November 11, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be north- easterly at 5 to 15
kts. Isolated showers will occur during the early
morning and late afternoon. The sea state will be
slight to light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Saturday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:
A CENTRAL AMERICAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W S OF 15N
MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS HARD TO SEPARATE FROM THE
TYPICAL CYCLONIC ENVIRONMENT OF THE REGION. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OVER PANAMA
AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 80W-85W.

PATCHES OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OVER NW VENEZUELA...N COLOMBIA...AND E PANAMA FROM
6N-12N BETWEEN 71W-80W.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A SMALL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER S NICARAGUA NEAR 11N84W
ENHANCING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND CONVECTION OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN.

Central Caribbean:
MODERATE TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING OVER THE CARIBBEAN
SEA WITH TWO EMBEDDED TROPICAL WAVES PRODUCING MOST OF
THE CONVECTION.

THE S CARIBBEAN S OF 12N WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE
CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

Eastern Caribbean:
E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 68W/69W S OF 16N
MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. THE WAVE IS COMBINING WITH UPPER
TROUGHING TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS INTO THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS. WET
WEATHER SHOULD OVERSPREAD PUERTO RICO TOMORROW.

EXPECT THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TO SHIFT INTO A WET
PATTERN SUPPORTED BY AN UPPER TROUGH IN AND WLY SHEAR
AND WITH DIFFLUENCE ENHANCING ANY WEAK WAVE THAT COMES
INTO THE REGION.