Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021 - 07/02/21 12:08 PM
Belize Weather Forecast: July 2, 2021
The Caribbean Sea
Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Elsa is moving west toward the Windward Islands.
Fresh winds prevail over much of the Caribbean, with the exception of gentle winds near Cuba and locally strong winds S of Puerto Rico in association with a tropical wave. Seas are in the 6-9 ft range in the central Caribbean, 4-7 ft in the eastern Caribbean, and 3-5 ft in the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, the tropical wave in the far eastern Caribbean will move quickly into the central basin later this week. Locally heavy rainfall and reduced visibility will occur in its vicinity. Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Elsa is near 9.4N 48.8W 1006 mb at 5 AM EDT moving W at 22 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Elsa will move to 10.3N 52.0W this afternoon, 11.7N 56.7W Fri morning, 13.2N 61.8W Fri afternoon, 14.9N 66.9W Sat morning, 16.7N 71.2W Sat afternoon, and 18.0N 74.5W Sun morning. Elsa will remain a tropical storm through the weekend, and may move near Cuba or the far southeast Gulf early Mon.
Four Day Weather Outlook:
For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook.
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Elsa Is Very Likely A Hurricane Right Now
At 5 a.m. AST, the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was located about 70 miles (110 km) east-southeast of Barbados. It's moving quickly toward the west-northwest near 28 mph (44 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, Elsa will pass near or over portions of the Windward Islands or the southern Leeward Islands this morning, move across the eastern Caribbean Sea late today and tonight, and move near the southern coast of Hispaniola on Saturday. By Sunday, Elsa is forecast to move near Jamaica and portions of eastern Cuba.
Elsa is certainly strengthening today and I think that it is probably already a hurricane based on satellite imagery, radar imagery from Barbados and weather observations from Barbados. Radar imagery from Barbados indicates that an eye seems to be forming with a partially closed eyewall observed. In addition, the airport in Barbados has recorded wind gusts of hurricane force (86 mph wind gust). Elsa is likely a low end hurricane with 75 to 80 mph winds or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. Some additional strengthening is forecast to take place during the next 12 to 24 hours, followed by little change in strength.
Elsa is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches today across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands, including Barbados. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and mudslides. Over Puerto Rico, rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized amounts of 5 inches is expected late today into Saturday. This rain may lead to isolated flash flooding and minor river flooding, along with the potential for mudslides. Across portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica, rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches is possible Saturday into Sunday. This rain may lead to scattered flash flooding and mudslides.
For further information on tropical conditions, check the daily Tropical Weather Outlook, click here.