Belize Weather Forecast: September 25, 2019

Posted By: Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: September 25, 2019 - 09/25/19 12:13 PM

Belize Weather Forecast: September 25, 2019

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Cloudy. Warm, moist and relatively unstable conditions continue to dominate our weather. Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Skies will be sunny with some cloudy spells today becoming cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and thunderstorms will develop mostly over inland areas this afternoon, then over southern and some coastal areas tonight.
Winds: Variable | 5-10 kts, Sea State: Slight
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: Is for some cloudy spells with a few showers and thunderstorms mostly inland during Thursday, then along some coastal areas Thursday night.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00am Post-tropical cyclone Jerry was centered near 32.0N, 67.4W or about 155mls West of Bermuda. Tropical Storm Karen was centered near 20.5N, 65.2W or about 155mls NNE of San Juan Puerto Rico. Hurricane Lorenzo was centered near 13.6N, 33.9W or about 640mls West of the Cape Verde Islands. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

  Winds Seas Waves Details
Today Variable 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
Tonight Variable 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY SOUTH.
Tomorrow Variable 5-10 kts Slight 1-3 ft ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
Outlook E-SE 5-15 kts Light Chop 2-4 ft A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

The Caribbean Sea

An E-W surface trough across the northern Caribbean Sea extending from the western Atlantic across the Bahamas and the Windward Passage to the Caribbean Sea near 19N84W. Water vapor and TPW loops show a sharp moisture gradient along a line from 21N78W to 23N86W, with dry air north of this line and moist air south of the line. Scattered moderate convection is seen 200 nm to the south and 60 nm to the north of the trough axis.

Otherwise, a fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week. A tropical wave will quickly move across the tropical N Atlc by the end of the week, through the eastern Caribbean Sat, and central Caribbean Sun.

  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 36deg; C
96° F
24° C
75° F
Hills 29° C
84° F
21° C
70° F
High: 6:34 AM Low: 1:46 PM
High: 8:09 PM Low: 1:18 AM
Sunrise: 5:42 AM Moonset: 3:38 PM
Sunset: 5:46 PM Moonrise: 3:25 AM (Thu)

Four Day Weather Outlook:

For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 25, 2019 - 09/25/19 12:14 PM

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The Atlantic is teeming with tropical activity as Jerry, Karen and Lorenzo meander across the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean, and meteorologists say another threat could brew closer to the United States in the coming days.

The western Caribbean to the western Gulf of Mexico could be the next area to watch for potential tropical development into the first part of October, meteorologists warn.

"We expect a large counterclockwise wind pattern to develop over Central America in the coming days," Dan Kottlowski, AccuWeather's top hurricane expert, said. A broad circulation such as this is referred to as a gyre by meteorologists, and such a pattern could create a conducive environment for additional tropical systems to form.

"This gyre can sometimes help to spin up one or multiple tropical depressions or storms either in the East Pacific, western Caribbean or western Gulf of Mexico," Kottlowski said.

Meanwhile, a general uptick in showers and thunderstorms is expected over Central America and central, eastern and southern Mexico in the coming days as the gyre and smaller disturbances materialize.

Incidents of localized flooding, mudslides and gusty winds are possible.

Lorenzo joins Jerry and Karen in the Atlantic basin. There is now a trio of active tropical cyclones spinning in the basin at the same time, and the latest addition is intensifying quickly.

"We expect Lorenzo to become the Atlantic season's next major hurricane this week," AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said.

As of 5 a.m. EDT Wednesday, Lorenzo was a category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph.

Steering winds will guide Lorenzo on a west-northwesterly track into the middle of this week.

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Tropical Storm Karen spread across Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands on Tuesday as the slow-moving storm continued its track. Tropical Storm Warnings that were in place over Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra and the U.S. Virgin Islands have been discontinued as of early Wednesday morning.

The storm was closing in on Puerto Rico after a 6.0 earthquake struck off the island's northwest coast late Monday. No damage was reported, according to the Associated Press.

A 4.9-magnitude quake struck on Tuesday night close to the same location, while Karen was hovering over the island. More than 50 tremors have rattled the area within 24 hours, ranging in magnitudes from 2.5 to 6.0.

Karen weakened from a tropical storm to a tropical depression on Monday afternoon, but regained tropical storm status early Tuesday morning.

By 5 a.m. EDT Wednesday, Karen was located about 155 miles north-northeast of the Puerto Rican capital of San Juan and had maximum sustained winds of 45 mph.

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For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 25, 2019 - 09/25/19 02:47 PM

Still a complex weather in our area, no easterly Caribbean winds, some winds drifting in from the NW and a little high level from the SE. Cloud cover may reduce a bit this morning, then increase this afternoon together with a risk of showers anywhere.

Looks like another hot humid day with some sun, but mainly cloud, possible showers this afternoon. No rain on land.

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Reminder: White arrows are typical Caribbean winds ( None ) Yellow other low or mid-level, orange high-level,
brown or pink are unusual, but somewhere between low and high level, when there is complicated air movements
Large sharp arrows, fast winds, blunt, flat or small arrow heads, slow winds or insignificant.
Blue are surface winds as felt if different from the normal White.
'Tiger' winds are surface winds, that we can feel, off the Mountains, so from the SW
p.s. You may notice, I use one of the two logical Dates, one is Y M D, the other is D M Y ( But never the illogical M D Y )

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25C 76F Yesterday max. 35C 95F Yesterday Rain 1.3 mm (0.05" )
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 25, 2019 - 09/25/19 05:51 PM

Present Condition: Partly Cloudy

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