Belize Weather Forecast: September 19, 2020

Posted By: Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: September 19, 2020 - 09/19/20 12:06 PM

Belize Weather Forecast: September 19, 2020

General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Relativlely moist conditions previal but a gradual decrease in moisture is expected over the next 24-48 hrs.
Advisories: *Residents, especially those inland, are advised to stay hydrated and to avoid direct sunlight as much as possible.*
24-hour forecast: Sunny with a few cloudy spells today and cloudy at times tonight. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop inland this afternoon, then mostly southern and northern districts tonight. Elsewhere showers or thunderstorms will be isolated.
Winds: Light and Variable
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft.
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 87
Outlook: A few showers or isolated thunderstorms will develop over most areas on Sunday afternoon, becoming isolated by Sunday night.
Sargassum Forecast from September 15, 2020 to September 22, 2020: There is a small chance that a few sargassum mats could drift into local beaches in the coming days with minor to moderate impacts. San Pedro has a low probability and a moderate expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 3:00am, Tropical Storm Wilfred was centred near latitude 13.1N, longitude 36.9W or about 885mls W of the Cabo Verde Islands. Hurricane Teddy was centered near latitude 24.9N, longitude 58.2W or about 650 miles SE of Bermuda. Tropical Storm Beta was centred near 26.0N and 92.5W or about 290 miles East of the the mouth of the Rio Grande River. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

An upper level inverted trough is moving through the area that extends from the Yucatan Peninsula to Guatemala. Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea. Precipitation: isolated moderate to strong thunderstorms are noted in Cuba. Isolated moderate to strong convection covers areas from Honduras to 23N in the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico between Honduras and the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico. The comparatively strongest convective precipitation is occurring in parts of Belize and northern Guatemala, and in the western sections of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec of southern Mexico.

A surface trough extends from 14N63W to a 1010 mb low pressure near 13N67W. Precipitation: scattered moderate is within 120 nm on either side of the trough.

The monsoon trough is along 09N/11N, from 73W in northern Colombia beyond Costa Rica, into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Precipitation: scattered moderate is from 14N southward from 73W westward.

Tropical Storm Wilfred near 13.1N 36.9W 1007 mb at 5 AM EDT moving WNW at 15 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Wilfred will move to 13.8N 39.0W this afternoon, 14.8N 41.7W Sun morning, 15.8N 44.4W Sun afternoon, then weaken to a tropical depression near 16.5N 46.8W Mon morning. Tropical Depression Wilfred is expected to become a remnant low and move to 16.8N 48.6W Mon afternoon, then dissipate Tue morning. Long period northeasterly swell from Major Hurricane Teddy, moving away from the area in the Central Atlantic, will continue to impact tropical Atlantic waters through early next week.

  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
26° C
78° F
Inland 35° C
95° F
22° C
72° F
Hills 28° C
83° F
20° C
68° F
High: 11:26 AM Low: 5:29 PM
High: 11:22 PM Low: 6:10 AM (Sun)
Sunrise: 5:41 AM Moonrise: 7:52 AM
Sunset: 5:50 PM Moonset: 7:56 PM

Four Day Weather Outlook:


For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:


Caye Caulker:

Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 19, 2020 - 09/19/20 12:07 PM

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Beta, located over the western Gulf of Mexico, on Hurricane Teddy, located over the central Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Wilfred, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Alpha, which became post-tropical over northern Portugal.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette is moving southward and is now located just south of the western Azores. The cyclone is forecast to continue southward for the next day or two and then stall over marginally warm waters a few hundred miles south of the Azores. The cyclone could subsequently develop tropical or subtropical characteristics by early next week while it moves little. For more information about marine hazards associated with this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave is located near the west coast of Africa and will move westward over the far eastern Atlantic during the next few days. Development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

[Linked Image]

For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here

Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: September 19, 2020 - 09/19/20 03:53 PM

There have been several swellups around southern Belize and Honduras, which are now dispersing and putting out a fair bit of high level cloud, causing hazy sunshine over most of Belize presently. This is thinning. so will probably be very sunny over most of Belize in a couple of hours time. Clouds not forming until later, as it heats up. There is no indication of ITCZ swellups at present, but they could occur later this afternoon.

Looks like hazy sun this morning, then bright sunshine, with clouds later and possible swellups and rain in places this afternoon or evening.

[Linked Image]

Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25°C 78°F Yesterday max. 34°C 93°F Yesterday Rain 0.2 mm ( 0")
© 2021 Ambergris Caye Belize Message Board