AmbergrisCaye.com Home Forums Talk Belize Weather Local Weather 3/26 4/1

March 27, 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Slightly unstable conditions and partly cloudy remain
over Central America and the North West Caribbean
including parts of Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies today and tonight with the chance
of isolated showers. The high temperature will be
around low 80 degrees F after midday. Today winds will
be from the East northeast to east 10 to 20 Kts.

The sea state will be choppy to moderate.

The outlook is for continuing partly cloudy skies and
isolated showers and moderate easterly surface winds
through Wednesday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud
2/8 Stratocumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East 14 Kts.
Tide level
0.46 m
Precipitation
none

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

AT THE SURFACE...THE TAIL END OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
STATIONARY AND LIES OVER HISPANIOLA. OCCASIONAL
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING OVER HISPANIOLA AND
PARTS OF THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR THE BOUNDARY.

NLY UPSLOPE FLOW HAS PRODUCED MAINLY OVERCAST
LOW-LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM NRN
NICARAGUA TO GUATEMALA AND BELIZE.

Central Caribbean:

A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 12N58W
WITH ITS ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE
CARIBBEAN.
A SUB-TROPICAL JET IS DRAWING A FAIR AMOUNT OF
MID-UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE FROM S AMERICA AND THE
EASTERN PACIFIC AND SPREADING IT OUT ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THIS MOISTURE IS
DRYING OUT AS IT TRAVELS EASTWARD.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STRETCHED
HORIZONTAL FROM PUERTO RICO/VIRGIN ISLANDS TO
HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STATIONARY FOR
MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF
RAIN OVER THESE ISLANDS.

Eastern Caribbean:

THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN HAS FAIR WEATHER WITH
15-20 KT TRADEWINDS.

March 28, 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Stable conditions and mostly sunny/clear skies will
affect the North West Caribbean including Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mostly sunny skies today and fair tonight. The high
temperature will be around mid 80 degrees F after
midday. Today winds will be from the East northeast to
east 10 to 15 Kts.

The sea state will be choppy. Seas will be 2 to 4
feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for continuing fair and hazy weather
through Thursday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud
2/8 Stratocumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East 7 Kts.
Tide level
0.50 m
Precipitation
none

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

STRONG SUBSIDENCE LIES TO THE WEST OF THE JET NAMELY W
OF 76W IN THE CARIBBEAN.

MODERATE TRADES CONTINUE OVER THE SW PORTION OF THE
SEA MAINLY NEAR THE S AMERICA COAST. NE WINDS OF 25 KT
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST BY TUE
INCREASING TO 25-30 KT TUE NIGHT THROUGH THRSDAY.

Central Caribbean:

AT THE SURFACE...THE TAIL END OF A W ATLANTIC COLD
FRONT IS STATIONARY FROM JUST N OF PUERTO RICO TO
HISPANIOLA AND IS CAUSING ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS IN
THE REGION.

THE MOST ORGANIZED MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY TO THE N OF
THESE ISLANDS AND GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT IT WILL
LIKELY REMAIN THERE FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK.

NE WINDS OF 20 KT NEAR THE E COAST OF CUBA AND
WINDWARD PASSAGE WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KT TUE NIGHT
THEN DECREASING TO 15-20 KT WED THROUGH FRIDAY.

E OF 65W...TYPICAL PATCHES OF LOW CLOUDS ARE DRIVEN
WESTWARD BY MODERATE TRADES. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
TSTMS IS LIKELY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA
THROUGH THE WEEK...POSSIBLY LEADING TO LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING.

Eastern Caribbean:

A STRONG MID-UPPER LEVEL HIGH CONTINUES TO BE NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC CENTERED NEAR
15N53W.

A SUB-TROPICAL JET IS RIDING ON THE N PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER HIGH DRAWING MID-UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS NEWARD
FROM S AMERICA AND THE EPAC AND SPREADING IT ACROSS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

March 29, 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Relatively stable conditions will affect the North
West Caribbean including Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies today and tonight. Isolated
showers will develop late afternoon and early in the
morning.

The high temperature will be around mid 80 degrees F
after midday. Today winds will blow from the East
northeast to east 10 to 15 Kts.

The sea state will be choppy. Seas will be 5 to 8
feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for continuing fair and hazy weather
through Thursday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0700 hrs
Cloud
7/8 Stratocumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East 10 Kts.
Tide level
0.51 m
Precipitation
Light Showers

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

A SUB-TROPICAL JET IS RIDING ON THE N PERIPHERY OF AN
ANTICYCLONE FROM COSTA RICA TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE
DRAWING UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE FROM S AMERICA AND THE
EPAC AND SPREADING IT ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN AND INTO
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

MODERATE SUBSIDENCE LIES TO THE W OF THE JET AXIS.

TYPICAL NE 25 KT WINDS WILL OCCUR ALONG COAST OF
COLOMBIA.

IN STRAITS OF FL MODELS ARE FLUCTUATING ON STRENGTH
AND DURATION OF ELY WINDS...THUS SEAS MAY BE 5-8 FT

Central Caribbean:

A STRONG UPPER HIGH REMAINS CENTERED TO THE EAST OF
THE ISLANDS NEAR 13N56W.
A STATIONARY FRONT LIES E TO W ALONG 20N E OF
HISPANIOLA AS FORECAST LEADING INTO LOW PRESSURE 1016
MB NEAR 20N65W.

S OF THIS FRONT ELY TRADES WILL DOMINATE THE TROPICAL
ATLC AND THE CARIBBEAN.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OVER PUERTO RICO AND
HISPANIOLA BUT THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE LIES 200 NM OR
SO NNE OF THE ISLANDS.

Eastern Caribbean:

A REMNANT TROUGH WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THIS AREA OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS KEEPING A CHANCE OF RAIN IN
THE E CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK...BUT THE DEEPEST MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TO THE N
OF THE AREA.

March 30, 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Relatively stable and windy conditions will affect the
North West Caribbean including Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies today and tonight. Isolated
showers will develop late afternoon and early in the
morning.

The high temperature will be around mid 80 degrees F
after midday. Today winds will blow from the East
northeast to east 10 to 20 Kts.

The sea state will be choppy. Seas will be 5 to 8
feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for continuing fair and hazy weather
through Saturday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0800 hrs
Cloud
1/8 Cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East 10 Kts.
Tide level
0.52 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

A SUBTROPICAL JET WITH E PACIFIC MOISTURE EXTENDS FROM
COSTA RICA TO HISPANIOLA.

SURFACE HIGH OVER THE W ATLANTIC IS PRODUCING NE FLOW
OVER HISPANIOLA AND E CUBA.

Central Caribbean:

BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
ARE N OF 17N BETWEEN 60W-75W.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER W
COLOMBIA.

THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE
VICINITY OF PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN/LEEWARD FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

GUSTY WINDS 20 TO 25 KT OVER THE CARIB DAY 1.

Eastern Caribbean:

AN UPPER HIGH REMAINS CENTERED JUST EAST OF TRINIDAD
AND TOBAGO IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. MODERATE TO STRONG
SUBSIDENCE AND DRY UPPER AIR COVERS FROM VENEZUELA TO
FRENCH GUIANA AS WELL AS THE NW AND SE CORNERS OF THE
BASIN.

AT THE SURFACE...THE TAIL END OF AN ATLANTIC FRONTAL
BOUNDARY REMAINS NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND THE
VIRGIN/LEEWARD ISLANDS. IT PRESENCE IS ENHANCING THE
SHOWER/TSTMS ACTIVITY OVER THESE ISLANDS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE NE CARIBBEAN. THE
ATLC RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY
TRADES THROUGH SATURDAY...WHEN IT
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT E.

March 31, 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Relatively stable conditions will affect the North
West Caribbean including Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly cloudy skies and hazy sunshine today and fair
tonight.

The high temperature will be around high 80 degrees F
after midday. Today winds will blow from the East 5 to
15 Kts.

The sea state will be slight to light chop. Seas will
be 2 to 4 feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for continuing fair and hazy weather
through Saturday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0800 hrs
Cloud
3/8 Cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East 4 Kts.
Tide level
0.52 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

A PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE
TROPICAL ATLC ACROSS VENEZUELA...COLOMBIA...PANAMA AND
COSTA RICA.

NEARLY ZONAL FLOW COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 12N.

A JETSTREAM WITH E PACIFIC MOISTURE EXTENDS FROM COSTA
RICA TO PUERTO RICO INTO THE CENTRAL ATLC.

THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA HAS THE USUAL
TRADEWINDS WITH STRONGEST VELOCITIES AROUND 20 KT OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN TO INCLUDE THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA.

A CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ON THE PACIFIC SIDE OF PANAMA. ALSO
EXPECT MORE CONVECTION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND COSTA
RICA/PANAMA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
Central Caribbean:

MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE NW AND SE
CORNERS OF THE BASIN...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
AND NE VENEZUELA. AT THE SURFACE...A 1015 MB LOW IS
LOCATED NE OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 21N62W. A TROUGH
EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW ALONG 19N65W 16N680W. THE SAN
JUAN DOPPLER RADAR IS STILL SHOWING A BAND OF SHOWERS
WITH ISOLATED TSTMS JUST BEHIND THE TROUGH ALONG THE
MONA PASSAGE. OTHER SHOWERS ARE OBSERVED ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO.

THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE SHOWER/TSTM
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE NE CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING OVER PUERTO RICO AND
PARTS OF HISPANIOLA.

Eastern Caribbean:

MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE NW AND SE
CORNERS OF THE BASIN...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
AND NE VENEZUELA.

THE ATLC RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO STRONG
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE BASIN THROUGH
SATURDAY.

April 1, 2006 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Tropical Prediction Center)

TODAY'S WEATHER

Relatively stable conditions will affect the North
West Caribbean including Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mostly hazy sunshine today and fair weather tonight.

The high temperature will be around high 80 degrees F
after midday. Today winds will blow from the East 5 to
15 Kts.

The sea state will be slight to light chop. Seas will
be 3 to 4 feet beyond the reef.

The outlook is for continuing fair and hazy weather
through Monday.


Current Weather:
San Pedro Lagoon 0730 hrs
Cloud
2/8 Cumulus
Wind (direction & speed)
East 7 Kts.
Tide level
0.47 m
Precipitation
None

Western Caribbean & Yucatan:

A FAIRLY WEAK UPPER HIGH IS LOCATED IN THE EPAC NEAR
9N91W. MOIST FLOW AROUND THIS UPPER HIGH IS GENERATING
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS OVER COSTA
RICA...NICARAGUA...HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR WITH A
STREAK OF UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS SPREADING TOWARDS THE E
CARIBBEAN.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST ATLANTIC IS SUPPLYING FAIR
WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD THIS WEEKEND TO MAINTAIN FAIR
WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION.

Central Caribbean:

STRONG SUBSIDENCE EXISTS WEST OF 74W NORTH OF 17N AND
OVER THE ANTILLES.

AT THE SURFACE...A 1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED 30 NM
NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 19N67W.

A SFC TROUGH LIES SOUTHWESTWARD OF LOW TO 16N71W AND
NORTHEASTWARD OF THE LOW INTO THE ATLANTIC. SAN JUAN
DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE
SYSTEM WITH SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS SPIRALING AROUND THE CENTER...MOST OF
THE ACTIVITY IS OFFSHORE OF PUERTO RICO. SOLID
MODERATE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS IS MAINLY LOCATED
WITHIN 175 NM TO THE NE OF THE CENTER.

THIS AREA OF RAIN THEN MOVES WESTWARD OVER HISPANIOLA
WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ON THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
THE MOUNTAINS DUE TO THE ENHANCED LIFT FROM THE LOCAL
OROGRAPHY.

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LIKELY TO MEANDER AND
DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

Eastern Caribbean:

OVER PORTIONS OF THE E CARIBBEAN UNSETTLED WEATHER IS
LIKELY TO CONTINUE AS A REMNANT TROUGH WILL HANG IN
THE AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.