Belize Weather Forecast: November 3, 2014
General Situation: Tropical Weather Outlook:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 48 hours.
Wind & weather forecast for Ambergris Caye / San Pedro: Great information for sailors... Caribbean winds site: An animated map of Caribbean wind and weather. Click for a green circle or position, showing the exact location longitude and latitude, temp and wind speed. Current Caye Caulker Weather Information Belize Hydrological & Flooding Information Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)
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From Belmopan...
The weather is certainly dipping towards the Winter now.. . . .There is usual no single indicator, but an overall general lowering of temperature trends.
The dotted lines show the 12 year long term average temperatures, the thin red and blue lines show the actual maximum and minimum daily temperatures. . . .And the heavy red and blue lines show the 31 day smoothed average temperatures. . . .The last 15 days can't show this yet.. . . .The Green line is only the Median between these max and min temperatures, it actually has little significance, it will not represent the actual days Average temperature, but it is used by many authorities when quoting temperatures.
Click for larger version
The Rainfall graph is more complex. . ..The blue line and dotted blue lines actually mean nothing, they just join the monthly triangles. . . . .The white triangles show the long term typical Monthly average rainfall. . .. .The filled in blue triangles show the actual Monthly rainfall for 2014.
Then there is the light blue line, which fairly closely represents the Water in the ground near the surface, that grass and other small plants can get. . .. The light green line represents the Water deeper in the ground that larger plants and trees can access. . . . .The dark Blue vertical lines are the real Daily Rainfall as measured in North Belmopan, which are usually very erratic, the scale is shown in mm/day on the Left and in/day on the Right. . . . . Those other 4 lines are actually drawn at 1/5 scale, since they are Monthly figures, to be able to show them on the same graph. . . . . .This year, we had a unusually very long dry season, absolutely no rain in April at all, very unusual. . . . Then we had very significant rain early in May, also very unusual.. .. .But then again, some years there is no clear dry season and some years, no clear distinct wet season. . .The highest single days rain I and other have recorded in Belmopan was 156 mm ( >6" ) in just one day, not seen in over 10 years.
![[Linked Image]](http://ambergriscaye.com/forum/uploads/files/usergals/2014/11/full-9930-704-800pxnov3rd.jpg)
Our expected high on Ambergris caye today is 81. The sea is calm with a Northern breeze at 8 mph.
From Belmopan... 08:30 BZT
High cloud still around in many areas and will be continuing for the next few days. . . . .The cold front is well south of Belize and cool air streaming in from the NE, where cold air is still steaming of the US to west of Florida.
So I am expecting areas of patchy high cloud and good sun between them, for most of the day, not expecting rain today as there do not appear to be conflicting clouds around today.
From Belmopan... 20:30 BZT
Looks to me as if the warmer Caribbean air is starting to push back the Cool air we are presently in.. . .This may well cause some rain tonight and possibly tomorrow morning. . . .There is not a lot of wet air out there, but when ever warm and cold air meets, there is the chance of rain.. . .As you may well have seen, the cloud cover has been getting thicker.