starting to giggle and hum

reef radio expects to be shut down soon when the power is turned off
which will be done when conditions are too rough
Posted By: belizeonthebeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:01 AM

Marty is in Oregon or somewhere. He will be safe unless he falls off his chair or something.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:04 AM

from a friend


Well, they are screwing up big time with the curfew that the cops
demanded and got.

EVERYONE is supposed to be indoors at this time, in all of Northern
Belize and down to Belize City.

But NEMO is still calling for people to get out of their homes and go
to shelters. Calling for people in low-lying areas to move out.

How do they do that without violating the curfew?

A well-meaning reporter for LOVE FM said he went to the Coro police
station a few minutes ago to complain that people were moving about
the streets in Coro after curfew hours. So the cops promised to send
out two patrols to fix that!.

On radio right now a pol in Corozal Town is telling folks that taxis
are still at the taxi stands and they can call a cab to take them to
shelters as they (NEMO Corozal) have no available transport.

Some very stubborn people are WALKING from the Roaring Creek junction
into Belmopan as the authorities are not allowing buses with evacuees
in as the shelters here are full. And some evacuees do not want to go
to Benque-San Ignacio or even Roaring Creek (which still has space)
for that matter.
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:05 AM

LOL, at the falling from the chair thing
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:07 AM

holiday pier, san pedro water taxi pier, municipal piers receiving heavy wave action. lightpost there is moving
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:09 AM

trying hard to stay in the chair. trying harder to spare the lumbar
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:10 AM

how is changes in latitude holding up, marty? heard anything?
Posted By: belizeonthebeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:10 AM

Marty--any idea when they will kill the power?
Posted By: Marj G

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:11 AM

So are you getting all of this from reef radio?
Posted By: belizeonthebeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:11 AM

Or are they gonna let the storm do it for them?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:11 AM

Eiden taking a walk to tell us the conditions...
windspeed at tropic is 35 knots gusts to 46 knots
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:11 AM

changes should be OK for now. Concrete, and not beachfront.
Posted By: denverdan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:13 AM

power out?
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:13 AM

thanks
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:14 AM

the ONLY positive thing is that belize is NOT on the fast side of the hurricane winds ie: the north section of the counter clockwise motions....not very comforting...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:14 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: ggbranum

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:16 AM

Marty, are you on island? Or are somewhere else? Either way, thank you the posts.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:17 AM

wind is pretty strong right now, Eiden came back in because of the wind. the waves are huge in the mar de tumbo. winds picking up even more. suggests please remain indoors, its getting pretty nasty. the weather conditions have deteriorated tremendously and will get worse.

windspeed at tropic is 3-33 steady knots gusts to 42 knots

wind has not yet reached tropical storm status
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:17 AM

repeating questions wastes bandwidth
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:20 AM

Winston: the storm is coming in, this is what was expected. yes we're just getting into the tropical storm, almost to tropical force winds. getting there fast. its getting more ferocious outside, its raining sideways temp is 78 degrees , tide almost at peak. we are going to get into hurricane force winds, worse for the next 3-4 hours
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:20 AM

Thanks Marty, wherever you are reporting from. I pray for everyone who has decided to stay on the islands! As for the media -- in Texas they're not saying much about Belize but this might be a good thing in the fact that maybe it will remain a 'secret treasure' for those of us that DO know about it! Listening to ReefRadio online and getting updates too.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:21 AM

storm is a pincer movement getting it from both sides. winston is right on the lagoon.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:22 AM

is anyone reporting from Caye Caulker? or are you all on Pedro?
Posted By: Amy Robinson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:22 AM

so i guess i'll search for a caye caulker message board then.
thanks for nothing.
Posted By: ggbranum

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:22 AM

My greatest apologies, Christopher, stepped away for while and missed some posts. Sorry to offend your bandwidth issues.
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:22 AM

"just checked the buoy report. Second hour now in a row that the wave heights have declined. Now only 29.9 foot waves. "
What does this mean? water getting sucked up into the storm like the bay waters?
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:23 AM

I think, from listening to Reef Radio, that most people have evacuated Caye Caulker
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:24 AM

Amy,

I don't know if they have power on Caye Caulker right now. Try putting a message in the Caye Caulker list on this message board and head it with something like 'INFO on Caye Caulker wanted'. If anyone can, I am sure they will respond as soon as possible.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:26 AM

Just talked to Dennis at Lighthouse Radio, he opened the door from the 3rd floor to check it out. The wind was too strong! He heard zinc fly and hit after he opened the door to look out, not sure where it came from. This is on the corner of middle street and tarpon street. He looked out the window and the football field by lagoon is taking on a lot of water.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:27 AM

dean from space (2 days ago)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FxFOm8BC4GE&feature=dir
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:27 AM

thanks, sandsxyz1
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:29 AM

the storm has passed the buoy. its the closest to ambergris caye, but its still out at sea
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:30 AM

Caulker power is off.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:31 AM

certainly smile
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:32 AM

ok - thanks, hunters
Posted By: Amy Robinson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:33 AM

Thanks colyk - sorry if I seem bitchy... my sister is 8 and a half months pregnant and lives on CC full time as a scuba instructor (when she isn't with child...)
and my family and i are extremely stressed is all...
not to mention, belize is my home away from home, and i hate thinking about all my friends out there right now...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:33 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:34 AM

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/maps/West_Caribbean.shtml

Map shows location.

Click on 42056 for the data.
The other buoys are unfortunately out of service.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:34 AM

evacuations in corozal in low lying areas. calm there at the moment, but things will be getting worse there soon. cnn saying eye will go over chetumal
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:35 AM

marty any news if winds stronger from the west still or is it the swirl affect
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:35 AM

Don't worry Amy. I totally understand. It has been a stressful and worrying time and the waiting has only made it worse. I hope you get information as soon as possible.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:36 AM

In case everyone doesn't know, you can go to www.reefradio.com and listen to their broadcast online --- they are giving updates, information, evacuation info, weather reports constantly. CNN saying eye will pass of Chetamal. Reef Radio is saying to remain INDOORS. Expected to make landfall in the next couple of hours.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:37 AM

boca del rio water from river and sea meeting by dahlias. boca del rio mostly underwater at least some.

winds mostly from the N and W

waves high at ramons, part of the dock is already gone
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:39 AM

Sorry www.thereefradio.com
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:39 AM

call in from DFC not seeing a big rise in water level onlhy about a foot
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:41 AM

CANCUN, Mexico (CNN) -- Hurricane Dean burgeoned into a Category 5 storm -- capable of inflicting catastrophic damage when it makes landfall early Tuesday.


Residents look at the waters in Chetumal, Mexico. Rain from the storm hit Monday.

1 of 3 more photos » The storm -- with maximum sustained winds of 160 mph -- was not expected to weaken before its landfall on the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, the National Hurricane Center said.

A Category 5 storm is the most extreme level on the Saffir-Simpson scale, the standard measurement for hurricanes. Such hurricanes can have a storm surge of more than 18 feet and are powerful enough to take off roofs, uproot trees and wipe out buildings.

Dean is expected to pour 5 to 10 inches of rain on the Yucatan, Belize, Guatemala and Honduras. Some areas could see up to 20 inches -- enough to "cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides," the hurricane center said.

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:44 AM

mosquito coast area, 5 feet high waves wind gauge says 45 knots

jewfish street: towards the lagoon by fire station that street is two feet underwater
Posted By: Amy Robinson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:48 AM

Thanks - I'll feel better Dec. 1!
Posted By: pugwash

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:48 AM

FWIW: WEATHER CHANNEL IN US REPORTING (11.35 BELIZE TIME) THAT EYE SHOULD HIT AROUND 100-150 MILES NORTH OF CHETUMAL, AND ANTI CLOCKWISE WINDS WILL AT LEAST HELP PROTECT AREAS SOUTH OF THE EYE FROM FLOODING BY DRIVING WATERS OFF SHORE....
ITS NOT MUCH, BUT I'LL TAKE ANY GOOD NEWS AT THE MOMENT
TO ALL OF YOU DOWN THERE STILL, STAY SAFE

PS JUST LOST REEF RADIO
Posted By: chunkyruth

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:49 AM

Collette, you are so sweet...calming down people miles away from the the storm that you are in the middle of. Don't know if you can recall us, but we met and chatted with you many times last winter walking the beach in the AM...Art (who always had his knee bandaged) and Ruth from Coral Bay Villas. Anyway, take care of yourself and Maya and your doggies and we'll see you in December. Thanks for the updates, they are very appreciated.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:49 AM

person at jambels says waves are pounding into the cannibals beach bar.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:51 AM

sorry to sound retarded, but i can't seem to get reefradio going. when i click on listen live, a window at http://cobra.mediacast1.com/djmauricio?filename=listen.wma opens, and then windows media player opens up and then says "Windows Media Player cannot play the file. The server might not be available or there might be a problem with your network or firewall settings." i went to control panel, windows firewall, but it's set to be off... i then clicked on exceptions, add port, selected UDP (per windows help) but don't know what port number to indicate. do you have any suggestions?
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:53 AM

I couldn't hear Reef Radio either --- maybe their signal was out briefly. ????
Caribe Island Resort is on Mosquito Coast --- 5 ft high waves.........wow! I cannot imagine!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:54 AM

just received a wave from the lagoon that covered half the football field
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:54 AM

that's been my problem all day...I paused it once and that was the end of the broadcast...
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:54 AM

what happens is that the server has a limit of 4o ppl to listing to the radio but they said that in case if the power goes off they have a generator to back up
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:54 AM

5 foot high at the reef i think. (mosquito coast)
Posted By: CKofABQ

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:54 AM

Keep clicking, you'll eventually get on, most likely as someone logs off or is kicked off.
That's how I got the feed more than 7 hours ago.
Only so much bandwidth.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:55 AM

this just in from Love FM - about 600 to 700 people still on caye caulker according to the police department.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:56 AM

Highest gust so far 51 kts
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:56 AM

those numbers sound high, though. maybe he meant 60 to 70?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:56 AM

tropic windspeed = low 30's to low 40's knots steady 51 knots highest gust so far. still increasing

mph just a lil higher than knots

Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:57 AM

I'm sorry missmhenderson --- I was mistaken. Surely your sister left.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:58 AM

LOVE FM has a live feed, covering the country right now. A nemo official, I think he was, not sure; estimated 600-700 people have stayed on Caye Caulker. Hope this is accurate enough to share. You can get on Love at www.belizenews.com then click on lovefm once you get there click on the live box. Covers entire country, a little different than Reef, but easy to get on if you want to hear something.
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:59 AM

if only 1000 people left, there must be hundreds remaining
population could be as high as 1500
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:59 AM

yes, my sister, my mother, and my brother in law all left. they're up in cayo. but me and my sister Amy Robinson have lots and lots of dear friends who are just stupid enough to stay on that damn sliver of an island. sorry, if you're on an island. but seriously! why???? why?????????
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:00 AM

oops, sorry for the duplicate post.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:02 AM

and they only left because we called and called and finally got through to scream at them, and because she's two weeks from delivering her first baby. the reason they wanted to stay? "to watch the house." to watch the house...what? sail off into the ocean???
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:03 AM

winston: seas from the east, winds from the west is what we are experiencing right now. we are right in the middle
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:04 AM

I don't know why people would stay. I can't say that I would, don't know unless I was in that situation. God bless your friends and everyone else who may have stayed on the islands.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:06 AM

welcome to tuesday!!!

[Linked Image]
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:06 AM

Sure hope it moves north quick! From the looks of the weather channel, the south of the eye wall will be just north of AC. Maybe I'm wrong.....hope so.
Posted By: Anonymous

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:07 AM

I think it is amazing you allhave power to post from AC!!!!
Posted By: purdygrl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:07 AM

CNN International is at least mentioning that Belize will be getting hit. But they are still focusing on Mexico in their report.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:07 AM

Statement as of 2:00 am EDT on August 21, 2007


...Potentially catastrophic Hurricane Dean bearing down on the East
Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula...


a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the entire coastline of Belize
and along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
from the Belize/Mexico border northward to Cancun. A Hurricane
Warning is also in effect along the West Coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula from south of Progresso southward to Chilitepec.
Preparations to protect life and property along the East Coast of
the Yucatan Peninsula should have already been completed.
Preparations elsewhere in the Hurricane Warning area should be
rushed to completion.

At 200 am EDT...0600z...the eye of Hurricane Dean was located by an
Air Force hurricane hunter plane near latitude 18.5 north...
longitude 86.8 west or about 100 miles...160 km...east of Chetumal
Mexico and about 260 miles...420 km...east-southeast of Campeche
Mexico.


Dean is moving toward the west near 20 mph...32 km/hr...and this
motion is expected to continue today and tonight. On the forecast
track...the eye of Dean will make landfall along the East Coast of
the Yucatan Peninsula in a few hours. Dean will cross the Yucatan
Peninsula later today and likely reach the southern Bay of Campeche
tonight.


Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...260 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dean is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane
on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Little change in strength
is expected prior to landfall. Although some weakening is forecast
as Dean crosses the Yucatan Peninsula...Dean is expected to
maintain hurricane strength throughout the next 24 hours.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles...280 km.

The minimum central pressure estimated from the aircraft data is
911 mb...26.90 inches.


Dean is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches
over The Isthmus of Tehuantepec and Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico...
Belize...Guatemala...and northern Honduras...with maximum amounts
of up to 20 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides.


Storm surge flooding of 12 to 18 feet above normal tide levels along
with large and dangerous battering waves is possible near and to
the north of where Dean makes landfall along the East Coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula.


Repeating the 200 am EDT position...18.5 N...86.8 W. Movement
toward...west near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...160 mph.
Minimum central pressure...911 mb.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:07 AM

ok, i've given up on reef and am just monitoring Love FM. if anyone hears anything of import from Reef, pass it on. you're probably already doing it, though, in which case - thanks! smile
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:08 AM

Good Morning VIETNAM!....
welcome to the warzone
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:08 AM

yes i am transcribing the reef radio broadcst
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:11 AM

this was the wrong week to stop drinking.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:12 AM

FROM FOXNEWS - ASSOCIATED PRESS:

...Belize, just south of Mexico, evacuated 6,000 people from the country's main tourist resort, San Pedro on Ambergris Caye, and 500 or so from nearby Caye Caulker, said national emergency coordinator James Jan Mohammed. People were urged to leave low-lying areas.

Authorities evacuated Belize City's three hospitals and were moving high-risk patients to the inland capital, Belmopan, founded after 1961's Hurricane Hattie devastated Belize City. Belize City Mayor Zenaida Moya urged people to leave, saying shelters aren't strong enough to withstand a storm of Dean's size.

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:12 AM

milo says the waves are very big in boca del rio. a house has collapsed by compadres. its floating in the area.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:13 AM

all i've got left in the cupboard is syrupy raspberry liquor. this is a night for one barrel.
Posted By: purdygrl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:14 AM

Marty what is the Biosphere that CNN keeps talking about it looks like Ambergris Caye when they point to it on the map? Do you know.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:14 AM

how recent was that FOX NEWS report?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:15 AM

report from an area by airstrip that a transformer has exploded
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:15 AM

Sian Ken Biosphere - Near Ixcalak - very Southern tip of Mexico's Yuc peninsula. Just a bit up the sea from AC
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:15 AM

not that i'm an alcoholic, i'm just doing a cleanse. and of course, this makes me sound like an alcoholic.
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:16 AM

some house by the compadres bar collapse
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:16 AM

you boozer you :>
Posted By: Anonymous

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:16 AM

That would explain losing the chatters in the chat room
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:17 AM

airstrip on CC? gaaah. that's right up the road from my family's place! but screw it - things can be rebuilt, right?
Posted By: kayesscee

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:17 AM

Marty,

I know it's been said before, but thanks so much for keeping those of us with friends on the island updated as to everything that is happening. It helps. Even if we can't do anything for the moment, it helps to have a link to them. So thanks again.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:18 AM

proud and honored to help...
wind is howling
Posted By: Anonymous

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:19 AM

missmhenderson, I don't think any of these posts relate to CC at all. Sounds like AC only to me. I am sure your friends found a good safe place. Just send good thoughts and pray a bit. Tomorrow will bring more news from CC. I too am worried about friends there.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:20 AM

yeah, it totally does!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:22 AM

hearing zinc shaking somewhere near jambels
gentleman removed from his house in boca del rio

windspeed at tropic = 35-40 knots steady gusts to 46 knots from NW
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:23 AM

there is a section on the board for caye caulker but the storm info is in here tonite
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:24 AM

some lampposts downtown throwing out sparks
expecting electricity to go out anytime
Posted By: Amy Robinson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:25 AM

I'm a total loser, because I kept thinking AC was "Air Conditioning..."
Which we are lacking on CC....

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:25 AM

Julian says we still have power, cable TV & Internet. Just peeked outside & winds are picking up from the north. Various reports on several piers that are damaged in various parts of town.
Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:27 AM

Marty, This is Yvonne at Iguana Gardens ,,, my live cams are still on and the trees are rocking and the rain is coming down sideways.... thick too.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:27 AM

center heading for Chinchorro Atoll (18" 35' N and 87" 25' W ) , is lo c a t e d 30 krn eastward
frm the Yucatan Peninsula and about 100 krn n o r t h from Turneffe I s l a n d s
and Lighthouse [email protected]+ i n B e l i z e . I t i s 47 krn long, 18 km wide and has a
t o t a l area af more than 700 square km
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:28 AM

Hi Yvonne, can we get to the live cams on the internet?
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:28 AM

AC is so close to CC that it comforts me to keep tabs on what's happening. but thank you so much for your kindness.
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:29 AM

this will be bad for Chinchorro...it's one of the wonders of the world that is yet relatively undiscovered and pretty well protected by the Mex gov't
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:29 AM

i love you, amy. (good thing she's cute)
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:33 AM

big power surge almost brought down reef radio
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:34 AM

spindrift area lost power in that surge
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:34 AM

power went off and on at reef radio
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:35 AM

dean animation
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=3631827458025303505&q=%22hurricane+dean%22&total=333&start=0&num=10&so=1&type=search&plindex=9
Posted By: peterw

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:36 AM

Hi, Does anyone knows how bad this is north. My brother is at Matagrande (Ex. Sundivers) and I am to be honest a bit worried.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:37 AM

wind high, rain is pouring
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:37 AM

I am surprised to see you guys are still on line. I'm keeping my eye on you guys down there. I'm up in CA visiting family. I wish I was home in Belize.
I live down south and friends are telling me its still VERY calm down there.
Sittee River to be exact.
Hope you all get through this with no major problems!!

Take care and hang on tight. Wooo Hoooo!!

Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:38 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:38 AM

so far so good up north. few hours to go still...
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:39 AM

Thanks again for keeping us updated Marty!!
You're awesome!
Posted By: raven88

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:40 AM

Just registered to add my best wishes. I was in Belize for Mitch back in '88 and my thoughts are with you all.

Marty - have you got back up power for when the main supply goes ?

Dave
Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:40 AM

Sorry marty just lost my transmission ....
Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:41 AM

Lost all my people online ......
Posted By: Skyliner

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:42 AM

Marty is in Oregon -
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:42 AM

lots of light are staing to spark alot, the reef radio thinks that power willb cut off soon. s o get ready ppl w/h flashes...
Posted By: USCTrojan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:44 AM

Love FM had a caller ho said his nighbor's roof blew off in Crozal area about 10 minutes ago or so
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:44 AM

almost 1/4 of the storm is over land now
[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:45 AM

thats cool yvonne. remind me when this is over!!!!
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:46 AM

yvonne u ok at iguana i am on with laura...ready for the out of lights...
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:47 AM

CNN is just saying that eye is moving a bit further north than expected and Chetumal may escape the eye.
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:47 AM

the dogs are starting to respond to the winds...animals always hear it coming
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:49 AM

CNN is calling reef radio for a live report from san pedro
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:50 AM

lamp post by margarita fell down already
front st. lost power and is flooded
the post infront of the reef radio is shacking alot and almost falling
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:50 AM

by the infrared looks like the eye is moving more northern to me
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:51 AM

i just lost my reef radio signal. it cut out once, came back on, then went out. anyone else getting it still?
Posted By: denverdan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:52 AM

nope... sigh
Posted By: CKofABQ

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:52 AM

On my computer, Reef Radio went out about 3 minutes ago.
Posted By: Jmarte01

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:52 AM

Nope, same thing happened to me, Reef Radio out
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:52 AM

so NOW!? CNN finally calls someone who knows what is going on in Belize...incredible
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:52 AM

saying winds 160 with gusts to 195 on cnn
Posted By: bondshasha

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:53 AM

I know I gave Larua Valium but I tought it was fer her not the dogs!! Now I'm wondering
Posted By: kay johnson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:53 AM

checking in from Succotz.

it just now started to get a bit windy, and I can hear it raining.

sending good wishes to the folks out on Caulker and Ambergris.

stay safe y'all!
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:55 AM

must be busy out there! Rivers rising?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:55 AM

ok reef radio off, now we need you guys and gals on the island to give us reports... email me at [email protected] if you want to send me something
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:55 AM

http://www.theoildrum.com/files/20070820_2200EDT_PeakWinds.jpg
this shows what might go on after we're clobbered
you can magnify the image by clicking on it
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:55 AM

a little late arent they...
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:56 AM

Dean at 0:15 Belize Time
[Linked Image]
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:57 AM

Is there anyone one still on here that is on AC?

Posted By: Canadian Family

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:57 AM

You're in our Canadian prayers as well. Stay safe! We wish CNN would report more on the here and now in Belize, rather than the soon to be in Mexico.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:58 AM

San Pedro lost power about five minutes ago, just talked to Dennis again. Will update if I hear more, he can't see much now it's dark. Football field was high with water.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:58 AM

Hey Lena,
How are you doing? You still awake? Me too, can't sleep and I'm not even at home....
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:59 AM

Thanks Ebony for that update
I guess they are going to shut down power in Belize soon?
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:59 AM

by that picture looks like tropical storm shouldnt last too long before it moves on...thank god it is moving fast and not huvering like keith did
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:59 AM

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html
I don't like seeing MORE RED on this!....this thing is picking up steam heading to land
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:01 AM

belizegayl -- there is a bit of info about preparations and conditions around Sittee on my blog here.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:02 AM

Hey Lena,
Its me Sharon.... thanks! smile
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:02 AM

Looks like CNN listened to all of our emails everyone sent, I directed them to the message board for info, as I am sure everyone else did. They must be checking it out now. Thanks CNN for listening to Belize! I missed it on CNN, thanks for sharing.
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:03 AM

OH! (duh ;-) ) Pic too tiny... he he he
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:04 AM

Love FM from san pedrito - very high winds and about 2 feet of water on the ground.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:07 AM

Team- I need your help from the US info now. Anything you pick up please post, so I can give the updates to friends and family via phone in Belize. In return I will post any updates they can share with us. They are literally in the dark, and I would like to keep them as updated as possible. I am checking all the channels and the web, but emotions seem to be taking over a bit. I have family, my dogs, one ready to deliver puppies, lots of friends, and I am not there! Appreciate any technical useful info to pass on.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:08 AM

just got on my knees to pray for the cayes and all of belize. somehow it made the vigil a tiny bit better. elbows out, everybody!
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:09 AM

I'll tell you what is really wierd is that all the satellite stuff has almost a 3 HOUR GAP!...in other words watch the feed and I have looked at a lot of the different ones, and from UDT 3:45 it JUMPS to 6:15....with this one of the biggest storms in history, I'd like to find out tomorrow what happened to the 2.5 hours
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:10 AM

Hey Lena,
So you talking to folks in Sittee?
I am chatting with someone in Sittee Point. She says its raining but thats about it.
Her dogs are freaking out as well. My babies are playing in the house with their baby sitter, they are usually fast asleep my now. Hmm... I wish I was there to comfort them.
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:13 AM

My last phone calls were at 21:00 Bz Time. All was quiet at that time. Maya Centre buttoned down pretty tight. Dave with his whole bloody extended family (15 kids?!) in his 2 boarded-up houses in Sittee.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:15 AM

Dave is boarded up?? Wow!
I think our house is too.
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:17 AM

hello to all I know. Hold on and keep the island I'll b back soon.
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:17 AM

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200704_sat.html#a_topad
click to enlarge...if you want to!
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:17 AM

Belize, just south of Mexico, evacuated 6,000 people from the country's main tourist resort, San Pedro on Ambergris Caye, and 500 or so from nearby Caye Caulker, said national emergency coordinator James Jan Mohammed. People were urged to leave low-lying areas.

Authorities evacuated Belize City's three hospitals and were moving high-risk patients to the inland capital, Belmopan, founded after 1961's Hurricane Hattie devastated Belize City. Belize City Mayor Zenaida Moya urged people to leave, saying shelters aren't strong enough to withstand a storm of Dean's size.

Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:18 AM

I think I might have just lost connection with Sittee Point.
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:18 AM

Yvonne, u still there?
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:19 AM

did a.c.internet go down havent heard from san pedro pple for a few minutes now
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:19 AM

that's the only thing tha yahoo news hava about belieze therest is mostly about cancun!!!!
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:20 AM

US people - check out www.belizenews.com - go to Love FM and follow links to Listen Live - they're giving up to the moment updates. They're being very brave over at Love FM, actually. but that's a good way to stay connected moment-to-moment - at least until they lose their power.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:20 AM

LOVEfm broadcast at http://www.belizeweb.com/love.ram
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:20 AM

is the internet out??
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:21 AM

power out in san pedro
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:22 AM

Marty - i don't even know you, but you rock. thanks so much for giving clear, specific links and info and instructions.
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:22 AM

ok that is why i lost laura and yvonne ...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:22 AM

Christopher, i do not putup all the maps. i have them archived though (the gap between 3:45 and 6)

there was also a satellite outtage this evening. some data was lost
Posted By: kayesscee

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:23 AM

Listening to Love FM. They are staying on air, and are taking calls from all over Belize, including San Pedro.

http://www.belizenews.com/

Go to Love FM near the bottom of the page. I wasn't able to get on Reef radio all day so I don't know the difference in the broadcasts. Hope this helps somebody.
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:23 AM

OK, I'm pooped, so I am signing off for tonight. A final update and pix at http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com

When we meet later in the morning, we'll know what happened. Until then...

'Lena
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:23 AM

honored truly MissM
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:24 AM

nitey nite Miss Lena...
Posted By: kayesscee

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:24 AM

Sorry, Marty, for the double info. My updates on the board are slow.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:24 AM

corozal: pockets of electricity still working, say near the community college
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:25 AM

no problem Kayes, the board is slow tonite due to traffic being heavy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:25 AM

speeding up now as folks go to sleep!
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:27 AM

I guess I'm calling it a night also with little to hear from CC
best to all and we ALL need a lot of luck tonight
thanks again Marty...I'll be 'in' first thing
Posted By: jobelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:27 AM

well i need to get some sleep ..hold tight guys thinking of you and will check tomm see what the outcome is...thanks marty u do a hec of a job keeping us all informed of the island..much appreciated
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:27 AM

Just spoke to family in Georgeville Village, in Cayo, no signs of any real weather yet. Mom guessed it was about 68 degrees there.
Posted By: Bubbles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:28 AM

Hey Marty. Thanks for keeping it up!

Cap'n Ron
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:30 AM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: yat

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:31 AM

Thanks Marty for all that you do.
yat
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:32 AM

I am the chiropractor on the island (AC) for the last 5 years. I am kind of quite and shy but Is there anyone here I know??
Posted By: Bubbles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:33 AM

Patti quiet ????? Biggs and Ruben are on the island, but I don't know where.

Cap'n Ron
Posted By: kayesscee

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:33 AM

Patti,

Are you on the island?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:33 AM

i think i need to meet you next trip. my lumbar is hollaring at me
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:34 AM

Looks like its hitting land here pretty soon. I can't get LoveFM radio to work on my Mac. Bummer!!
I should get some sleep but I can't. frown
Posted By: USCTrojan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:36 AM

I have a Mac OSX. You need to download RealPlayer for Mac and run. i did it earlier and it works.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:36 AM

Love FM from San Pedro - Lagune tide high at 3 feet - flying zinc and metal and debris - wind keeps picking up - last at 60 mph gusts - obviously, no electricity. everybody's holding it down, according to caller.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:37 AM

Ok cool! Thanks USC.
You in California? I am but wishing I was home in Belize.
Posted By: USCTrojan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:38 AM

In San Diego. Family in CC
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:39 AM

correction - some electricity in pedro - but they expect it to all go soon.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:39 AM

situation normal in PG
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:41 AM

Its pretty normal in Sittee River as well. Rain and little wind.
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:41 AM

Hi kaycee
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:41 AM

Finally!!! Hey bubbles YES I am quiet if you don't know me! My thoughts are with Biggs and Reuben. I am in the states now but my heart is in SP
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:42 AM

Who is in SP now?? Anyone I know??
Posted By: Bubbles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:42 AM

Marty, best thing for your "lumbar" is "wood" alcohol.
Posted By: kayesscee

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:42 AM

Hi, Patti. Are you the island right now?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:43 AM

landfall soon...
[Linked Image]
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:43 AM

u there ron?
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:44 AM

Marty, from that photo, does this indicate that the worst is now happening to the people on the cayes?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:45 AM

we have a couple more hours
Posted By: Bubbles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:45 AM

I'm in Oregon, Dr. Patti. Last trip was June - next in Nov. I hope.
Posted By: Laguna Punta

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:49 AM

Hey Marty: Another long night at the wheel? Here is hoping the water surge will not be too bad in SP...but, we know there will be great human suffering as a result of Dean. Thanks once again for "our" site. Bill
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:51 AM

Oh good. I got Love FM to to work on my Mac. This is nice!
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:53 AM

Hi Ron I am in CA now. Have a ticket to Belize in a few weeks but will have to see now. Your boats all secured?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:56 AM

from fidos
very dark. rough seas. starting to get a lil worse. dock at fidos broken up
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:57 AM

love and hugs Bill. wish we could share a limeade tonite
Posted By: denverdan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:57 AM

oyyyyy
as many other docks are I presume.
Posted By: Bubbles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:58 AM

boats are secure - hope okay - all gear removed from dock two days ago. Ched on mainland. Your boat secured?
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:00 AM

This is a nice map...
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:01 AM

oops, i forgot the link... its time for me to sleep...hehe
http://www.weather.com/outlook/trav...R0133?zoom=6&interactiveMapLayer=sat
Posted By: kayesscee

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:01 AM

I'm on my way to bed now. It's 4:00 here. I've been glued to the internet all day and this helpless "voyeur" feeling is finally getting to me. I'll check in first thing in the a.m. (if I can sleep at all).

Marty, thanks again for everything. Your wealth of information is astounding.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:02 AM

all normal in seine bight
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:03 AM

You sound like me kayesscee. Maybe I'll try to get some sleep as well.
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:03 AM

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/tropical/map_spectrop03_ltst_6nh_enus_600x405.jpg

Shows just how much Dean is affecting the entire area. Plus lightening strike data. And only 20 mins. old.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:04 AM

Per Love FM 48 miles ne of San Pedro currently. It's close.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:05 AM

So CNN just keeps talking about Mexico and nothing about Belize frown
Posted By: kayesscee

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:05 AM

Good luck, belizegayl.

I'm signing out for the night.

Stay safe, everyone (on the island, and off).
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:05 AM

wind picking up at lamanai, lil bit of rain

[Linked Image]
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:06 AM

Nyt Nyt keyesscee, see ya on here later today maybe. smile
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:07 AM

weather channel says 4-6 foot surge
Posted By: KC

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:08 AM

I've been reading all day, and I hate to quit now, but sleep is calling. Will check back in the a.m. If anyone up north goes by Los Encantos in the morning I sure would appreciate a report on the condition of the dock. I fear the worst...

Many thanks to Marty for keeping the info flowing. It helps a lot.

Kathy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:09 AM

from corozal

the winds got me and the family up -- all of a sudden it is
getting furious out there.

little rain -- as of yet --

Wind seems to be gusting from every corner when I went out to check -- and
is steady picking up.

Lights not blinking -- and phone is good -- no noise -- amazing considering
what is going down out there.

Navy shows it more South --

My old Url:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG

Shows the eye just off shore where Navy said it would be.

Got a feeling we are going to see some major hurricane force winds here --

The Cayes must be taking a real lashing just about now!!

I'm sure communications will go down shortly.

Gusts seem to be getting stronger minute by minuit now -- a couple of big
ones just hit -- soon -- lights out -- now.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:13 AM

about half over land now
[Linked Image]
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:17 AM

Marty- Iam not too good at this map stuff. Does this mean the eye is currently passing over Belize, so the back half will come in the next couple of hours? Or is Belize not quite to the eye. Sorry to be so dense.
Posted By: Windsurfing Guy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:17 AM

There might be a bunch of people taking shelter at Banyan Bay if anyone can get a call into them we might know more.
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:17 AM

Hi Marty, I don't think I know u but thanks for having this page. Will have to meet u when I return.
Posted By: PattiManners

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:20 AM

Hi Marty, I don't think I know u but thanks for having this page. Will have to meet u when I return. Is the power out near Pedro's Inn?
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:21 AM

Just spoke to San Pedro again, they said it sounds terrible outside. Heavy rain and wind, sounds like debris is flying. Obviously they can not see outside, but they said it sounds bad. They thought this had to be the worst, but I cautioned the worst may be yet to come.
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:24 AM

Rocking loop. Shows how much the storm intensified as it got into shallower waters.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:26 AM

Hunters!! Look at the size of that thing!!

Ebony, the eye is north and just a tad east of Belize right now. According to CNN, it is 60-90 minutes from making landfall but the past couple of sat pics on this page show the left wall of the eye has already made contact.

When Marty said "about 1/2 over land now", I believe he meant that the full extent of the storm is half over land now. Take a look at the picture that hunters provided.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:30 AM

Thanks Guys! :-) Trying to encourage family and friends in San Pedro, as well as convince family in Cayo that they need to buckle down! Just don't want to overreact and be too emotional, just provide good useful info.
Posted By: Laguna Punta

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:30 AM

It looks from the maps that the eye is close to land. North of Ambergris Caye abit...but, this storm will make a wide swarth of damage. San Pedro looks like it might get water surge from the Bay of Chetemal. Hopeful, Dean will keep on trucking and not stall in the Bay. Fingers and toes crossed here in St Louis.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:33 AM

when they talk about "flying zinc," what do they mean? where does the zinc come from? buildings? does that mean metal?
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:35 AM

Yes, many people use zinc for roofs. Not a good sign when zinc starts flying, people most likely are losing roofs. Some roofs are concrete, some are zinc, and some are other materials. Zinc is also used for other things, but roofs are one thing zinc is used for.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:36 AM

Love FM - from CC - 2 to 5 feet waves, high winds, huge waves at split.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:37 AM

thanks, E&I
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:37 AM

Love FM - everything Ok at Tom's Hotel shelter on CC - special comment about Miss Mills doing well.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:38 AM

Ya, sounds like things aren't as bad as they could be (so far)
Interesting. I'm listening to Love FM as well.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:40 AM

where are you located, Belizegayl?
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:40 AM

Right now I'm up in California but I live down in Sittee River.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:42 AM

i'm in LA but my family lives in CC
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:42 AM

Dean at 02:15 Belize Time - photo NASA/NOAA.
[Linked Image]

(And now I'm really going to bed! 'Lena)
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:43 AM

Lena,
You're back!
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:43 AM

Did I just hear correct on Love? In Boca Del Rio, most of the streets are covered. Some parts are up to 7ft of water? Please confirm.
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:43 AM

Thanks MissM. Huge waves at split don't sound good though. And 2-5ft is sure to flood the island. Guess we will have to wait for more detail.

Seashell, Yeah, that rocking loop shot of Dean kinda looks like something from a telescope focused on outerspace.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:44 AM

from that pic, it looks like the eye made landfall. am i reading it correctly?
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:45 AM

misshenderson, I hope your family is doing well!!!!
down in Sittee its still mellow. windy and some rain.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:45 AM

they are saying its making landfall right now.....
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:46 AM

Love FM - eye of hurricane making landfall just north of Coruzal.
Posted By: Laguna Punta

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:46 AM

Keep on going, Dean.
Posted By: stormchaser

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:47 AM

Hi all - we are following the progress of Dean from over the pond here in UK and I am placing hourly reports on the preparedness website and forum - best of luck - batten down - hope you miss the centre of the hurricane - this is certainly one mother of a storm.

Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:50 AM

I wonder how far south they will feel it.
We had our house boarded up in Sittee but I'm thinking we didn't need to.
Posted By: tcatlin21

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:50 AM

is there a way to listen to love fm on the internet?
Posted By: stormchaser

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:51 AM

http://www.lovefm.com/listen_live.php
Posted By: Jmarte01

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:51 AM

http://www.belizeweb.com/love.ram
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:51 AM

Yes, I'm listening.
Thank you
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:53 AM

Ok, I think I officially lost my connection with Sittee River. frown
Posted By: tcatlin21

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:55 AM

Talk to my friend in San Pedro about 10 min ago said he is getting slammed. not sure of the damage outside but doesn't sound good
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:55 AM

OK, my eyes will no longer stay open. i'm praying for you all. keep the vigil going everyone who's still up. goodnight and good luck.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:55 AM

I CAN'T SLEEP!!! frown frown frown
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:56 AM

Jeez... thank all for the constant updates! frown
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:57 AM

Nyt Nyt missh.
I think I will try to get some shut eye as well.

Take care everyone!!!
Posted By: DB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:57 AM

Let's hope this beast keeps up its pace and gets across the peninsula and outta Belize soon!
Posted By: Tradewind

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:57 AM



Hurricane has made landfall just north of Majahual, Mexico at 170mph. Around 50 miles north of Ambergris.
Posted By: tcatlin21

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:59 AM

Trdaewind---Where did you find this info?
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:00 AM

There will be a weather report in about 10 min. on Love FM
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:01 AM

Dangriga is no wind, no rain
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:01 AM

Looks like it will go over the bay and to Laguna Bacalar.
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:01 AM

missmhenderson, sure looks like you are reading it correctly to me, based on the pics we are seeing other posters put up on this site. I was just over at The Weather Channel and the pics they have posted as at 4:01 EDT do not show the eye as far west, but then again, perhaps it is because they were taken an hour earlier than actual time now. This is a bit confusing to me.

Here is a report from someone on Roatan, posted about 7 pm there time. I'll bet things have been a bit worse since then.

"As Dean passes by the Bay Islands, Roatan, sitting at 16.38, about 150 miles south of the eye,
is being pelted by wind gusts of 30+ knots and we expect more throughout the night.
Relieved we are not in the path again, but nonetheless,
cautious of what Mother Nature can bring on, at any moment. Most workers returned home about 4:00pm
today and Roatan has pretty much shut down for the night. Most are socked in and not moving anywhere.
We continue to pray for those in Belize and the Yucatan where Dean is heading at the moment. All is well
on Roatan and God bless those in Dean's path..."

Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:04 AM

I'm wondering if it sucked the water out of the bay of Chetumal. If so, I am wondering if when the eye passes over the bay if it will then suck it all back into the bay...Rapidly. Shudder.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:05 AM

Report on Love FM
Posted By: kerry

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:05 AM

spoke with nancy scott on IM yesterday....she decided to stay, and several people are at her place....drummer dan, dennisito, rick farmer...i know there are others there, but don't know the names...also got thru on the phone earlier to ray...friend of casey moore...on the lagoon side....they decided to stay as well...ray said everything is fine, dogs are ok...don serruntine is there as well...others there 2 but not sure who...got an email from linda earlier, and they are staying...she says that kathy (beachin kitchen) has a gas stove and they have plenty of food and supplies...also said "no worries"
this board has been the best...i have been so worried about everyone, and being so far away, all of you have kept me up to date....thanx not only to marty, but to everyone who has contributed photos, info...etc....
Posted By: stormchaser

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:07 AM

Pressure now corrected to 906

Latest:
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE DEAN MAKES LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...

AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING
FROM WEST OF CHILITEPEC TO VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF BELIZE
AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESO
SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:08 AM

I think south Belize isn't going to get anything.
Interesting
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:11 AM

000
WTNT44 KNHC 210900
TCDAT4
HURRICANE DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
500 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2007

DEAN MADE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR
THE CRUISE SHIP PORT OF COSTA MAYA AROUND 0830 UTC...AND THE EYE IS
NOW JUST INLAND. OBSERVATIONS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE INDICATE THAT THE HURRICANE WAS INTENSIFYING RIGHT UP TO
LANDFALL. A PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND OF 165 KT WAS MEASURED JUST
NORTH OF THE EYE. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS FROM THE SFMR WERE 124
KT...BUT IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT THE MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED
WAS NOT REPORTED BY THE SFMR INSTRUMENT. A GPS DROPSONDE IN THE
NORTHERN EYEWALL MEASURED A WIND SPEED OF 178 KT AVERAGED OVER THE
LOWEST 150 METERS OF THE SOUNDING. BASED ON THE DROPSONDE AND THE
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS...THE INTENSITY IS SET AT 145 KT. A DROPSONDE
IN THE EYE MEASURED A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 906 MB JUST PRIOR TO
LANDFALL. SOME HISTORIC NOTES ARE IN ORDER HERE. THE 906 MB
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS THE NINTH LOWEST ON RECORD FOR AN ATLANTIC
BASIN HURRICANE...AND THE THIRD LOWEST AT LANDFALL BEHIND THE 1935
LABOR DAY HURRICANE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND HURRICANE GILBERT OF
1988 IN CANCUN MEXICO. DEAN IS ALSO THE FIRST CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN SINCE ANDREW OF
1992.

DEAN WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRAVERSES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
THE AMOUNT OF WEAKENING WILL DEPEND ON HOW LONG THE CENTER REMAINS
OVER LAND. OUR CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE CYCLONE WILL STILL BE
A BORDERLINE CAT 1/2 HURRICANE WHEN IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE...BUT THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS FORECAST.
ASSUMING THAT THE INNER CORE IS NOT TOO DISRUPTED BY ITS
INTERACTION WITH LAND...DEAN SHOULD REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS
BEFORE ITS FINAL LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO.

INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 285/17. DEEP LAYER HIGH PRESSURE
NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD STEER THE HURRICANE ON A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD HEADING FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE.

THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
COASTLINE OF MEXICO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 21/0900Z 18.7N 87.8W 145 KT
12HR VT 21/1800Z 19.1N 90.4W 85 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 22/0600Z 19.6N 93.9W 95 KT...OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:12 AM

Ok, I think its time to get some sleep.
Seems maybe the worst is over but what do I know, I'm half asleep trying to pay attention to everything. hehe

Nyt Nyt everyone who is still here.

I'll check back later.

Oh wait, they are actually talking about Belize City on CNN. WOW!
They are talking to someone in Belize on CNN.....
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:13 AM

CNN has Kevin Cannon (sp?) In Belize City, live report right now
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:13 AM

Looks like they are at the Raddison on the roof
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:13 AM

People are out on the dock...
Posted By: Tradewind

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:14 AM



From National Hurricane Center (US):

Dean made landfall on the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula near
the cruise ship port of costa maya around 0830 UTC...and the eye is
now just inland. Observations from an Air Force hurricane hunter
plane indicate that the hurricane was intensifying right up to
landfall. A peak flight-level wind of 165 kt was measured just
north of the eye. Maximum surface winds from the SFMR were 124
kt...but it is highly likely that the maximum surface wind speed
was not reported by the SFMR instrument. A GPS dropsonde in the
northern eyewall measured a wind speed of 178 kt averaged over the
lowest 150 meters of the sounding. Based on the dropsonde and the
flight-level winds...the intensity is set at 145 kt. A dropsonde
in the eye measured a central pressure of 906 mb just prior to
landfall. Some historic notes are in order here. The 906 mb
central pressure is the ninth lowest on record for an Atlantic
Basin hurricane...and the third lowest at landfall behind the 1935
Labor Day hurricane in the Florida Keys and hurricane Gilbert of
1988 in Cancun Mexico. Dean is also the first category five
hurricane to make landfall in the Atlantic Basin since Andrew of
1992.


Dean will weaken as it traverses the Yucatan Peninsula and
the amount of weakening will depend on how long the center remains
over land. Our current thinking is that the cyclone will still be
a borderline Cat 1/2 hurricane when it emerges over the Bay of
Campeche...but there is considerable uncertainty in this forecast.
Assuming that the inner core is not too disrupted by its
interaction with land...Dean should regain major hurricane status
before its final landfall in Mainland Mexico.

Initial motion is estimated to be 285/17. Deep layer high pressure
near the northern Gulf Coast should steer the hurricane on a
west-northwestward to westward heading for the next couple of days.
The official track forecast is similar to the previous one.

The Hurricane Warning is extended westward along the Bay of Campeche
coastline of Mexico.


Forecast positions and Max winds


initial 21/0900z 18.7n 87.8w 145 kt


- That 178 knot dropsonde reading was a wind of nearly 200mph. Remember, this is well north of Belize by like 75 miles - so I don't want to scare anyone. Last report from me, stay safe.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:14 AM

Looks pretty nasty out there
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:16 AM

electricity out in San pedro?
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:16 AM

I believe so sandsxyz1
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:17 AM

yes electricity still out in downtown san pedro since about 1am
Posted By: tcatlin21

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:17 AM

yes the power is out in san pedro
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:17 AM

I think the CNN video they were running was earlier in the day. Ya see, it was light outside in the video. It's dark now.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:18 AM

Hunters... LOL LOL See, I AM asleep at the wheel. You are so right.
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:19 AM

Ok, I'm really going to sleep now.
See you all later.
Hope all goes well.

Nyt Nyt
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:19 AM

There are some night time pictures coming in now on CNN, let's see what they have.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:19 AM

I guess that's why I can't hear Reef FM online then... frown
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:19 AM

Thanks y'all, really.
Posted By: Windsurfing Guy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:22 AM

Whatayah see on CNN? I am in China!!! Trying to get info!
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:23 AM

CNN Patrick Jones in Corozal report now.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:23 AM

http://www.guardian.co.uk/naturaldisasters/story/0,,2153175,00.html Here's a link with a good story about landfall
Posted By: Windsurfing Guy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:24 AM

What's he saying in Corozol?
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:27 AM

This is from weather.com but it was a couple of hours ago:


Weather conditions are now beginning to deteriorate over the eastern Yucatan peninsula and northern Belize. The center of Hurricane Dean is expected to make landfall north of the border between Belize and the Mexican state of Quintana Roo and south of Tulum. It is here where a water rise of 8 to 15 feet can be expected with monstrous waves of 25 to 30 feet.

Posted By: CB Belize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:27 AM

any new reports for AC?
Posted By: Windsurfing Guy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:28 AM

What did the guy say in Corozol????????
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:29 AM

Basically he said there is alot of debris, downed trees and several roads are impassable. That info he got from the bdf out on patrol. He showed cellphone video of the shelter at the community college. People of all ages laying on the floor trying to get some sleep. He said not so much flooding.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:30 AM

Basically Patrick said the Northeast corner of the eye has passed Belize, so the most destructive part should be past. Or at least the part that usually does the most damage. He had a great video of the storm shelter where he is reporting from in Corozal. Kudos to CNN, they are trying to get more info on Belize and have said they will try to get in touch with Patrick again later.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:34 AM

tacogirl, I just looked at your blog -- great pictures. Thanks. What is it like on the island now?
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:35 AM

I have lost cell phone contact with San Pedro, I hope they have turned the phone off to sleep. I am signing off for the night. Thanks to everyone for all the great input!
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:37 AM

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html

Looks like Dean took a slight wobble south. Watch out Bacalar.
Posted By: tweety24

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:38 AM

Hi Marty,

This is my first post. I just wanted to thank you so much for all the work you and the other people continue to do to keep the information flowing. I have been going to AC every other year since 1993. I sincerely appreciate that you take the time to keep us informed.

Cheryl
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:38 AM

Milo Paz with an update from San Pedro hold on....... wave action has stopped winds from south southwest with heavy rain spill.........
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:39 AM

going to bed --- will catch up later
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:40 AM

Per Milo, winds are still very strong, still no electricity or water. Winds shifted. Main thing, waves have stopped, he is not sure if that's good or bad. He is hoping it's good.

Another report SP winds 40 - 50 mph, shifted from north to south
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:42 AM

Another report Orange Walk Town, wind gusts are picking up now. The wind is howling, very fine vertical sheets of rain.
Posted By: DB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:45 AM

Appreciate the updates folks, thanks alot.
Posted By: belizelaw

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:49 AM

There are already some videos up on youtube of Belize and pre-Dean winds.
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:52 AM

tacogirl has been hunkered down for hours and isn't reporting as far as I know.
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:02 AM

Where are those youtube videos? I guess I'm looking in the wrong place.
thx.

Posted By: miller0113

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:07 AM

Marty, thanks for all your informaiton. We have been up all night trying to hear what has happened in San Pedro and north. We are so worried about Carlos at our house, Jeff and Vivian at Rojo and everyone there. Keep us posted!
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:08 AM

Looks like Felipe Carillo Puerto in Quintana Roo will be hit very hard. As will the beautiful Laguna Bacalar area. Backside of eyewall appears to be hitting Majahual now.
Posted By: caremore

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:09 AM

Hey Millers! Worried sick about Carlos...heard he refused to leave. Ted and I have been up all night here in AK reading the msg board and watching TWC. Keep us posted!!!
Posted By: Hsbeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:11 AM

From CNN.com

Jeff Spiegel, owner of the Azul Resort in Amerbergris Caye, Belize, said it was "incredibly windy" and the ocean surge was "very, very high." Most of the docks and piers have been washed away on the western side of his narrow island, he said.
Posted By: Windsurfing Guy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:21 AM

If winds were 40 to 50 MPH, San Pedro was incredibly lucky!!!!
As per Milo Paz. Was Milo in San Pedro or on the mainland!!
Posted By: miller0113

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:30 AM

Carolin and Ted, Carlos sent the family to the mainland, but refused to leave. Spoke to him last night...he is hunkered down in our main house. Jeff and Vivian staed also...they have a SAT phone.....Jeff was quoted on CNN http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/americas/08/21/hurricane.dean/index.html
We were suppose to be there this week! Will keep you posted.

Matt and Jennifer
Posted By: Windsurfing Guy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:32 AM

I am looking at the satelite image and looks to me like Belize in the calm of the Eye. I think there is another 3-4 hours coming. Very confusing.
Posted By: caremore

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:36 AM

Thanks Millers! Pray all is safe. Sounds like our docks are gone...hope that is the least of our worries at this point. Nice to know Jeff has a SAT phone! Hopefully we will hear from somebody soon.
Posted By: caremore

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:39 AM

Wow! Ambergris Caye is actually written on CNN's map!!!
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:42 AM

The eye went north of Belize. Here is a satellite pic in motion with a map superimposed. Eye currently located over the north part of the Bay of Chetumal.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html
Posted By: belizelaw

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:51 AM

It's gotta be hitting Corozal/Consejo pretty hard.
Posted By: Laguna Punta

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:51 AM

Chetumal seems to be at the center of the action. Dean is continuing to move fast across Mexico and is expected to exit the Yucatan perhaps in the vicinity of Merida. Hopefully the fast movement will lessen the storm surge on the backside of Ambergris.
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:58 AM

Eye is really losing definition.
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:06 PM

Windsurfing guy, eye of hurricane passed north of Belize and even north of Chetumal. The eye is losing its clear and large definition. Still lots of wind associated with it.
Posted By: miller0113

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:13 PM

To all: I just spoke to Carlos at our house...located 4.5 miles north of San Pedro just next door to Rojo Lounge. He thinks that nearly all of the docks up our way are gone or at atleast severely damaged. In additon, palapa's, etc. are all flattened. It is too bad now to go down to the beach and check further damage. I will add a post when I next speak to him.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:16 PM

from corozal

> According to that graphic -- we should be in intense winds now --
> probably are to -- no way to measure them.

..and a hint you don't wanna get flung away as fish food.

> But I don't see it worse than tropical force like whehn Chantel
> passed -- yet!!
>
> But -- it moght not get much worse -- we might yet luck out!!
>
> No big trees down around here --
>
> Man -- it is so good to have a Slo-Go genset -- can't even hear the
> noise of it -- just steady -- unblinking -- smooth -- power.
>
> That really stops panic in the family here.
>
> We will not move into the hurricane shleter if it does not get much
> worse than right now.
>
> What a way to wake up in the middle of the night!!
>
> I went to be early caused I figured this would happen -- and wanted
> to get some rest first.
>
> It is raining -- but rather lightly -- though it hits like shot gun
> pellets.

..those are hints you should get your ass 'n family into your shelter.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:16 PM

Reports from Coro at this time "lots of trees falling down", stones
(gravel) being picked up and peppering properties. Almost all
electrical power is off.

Ambergris Caye, 3 feet water, zinc (corrugated roofing) flying about.
Piers going down.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:18 PM

I just spoke with Mike Madrid, Chris Barenfanger's foreman. He's staying about a quarter mile north of the cut in some unfinished condos on the Caribbean side. Winds are still about 100 MPH, but the water is not that high.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:24 PM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:26 PM

HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

...CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE DEAN MAKES LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...

AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING
FROM WEST OF CHILITEPEC TO VERACRUZ MEXICO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF BELIZE
AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESO
SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
EYE OF DEAN MADE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA NEAR COSTA MAYA OR MAJAHUAL AROUND 330 AM CDT. THIS
LOCATION IS ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL
MEXICO

AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES... 55 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 195
MILES...315 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...
AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA TODAY AND LIKELY REACH THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...270 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DEAN CROSSES THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...DEAN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH
THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
906 MB...26.75 INCHES...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF WHERE DEAN MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA.

DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...18.7 N...87.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...906 MB.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:27 PM

Just spoke with Chris Barenfanger who lives in Villa del Rios, the condos by Coco Locos bar and the wind is still about 100 MPH but low and behold the water barely got to the bottom step!!! Thank the Lord!!!!!
Posted By: hunters

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:33 PM

First light.

Maybe someone will get a chance to look around and let us know what it looks like. Still conditions will likely be pretty rough for the next few hours.

Weather channel guy in Puerto Aventuras showing high waves breaking up seawall. And they were pretty far north (at least a hundred miles or so).
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:37 PM

Chris said they will not be able to get out and about for another two to three hours because of the still strong winds. I plan on calling him in a couple of hours. Cell phone service is still good and stron.....the cell towers must have held up!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:41 PM

Dean made landfall on the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula near
the cruise ship port of costa maya around 0830 UTC...and the eye is
now just inland. Observations from an Air Force hurricane hunter
plane indicate that the hurricane was intensifying right up to
landfall. A peak flight-level wind of 165 kt was measured just
north of the eye. Maximum surface winds from the SFMR were 124
kt...but it is highly likely that the maximum surface wind speed
was not reported by the SFMR instrument. A GPS dropsonde in the
northern eyewall measured a wind speed of 178 kt averaged over the
lowest 150 meters of the sounding. Based on the dropsonde and the
flight-level winds...the intensity is set at 145 kt. A dropsonde
in the eye measured a central pressure of 906 mb just prior to
landfall. Some historic notes are in order here. The 906 mb
central pressure is the ninth lowest on record for an Atlantic
Basin hurricane...and the third lowest at landfall behind the 1935
Labor Day hurricane in the Florida Keys and hurricane Gilbert of
1988 in Cancun Mexico. Dean is also the first category five
hurricane to make landfall in the Atlantic Basin since Andrew of
1992.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:51 PM

downgraded to cat 3, 100-125 mph winds now
Posted By: buzzbean

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:51 PM

As of 5:50am Belize Time, CNN says they just dropped the rating of Dean down to a Category 3 hurricane.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:53 PM

lots of power lines down, roofs off in corozal, clearing up a bit. winds still strong. rain strong
Posted By: raven88

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 12:57 PM

What time is daybreak ?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:02 PM

about now
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:06 PM

700 am CDT position...18.9 N...88.7 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 20 mph. Maximum sustained winds...125
mph. Minimum central pressure...935 mb.
Posted By: Penn State Diver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:06 PM

how are the docks in San Pedro? Any reports yet?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:08 PM

took a beating...

another hour or so of strong winds for northern Belize, 125mph
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:10 PM

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:13 PM

san pedro: morning is here, its light. breeze strong, not as much as last night. 35 mph winds from the SW, rain light. not that much damage. report from veranda of coral beach hotel. most of the docks downtown are in pretty good shape, 90% good. excellent.
Posted By: miller0113

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:13 PM

Our house is 5 miles north of San Pedro (Villa Turquesa) just next to Rojo Lounge/Azul. I just spoke to Carlos, our caretaker, and he tells me that most of the docks up our way are either gone or significantly damaged. Docks took a major hit to the north of San Pedro. Power is out. I will keep you posted.
Posted By: buzzbean

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:14 PM

CNN quoted Jeff Spiegel of Azul resort saying most of the docks and piers have been washed away on the western side. There wasn't a comment about the ones on the East side.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/americas/08/21/hurricane.dean/index.html
Posted By: jkat1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:16 PM

Thanks Marty during Kieth I was in Russia and you were the only contact with my family. On this one I am in Nigeria and fortunately Kathryn Tazmara and Connor all are in Canada or the states. I am dying to know if the house made it and if Tazmara's freinds that were up there are ok. Scott's beside Sundiver.

Jay
Posted By: FincastleRita

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:21 PM

So glad to hear from Chris and Mike Madrid. We are in process of buying one of Chris' condos and that report was encouraging. I'm so worried about the island. Good luck everybody.
Posted By: miller0113

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:22 PM

I think Jeff may have been misquoted. All the docks in the area 4 to 5 miles north of San Pedro got hammered. Mine included.
Posted By: Chloe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:23 PM

Marty, Once again you have been our source of information.

Thank you so much for keeping us connected. Love you man! smile
Posted By: hacker

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:24 PM

Hey.....
Well it sounds like you guys got through the worst of it.....
so far....
Good to hear from AC....
Hunkered down....
Marty, get better....
CYA soon....
hacker
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:29 PM

RE: Belize City, just lots of rain. nothing broken, very lucky.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:30 PM

still strong winds in corozal. diminishing a bit, but no water in the streets. they have about another hour ...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:34 PM

sounds like a misquote from jeff. don't know why he'd say piers on the WEST side were gone up north. Hey Jay, i remember oh so well. say hey to arianna i miss talking with her. i see taz now and then.

love you Chloe *tears
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:37 PM

pretty sure the house is fine Jay
Posted By: ckolhoff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:39 PM

Just heard a brief report on Weather Channel that said the water on the lagoon side met the water from the sea on the south end of the island. (yes, they actually mentioned San Pedro:))
Any news from the south end or from the back side?
Posted By: tropical girl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:41 PM

My house is 2 1/2 miles south just north of Caribe Island Resort on the beach and I spoke with someone who stayed there. The wind is still blowing but lessening (from the backside of the island). Water came up about half way on the property and washed out the sand (could have been worse). He's waiting to go out to check if water went in downstairs and if any tiles are off the roofs but the roofs are still on the house and casita (yea!). Power off since 1 am but power poles and lines still up as far as he can see......unbelievable. All in all, I'd say we are very lucky.
Posted By: kathyw

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:41 PM

It looks like I got the best Birthday present I ever wished and prayed for. (according to the reports we've been seeing) Thank you Marty for all your hard work in keeping us updated. Love to all our extended family on the island.
Kathy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:42 PM

yeah there are often a few rivers made from back to front when the storm is this strong
Posted By: ckolhoff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:45 PM

That's really good news! San Pedro has seen so much worse, even with Mitch. At that time, the water was so high that our bodega was completely destroyed. Sounds like the water isn't high. Does anyone know how high the surge was at the height of the storm?
Posted By: jkat1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:45 PM

Thanks Marty Arianna is in Ft MacMurray, Tazmara is in Seattle bundeling up supplies to head back on the first plane and Connor is heading for Calgary with Grandma until we know its safe for him to head back. School start up next week may be tight.
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:48 PM

Dean is so large -- about the size of Texas -- that its tropical winds and waves were expected to affect the entire Yucatan and neighboring Belize to the south.

Jeff Spiegel, owner of the Azul Resort in Amerbergris Caye, Belize, said it was "incredibly windy" and the ocean surge was "very, very high." Most of the docks and piers have been washed away on the western side of his narrow island, he said
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:49 PM

very lucky. crying tears lucky
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:51 PM

wind hasn't gone down much in corozal. winds almost seem stronger. one lady says all her trees are down on her property but they are fine

Posted By: actraveler

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:52 PM

Sorry to intrude but we are scheduled to arrive ASan Pedro on 9/23.. Staying at the Palms.. Any idea of conditions at that part of the island?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:57 PM

reminding folks there is a live web broadcast that is excellent on LOVEfm at http://www.belizeweb.com/love.ram
Posted By: carnes

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 01:59 PM

If anyone hears any info on the San Mateo neighborhood and Holy Cross School, please pass it along.Hoping the school (and all of the schools) didn't suffer too much damage.
Posted By: Los Arboles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:00 PM

Miller: Did you reach Carlos on his cell? Did he report any damage to homes up that way? We're just a few houses north of you and can't get thru to our caretaker.
Marty: Any reports of injuries? Praying not.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:03 PM

worst of the bad winds and rain almost thru the cayes area... still a lil more to go in Corozal


[Linked Image]
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:05 PM

Morning everyone, looking for info. Still no answer on the cell phone in San Pedro, since sometime around 3am. Not sure if they are sleeping, battery dead, or not okay. If anyone hears about Tarpon Street at Middle Street, please share. Have not heard anything on Love right in town yet. Right by the bakery and La Esquinita Restaurant.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:06 PM

no reports of injuries so far
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:14 PM

Good coverage on CNN, Patrick Jones is on live again right now, as well showing the flooding and weather live in Chetumal still 80-90 mph winds in Corozal. Patrick has not yet gone outside.
Posted By: carol2007

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:17 PM

Any one here about down town San Pedro.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:20 PM

one report recently from coral beach hotel saying things looked pretty good
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:22 PM

wires down in corozal, still bad wind and rain
things pretty good in san pedro. most docks ok downtown. not too much water
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:24 PM

Not yet Carol, just put a call in to Love, we will see who calls in. Let you know when I hear something, please do the same.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:27 PM

heard you on LOVE E&I
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:29 PM

Morning guys, well i'm chatting w/h a reef radio DJ, he told me to tell u guys that he will b updating the message board from the www.thereefradio.com site so that we can know exactly what's happening w/h them. They will run their generator too and are hoping to be axessable to us via online later on the day
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:32 PM

reef radio dj says: thanks .advise them that we will be posting messages on the message board all day long .i appreciate the help
Posted By: GeorgeA

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:36 PM

Spoke to family down town (park) an hour ago, all seems well, beached boats still in same position, so no significant storm surge...
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:38 PM

Morning guys, well i'm chatting w/h a reef radio DJ, he told me to tell u guys that he will b updating the message board from the www.thereefradio.com site so that we can know exactly what's happening w/h them. They will run their generator too and are hoping to be axessable to us via online later on the day
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:38 PM

how funny marty, did not realize I was live, pretty rough after all the emotions and being up all night! :-) Thanks again for everything you do to facilitate this board.

Butterfly, thanks for the update on Reef, I will check for their info soon.
Posted By: pamkillen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:40 PM

I just spoke to my friend in San Pedro. He said that he feels relieved, trees down, some window leaking, but the pier held and everyone he knows is OK.
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:41 PM

go to the homepage of the reef radio and stroll down to where it says"send your request or leave us a message"
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:43 PM

wow - it seems the cayes we spared the major damage we all feared?
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:44 PM

Marty u got it man! the massege board is where u posted a messages just now @ the reef radio site
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:45 PM

Pam where is your friend located on the island? Has he made it outside yet?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:52 PM

chairman of caye caulker emergency committee: broken trees on island, some debris, one power line down. light wind, everybody is safe
Posted By: ShellyMax

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:52 PM

Are there any photos online yet? I have checked out CNN and could not find the pictures mentioned here. LoveFM did a fantastic job with storm coverage news. Kudos to them. I just heard C. Caulker came out of it pretty much OK, which is great news! Everyone is safe there, huge relief.
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:52 PM

Love FM - chairman of Caye Caulker reported everyone safe - not too much damage besides downed trees.
Posted By: Butterflybabe

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:56 PM

phone lines seems to be working fine,but they still have no power nor water,but most important is tha they r safe. Thanks God!!
Posted By: ckolhoff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 02:57 PM

Weather Channel has upcoming coverage of BELIZE :))
They showed footage from the mainland and promise to put it on soon. I went through 561 photos on Yahoo and found none of hurricane Dean in Belize.
Posted By: KAVATEX

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:03 PM

Anyone in San Pedo that know what going on. I would love to here how things are there.
dan
Posted By: Mac&Erin

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:05 PM

Has anyone heard of how things are north of the town around Playa Blanca?
Posted By: pamkillen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:10 PM

He is in Tres Cocos right on the beach in front of Sweet Basil's. He says that people are beginning to go back to their homes. I have no idea what San Pedrito looks like or San Mateo. But that small part of Tres Cocos is OK
Posted By: gigliotti_KCMO

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:12 PM

Hey ya'll I am new to this board; I visited san Pedro a couple years ago for college, stayed at Marine Trec. We are planning our honeymoon and are staying at Journeys End we are set to arrive October 14th. Journeys End web page is down, and we are wondering if anyone has any information. My fiancée and I are Hurricane Katrina survivors we lived in New Orleans; our prayers are with all of you who are there and all the family members and friends elsewhere. Any information would be helpful
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:15 PM

Gooood Morning!
Ok, my eyes are hardly open, didn't get much sleep. I'm just now trying to get caught up on things in Belize.
Seems its pretty mellow, Thank goodness!!
I can't get through on the phone yet.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:22 PM

Thanks Pam. Good to hear Tres Cocos is okay, preliminary reports last night said water was high over the bridge. Glad to know the report.
Posted By: playabees

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:23 PM

As everyone gets out and about to survey damage could you keep an eye out for the Graniel-Azuetas, Casa Picasso Eagers, Beuttners, and Blue Water Aycock? Stephanie and Jim are hoping their safe along with various dogs, cats, birds, homes, restaurants, and employees.
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:28 PM

OK, here's Lena checking in...

I just got off the phone with Sittee River Village, south of Dangriga (north of Placencia). "Not even a normal rain storm" there -- quite anticlimactic..."a little breeze is all"...

(Now I feel like Chicken Little...)

Power there has been out for an hour or two for no specific reason -- probably just grid problems. (My source is running generator right now.)

The only downside to all this for us is that now people will be even less inclined to be responsible at the next warning >sigh<.

'Lena
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:34 PM

I am beginning to work on my morning blog and I need a photo.

Has anyone any to share?
Has anyone seen any C.A. Dean pix yet?

Please shout me...thanks! 'Lena
Posted By: missmhenderson

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:39 PM

yeah, that's what i'm worried about. my family only grudgingly left CC. and this is only the beginning of the hurricane season. the "no problem, gal" attitude is nerve-wracking.
Posted By: Penn State Diver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:45 PM

How are the docks up by Patojo's?
Posted By: ckolhoff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:53 PM

Info on CNN- Nice coverage of Corozal and live interview with Peggy Mueller. Sounds like the devastation is pretty intense up there, she lives back off the beach a few miles but still lost most of her foliage. Curfew is still in place there, and the zinc was still rattling on her roof, has been that way since 2AM. Her husband is a lobster fisherman. She commented on the fact that some people were walking outside and she couldn't understand why, with all the debris still flying around. Still experience high winds there.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:54 PM

from jesse downtown san pedro: minor roof damage, few broken trees. power company says a couple more hours, maybe this afternoon
Posted By: LeeFranke

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:55 PM

For those looking to upload pictures:

Google's picture application is awsome.
http://picasaweb.google.com/

It makes it very easy to share images and I've never run into a bandwidth problem.

Flickr is very good as well.
http://www.flickr.com/

It will also help so that bandwidth will not be eaten up from this board.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 03:58 PM

moderate traffic out this morning
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:01 PM

Pam - have you heard from Pablo? Thank goodness the worst of it is over and the island/country seems to have fared pretty well
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:01 PM

I emailed the Weather Channel with my 'unhappiness' on their reporting about Belize. I've been watching and they haven't mentioned Belize once in the last 30 minutes or more! They keep saying that it is effecting Mexico.....no mention of Belize.
Posted By: purdygrl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:03 PM

CNN is saying they have reporters all along the path yet I don't see anyone in Belize.
Posted By: Auxillou Beach Suites

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:03 PM

If anyone has post-storm CC pics I can put on the front page of the Caye Caulker Chronicles, please email it/them to me at [email protected]
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:06 PM

:)I just spoke with Mike Madrid & Chris Barenfanger. All is well in the Tres Cocos area. No water damage at all. I'm trying to get in touch with Linda "Wonderwoman" Carter but she isn't answering her cell phone.
The Good Lord loves AC as much as we do!! Man thanks for sparing it!! Our prayers go out to the people in Corozal.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:08 PM

No, no CNN in Belize right now. The closest CNN reporter is in Chetumal right now. CNN has been asking and taking calls and pictures from anyone in Belize that contacts them. They have increased the Belize coverage after many people emailed them last night and gave them contact info, this board, etc.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:09 PM

As someone in the US, I think it would be GREAT if anyone can post hurricane post-storm pictures on ambergriscaye.com. That's where most people will go to see them I think. (or post a link on there directing elsewhere)
Posted By: belizegayl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:10 PM

prudygrl,
probably because Belize did get hit as hard as Mexico. They go where the serious action is I guess.
I was hoping for more Belize coverage as well.

Anyone know about the sea state more south around Dangriga? Its sounding like nothing more than a mellow rain storm down there.

Time to have the boards taken down from our house.
Posted By: GoHawks

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:13 PM

It's sounding like things on Ambergris faired much better than expected, and everyone should be safe.

If power is going to be online in the next few hours or this afternoon in San Pedro, what's the outlook like for the northern part of the island?

We were in an house up near Rendezvous (I hope Glenn and Colleen are safe, they said they were staying back on Sunday when we evacuated. Incredible people and their food is wonderful.

We've been staying in some pretty low end hotels in Belmopan since then and we're trying to figure out where we go from here. Our caretaker for the house indicated as soon as power is back on we're more than welcome to use the house again, but without it there is no point on going back since no power = no running water.

Basically at this point we're trying to salvage the rest of our vacation and would prefer to get back to Ambergris, but if not we're thinking of heading south to Placentia. We ran into a local at the restaurant last night, whose wife is from Seattle like us and he suggested going down there if we can't get back to Ambergris.

BTW, weather here was minimal, windy for a while, no more so than a fall windstorm in the Pacific Northwest, at least the parts I saw when awake. A fair amount of rain as well. We lost power, but only for an hour and a half.
Posted By: Bobber

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:14 PM

Weather channel sucked on this. The "guy" in Puerto Aventuras seemed to be just on the fringe rather than his characterization of being in the heart of it. I did like the weather babes pronunciation "pee-or-to". Thank God for the board. Thanks Marty. And thank God that everyone seems to be safe.
Posted By: Bobber

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:16 PM

Weather channel sucked on this. The "guy" in Puerto Aventuras seemed to be just on the fringe rather than his characterization of being in the heart of it. I did like the weather babes pronunciation "pee-or-to". Thank God for the board. Thanks Marty. And thank God that everyone seems to be safe.
Posted By: Surfer999

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:18 PM

Hi there, sorry i'm new here, my friends just move to San Pedro, anyway that I can get a hold of them see if they are OK.
Anybody know how bad San Pedro Is?
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:21 PM

Anyone hear from TB & Elliot in MX? Or Amber up in Coro?

Go Hawks - you will probably need to lay low in Belmopan for a bit. Sure to be lots of people trying to get back to their houses, families, etc. But yeah - go south to Placencia or PG to salvage what's left of your vacation. May still not have power in any of those places though. Or you could go further inland but the Cayo hotels are probably all full at this point
Posted By: gigliotti_KCMO

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:22 PM

Hey ya'll I am new to this board; I visited san Pedro a couple years ago for college, stayed at Marine Trec. We are planning our honeymoon and are staying at Journeys End we are set to arrive October 14th. Journeys End web page is down, and we are wondering if anyone has any information. My fiancée and I are Hurricane Katrina survivors we lived in New Orleans; our prayers are with all of you who are there and all the family members and friends elsewhere. Any information would be helpful
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:23 PM

GoHawks, thanks for the Belmopan update. This means my dogs should be safe, have not been able to get through there yet, appreciate it.

As far as San Pedro or Placencia, guess I would suggest you check out Placencia. We really don't have much info yet on the damage to the island. Also, the cleanup and aftermath of hurricanes can be dangerous with power lines, transformers, etc. Sound like down South may be more accessible right now. Don't know when the power will return though. Good Luck.
Posted By: JDTremblay

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:29 PM

I hope all are ok in AC My wife and I are sending our prayers down to you Please keep feeding us all information as you get it please as you all know once you been to AC it is in your heart forever. God speed to all who are there
J D and Dianne Tremblay
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:30 PM

http://sanpedrodaily.com is up
Posted By: GoHawks

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:31 PM

Thanks for the insight. I'll keep an eye on this board for now and wait to hear back from our caretaker, I know he was planning on getting back over there ASAP once dean passed. We still have a whole week left here in Belize so even if we had to pass time around here for a day or two I'd rather do that then head south and spend another grand or more.

We thought about heading to the Cayo area resorts but the local we talked to last night thought we'd be better off south, because of all the rain that was predicted over there could mean river flooding and pretty miserable conditions there as well.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:34 PM

LOVE FM morning show just signed off til tomorrow morning at 6am. They have changed dj's, let's hope the coverage remains the same. Many thanks to the entire LOVE FM crew for the fantabulous coverage all through the storm. It was extremely helpful to everyone! Get some rest to those of you signing off.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:37 PM

damage not that great, pics will be a few hours til the power comes up. yes LOVE and reef radio have been fantastic. phones working well, getting quite a few calls
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:38 PM

My understanding is that current was just restored to Hopkins-Sittee.
Posted By: belizegial

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:41 PM

Currant was just restored about 20 mins age to Dangriga.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:41 PM

According to Love FM, we have lost our power line connections with Mexico, so Belize will be running on gas turbine and hydro until the Mexico connections can be restored. Hope I heard this accurately.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:43 PM

i heard they were worried about the connection, but did not hear it is cut
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:46 PM

Info above was from a BEL spokesman on the radio, power has been restored to a few areas, did not catch all of them. Some are in Cayo.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:48 PM

105,000 different folks on this website yesterday. whew. normal day is 12,000-15,000
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:51 PM

Marty- I think the BEL spokesperson said Belize was on it's own for now, but they should be able to handle it. I think this is what they said, as they talked about how much more costly it would be to run like this. Maybe we can clarify, did anyone else hear it?
Posted By: Pam&Dave

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:54 PM

Hey Marty,
Looks like you have about 680 users online! Amazing we can even get signed in. That's one awesome server you have up there in Oregon. Thanks for your devotion to AC & Belize. You made this event far less stressful by keeping up to date & accurate information available to all concerned.
Thank you so much,
Pam & Dave
Posted By: JZB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:55 PM

No this is not really me... just my sister-in-law filling in from France (yes indeed)just to say the Buettners and co. made it through just fine. They said to say they also heard from the Eagers as well[/s]. No news re the rest.

The French Buettner (moi): took awhile to figure this out but I did it! Funny how I could call and chat all the way from France...with that thing not far overhead. What a sanity-saver this message board was/is! I'm impressed...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 04:58 PM

reef radio internet signal back on
Posted By: Passport

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:04 PM

Any idea how Ramon's Tropical Village made out?

Also, wondering about Eduardo Brown and family.

Thanks.
Posted By: hollywood

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:04 PM

Good Morning,

Great to hear all is safe. If anyone runs into Jules Escalante
please tell him Tom from New Orleans sends his Best.
Posted By: Savanno

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:09 PM

I have just spoken with Vivian from Rojo Lounge (Casa Azul) and she said that everybody is ok up North!
They have lost their dock, so has many other neighbours up North, they and Mata Chica have not much damage. The roofs (palapa) are still there, there is a little water damage, but other than that is all fine.
There is still no power on the North side of the Island, which probably will take a few more hours.

If anyone has some news from Portofino and Jan (my husband) please let me know, as I'm in Belgium and I'm very worried!

Lets just pray that there is minor damage on the Island so we can all go back home soon!

Sandra van Noord

Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:09 PM

GoHawks, I tried calling Glenn & Colleen about 1/2 an hour ago but they did not answer their cell phone. They didn't stay in their home/restuarant but instead stayed with some friends in a concrete home. I'm sure they're fine. The Island was really spared.
Posted By: playabees

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:11 PM

Wow! Fantastic job, French Buettner! Thank so much for the info! Glad to hear they're safe. It's quite a relief. My best wishes and happy thoughts to them all.

Technology when it works is sooooo cool. Marty, get this: I (in St. Louis) get news about friends (in Belize) from a kind stranger (in France)after a hurricane. Is this what Al Gore envisioned when he invented the internets or what?!?
Posted By: Bobber

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:14 PM

Marty, a lot of people care. Lots of crossed fingers and lots of prayers also. Weather channel and CNN just don't make the cut. Thanks Marty,
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:22 PM

thats awesome technology at work alright!!!

incredible work from my server guys at www.iqs.com in vegas. they ahve been working with me to tweak the servers so that my email gets thru and the board stays up. the board has such a load the sendmail function of the server gets de-prioritized and my email stops. so if the board is a lil exptra slow now and then its me trying to drain off the email....

Only taca will have a flight but only outgoing at 5:30PM.
NO incoming.

All us-based air carriers are cancelled for today: AA, CON, DELta, USAIR

Tropic & Maya aren't expected to have flights today.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:29 PM

ramons lost their dock...
Posted By: FenUK

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:29 PM

Hi Marty, message from my sister - Rosemary Smith - she has asked me to let you know that Greg, Daniel and Tellen weathered the storm at Sueno del Mar and have emerged safe and sound. There has been a bit of damage to their property, and apparently the dock from Tranquility Bay is washed up outside their house! Rosemary and baby Kerry are in Houston, having arrived there this morning from England.

From me personally, Marty - a huge thank you for running such an informative and community spirited site. I have felt close by even though I am thousands of miles away. Kind regards, Fen
Posted By: Amy88

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:34 PM

Regarding Ramon's - the dive shop too or just the pier?

Thanks-Amy
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:36 PM

i am so glad for that news Fen, more tears to the eyes, i was quietly quite worried about them

they even got a new dock. delivered.

honored really to do this ... as anyone would be
if i can just stop crying. get tired you know, get emotional. keep hearing good news. the tears roll down the cheeks

lots of love for the island from around this lovely planet
Posted By: mobunny

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:43 PM

Lots of love to you Marty!!! Thanks so much for the incredible job you do. CCC, MSNBC and TWC have nothin on you!!!! mobunny
Posted By: divingcowgirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:44 PM

And lots of love for you Marty. I know a TON of us out there are grateful for what you do. Thanks again, you Network Angel you!

PS.... here's a hanky for ya! Along with a big hug and a sigh of releif that our friends and loved ones made it through.
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:44 PM

A spokesman gave LOVE FM a report on San Pedro about 30 minutes or so ago. He said 85 % of the piers were damaged, downed trees are on the roads. Three areas are experiencing some flooding, I think he said San Pedrito, Boca Del Rio and San Juan or San Pablo, can't remember what name he said for that last one. There are some boats from the lagoon side that have come up on land. There is currently no water or electricity. That's about all I caught.
Posted By: raven88

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:46 PM

It's funny, we had a party 10 days ago for 2 friends who went to Belize for the first time in December last year - stayed on AC for 3 weeks and fell in love with the country; and 2 other friends who had never been to Belize but liked the idea of going there.
We've lived there twice - back in '88 and then in '91 and the last time we were with you guys was during Mitch in '98.

The one thing that James and Catherine, Suellen & I were telling Pam and Eric was that Belize was a very special and unique place - and this board proves it - in spades !

You're a good man Marty, and if anyone has paypal there's a rum or Belikan behind a bar of your choice when you return.

Dave Raven, London, UK
Posted By: pamkillen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:50 PM

Barbara, Pablo is fine. He and his family were in Cayo. I believe he is heading back to San Pedro today. If he can get there. I am just thankful that no one was seriously hurt. And thanks Marty!!!
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:53 PM

First report of the morning is now up with some info links at http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com

Taca just announced via Love FM that they are flying today.

Likewise Maya Island Air just announced that they will operate "business as usual" once the All Clear is given.

'Lena
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:55 PM

from jesse

tree damage, sand moved around, roof damage, ramons big trees knocked down. dock by bcs twisted sideways, bandstand there gone. lost band equipment. no power yet, gonna be this afternoon sometime. lotsa folks going around and chatting. big steel beam roof peeled back at belican supply . back wall collapsed. airstrip clear. no water yet. canucks bar trashed, several big boats are up onto the property by bar, bar intact. most damage is the trees. leaves off. ground up green matter from the leaves is around, like juice or dye. almond trees took a beating.
Posted By: CindyF

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:55 PM

Thanks so much everyone for all the updates. Any word on Belizean Shores/Tuff Enuff? For those that know him - Bill Ford (BC's barfly and Belizean Shores resident) left on Friday and is up here in Colorado safe and sound with me.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:58 PM

wind from south, lil gusty not bad mid 70's...
Posted By: Bubbles

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 05:58 PM

Just talked to Reef Adventures in SP - in north end of town, most docks have fairly minor damage. Patojo's dock is gone.
Posted By: Hsbeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:01 PM

Any news regarding areas north of San Pedro, past the bridge?
Posted By: Ebony & Ivory

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:02 PM

Public Relations BTL Rep on LOVE FM said four exchanges are down......Consejo, Blue Creek, Carmelita and San Pedro North.
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:02 PM

I am desperate for a couple pix from this morning...anyone?

'Lena
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:02 PM

chetumal pics on yahoo
http://news.yahoo.com/photos/ss/events/sc/091905hurricanes;_ylt=AoYBeolaccunLc311xKm.TKs0NUE
Posted By: abradley

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:03 PM


Hi. My dad up here in Toronto, Canada is curious about the area around Tobacco Caye. Does anyone have any word on how they fared down there?
Posted By: Savanno

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:06 PM

Everybody at Portofino is doing ok.
They have some minor damage, and have been cleaning up as of this morning.
They are on generator power and are trying to restore the internet communication. Our phones are up and running!

Mainly the palm trees, beach and dock is damaged.
They will be probably up and running by Wednesday morning, and our Restaurant will be open for lunch and dinner as of Wednesday.
Posted By: aracaribama

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:08 PM

We Katrina survivors up here on Dauphin Island, Alabama all said a universal prayer last night for the safety of all on AC/San Pedro and Belize as a whole. If this thing had come ashore 30 miles further south I'm afraid we'd be singing a different tune today. Whew!!! My October visit is still a GO!! A word of caution... y'all be especially careful during the cleanup period. This is when many accidents can occur.
Posted By: Savanno

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:09 PM

As well many many thanks to Marty!
Posted By: mobunny

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:10 PM

Is the Palapa bar still standing? How did BC's? hold up?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:11 PM

good to hear savanno. pleasing to the sensations
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:23 PM

The area from north of the bridge to the Palapa Bar, which is still standing!!!, seems to have weathered it just fine as per Chris Barenfanger who lives at Villas del Rio by Coco Loco's. God loves AC as much as we do.........he spared it!
Posted By: Ernie B

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:23 PM

Marty, I too would like to offer my thanks for your efforts. However, Im a little pissed with you as you kept me up all night. I just couldnt tear myself away grin

Ernie
Posted By: beachcowgirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:30 PM

Hello and THANKS for the board from me too! Got an owners e-mail from Captain Morgan's this am, 3.5 miles north of bridge on AC. They said prelim reports were just roof damage and lots of seaweed on beach. Sounds like their in-town dock in front of BC's didn't fare so well! Staff was evacuated and is safe. Closed until Sept 29. Thinking of San Pedro, would help pick up seaweed if I could leave real job smile
Posted By: Hon

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:36 PM

Because I have a slow ISP and there has been so much traffic here today, I haven't been able to get on to say that I am also really grateful to Marty and everyone else who has put in the hours to keep us informed.



Posted By: purdygrl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:40 PM

Marty have you heard anything from Sterling from Island Ferry? Just got off the phone with one of the Doctors who comes and does the emergency training he wanted to know if San Pedro needs them to come down to help?
Posted By: Mac&Erin

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:40 PM

Originally Posted by beachcowgirl
Thinking of San Pedro, would help pick up seaweed if I could leave real job smile


Hahahaha I had the same thought this morning. I somehow impressed my boss so much 2 weeks ago she gave me an extra week off and the thought of even the worst manual labor cleaning up stuff there would be better than work here...provided of course that at 6pm-7pm when that afternoon breeze kicks up I have a beer in hand.

Desperate for island life...even a taste. It's been way too long.
Posted By: JDTremblay

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:42 PM

I am glad to hear that the dammage wasnt as bad as it could have been please post some pictures ASAP so we can see how the tuff old island fared I know she will bounce back from this the island and its GREAT people wont be held down by this lil ole storm
Posted By: Christopher

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:43 PM

Dean was 3rd-most intense hurricane

By JOHN PAIN, Associated Press Writer

MIAMI - Hurricane Dean was the third-most intense Atlantic hurricane to make landfall since record keeping began in the 1850s, based on its central atmospheric pressure, forecasters said.


The pressure in a hurricane's eye is often used to compare storms throughout history because in the past, wind gauges were often damaged or destroyed by powerful hurricanes. Now, technology exists to more accurately measure winds, said Jamie Rhome, a hurricane specialist with the National Hurricane Center.

"And the damage is caused by the wind, so that's what most people look at," he said.

But pressure also measures strength: the lower the pressure, the greater a hurricane's power to suck in air. A hurricane's winds are blown because higher-pressure air rushes toward the lower-pressure eye to equalize the difference.

Typically, the lower the pressure, the faster the air speeds in. But because of other variables in each storm, a certain pressure does not always correspond to a specific wind speed.

Dean was a top-scale Category 5 storm at landfall Tuesday on Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula. Its maximum sustained winds were 165 mph and gusts reached 200 mph. Just before landfall, a Global Positioning System device dropped from a hurricane hunter aircraft found it had a central pressure of 906 millibars, forecasters said.

The only other storms that hit land with a lower pressure were the 1935 Labor Day hurricane that hit the Florida Keys and Hurricane Gilbert, which hit Cancun, Mexico, in 1988, forecasters said.
Posted By: yat

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:49 PM

Hey Marty,
Any idea how Richie Woods is? Wondered where he hunkered down.
yat
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 06:58 PM

The Prime Minister, in his capacity as Chairman of the National Emergency Management Organization has not yet made the ALL CLEAR declaration. We suspect that this will be made simultaneously with the midday Avisory. We suspect that at that time the request could be made for the return of government employees to the job by tomorrow morning.
Some of the agencies that have requested for their employees to return to work today are: The Belize City Council, The Orange Walk Town Council, The Post Office, Universal Health Services, Caribbean Tobacco Co., the Belize Telemedia Limited (BTL) and The Citrus Growers Association.
Atlantic Bank is asking their employees to return to work by 2:00 pm to begin preparation for tomorrow. We suspect that as time passes several more organization will request for the return of their employees to work.
The Belize Electricity Limited is asking those employees who are in a position to do so, to report to work today especially it's linesmen.
Save U employees are asking their employees to return to work tomorrow.
Posted By: sandsxyz1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:00 PM

CARIBE ISLAND RESORT - SOUTH END OF Ambergris Caye
I spoke with the reservations agent for the resort, who had just spoken with the office manager (on the island) and Caribe Island susatained some damage but only to the pier and couple of thatched roofs. Resort itself is fine and staff is fine also. I can only assume that the same goes for other structures located near and farther south of Caribe Island Resort.
Posted By: RoscoeFL

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:03 PM

Anybody know anyting bout Tony's Inn in Corozal?
Posted By: cblessing

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:07 PM

Any news on Xanadu Island Resort?
Posted By: Algae

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:11 PM

AP Video Link: New Video: Dean Slams Into Chetumal, Mexico

http://video.ap.org/v/default.aspx?g=cd5f30b9-e390-46c2-9bbd-ef757d6a50a5&f=wspatv&fg=email
Posted By: CT_in_SF

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:15 PM

Hello all!

I have been pouring over these posts for the last couple of days. I am very glad to hear that AC seems to have weathered the storm in fairly good shape and everyone is safe.

I am currently scheduled to arrive to San Pedro on Friday evening (for the start of a vacation). I am staying at Casa de Suenos - villa north of San Pedro on the lagoon side of the island (managed by Caye Managment). As you can imagine, I am more then a little interested in the effects Dean has has on this property as well as effects on my plans in general. I am still waiting to hear back from the property management company. I assume they evacuated the island and may not even be back yet.

If anyone could provide insight into whether or not I should be considering re-thinking my plans... please let me know! As this is my first trip to Belize, I am feeling a little lost in all the information and any direction/advice would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks in advance!
-CT
Posted By: cheshire54

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:17 PM

As a 'future' resident of AC I too am very thankful to Marty for keeping this board up and running through all this...and I am SO glad to hear that it sounds like things are in no way as bad as I'd envisioned from the TV reports (what info I saw rarely mentioned Belize!) We feared the worst..we'd love to see some photos too of how AC fared!! As some of you have said, God must love that island! By the way, does anyone know anything of how the area up around Journey's End/Butterfly Jungle fared? MataGrande Studios area? If anyone hears from Valley Ruddick..tell her Nancy & Stephen hope all's ok at the nursery!!
I too would be there to help....if I could afford to take off and get there!! smile
Posted By: TravelGirlAtl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:26 PM

I am so thankful it sounds as though everyone on AC is safe and that the island escaped with relatively minimal damage as compared to what it could have endured! Thank you all so much for the updates! AC is my husband's and my "happy place", and we look forward to spending much more time there in the near future.
Posted By: Barbara K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:35 PM

From Jaguar Reef in Hopkins (southern coast of mainland)
"We had no damages done at the lodge, we barely had any wind and we never had to evacuate anyone. "
Posted By: Belize_Pete

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:35 PM

I just spoke to Linda Carter 5 minutes ago via her cell phone in SP. She says "not a drop of rain" got into her apartment and she and Kathy (Beachin Kitchen) are doing fine. She also said - and stressed that this is hearsay only right now - that the Tacklebox bar was very badly damaged. She also wanted to know if there was an official wind speed number for San Pedro. It was great to hear her voice!
Posted By: AFD

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:41 PM

Wow! Good to hear that the Turtleman (Greg Smith) and boys were holed up safely at Sueno del Mar. Curious how things (palapa, dock, buildings)fared there at Sueno del Mar??? Anybody???
Posted By: Hsbeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:43 PM

I loved eating at Beachin Kitchen. I'm glad that they are okay.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:45 PM

here's a message about the Eduardo Brown family.

The entire family weathered the storm in their house near the Lagoon. No trees down, no glass broken, no water in the house - everyone's fine.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:46 PM

FROM THE SUNBREEZE HOTEL:
On Sunday August 19th, we relocated our guest to our sister hotel the Belize Biltmore Plaza in Belize City.
Immediately we commenced tropical storm preparation, however as the day progressed, it was decided that we should go into Hurricane preparedness. By the time the government called the first flag were had completed our plan of action.
As we hunkered down for DEAN, the first feeder was felt at around 1230 pm Monday August 20th, the sea action started early afternoon, as the evening progressed conditions deteriorated. It felt worst than our experience with hurricane Keith. The manager and 11 other team members and immediate family used the hotel for shelter. We also accommodated 2 section of BDF personnel at the hotel.
The SunBreeze Hotel has sustained no structural damage, we got some beach erosion and battered foliage.
We anticipate to be fully operational by Thursday August 23rd, 2007.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:49 PM

Originally Posted by Belize_Pete
I just spoke to Linda Carter 5 minutes ago via her cell phone in SP. She says "not a drop of rain" got into her apartment and she and Kathy (Beachin Kitchen) are doing fine. She also said - and stressed that this is hearsay only right now - that the Tacklebox bar was very badly damaged. She also wanted to know if there was an official wind speed number for San Pedro. It was great to hear her voice!

Hi Pete! I sent you a PM before I got a chance to read your post.
It was good to talk to her this AM.
Posted By: Penn State Diver

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 07:51 PM

Hey Bubbles, Patojo's dock is gone? the Dive shop and all? or just the dock at the end?
Posted By: rgodfrey3

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:11 PM

Is there a website for photos yet?
Posted By: ILuvCayeCaulker

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:18 PM

any damage on Caye Caulker..are people back!!??
Posted By: Julian Foster

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:33 PM

Has anyone heard anything on the condition at Paradise Villas and Miss Nellie Gomez??
Posted By: seashell

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:40 PM

Wondering about dive docks/shops: Amigos del Mar, Reef Adventures, Chuck and Robbies, Protech

Any word on any of these?
Posted By: belizelaw

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:41 PM

I'm checking on all the message boards, and have heard scant information on the Corozal area. Anybody know anything?
Posted By: CAgirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:41 PM

Dose anyone know how Orange Walk made it through the hurricane?
Posted By: TravelGirlAtl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:46 PM

Has anyone heard anything about how Victoria House made it through Dean?
Posted By: gigliotti_KCMO

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:46 PM

does anyone know how journeys end is?
Posted By: Nova

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:57 PM

Marty - just want to add our heartfelt thanks for all you've done over the last 48+ hours. You are an amazing man with the biggest heart. I'm sure you're beat after all the time and energy you've poured out - on top of all your bumps and bruises! Hope to see you in February - the Belikins are on us!

Charlene and Ted
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 08:59 PM

OK, http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com updated again as of 13:45 Belize Time with links to the web feeds of Reef Radio, KREM Radio, and Love FM.

Also a photo of "catastrophic" wind damage in Hopkins... eek laugh :P

OK, now I am *really* going to have a nap...

'Lena
Posted By: Gordon24Fan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:01 PM

This has been a great resource over the last couple of days. Thanks, Marty. Has anyone heard how the Turneffe Islands fared?
Posted By: MartyMoran

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:06 PM

I too am interested in how Victoria House has fared. I think I saw a post that said the dock had been damaged???
Posted By: Bruce_CptMorgan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:16 PM

I'm glad to hear the Kathy and Linda are doing well... Spent quite a bit of time with them at the Palapa Bar last week. Which brings me to Scott and Jodie, owners of the Palapa Bar... any word on them and their son?
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:19 PM

i heard victoria house is opening on sunday
Posted By: ahahn

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:22 PM

Does anyone have any news on the Corozol area????? We are just finishing up building a house there and would love to know anything. I have been checking all of the forums and have heard very little from that area. Knowing almost nothing is killing us. We have fallen in love with Belize and want to move there full time some day, the thought of anything bad happening to the country is very upsetting for us. Even if the news is bad we want to know...
Posted By: chunkyruth

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:23 PM

Palapa Bar's owners checked in on small chat and said that they were all fine and the bar had very little damage and would open soon.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:25 PM

Bruce_CaptMorgan, according to Linda, Scott, Jodie & son are okay!!
Posted By: Susan_in_Bocas

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:26 PM

Hello everybody, from Susan, on Isla Cristobal, Bocas del Toro, Panama...I hope everyone including dogs and cats, are OK...Please give my best wishes to Nellie at Paradise Villas. I heard Einer interviewed this morning on CNN International.
Posted By: Bruce_CptMorgan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:27 PM

Thanks Loansum!! We were their friday night. The wind was blowing thirty, but just gorgeous. My new favorite place on the island, I'm glad they're all ok. Thanks again!
Posted By: Leah-Ann

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:33 PM

Hello, All –
Had to pop in to join in thanks to Marty for all the info and tireless work.

Just some quick updates from a few I’ve had contact with:

Banana Beach: "We are doing fine. A lot of trees fell down and the beach is a mess. Some docks were also destroyed but nothing major."

Talked to Laurie and Paul (Tacogirl & Tacoboy) a few minutes ago – they are frazzled, but well. Sounded almost elated to have weathered the storm and had a couple of last minute requests for items to bring. I fly out tomorrow night. Will post pictures as I take them.

Marty, thanks again for everything!! You rock!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:36 PM

From Reef Radio

We take this opportunity to thank everyone who tuned in during our coverage of Hurricane Dean. San Pedro Town is being cleaned up. I just took a golf cart ride around town and yes...there are many down trees and some damage to several homes. I am referring to the down town area. Other areas in town report some minor damage and some minimal flooding is still visible in low lying areas. Most residents are with rakes, machetes, etc and are cleaning up their yards. Boarded houses are being put down and the town is regaining its normal look. The airlines are resuming flights for today and should have normal flights tomorrow. People are starting to come back on the island. It was reported that water service is back to some parts of town. Electricity is still out but unlike Hurricane Keith there seems to be not that much damage to power lines. Some damage is visible and it is hoped that power is restored soon.
Posted By: Saam

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:37 PM

Any word on Belizian Shores? Will most of the restaurants and bars be open by Friday? Did AC lose electricity in all of this?

Thanks so much!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:39 PM

miss you Susan, so great to hear from you.. we go waaaaaaaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyyy back, many many storms....

hey folks check out Susan's place in Panama.... http://casaselvadelmar.bocas.com
Posted By: Bobber

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:40 PM

Hey Leah-Ann, tip a few for me.

smile
Posted By: RadConDave

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:42 PM

I have been following this board for so long that I feel like I know you all. I have had that sick feeling in the pit of my stomach ever since Dean started to threaten you. I am so relieved that everyone seems to have weathered the storm, so to speak. My wife and I are scheduled to arrive in 18 days for our tenth anniversary, at the Belizean shores. Does anyone know how they came through?
Posted By: Blue Tang Inn

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:48 PM

Hi,
Blue Tang Inn next to Paradise Villas is fine. Wet Willys is still intact. So, I'm sure Paradise is doing ok, too.

Kristin
Blue Tang Inn
Posted By: Bruce_CptMorgan

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:50 PM

E-mail from Cpt Morgan's:

Greetings from Captain Morgan’s thank you for all the calls and emails inquiring about the well being of our resort and staff! We had evacuated the resort totally by Sunday morning other than a few security guards and maintenance personnel who are all fine. We have endured Hurricane Dean with minimal damages. Preliminary reports show we had some wind damage to a few the roof tops of the villas and cabanas. There is sea weed piled up on the beaches. Most of the staff went to different locations in Belize to be with family so it will take time for them to get back to the resort to assist in the clean up so therefore we will not be reopening until September 29th, 2007. As most of you know we had a closure scheduled 9/1-9/29 for annual maintenance. Once again thank you all for all of your concerns
Posted By: L.A. Lola

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:51 PM

Nellie is fine, Paradise Villas did well. Some damage to the gardens, and they have not checked the insides of all the condos as of yet. They are expecting some leaks etc.

The end of the dock did get damaged.



Laura
Posted By: Blue Tang Inn

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:51 PM

Blue Tang Inn by Reef Adventures and Paradise Villas is ok. Our security guard spent the night at the hotel. We have some beach erosion and waiting for the power and water to come back. Otherwise, all is well.

Kristin
Blue Tang Inn
Posted By: Portofino

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:52 PM

Just posted some after pics here:
//ambergriscaye.com/forum/ubbthreads.php?ubb=showgallery&Number=246687#Post246687
//ambergriscaye.com/forum/ubbthreads.php?ubb=showgallery&Number=246705#Post246705

and damage reports from the Mexico rocks area here:
//ambergriscaye.com/forum/ubbthreads.php?ubb=showflat&Number=246703

Jan
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 09:53 PM

TUESDAY, 21ST AUGUST 2007:
Dear Friends;
The Prime Minister, in his capacity as Chairman of the
National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO), through NEMO's
Coordinator retired Lt.Col. George Lovell Sr. has, as of 12:20 p.m. today,
officially issued the ALL CLEAR declaration for all of Belize in the wake of
Hurricane Dean.
Technical teams have subsequently been dispatched to San Pedro Town as
well as to the Orange Walk and Corozal Districts which are believed to be
most affected by the hurricane.
With the ALL CLEAR declaration, the situation has therefore reverted to
normal as employees are preparing to return to work.
In Belize City and the northern towns of Orange Walk and Corozal, the
respective town councils are now engaged mostly in the clearing of fallen
trees in their respective municipalities.
Although there has been no report of loss of life or major displacement of
persons, the Minister of NEMO has nevertheless announced the deployment of
Search and Rescue teams.(search for whom and rescue whom, probably only the
minister knows)
The Mayor of Orange Walk town is reporting minimal damages in that
municipality. In the meantime NEMO's Orange Walk coordinator Netty Johnson
confirmed that there are no casualties in the Orange Walk District. Johnson
reported that over 2,200 persons were accommodated in town shelters and
another 1,000 in village shelters throughout the 26 villages in the
district.
According to Johnson, NEMO Orange Walk is now engaged in damage assessment
and needs analysis particularly in the villages of Douglas and Santa Martha
as well as assisting those few residents whose homes were demolished in the
wake to Hurricane Dean.
According to Netty Johnson, NEMO Orange Walk is now preparing to deal
with flooding conditions that could follow in the villages of Douglas and
San Antonio on the banks to the Rio Hondo River which flows out of
neighbouring Mexico.
In terms of the San Pedro scenario, after sustaining almost 6 hours of
strong winds, no major damage was reported, according to San Pedro's NEMO
Coordinator James Mohammed.
As in Orange Walk, several streets in San Pedro were blocked by fallen
trees. Mohammed reports that a few local power lines were down. The major
damage in San Pedro comes, according to Mohammed, by way of extensive
damages to about 85% of the town's piers with whole sections of piers flung
on beaches in several areas of the town.
Mohammed further reports minimal damages to dwelling places in the
community. He said that Caye Caulker emerged in a better position than San
Pedro Town as there is very little damages to piers in Caye Caulker.
Mohammed reports no loss of life in the area.
San Pedro is currently without electricity and therefore the community
sewer, which requires electricity to pump the sewer from station to station,
is not working. San Pedro NEMO is therefore requesting the gradual return
of evacuees while power is being restored.
According to Mohammed, it should take no more a few weeks for life in San
Pedro to fully return to normal.
Thus far no official word out of the northernmost District of Corozal
which is believed to have been the hardest hit community.
Posted By: Les Crane

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:05 PM

how is the area around the bridge and more particular how is oscar's gym building? thanks les crane
Posted By: beedubya

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:24 PM

Does anyone have a report on El Pescador Lodge? We have not heard from our good friends there. When is the power expected to come back?
Posted By: mjml

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:37 PM

Thanks for all the updates. We were glued to this most of the night. Are anxious to learn anything about San Mateo and especially Holy Cross School -- just across the bridge. Any info would really be appreciated.
Posted By: TerriLynH

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:44 PM

This was an email that we had from El Pescador about 2 hours ago

"Thank God Hurricane Dean has passed Ambergris Caye and we are thankful that everyone and everything is safe!! As best as we can tell it passed about 70 miles north of us. We received winds of approx 80 mph with some storm surge (enough to put the dock underwater - but not enough to have any water in the hotel).



- We have some cosmetic damage (minor roof, minor dock and downed trees/landscaping), but we anticipate being able to welcome guests back to El Pescador as of Thursday, Aug 23rd."


Posted By: GoBlue98

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:49 PM

Hi folks,

Very glad to hear that Dean seems to have caused much less damage than we feared when hearing "Category 5" this morning. You all are in our thoughts for a quick and safe cleanup!

Any news on how the TMM base in San Pedro, as well as the TMM staff, fared? We owe our best sailing trip ever to those folks, and are planning to return this spring for hopefully another sail with Half Inch. We also have some land on the lagoon side, but are much less concerned about that....tho we might use this as an "excuse" to pop down in the fall to check on things! wink

Thanks, and take care!
Posted By: Stephania*21

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:51 PM

Thank you so much everyone for the updates....it kills me that I'm not on the island with everyone right now. Glad that everyone is safe and there is no masive damages. Take care everyone!!
Posted By: John McQueeney

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:53 PM

I hope all is well at Belizean Shores and the rest of AC.
Posted By: Seachange

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 10:58 PM

Have been following along at work but could not post. Just wanted to add my good wishes and relief to everyone else's. This message board can be a dysfunctional family when things get a little boring, but it sure pulls together when necessary.
Cheers.
Posted By: MartyMoran

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:00 PM

Thanks Marty....We are very glad to hear that this was a near miss and not a direct hit for Belize!
Posted By: subtropics

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:11 PM

marty,
don't know what everyone would have done w/out you.. i was up all night reading posts and such just to be sure everyone in that lovely country was ok.. i've visited several times in the past two yrs, and it is the only place i can call my happy place.. as you have already heard, most weather stations never even mentioned belize, whiich
only added to my worry and frustration. thank god everyone is ok and
god bless you. you really made this alot easier for everyone.
Posted By: caremore

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:14 PM

Jan...Thanks so much for the pics! It is great to see Cliff, Joann, Xavier, Carla? safe and sound with smiles on their faces. Is that my good buddy Stan's dock?
Carolyn
El Castillo de Arena/Mata Grande
Posted By: LaurieMar

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:21 PM

Thanks Marty for all the hurricaine info and the great shots of San Cristobal in Bocas. I love Panama and have been by Susan's property a couple of times. Beautiful place.

I was disappointed that the major networks barely reported anything about Belize, but assumed that if they did, AC would be in more trouble than it turned out.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:24 PM

Originally Posted by mjml
Thanks for all the updates. We were glued to this most of the night. Are anxious to learn anything about San Mateo and especially Holy Cross School -- just across the bridge. Any info would really be appreciated.

mjml, I spoke with Linda Carter early this morning and she said that Holy Cross School was just fine......just surrounded by about 10 inches of water. Tres Cocos just north of the bridge did very well.
Posted By: Algae

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:28 PM

I just talked to our family in San Pedro....the power came on less than an hour ago....regular BTL service is working in town. They live across from Nellies Laundry...only miage to the town, some trees down...minimal damage to housing structures....no real injuries they are aware of....
Posted By: mjml

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:31 PM

Great news about Holy Cross. Thanks SO much.
Posted By: iluvbelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:49 PM

Good to hear Holy Cross is fine, and the other schools. Thanks to all who keep the schools going.
Posted By: bonz14

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:51 PM

Anyone here on how all the good people at Banyan Bay are doing
Posted By: pamkillen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/21/07 11:52 PM

Thanks Marty for keeping us all informed and thanks Jim Mohammed for your leadership in the preparation for this emergency
Posted By: lakegirl

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 12:20 AM

Any news on Exotic Caye? I head that Canucks might be damaged? I am so glad that things were not as bad as I thought they might be yesterday and last night. What a relief.

Thanks again Marty for all of the info and your tireless work.

Posted By: beedubya

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 12:24 AM

Thank you for the information. Glad to hear things are coming back together.
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 12:38 AM

All's well at Banyan Bay.......some dock & restuarant damage....nothing severe.
Posted By: Jillybean7

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 12:58 AM

I'm so happy to hear that there was not major damage or injuries. I wish I could be down there to help with the clean up. We send our love to all of you brave souls who made it through okay. Our thoughts are with you all!
Posted By: C Sayle

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 01:05 AM

Can anyone post a damage report for Capricorn Resort? We are due to arrive there next Friday.

Thanks!
Posted By: CB Belize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 01:34 AM

has anyone heard of damage around FIDOS TWO and ROYAL CARRRIBEAN RESORT, my family has an old wooden house on the beach and are wondering if we have any damage???
Posted By: collyk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 01:41 AM

Yeah we know the house. Casa Amour. Fidos Sandbar, according to Dave, is in perfect condition and didn't even lose thatch. We haven't been down there ourselves, so no pictures yet.
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 01:42 AM

Hi all,

this is the first chance I've had to post, just to let you know that we made out fine and now have power (sometimes) and Internet. Took loads of pictures and will post as soon as I can. Stayed above Caye Management and had an impressive night watching the waves come ashore. Hope everyone on the island made out well, didn't see any major damage during a tour of the south end of the island today.

Cheers,

Simon...
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 01:42 AM

Re: Fido's South and Royal Caribbean, the area looked fine but i didn't go up the drive as it looked a bit soggy.
Posted By: 737Pilot

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 01:43 AM

I am so glad that our "La Isla Bonita" favored well. I was wondering if anyone has heard or seen Waraguma's open? Mrs. Flores is the owner. Any information would be greatly appreciated. I also have noticed that everyone has pulled together. It's great to see the love that comes from something that could have been tragic. Thanks for all of your support and Marty....you are great!!
Jen
Posted By: JRinSC

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 01:45 AM

Thanks for the word on Paradise Villas, L.A. Lola. Glad that Nellie is fine too! wink
Posted By: subtropics

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 02:07 AM

hello belize,
i am ever sooo greatful that the gods have looked after your wonderful country.god would never damage something so lovely.
i, have in fact been several times to sp and surrounding areas,
this country has a place in my heart like no other..i am so relieved that everyone and almost eveythinf os ok.
Posted By: subtropics

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 02:16 AM

lm u r correct, ther wasn't any msnbc/twc/cnn/ that even showed that we sp/ambergris caye were even on the map..but, marty was there no matter what. only love goes out to u my sweet...ur the best.
[/spoiler][spoiler]
Posted By: subtropics

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 02:18 AM

maty what is a spoiler?

a spoiler is like "click to uncover the answer"
Marty
Posted By: subtropics

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 02:22 AM

?????????????
Posted By: Loansum-Al K

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 02:33 AM

Simon, glad to see you made out okay.
Regards,
Al & Janet
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 02:37 AM

*CURFEW EXTENDED IN NORTHERN DISTRICTS*
After numerous requests from residents of the areas most affected by
Hurricane Dean, namely Corozal and Orange Walk, NEMO officials have decided
to extend the curfew at least another day. No persons will be allowed on
the streets in these two districts between the hours of 8pm of tonite
Tuesday August 21st and 6am of tomorrow morning, Wednesday August 22nd. The
Police will be conducting vigilant patrols in these areas and the
Commissioner of Police request the continue cooperation of the general
public in this matter. Police in both districts have special passes for
person who can sure just reasons for being out during those hours. All
others persons are advised to remain off the street during those hours and
to ensure that children are in bed at an appropriate hour.

--
G. Michael Reid
Police Press Officer
227-2222 ext. 302
Posted By: CB Belize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 02:56 AM

ha the weather channel just showed san pedro, thats a 1st.......
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:03 AM

what did they show? video of town or was it on a map?
Posted By: RT1

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:19 AM

can anyone give me information on my house in boca del rio? it is the 3rd house south from the bridge on the ocean side and did have a white fence around it. also does anyone know when caye management will be open ? can we phone into belize yet? need to know if we have to come down and do repairs and make insurance claims.
carolyn
Posted By: J&ABritton

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:20 AM

New to this site, but have gotten much good info. My wife and I are gonna be visiting in a few weeks (we hope!) and was wondering how the Belizean Shores made out...anyone know?
Thanks.
Posted By: CB Belize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:32 AM

hey marty they showed a few pictures of the town, with signs on plywood that said "Bring it on Dean"it was only a 30 second clip
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:48 AM

[Linked Image]

man right on the edge
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:49 AM

i have spoken to people close to belizean shores and everything is fine up there...
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:49 AM

thanks casa d'amor
Posted By: Central FL Girl 2

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:58 AM

I have a house on the Caribbean 3 1/2 miles south of San Pedro across from Hol Chan. Just south of Josh & Joanne, does anyone know of damage down there. My house is 2 stories, concrete on 10 foot columns and has a (at least I hope it still has) a blue zinc roof & is aqua with teal trim and white railings.

I would appreciate any info.
Posted By: SBJ

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:13 AM

Does anyone know how the Reef Village development is just north of the bridge. Any damage, flooding?? Thanks,
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:14 AM

i heard from someone near there that in their place the water didn't come up to their first step
Posted By: SBJ

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:17 AM

Great. If you hear anything futher about Reef Village I would appreciate any info.
Posted By: hollywood

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:39 AM

SBJ,

Do you own a unit at reef village ? If so what building are you In. I have a unit in building A which faces the Caribbean. I have been trying to touch base with Jules to see how he and his family are doing.
Posted By: CT_in_SF

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:51 AM

Does anyone have any info re: Caye Management? I am scheduled to arrive this Friday to one of their properties and was unable to reach my contact (Mary) at Caye Management today by email or by phone.

Judging from the mostly positive posts I am hopeful that my planned trip will still be a "go." As always, any additional info or insight is greatly appreciated!

I hope to put some faces with these screen names very soon!
Posted By: ckolhoff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 05:28 AM

My brother in law is a captain for TMM, Horace Bladon. They spent one day in Guatemala but returned today. I assume the rest of TMM staff either evacuated but is alright. My sister assures me that everything is "fine" in San Pedro.
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 05:42 AM

people may need a little bit of time to get themselves settled. power just came back on about 4 hours ago.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 05:44 AM

from a friend, sent several hours ago i didn't post pending permission

Just got back to the island a few hours ago from Flores, Guatemala with the Tropic Air folk.

The island itself looks just about normal. Certainly on the south part all I see is the odd downed tree branch, some leaf debris, that sort of thing. We definitely dodged a huge bullet. I think as you get further north, maybe about 10 miles north of the bridge, I'm sure damage will be rather worse, but not as serious as it could have been.

Just to give you an idea of how little damage there has been, the low lying DFC area, those little houses you see on your approach to the San Pedro airstrip, are all OK!

Electricity is down on the island but there is optimism that it'll be up again very soon, a day or two is what I keep hearing. Water is back on. Phones, mixed, some are up, some are down. Overall, a very, very, VERY good situation considering how bad it could have been. For the folk in Corozal, Chetumal, Mahajual and Bacalar (those last 3 towns are in Mexico) things have been much harder. They took a bad hit.
Posted By: Windsurfing Guy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:51 AM

Mary left the island and returned ASAP! She will be there for you, I am sure!!
Posted By: H2OSensei

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:52 AM

I'm glad to hear that everyone made it ok.

I'm bringing a group of 20 divers on September 1st to Ambergris Caye. What will diving conditions be after DEAN?
Posted By: tnjojo

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:47 PM

SBJ... we have property at Reef Village as well... someone in our group spoke to Jules yesterday and they had no damage to report. Very fortunate...
Posted By: beedubya

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 03:55 PM

Similar to the diving question... what will the flats fishing be like for the next week as things settle down? Thanks.
Posted By: Chris

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:47 PM

Electricity was off this morning while crews did final adjustments on the lines and replaced the odd tottering electric pole. It's back on now. Things very much back to normal in many ways. Today will see a lot of folk returning to the island so the ferries and flights will be pretty full as they bring folk back.

So, here's the situation as I know it:
Water is on
Electricity is on, but adjustments being made so some power cuts inevitable over the next day or two.
TV is on in most parts
Phone/DSL Internet is on in most parts
Roads are all open and very passable on the south side.
The "road" that runs by Reef Village north of the bridge was still under water yesterday afternoon but there is a strong drying breeze and lots of sunshine so it should drain and dry off pretty fast.


Posted By: travelguy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:53 PM

Journey's End Resort thankfully has sustained minimal damage. They had some damage to the greenery and beach eriosion. I think they may have some dock damage. That is what I have heard so far. Thanks

Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 04:57 PM

Ya, talked to a friend in town and he says minimal damage and he thinks things will be cleaned up soon.
Posted By: tnjojo

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 05:12 PM

I'm amazed at how quickly things are recovering considering it was such a "near niss"
Posted By: TrekQueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 05:30 PM

Thanks for the update on Reef Village! I just wandered across the forum here and we recently bought one of the soon-to-be-built villas, so we were concerned on how Ambergris Caye fared the hurricane. Good to hear Jules has already contacted some of you!
Posted By: gigliotti_KCMO

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 05:51 PM

thaks so much for the update on journeys end, i have been hoping someone would have some information! we are so happy that we will still be able to go on our honeymoon!! Thanks again
Posted By: rickcheri

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:27 PM

So it sounds like "minimal" damage done to AC??? Could someone post in summary what exactly was damaged and how much??? Any buidlings lost???? Piers??? How is the weather and conditions all around AC/BZ???? Thanks for info.......C
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:38 PM

rickcheri, My friend ealier said today is super windy. Some docks are gone or rather broken up. Maybe the taco's have more info...
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:44 PM

warm and a bit breezy today. the sea beyond the reef is still a bit riled up it appears. sun is out and the sky is fairly clear.

yesterday we took a long walk down the beach from about 9:00 to 1:00ish. it was cloudy and a bit windy, but nothing severe. it was warm - we all ended up getting a bit of a sun burn because no one thought to put sunscreen on.
Posted By: The Shannon's

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:46 PM

Does anyone have any information on Ramon's Village or any of their staff, Einer, Julio, Kareem, Raul, Steve? Their friends in Colorado are concerned about them and want to make sure they are ok. Thank you!
Posted By: Algae

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:47 PM

Does any one have any current information on Crazy Canucks and Exotic Caye (Playador) Resort. Any damage?
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:53 PM

Canucks and Exotic Caye are fine. Some trees came down and that sort of thing. We had a nice icy cold Belikin at Canucks yesterday morning at about 9:00am or so with a group there.
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:56 PM

Ramon's grounds got a little beat up, most of the board walk got ripped up and the dock may have taken some damage. Plant damage and that sort of thing as well. As far as staff goes there were no major injuries to my knowledge so it's a safe bet that they are fine.
Posted By: Algae

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 06:56 PM

Thanks for the update on Exotic Caye!....cold beer or Mango Tango would be good at the moment!
Posted By: The Shannon's

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 07:02 PM

Thank you very much TacoBoy. Do you know if Ramon's dive shop survived?

AC is our favorite place in the entire world. We would like to provide help from Colorado and since we cannot come down and actually help clean up, we would like to send goods, clothes, food, anything that anyone needs. Do you have any suggestions or know what items we can send?

The Shannon's in Colorado

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Living in Colorado while dreaming of Ambergris Caye
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 07:11 PM

i don't have a definitive list. a number of docks took damage. some more than others. I know the following:

1. The Victoria House palapa is floating around in the sea.
2. The Sandbar is apparently a-ok.
3. The dive shop at Royal Palms is now nestled against the wall around the grounds.
4. Mata Rocks bar area was a bit beat up but the buildings are fine.
5. The board walk at Banana Beach is a little beat up but the buildings are fine.
6. The dive shop and restaurant at Banyan Bay were a little beat up but the buildings are fine. Grand Colony looked fine.
7. the grounds at Xanadu were a bit beat up, some trees etc but the buildings are all fine.
8. Carribean Villas grounds looked fine, the dock might be a little damaged.
9. Coral Bay Villas looked fine. You could see a high water mark right up near the buildings, so you know the waves came in very far.
10. the fence that was up between Coral Bay and Perla is gone for the most part.
11. Perla looked fine.
12. Coconuts (or what ever it's called) didn't seem to take too much damage - the buildings looked ok.
13. Woody's Wharf pier looked a bit wonky.
14. There were some trees down and such around Exotic Caye/Canucks, but no damage to the buildings that I saw.
15. The grounds at Belize Yacht Club looked fine.
16. Changes in Lattitudes was fine.
17. Tropical Touch pier took some damage, O"Farrell house looked fine.
18. The island academy fence went down in spots.
19. Barry Bowens' house looked fine. We are all preying that his pier is ok because that's where the Beer comes in.
20. Ramon's grounds and pier took some damage but i believe the buildings are all ok.
21. Palms was fine
22. Belizian Reef was fine
23. BC's is fine
24. Sunbreeze looked fine.
25. Fido's looked fine.

I missed everything from Sunbreeze to Fido's because I went to check our apartment.
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 07:13 PM

really not sure The Shannon's. Corozal might need it more than AC also...
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 07:22 PM

Great update Tacoboy!!! Thank you!! #19... funny!

Glad you and the Mrs. are ok! xo
Posted By: Sir Isaac Newton

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 07:32 PM

Sin is fine, if anybody cares frown

Posted By: rickcheri

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:11 PM

Thank God!!!!!! I was there 1 1/2 weeks after Keith and it was amazing how fast they cleaned things up, but more amazing what "he" did to the trees and mangrove...looked like a forest fire went through.......was there when Mitch , but only really saw the outer bands of "him"......thanks Travelqueen!!! C
Posted By: MissLena

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:19 PM

Very brief update and more links this noon at http://galenaalysoncanada.blogspot.com

Thanks, 'Lena
Posted By: Bobber

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:27 PM

SIN, glad to hear you are ok. You are the one most of us were worried about. smile
Posted By: KC Jayhawk

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:28 PM

I agree. Sin is fine, if done properly. whistle
Posted By: travelqueen

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:36 PM

SIN! I asked about you only 10+ times! Glad you are ok honey! xoxoxo
Posted By: SarahBE

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:51 PM

Here is an email about the Holy Cross School on AC and the Wilsons' house. Sarah
Posted By: SarahBE

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 08:52 PM

Oops! Here is the email: The electricity just went on one hour ago but all is well here on the
island and at the school. It wasn't as devastating as it was projected by the weather reports. At the last minute the direction shifted in our favor and we were receiving the winds out of the south due to the spinning rotation of the hurricane. Due to the water surge there was a huge lake that connected the lagoon to the ocean by Francis/Vernon's house.
Fortunately, we had taken the dogs to our house. The water doesn't appear to have entered the buildings. Tomorrow we should be able to get to the school and to the house. Some of the docks were destroyed but most of the damage was to the plant life. Many broken branches and debris. There were no reported casualties. The cleanup process started immediately and in some areas it appears untouched. I'm sure business will be as usual tomorrow since the electricity has been restored. Thank-you for the prayers!
Posted By: Stephania*21

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 09:05 PM

Anyone have any into on White Sands Cove Resort??? In particular Brian Burke?
Posted By: BradV

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 09:35 PM

I read in one of the posts that Chris and Jen from Casa Picasso were OK through a 2nd source. Glad to hear that. Anyone know if the property is OK too?

All the best to you out there and we are so thankful Dean missed our lovely paradise.

Brad and Kathy in CA
Posted By: Saam

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 09:40 PM

Taco Boy-

Thanks for the great update! Can you provide any information on Belizian shores and when they will have electricity and will be open. We are getting absolutely no inforamation from the stateside reservations and am not sure if we should come to the island this week. Me, and several other guests, are in limbo. If you can send me any information I will gladly buy you several beers when I arrive!
Posted By: chunkyruth

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 09:43 PM

Great report Tacoboy! We own a unit a Coral Bay and I was getting more and more nervous as I "walked" up the beach with you from Victoria House. Perfect way to report, in order, I was able to picture every spot. Thanks...
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 09:59 PM

Haven't been north at all so can't say first hand about Belizian Shores. But i'm sure they are fine - everyone up there is reporting that things are ok and they should be open soon.
Posted By: TacoBoy

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 10:01 PM

i saw Chris from Casa Picasso driving around yesterday and chatted very briefly with him. He said everything is good with them.
Posted By: Saam

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 10:23 PM

Thanks Taco Boy- just switched my erservations to the Aqua Marina Suites so I feel much better
and will now be coming down for sure!!
Posted By: SBJ

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 10:29 PM

Dear Fellow Reef Village Owners - This event, tho so unfortunate for our friends in AC, has an upside - an opportunity for us to find each other online. If any of you would like to remain in contact as the development evolves and we all get to see each other on AC, please send me a response with your email coordinates. I was last on site in mid-July and have many recent photos of the current state of building (at least pre-Dean)both villas and condo buildings - much more recent than what is on the site. We're Villa owners from Canada.Ciao
Posted By: SBJ

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/22/07 10:31 PM

forgot to include my email in my just sent Reef Village message,
Susanna and Marty in Halifax [email protected]
Posted By: CT_in_SF

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 12:22 AM

Hello all!

I was wondering if anyone has any information on Caye Management? I have been trying to contact Mary via email and telephone for the past few days without success. I am scheduled to arrive Friday evening to one of Caye Management's rental properties. Based on feedback on all the forums, I don't think I will be changing my plans, but would love the peace of mind knowing everything is still a "go" from Caye Management's standpoint.

Any information would be greatly appreciated!

Thanks!
CT
Posted By: Central FL Girl 2

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 12:26 AM

Any info on the island 3 1/2 miles south of San Pedro. I haven't heard anything & can't get hold of anyone. I have a home there. I would appreciate any info.
Posted By: John McQueeney

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 01:39 AM

They are fine . It will be your greatest trip ever!
Posted By: LveBelize

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 02:13 AM

Have fun on your honeymoon. We just got married at JER in May and feel like Ambergris Caye and JER are our second homes!!
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 02:52 AM

from a friend...

It took a full day to find out exactly what the situation was on Long Caye after the hurricane passed. I am happy to report that there was almost no damage from the storm! I spoke with dive shop staff on the island last night. The island was evacuated Monday morning. They had not planned to evacuate but the storm was growing so large and not moving as far north as expected so they got worried and left. Everything was put away as best as could be and they evacuated to Dangriga. When they returned to the island by 3 pm on Tuesday they found almost no damage, just some minor clean up will be necessary. Again, thanks to everyone for your concern!
Posted By: Scuba do

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 03:20 AM

Good to hear the Lighthouse Reef Atoll stood tall during the high seas,great reporting Marty !!
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 04:05 PM

Caye Management will be open today, yesterday they were tied up with cleanup as the staff had evacuated earlier in the week.
Posted By: gigliotti_KCMO

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 04:23 PM

thanks so mush for the warm wishes! we are so excited that everyone made it thru the storm safely
Posted By: John McQueeney

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 04:41 PM

Belizean Shores is ready for anyone coming down
Posted By: CindyF

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 05:47 PM

John - Sent you a PM. Wondering where you are getting your info on Belizean Shores. I just spoke to a friend that lives in a house on the edge of the property - said there's no power. Heard a rumor that it might be back on by Saturday, but no promises.
Posted By: Tamster

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 07:24 PM

Here is an update I received from Sueno del Mar. I thought others might be interested in hearing.

First & foremost, everyone staying at the resort through the storm is fine – there are no injuries. The eye of Hurricane Dean hit about 5 miles north of Sueno, so they encountered heavy wind & rain; however, the damage sustained is all minor damage – downed trees, some roof tiles blown off buildings, etc. While there is quite a bit of cleanup to do, no major damage was incurred to any of the structures, including the palapa & dock.

There were about 16 people who stayed at the resort through the storm, including the essential staff they had on hand. They all stayed on the second floor of Building 5, and according to Kevin, had a pretty good hurricane party!

Power & water were restored by 11 a.m. the next morning to the entire resort, and they are up & running. The dock held up well, having only lost the stairs and the add-on addition. It will need to be reset in places, but given that many lost their docks completely, this is minimal damage.

They expect it to take about 2 weeks to complete all cleanup; however, the resort is operating as we speak. They expect to have full staff back on site in a day or two. They are ready to accommodate members & guests who have travel plans, as the villas, palapa kitchen/bar, transportation, power & water are all operational.

The internet access is working at the resort, although phone service at the resort office is not up & running yet.

The office in town is now open again, as electricity has been restored for the most part in San Pedro. They are getting the computers and office equipment set back up, and you should be able to reach the office by phone or email if need be.

Posted By: J&ABritton

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 08:54 PM

Here is an e-mail I just received from Rose at the Belizean Shores:

"Hi Jim,
Well for now we are still out of power and hopefully it will be back very soon. The hotel will be open as long as there is access to water and electricity.
We are in town at the internet cafe trying to do some emails, but you can keep in trying your emails to see when the power will be restored again. Look forward to your response.
Best
Rose"
Posted By: Phil in VA

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 11:51 PM

I too got an email message from Rose at the Belizean Shores. They will try to accommodate re-schedules - my son and I were supposed to check in today, but clearly that didn't happen. I'm hoping to fly in next Friday. Any recommendations for a substitute in the event they are booked next weekend? Many thanks. This board has been a real Godsend.
Posted By: SFJeff

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/23/07 11:53 PM

Hey all...

We're back on-line/on generator now....

all in all, coulda been a LOT worse...

Lost both docks here... restaurant is all in all a mess... resort side of the property is fine... LOT'S of trees in the back down... albeit confused, all 6 dogs, 5 cats, 2 birds and one fish are fine... one bird escaped in the aftermath... hope she finds her way back.

The resort/restaurant is now closed for the "slow season" which will give us a lot of time to get things tidied up and back looking better than ever...

Was certainly an interesting last couple days...

Jeff / Vivian

Azul Resort & Rojo Lounge
Posted By: belizeonthebeach

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/24/07 01:02 AM

power back on in Tres Cocos
Yippeeee!!!!
Posted By: SimonB

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/24/07 08:53 PM

These pictures show just how lucky we were:

http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/current/mexico.shtml
Posted By: Retrohero

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/24/07 09:28 PM

Hi I have tried to contact my brother who is at Matagrande (ex. Sundiver), but it seems like they have no phone / internet. Does anyone here know about the eventual damage up there?

Thx
Peter
Posted By: gailtor

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/25/07 12:08 AM

Hi Peter.. Had an email from Marianne (Ebbe's wife) earlier in the week, and yes, no power or internet. Might be another week before it is restored.
Apparently, no structual damage to report other than part of the dock. Lots of clean up with downed trees, seaweed and driftwood.
I'll send Marianne a private email to let her know you are concerned about your brother.
Take care Gail
Posted By: Marty

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/25/07 02:10 AM

san pedro sun is up...
http://sanpedrosun.net
Posted By: Retrohero

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/25/07 08:45 AM

Hi Gail,

Thanks for your update, really appreciated smile

Best
Peter
Posted By: elbert

Re: Here comes Dean - 08/25/07 04:43 PM

I need a little icon for ,I'm not joking!
I've got some major large pieces of several peoples docks floating around my place and I'm sure these people will want them back. lots of nice routed hardwood. some chunks are as large as 20'X 20'with cleats and put together with stainless steel nails.
I'm worried they will do damage to my dock and will have to dispose of them if they are not claimed and removed by the owners quick.
and please guys 'the owners' other wise your a looter.
Still no power in the Mexico Rocks Area.
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