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TROPICAL STORM

Posted By: kathyw

TROPICAL STORM - 08/10/04 08:20 PM

What happened to the Tropical Storm subject? Has it blown over or ?
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/10/04 08:45 PM

False reporting got it removed. Here's the latest official report:
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2004

...CHARLEY MOVING NEAR JAMAICA...HEADED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. THIS WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE
CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING TONIGHT.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO
INCLUDE THE FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY...AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO OCEAN REEF
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND FROM FLAMINGO NORTHWARD TO BONITA
BEACH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
THE HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST OR ABOUT 85
MILES... 135 KM...SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH
...28 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE PASSING
SOUTH OF OR VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF JAMAICA TONIGHT. RAIN
BANDS WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN SQUALLS WILL AFFECT MUCH
OF JAMAICA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN
TO SPREAD OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COASTS OF JAMAICA THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 77.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
Posted By: Diane Campbell

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 01:24 PM

If you want to keep current with Tropcial weather updates, you can subscribe to a service that sends you forecast bulletins automatically (every 3 or 4 hours) beginning when the system becomes a Tropical Depression. Find the Palm Beach Post and follow the prompts.
Also visit the National Hurricane Center's tropical weather sites, and Weather Underground (WU has very interesting computer model maps).
During hurricane season I make a habit of checking the Caribbean Hi Resolution weather maps every morning - you learn to spot troublesome weather patters early. In particular watch the quadrant just off Columbia - that area is where Mitch & Iris started.
Posted By: LaurieMar

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 02:17 PM

I hope this thing does not head toward AC. Will be there Friday for a week and really need a vacation. Thanks for the updates.
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 03:14 PM

from CH5TV:
Hurricane Charley no threat...yet

It poses no immediate threat to Belize, but when it comes to hurricanes or tropical storms, we have seen too many times that forecasting is still a very inexact science. That is why meteorologists in Belize and the region are keeping a close eye on Charley, the season’s third named storm, which is tonight swimming across the Caribbean like a barracuda chasing a school of sprat. Late this evening, the centre of Tropical Storm Charley was located well southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. Forecasters expect that as Charley moves past that island it will strengthen into a hurricane. Acting Chief Meteorologist Ramon Frutos says while the system is not expected to affect the country, Belizeans should use it as a reminder to be prepared.

Ramon Frutos, Ag. Chief Meteorologist
“Basically that is what the projections are indicting; that as Charley continues on a west north westerly track during the next twelve to twenty-four hours, it will tend to move or the trajectory will change to a more northerly track as it enters the North Western Caribbean.”

“Any system that develops in the Caribbean should be concerned to all interest n the Caribbean. And Charley was or is at the moment in the Central Caribbean. However, indications are pointing that Charley will swing more towards the northwest as it moves into the Western Caribbean later on Wednesday and on Thursday. So, Belizeans should continue to monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Charley during the next twenty-four to thirty-six hours.”

“Well I think most Belizeans should continue to review their hurricane plan. And companies and agencies should be doing the same, just to be sure that they are in a position, prepared or any eventuality. But I should say that at this point, we need not worry too much of any major impact that Charley could have on the country of Belize.”

The Governments of Haiti and Jamaica have issued tropical storm warnings, while authorities in the Cayman Islands have placed residents on a Tropical storm watch. Charley is moving toward the west-northwest at near twenty-six miles per hour with maximum sustained winds near fifty miles per hour. Some strengthening is expected over the next twenty four hours. Frutos says computer models project Tropical Storm Charley to pass through Cuba’s Isle of Youth on Friday morning.
Posted By: GailM

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 03:15 PM

Hi Laurie,
Have a great time - you shouldn't have any problem with the storms if you are still flying in from the west coast. i got back about 3 weeks ago and sat in the Pub Crawlers spot several times at BC's. I think we need to make another pub crawl though cause there are folks writing over our fading names!
Didn't do a crawl this last trip, but did a mini one in May with 4 sisters and two neices and we went to all the "back a there" bars including Black and White, Riverside, One Barrel (they are now prefered over Cholo's for Coco Locos) and old standbys like Cholos, Sharks, Canucks, Holiday Hotel, Banana Beach and Mata Rocks.
I know you will have a blast!
Posted By: kathyw

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 04:49 PM

Thanks for the information Jesse and Diane. We're praying Belize has a calm Hurricane season.
Posted By: Tradewind

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 05:22 PM

I started that topic and advise nobody ever rely on a message board for hurricane information due to its life threatening nature. If Jesse removed it I approve.

Just popped back to tell that this one is coming at us here in SW Florida. First serious one since we moved here. The track takes it right over us. I suggest it will be strong but will keep why short. I've got a lot of work to do today clearing the deck of furniture and getting pots off the lawn and deck.

Local authorities are starting to go ballistic here. They say it will hit on a high tide. Vacationers are being advised to leave.
It goes right over us on this NHC map:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT03/refresh/AL0304W+GIF/111508W.gif
Posted By: Tradewind

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 05:25 PM

Jesse:

Trust me, Charley won't go anywhere near Belize. A strong unseasonable front is descending from the US continent and will absolutely pull Charley north and towards Florida...
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 05:30 PM

Thanks but since these reports can be a matter of life or death we'll stick with the official ones.
Posted By: Tradewind

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 05:36 PM

That is the official one Jesse. I mean you still have to have a topic on it right mate? Relax, I'm the one under the gun...
Posted By: SP Daily

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 07:43 PM

Five years ago Mitch was supposed to turn north but instead went south and west, killing close to 20,000. Please do not advise people to stop paying attention!
Posted By: papashine

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/11/04 09:28 PM

Kieth was only a storm when I went to bed the night before....
Posted By: Tradewind

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/12/04 01:39 AM

OK I'll play. A cold front is like a brick wall for cyclones. - but OK...
Posted By: Everglades

Re: TROPICAL STORM - 08/12/04 03:44 AM

Jesse, where did you get that number, 20,000??
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