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Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020

Posted By: Marty

Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020 - 10/09/20 12:10 PM

Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020


General Situation:
Ambergris Caye: Conditions this morning by Elbert just before or after this post!
Belize NMS: Present Condition: Mostly cloudy this morning. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail over the area.
Advisories: *A Flood Watch is in effect for the possibility of flooding along rivers in the north.*
24-hour forecast: Cloudy skies at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly along coastal areas this morning and tonight and mainly over inland areas this afternoon.
Winds: E-SE, 5-15 kts
Sea State: Slight
Waves: 1-3 ft
Sea Surface Temperature (°f): 86
Outlook: For Saturday and Saturday night is for similar weather conditions to continue.
Sargassum Forecast from October 6, 2020 to October 14, 2020: The chances of sargassum affecting local beaches in the next few days remain low with minimal impacts expected from any mats that do make it ashore. San Pedro has a low probability and a minimal expected impact.
Tropical Weather Outlook: At 6:00 am Hurricane Delta was centered near latitude 27.5N, longitude 93.8W, or about 160 miles south of Cameron, Louisiana. Click for more...

Marine Conditions:

The Caribbean Sea

An upper-level low is centered NW of Jamaica and E of the Cayman Islands. A recent ASCAT pass shows a N-S oriented surface trough along 72W. These features, along with abundant moisture at low to middle levels is supporting scattered moderate to strong convection from 10N-21N between 71W-76W, and from 17N-20N between 81W-86W. This includes Haiti and the Windward Passage. A recent ASCAT pass shows some fresh winds to the east of the surface trough between 69W-72W. Gentle to moderate trades prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, a tropical wave will enhance showers today over the Lesser Antilles before moving into the central Caribbean over the weekend. Building high pressure over the northwest Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and moderate seas over the south-central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate trade winds and slight seas elsewhere today. Winds and seas will diminish across the basin through early next week as the high pressure shifts east.


  High Low
Coastal 31° C
88° F
26° C
79° F
Inland 33° C
92° F
23° C
74° F
Hills 28° C
82° F
20° C
68° F
TIDES:
Low: 9:49 AM High: 4:23 PM
Low: 8:29 PM High: 2:51 AM (Sat)
Sunrise: 5:44 AM Moonset: 12:10 PM
Sunset: 5:34 PM Moonrise: 11:30 PM




Four Day Weather Outlook:



For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.

Climate Prediction Centers Central America Hazards Outlook

Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)

Ambergris Caye:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/san-pedro

Philip S W Goldson International Airport:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belize/MZBZ?cm_ven=localwx_today

Belmopan:
https://www.wunderground.com/weather/bz/belmopan/17.26%2C-88.78

Caye Caulker:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherdata/caye-caulker-belize-live-weather-data.htm

Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020 - 10/09/20 12:11 PM

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Delta, located over the west-central Gulf of Mexico.

The center of Hurricane Delta is near 26.2N 93.6W at 09/0600 UTC, or about 215 nm S of Cameron Louisiana, moving NNW at 10 kt. The estimated minimum central pressure is 953 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 105 kt with gusts to 130 kt. Numerous strong convection is within 90 nm of the center in the NE semicircle and within 120 nm SW semicircle. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is elsewhere within 240 nm of the center in the NE semicircle and within 210 nm SW semicircle. The center of Delta will move over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico today, and then move inland along the SW Louisiana coast late this afternoon or this evening. Some slight additional strengthening is possible during the next few hours. Weakening is expected to begin later today as Delta approaches the northern Gulf coast. NOAA buoy 42002 near 26.1N 93.6W recently measured a significant wave height of 35 ft and a pressure of 953 mb inside the eye. Prior to the eye passage, the buoy measured winds of 72 kt with gusts of 86 kt. Hurricane force winds and a dangerous storm surge are expected along portions of the Gulf Coast later today.

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. The wave is expected to move generally westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could be conducive for some gradual development of the system this weekend or early next week while it is located over the tropical Atlantic, well east of the Lesser Antilles. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

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For more information, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here
Posted By: elbert

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020 - 10/09/20 02:04 PM

On Ambergris Caye this morning we have a flat calm sea around our barrier reef with a sprinkling of rain. Today's expected high temperature is 88 f.

Attached picture oct 9th.jpg
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020 - 10/09/20 03:04 PM

One of those swellup areas caused by the high level winds from the NE came over northern and central Belize over night, causing some rain in many parts but is now dying our, just drizzle in many places. There is a new one developing just off southern Belize, that might bring rain in later this morning.

Looks like today will be largely cloudy, but thinning later, patches or rain around.

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Temperatures in Belmopan : ( Coast usually cooler, hills even cooler )
Last night min. 25C 77F Yesterday max. 33C 91F Yesterday Rain 0.1 mm ( 0")
Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020 - 10/09/20 06:37 PM

Each time the rain gets near, so the cloud appears to disperse or even evaporate away, so still no rain on land.

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Present Condition: Mostly cloudy. Relatively moist and unstable conditions prevail.
24hr Forecast: Skies will be cloudy at times with a few showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly over central, inland and some offshore areas this afternoon, then mainly over southern and coastal areas tonight into tomorrow morning.

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Live Beach Cam at Blue Water Grill

Posted By: Marty

Re: Belize Weather Forecast: October 9, 2020 - 10/09/20 07:44 PM

Flood Forecast for October 9, 2020

River Conditions

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek and downstream at Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas to the coast levels are below the normal mean and steady. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia levels are normal and steady.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER, reservoir levels are below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, levels are below the low-level bridge and steady. The MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town is above normal and rising. On the BELIZE RIVER, levels at Banana Bank and Double Run are above normal and slowly rising. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON levels remain below the causeway and rising steadily.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun is normal steady. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village is normal and rising. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is normal and steady. The Swasey and Bladen branch of the MONKEY RIVER is above normal and slowly rising. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls are near nomial and steady. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan is above normal and steady and at Blue Creek South levels are normal and steady. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are normal steady.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER levels are above normal and steady.

Flood Forecast

REGION 7 - On the RIO HONDO at Blue Creek, Santa Cruz, San Antonio, San Roman, and Douglas and downstream to the coast, levels are expected to increase to near above normal. On the NEW RIVER at Tower Hill and Caledonia above normal levels are expected.

REGION 9 - On the MACAL RIVER. reservoir levels are expected to remain below the spillways at Chalillo, Mollejon and Vaca facilities. At San Ignacio, normal and steady levels are expected. On the MOPAN RIVER at Benque Viejo Town river levels are expected to continue to increase then recede back to normal within the next few days. On the BELIZE RIVER at Banana Bank and Double Run levels are expected to remain at above normal levels over the next few days. On the CROOKED TREE LAGOON, levels are expected remain below the causeway and become steady over the next few days.

REGION 11 - River levels on the SIBUN RIVER near Freetown Sibun are expected to rise to above normal levels. Levels on the SOUTHERN LAGOON near Gales Point Village are expected to remain at normal levels. The SITTEE RIVER at Kendal Bridge is expected to show a minimal increase over the next few days. The Swasey and Bladen branch of the MONKEY RIVER is expected to continue to increase then become steady over the next few days. Levels on the RIO GRANDE at San Pedro Columbia and Big Falls is expected to show a minimal increase over the next few days.. The MOHO RIVER at Jordan is expected to remain at above normal levels and at Blue Creek South levels is expected to increase then become steady over the next few days. Levels on the TEMASH RIVER near Crique Sarco are expected to rise to above normal levels.

REGION 13 - On the SARSTOON RIVER no significant changes are expected.

The next Flood Report and Forecast will be issued on Tuesday October 13, 2020 at 12 pm.

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Sure is a very pretty day. Pic taken at about 1145am. Photo by San Pedro Scoop

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