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Posted By: Marty Belize Weather Forecast: September 12, 2020 - 09/12/20 12:17 PM

Belize Weather Forecast: September 12, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
Advisories: None.
24-hour forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated with a few more occurring along the coast and south this morning and inland this afternoon. activity will spread to most of the country with an increase over inland and southern areas tonight
Winds: Light and Variable
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: Showers and thunderstorms will be generally isolated on Sunday with a few more occurring inland. Activity will continue over inland and southern areas Sunday night, decreasing late.
Sargassum Forecast from September 9, 2020 to September 16, 2020: Latest observations show a few sargassum mats over the area. These mats will likely drift ashore and produce moderate impacts on local beaches in the coming days. San Pedro has a medium probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles SSW of the Cabo Verde Islands has a high chance of becoming a tropical depression during the next 48 hours. At 3:00am Tropical Depression Nineteen was centered near latitude 25.6N, longitude 80.7W, or about 35 miles WSW of Miama, Florida. Tropical Storm Rene was centered near latitude 22.5N, longitude 43.5W, or about 1300 miles ENE of the northern Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Paulette was centered near latitude 26.8N, longitude 56.1W, or about 645 miles SE of Bermuda. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

Heavy showers and tstms associated with Tropical Depression Nineteen continue to affect central Cuba and adjacent waters. Scattered showers and tstms are over southern Haiti and SW Dominican Republic being supported by upper level diffluent flow. In the SW Caribbean, the extension of the E Pacific monsoon trough to Colombia continue to generate scattered heavy showers and tstms S of 11N. Otherwise, with a weak pressure gradient N of the area, gentle to locally moderate winds dominate the Caribbean waters, with the highest winds being in the central basin.

Tropical Storm Paulette centered near 25.8N 54.8W 987 mb at 11 PM EDT moving NW at 14 kt. Maximum sustained winds 60 kt gusts 75 kt. Large swell associated with Paulette will affect the Atlantic and Caribbean Passages this weekend. A tropical wave in the W Caribbean will exit the basin overnight. Low pressure associated with a strong tropical wave may approach the Tropical N Atlantic waters the middle of next week.


  High Low
Coastal 32° C
89° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 34° C
94° F
23° C
73° F
Hills 27° C
81° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 12:49 PM High: 7:13 PM
Low: 11:39 PM High: 6:00 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:40 AM Moonset: 2:20 PM
Sunset: 5:56 PM Moonrise: 1:42 AM (Sun)




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nineteen, located near southern Florida.

A surface trough over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf of Mexico through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is located between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions could support development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system moves slowly westward. After that, Upper-level winds could become less conducive for development by Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

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For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
On Ambergris Caye this morning the sea around our barrier reef is glassy and the sky is blue. We have a breeze from the West at 5 mph. The expected high temperature for the day is 89 f.

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Very unusual weather for Belize, the normal winds are coming from the West this morning, very slowly , but are from the West over the whole of the Yucatan and north Guatamala. There are some huge ITCZ swellups around, one covering much of Cuba, another on the Pacific side of Guatamala, other s in the Gulf. It is just that time of the year, when the ITCZ is moving south, that can result in large areas of unstable conditions, again heavy rains last night, all over the place, but missed Belize, a small swellup over southern Toledo this morning. There is a strong surface "Tiger" wins from the SW at present.

Despite all those unusual conditions, our weather will appear normal, mainly sunny, with some clouds building and a chance of rain later in any place later this afternoon and or evening. ( Evening = 6pm to midnight )

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Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 26°C 79°F Yesterday max. 33°C 91°F Yesterday Rain 0 mm ( 0")
Present Condition: Partly cloudy. Generally fair weather prevails... But an increase in showery activity during the day is expected over the mainland during the next 24 - 48 hours.
24hr Forecast: Sunny with some cloudy spells during the daytime and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will occur mainly over inland and southern areas this afternoon, with activity increasing over most areas of the country this evening, but especially those mentioned. Otherwise, showers and thunderstorms will be isolated.

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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

Swellups developing all over the place right now. The earlier one over the mountains is now dispersing.
There will be rain, some heavy in any part of Belize over the next few hours.

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Amazing sunset Saturday. Rainbow-topped storm clouds. Photo by the Ambergris Today

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Here is a time lapse video of rainbow clouds seen today in San Pedro. Video by Marlena Gomez



A little bit of rumbling up in the skies Saturday night in Corozal! Photo and Video by the Corozal Daily

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