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Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020

Posted By: Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020 - 09/04/20 12:04 PM

Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. Moist and unstable conditions will persist ahead of an approaching tropical wave.
Advisories: *A flood warning remains in effect for communities near rivers and streams in the south.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy with sunny breaks today and mostly cloudy tonight. A few showers and thunderstorms will occur over most areas today, increasing over coastal and offshore areas tonight before spreading inland.
Winds: E-NE, 10-20 kts
Sea State: Choppy
Waves: 3-5 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for some showers and a few thunderstorms over most areas of the country.
Sargassum Forecast from August 26, 2020 to September 02, 2020: Latest observations show a few Sargassum mats offshore and along coastal areas of the country. There is a high chance of these mats landing on local beaches in the coming days producing moderate impacts. San Pedro has a high probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00 am the center of Tropical Depression Omar was located near latitude 35.3N, longitude 58.5W, or about 415 miles ENE of Bermuda. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

An upper level cyclonic circulation center is centered over Hispaniola, with a mid-level trough evident along 72W/73W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 12N-16N between 69W-78W. Additional scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted over western Venezuela and Lake Maracaibo as well as portions of northern Colombia. Very heavy rainfall yesterday and overnight may support localized flash flooding as long as the convection persists. Refer to products issued by your local weather service office.

Earlier scatterometer data indicated moderate to fresh trades across much of the basin, except light and variable winds in the SW Caribbean Sea in the vicinity of the monsoon trough.

Fresh to strong trades will pulse in the central Caribbean later this morning through Sat, with moderate to fresh trades continuing elsewhere. Trades will diminish basin-wide by the end of the weekend into early next week as high pres N-NE of the area weakens.


  High Low
Coastal 30° C
86° F
27° C
80° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 26° C
78° F
19° C
66° F
TIDES:
High: 11:09 AM Low: 5:46 PM
High: 11:29 PM Low: 5:53 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:39 AM Moonset: 7:33 AM
Sunset: 6:03 PM Moonrise: 7:54 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020 - 09/04/20 12:04 PM

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Nana, which has dissipated near the Guatemala-Mexico border, and is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Omar, located about 400 miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the north-central Atlantic, about 600 miles south of Cape Race Newfoundland. This low is expected to move north-northeastward near 15 mph, and some slight subtropical or tropical development of this system is possible before it reaches cooler waters tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure located over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, while moving little. Gradual development is possible early next week once the larger tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands passes to the north of the system on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

3. A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an extensive area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is expected to be slow during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. After that, a tropical depression is more likely to form early next week over the central tropical Atlantic where environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

4. Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa over the weekend. An area of low pressure is expected to form from the wave early next week. Gradual development of this low is then expected, and a tropical depression could form while it moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

The axis of an 11 mph westward-moving tropical wave is along a line from north of the Leeward Islands southward to over Venezuela. Increased cloudiness with scattered to moderate showers and thunderstorms in some parts are noted over and or around some islands mainly from south of Guadeloupe to parts of St. Lucia and Barbados.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020 - 09/04/20 01:52 PM

Crown Weather:

A tropical disturbance over the central Caribbean, which is currently flaring up due to a divergent flow from an upper level low pressure system to its north, is expected to reach the area near the Yucatan Channel around Monday and Tuesday.

It seems that there is less model guidance support today for tropical development in the northwestern Caribbean and the eastern Gulf of Mexico next week.

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020 - 09/04/20 03:10 PM

Clouds, clouds everywhere in the western Caribbean, with some high level from the NW causing a number of swellups and rain. Presently all Belize covered by cloud, the sun can be seen through some of it, areas of rain in southern belize now and on and off for much of the morning. More areas of cloud coming in for the rest of the day.

Looks as if today will be mainly cloudy, with some sun from time to time, and rain in many parts, some heavy down south.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 24C 75F Yesterday max. 33C 91F Yesterday Rain 5.3 mm ( 0.2") Last night 12.5mm ( 0.5")
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020 - 09/04/20 04:11 PM

Rain swellups developing in many places.

[Linked Image]
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020 - 09/04/20 06:01 PM

Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. A tropical wave will continue to support moist and unstable conditions during the next 24 to 48 hours.
24hr Forecast: Mostly cloudy with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms especially over northern and inland areas this afternoon then showers and thunderstorms will increase over most areas tonight and tomorrow morning.

A flood warning remains in effect for communities near rivers and streams in the south.

[Linked Image]

Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill



Flood Forecast for September 4, 2020

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas levels are normal and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are above normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER reservoir levels are below the spillways at Chalillo Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is near normal and continues to fall. On the BELIZE RIVER, levels at Banana Bank and Double Run are normal and steady. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels remain below the causeway and receding slowly.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is normal steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is normal and steady. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branch of the MONKEY RIVER is above normal and rising slowly. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are nearing above normal and rising slowly. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan is above normal and now receding and at Blue Creek South, the river levels are now back to normal levels and continues to recede. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco is at Flood stage and now receding.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and steady.

WEEKEND FLOOD FORECAST

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and downstream to the coast at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas normal and steady levels are expected. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia above normal levels is expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER. reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillway at all dam facilities. At Sari Ignacio, river levels are expected to remain below the low-level bridge. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town, normal and steady levels are expected. On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank and Double Run expect normal and steady levels over the next few days. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON receding levels are expected to continue over the next few days.

REGION 11 - Normal levels near Freetown Sibun on the SIBUN RIVER is expected to continue over the next few days. On the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village, normal and steady levels are expected. On the SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge normal and steady levels are expected. Rising levels on the Swasey and Bladen branch of the MONKEY RIVER is expected to become steady over the next few days then begin to recede. On the DEEP RIVER at Medina Bank levels are expected to remain at normal and steady levels. Near above normal levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls is expected to become steady then begin to recede slowly over the next few days. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan is expected to continue to recede becoming normal levels over the next few day and at Blue Creek South, normal levels is expected over the next few days. Flood levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco is expected to recede becoming normal and steady over the next few days.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER above normal levels is expected to continue over the next few days.

The Next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Monday September 7, 2020 at 12 noon.
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 4, 2020 - 09/05/20 11:30 AM

Last night's view of our Corozal Bay. Photo by the Corozal Daily

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