AmbergrisCaye.com Home Forums Talk Belize Weather CURRENT WEATHER 11/6 11/12

November 6, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

A weak tropical wave moving westwards over Belize and
Yucatan will produce occasional cloudy skies and
isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies with mild temperatures. Winds will be
easterly at 5 to 15 kts. Isolated showers will occur
during the morning and late afternoon. The sea state
will be slight to light chop.

The outlook is for fair weather with isolated showers
on Monday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:

CENTRAL AMERICAN TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG
86W/87W S OF 18N AND MOVING W 10-15 KT.

CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE
OCCURRING FROM 13N-20N W OF 80W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.

AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED IN THE W CARIBBEAN NEAR
16N82W COVERING THE AREA W OF 75W AND EXTENDS N TO
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. DIFFLUENCE TO THE W OF THE
UPPER HIGH IS INTERACTING WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE TO
PRODUCE THE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS W OF 80W.

SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.

Central Caribbean:

LOW-AMPLITUDE WAVE IS LOCATED MOSTLY OVER SOUTH
AMERICA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
FROM THE ABC ISLANDS TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA
BETWEEN 66W-70W.

THE CARIBBEAN E OF 80W REMAINS DRY WITH ONLY SCATTERED
LOW LEVEL CLOUDS. THE CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN RATHER DRY
FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W
CARIBBEAN MOVES OUT AND BEFORE THE TROPICAL W E OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES MOVES IN.

Eastern Caribbean:

E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 68W/69W S OF 14N
MOVING W 15 KT.

UPPER HIGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N64W
EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA INCLUDING THE W TROPICAL ATLC.

November 7, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Unstable conditions over Belize and Yucatan will
produce mainly cloudy skies and isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Cloudy skies and some sunny breaks with mild
temperatures. Winds will be easterly at 5 to 15 kts.
Isolated showers will occur during the morning and
late afternoon. The sea state will be slight to light
chop.

The outlook is for cloudy skies with isolated showers
on Tuesday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:

BROAD UPPER HIGH ANCHORED IN THE W CARIBBEAN COVERS
MOST OF THE GULF.

AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED IN THE W CARIBBEAN NEAR
16N80W COVERING THE AREA W OF 70W AND EXTENDS N TO
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE W ATLC. DIFFLUENCE TO
THE W OF THE UPPER HIGH IS DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE N
OVER CENTRAL AMERICA PRODUCING SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS S OF 18N W OF 82W AND ENHANCING
THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
79W.

Central Caribbean:

UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC DIPS OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN E OF 70W BRINGING DRY AIR AND STRONG
SUBSIDENCE TO THE AREA E OF 80W. CARIBBEAN WINDS ARE
NE TO E 20 KT.

THE N CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH MID WEEK WHILE
THE S CARIBBEAN WILL EXPERIENCE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
AS THE TROPICAL WAVES MOVE WESTWARD.

CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 79W S OF 15N
MOVING W 15-20 KT. LOW-AMPLITUDE WAVE MOSTLY OVER
PANAMA AND THE E PACIFIC REGION WITH CLUSTERS OF
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION S OF 11N
FROM INLAND OVER COLOMBIA TO THE COAST OF COSTA
RICA/NICARAGUA.

Eastern Caribbean:

E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W/67W S OF 15N
MOVING W 15 KT. LOW-AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH THE SIGNATURE
CURVATURE OBSERVED IN THE LOW LEVELS OVER THE SE
CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE S OF 13N TO INLAND OVER VENEZUELA FROM THE WAVE
AXIS TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 15N
TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA FROM 57W TO OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

IN THE FAR SE CARIBBEAN LINGERING MOISTURE CONTINUES
TO GENERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE PASSING OF
A TROPICAL WAVE.

SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Partly sunny skies with warm temperatures. Winds will
be easterly at 5 to 15 kts. Isolated showers will
occur during the early morning and late afternoon. The
sea state will be slight to light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Wednesday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:

AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED IN THE W CARIBBEAN NEAR
12N80W COVERING THE AREA W OF 67W AND EXTENDS N TO
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE W ATLC. DIFFLUENCE TO
THE SW OF THE UPPER HIGH IS DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE
N FROM OVER COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND THE REMAINDER OF
CENTRAL AMERICA PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION S OF 13N W OF 79W.

Central Caribbean:

THE N CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK WHILE
THE S CARIBBEAN WILL EXPERIENCE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
AS THE TROPICAL WAVES MOVE WESTWARD.

Eastern Caribbean:

UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC DIPS OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN E OF 67W TO THE COAST OF VENEZUELA BRINGING
DRY AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE TO THE AREA E OF 80W
EXCEPT FOR ISOLATED LOW LEVEL SHOWERS OVER CUBA AND
HISPANIOLA.

TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
INTO THE CARIBBEAN BRINGING SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE LESSER ANTILLES

November 9, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers. Cloudy
to overcast conditions persist over the extreme
southern district of Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be easterly at 5 to 15 kts.
Isolated showers will occur during the early morning
and late afternoon. The sea state will be slight to
light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Thursday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:

AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED IN THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 14N83W WITH
A RIDGE EXTENDING NW ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
COVERING THE AREA W OF 75W.

DIFFLUENCE TO THE SW OF THE UPPER RIDGE IS DRAWING
TROPICAL MOISTURE NW FROM ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SW OF
A LINE FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 11N75W 15N82W TO THE
YUCATAN/BELIZE NEAR 17N88W.

Central Caribbean:

MOST OF THE N CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY
THROUGH MID-WEEK WHILE THE S CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE
TO EXPERIENCE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.

ILL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVES ALONG 76W AND 57W ARE
MOVING W AT 15 KT BUT ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS
WEAKENING WITH TIME. SHIPS ARE REPORTING 25-30 KT
ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST

Eastern Caribbean:

UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEST AND CENTRAL ATLC COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO JUST OFF THE
COAST OF VENEZUELA INCLUDING THE LESSER ANTILLES
BRINGING DRY AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE TO THE AREA E
OF 74W.

A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE E CARIBBEAN
TODAY BRINGING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS THIS MORNING...THEN STEADILY MOVING TO THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BEFORE THE WEEKEND.

November 10, 2005 (12:00 NOON)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers. Cloudy
to overcast conditions persist over the extreme
southern district of Belize.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be north- easterly at 5 to 15
kts. Isolated showers will occur during the early
morning and late afternoon. The sea state will be
slight to light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Friday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:
A WESTERN CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W S
OF 15N MOVING W 5-10 KT. A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION IS
PRESENT. THE WAVE IS UNDER THE SW SIDE OF AN UPPER
RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM COLOMBIA OVER CENTRAL
AMERICA...THUS THERE ARE NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS OR
CONVECTION.

AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED OVER COLOMBIA WITH A RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING NORTH WESTWARDS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA
AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. DIFFLUENCE TO THE SW OF THE
UPPER RIDGE IS DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE NW COVERING
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA WITH SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION SOUTH OF 13N WEST OF 68W.

IN THE NW MODERATE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT
GIVING THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.

Central Caribbean:
THE UPPER TROUGH THAT COVERS THE WEST ATLANTIC AND
INTO THE CENTRAL ATLC DIPS INTO THE CARIBBEAN NORTH OF
15N EAST OF 85W. DRY AIR AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS
BEING DRAWN S OVER CUBA AND JAMAICA NORTH OF 17N FROM
75W-87W.

CARIB WINDS ARE MOSTLY MODERATE.

Eastern Caribbean:
AN EAST CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W/65W S OF
16N MOVING W 10 KT. A BAND OF DRY UPPER AIR IS
LIMITING CONVECTION. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE SPREADING
WESTWARD FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TO
66W.

CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN
150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 53W-62W INCLUDING THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OVER THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS S OF 15N FROM THE ITCZ CONVECTION. MOISTURE
LEVELS WILL STEADILY INCREASE TODAY AND REMAIN HIGH
THROUGH THE WEEKEND

November 11, 2005 (6:00 a.m.)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY'S FORECAST

Fair conditions over Northern Belize and The Northwest
Caribbean will produce only isolated showers.

Ambergris Caye, San Pedro and Caye Caulker will
experience for the next 24 hrs:

Mainly sunny skies with warm temperatures today and
fair tonight. Winds will be north- easterly at 5 to 15
kts. Isolated showers will occur during the early
morning and late afternoon. The sea state will be
slight to light chop.

The outlook is for sunny skies with isolated showers
on Saturday.



Northwest Caribbean & Central America:
A CENTRAL AMERICAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W S OF 15N
MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS HARD TO SEPARATE FROM THE
TYPICAL CYCLONIC ENVIRONMENT OF THE REGION. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OVER PANAMA
AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 80W-85W.

PATCHES OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS
OVER NW VENEZUELA...N COLOMBIA...AND E PANAMA FROM
6N-12N BETWEEN 71W-80W.

IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A SMALL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER S NICARAGUA NEAR 11N84W
ENHANCING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND CONVECTION OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN.

Central Caribbean:
MODERATE TRADEWINDS ARE PREVAILING OVER THE CARIBBEAN
SEA WITH TWO EMBEDDED TROPICAL WAVES PRODUCING MOST OF
THE CONVECTION.

THE S CARIBBEAN S OF 12N WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE
CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

Eastern Caribbean:
E CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 68W/69W S OF 16N
MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. THE WAVE IS COMBINING WITH UPPER
TROUGHING TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS INTO THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS. WET
WEATHER SHOULD OVERSPREAD PUERTO RICO TOMORROW.

EXPECT THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TO SHIFT INTO A WET
PATTERN SUPPORTED BY AN UPPER TROUGH IN AND WLY SHEAR
AND WITH DIFFLUENCE ENHANCING ANY WEAK WAVE THAT COMES
INTO THE REGION.