Belize Weather Forecast: November 14, 2018 - 11/14/18 11:55 AM
Belize Weather Forecast: November 14, 2018
The Caribbean Sea
A surface trough is over the Leeward and Virgin Islands from 22N63W to 16N67W. Scattered moderate convection from 15N-23N between 59W-63W. An upper-level low is centered over the Mona Passage near 18N68W. Upper level diffluence E of the center is enhancing convection over the Leeward Islands. This system continues to have a low chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next couple of days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward.
In the southwest Caribbean, scattered moderate to strong convection is noted south of 12N between 76W-82W, due to the eastern extent of the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is also inland over N Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica.
High pressure north of the area is supporting fresh trade winds over most of the Caribbean Sea. The trough across the Virgin Islands extending NE into the adjacent Atlantic will move across Puerto Rico through late tonight, and then across Hispaniola Wed. The tropical wave over the southeast Caribbean will move westward reaching Hispaniola and the ABC Islands by late Wednesday and early Thursday.
Strong northerly winds and building seas will follow a cold front entering the Yucatan Channel late Wed. Expect enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity with periods of heavy rain for portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, Honduras and the adjacent waters of the northwest Caribbean through early Fri. Fresh northerly winds and seas to 8 ft will spread across the northwest Caribbean into Fri behind the front, then diminish Fri into Sat as the front stalls and weakens from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras.
Four Day Weather Outlook: