Belize Weather Forecast: September 24, 2021
General Situation:
The Caribbean Sea A sharp upper-level trough extends from the vicinity of the southeastern Bahamas to across eastern Cuba and to the southwestern Caribbean. A surface trough is analyzed in the W Caribbean extending along 84W from 17N-22N. This is allowing for the development of afternoon and evening thunderstorms across the western and central Caribbean Sea. Scattered moderate convection is also noted in the SW and south- central Caribbean, especially near the northern coast of Colombia. A recent scatterometer pass indicate fresh trades within 130 nm of the coast of NW Venezuela, including the waters surrounding the ABC islands, while gentle to moderate trades prevail elsewhere. Seas in the central and E Caribbean are 2-4 ft, while 1-2 ft are noted elsewhere. For the forecast, Hurricane Sam is near 11.5N 42.2W 993 mb at 5 AM EDT moving W at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts 80 kt. Sam will move to 11.7N 44.0W this afternoon, 12.1N 45.9W Sat morning, 12.5N 47.4W Sat afternoon, 12.9N 48.7W Sun morning, 13.4N 50.0W Sun afternoon, and 14.1N 51.1W Mon morning. Sam will change little in intensity as it moves to 15.9N 53.8W by early Tue. Meanwhile, moderate trade winds will persist over much of the Caribbean into early next week, becoming fresh over the south- central Caribbean starting tonight as high pressure builds east of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong winds are forecast in the Gulf of Honduras Sun night.
Four Day Weather Outlook: For more information, check the Daily Tropical Weather Outlook. Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)
Ambergris Caye:
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