Jeff Master's today 24 Oct ........

The forecast
Persistent low pressure and sporadic heavy rains will continue over the Western Caribbean for the next ten days. A strong cold front is expected to push southward into the area next Tuesday, and the tail end of this cold front could serve as the nucleus for a new tropical disturbance that will generate another round of very heavy rains for Honduras, northern Guatemala, and Belize late next week. Wind shear is expected to be in the low to medium range over the Western Caribbean next week (Figure 2), so we will need to be concerned with a possible tropical storm forming by the middle of next week along the old front.