November 10, 2005 (12:00 NOON)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers. Cloudy
to overcast conditions persist over the extreme
southern district of Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be north- easterly at 5 to 15
kts. Isolated showers will occur during the early
morning and late afternoon. The sea state will be
slight to light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Friday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:
A WESTERN CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W S
OF 15N MOVING W 5-10 KT. A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION IS
PRESENT. THE WAVE IS UNDER THE SW SIDE OF AN UPPER
RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA...THUS THERE ARE NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS OR
CONVECTION.

AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED OVER COLOMBIA WITH A RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING NORTH WESTWARDS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA
AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. DIFFLUENCE TO THE SW OF THE
UPPER RIDGE IS DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE NW COVERING
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION SOUTH OF 13N WEST OF 68W.

IN THE NW MODERATE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT
GIVING THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.

Central Caribbean:
THE UPPER TROUGH THAT COVERS THE WEST ATLANTIC AND
INTO THE CENTRAL ATLC DIPS INTO THE CARIBBEAN NORTH OF
15N EAST OF 85W. DRY AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS
BEING DRAWN S OVER CUBA AND JAMAICA NORTH OF 17N FROM
75W-87W.

CARIB WINDS ARE MOSTLY MODERATE.

Eastern Caribbean:
AN EAST CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W/65W S OF
16N MOVING W 10 KT. A BAND OF DRY UPPER AIR IS
LIMITING CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE SPREADING
WESTWARD FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TO
66W.

CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN
150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 53W-62W INCLUDING THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OVER THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS S OF 15N FROM THE ITCZ CONVECTION. MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL STEADILY INCREASE TODAY AND REMAIN HIGH
THROUGH THE WEEKEND