September 27, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

The weather over the Northwest Caribbean, Yucatan and
Belize remains moist.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs: Cloudy skies will gradually clear giving
sunny withh warm temperatures. Winds will be east to
southeast 5 to 15 Kts. Sea state will be light chop
to choppy.

The outlook is for partly cloudy skies, warm
temperatures and isolated showers on Wednesday.



Western and Central Caribbean:

A CUT-OFF UPPER LOW IS LOCATED JUST OVER S FLORIDA
NEAR 26N81W WITH AN TROUGH EXTENDING N/S S OF 30N INTO
THE NW CARIBBEAN. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
ACROSS MUCH OF AREA THROUGH TUE.

THE AREA IS SPLIT BETWEEN THE UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING
ACROSS CUBA NEAR 22N82W OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TO N OF
THE GULF OF HONDURAS NEAR 17N85W AND AN UPPER RIDGE
ANCHORED OVER HISPANIOLA COVERING THE CARIBBEAN W OF
80W.

AN UPPER HIGH IS SW OF THE DEEP LAYERED TROUGH
CENTERED OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N71W AND COVERS A
MAJOR PORTION OF THE CARIBBEAN.

TROPICAL MOISTURE IS ABUNDANT OVER MOST OF THE
CARIBBEAN GENERATING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA E OF 65W WITH THE
GREATEST INTENSITY ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
74W/75W.

TROPICAL WAVE OVER CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MOVING ALONG AT
10-15 KT. BEHIND/EAST OF THE WAVE...WINDS HAVE PICKED
UP ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA WHICH WAS SHOWING A FEW
15-20 KT WINDS BETWEEN 65W-70W.

A CONTRIBUTING FACTOR TO INCREASING WINDS IS A
TROPICAL WAVE AND DEVELOPING LOW OVER NW CARIBBEAN BY
LATE WEEK WHICH COULD INCREASE PRES GRADIENT.

Eastern Caribbean:

E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 74W/75W S OF 20N
MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE 1009 MB LOW NEAR 14N74W HAS
DISSIPATED.

SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 75.5W
FROM 13N-16N AND SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 77W FROM 12N-17N.