Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: June 23, 2018

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Area wind information


Belize NMS Forecast

June 23, 2018

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, during the next 48 hours.

USA National Weather Service Forecast

June 23, 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Tropical Waves...

The axis of a tropical wave is near the west coast of Africa. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection associated to this wave is noted from 04N to 10N between 15W and 21W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 39W from 03N to 20W. Isolated moderate convection is noted at the base of this wave from 01N to 03N between 36W and 41W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 56W from 02N to 18N, moving W at 20 kt. Isolated moderate to strong convection was noted from 05N to 10N between 50W and 60W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 69W from the coast of Venezuela to eastern Hispaniola, moving W at 10-15 knots. This wave, in conjunction with an upper level trough, is helping for active convection over the northeastern Caribbean east of the wave axis.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 83W extending from the eastern north Pacific across western Panama to western Cuba. The wave is helping for enhanced convection over the NW Caribbean west of 78W, and the western half of Cuba.

...The Caribbean Sea...

A tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean. Another tropical wave is over the central Caribbean. Please, see Tropical Waves section for more details. Expect increasing showers and isolated thunderstorms in association with the passage of these tropical waves.

Trade winds over the south central Caribbean will strengthen and expand in areal coverage across the basin through early next week as high pressure builds across the central Atlantic.

Climate Prediction Center's Central America Hazards Outlook


48 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development



Infrared Satellite in Belize City

Tropics remain quiet
Accuweather

6/23/2018

No tropical development is expected across the Atlantic Basin well into next week. Several tropical waves are moving westward across the basin, but environmental conditions remain unfavorable for further development. There is widespread vertical shear across the Basin and in the central and eastern Atlantic water temperatures continue to run well below normal.



120 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

No Tropical Development Is Expected Through At Least This Weekend Across The Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf Of Mexico; Tropical Development Is Possible During The First Week Of July In The Area From Near The US Southeast Coast Through The Bahamas Into The Eastern Gulf Of Mexico
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

June 22, 2017

No Tropical Development Is Expected Through At Least This Weekend Across The Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf Of Mexico: Activity is expected to be generally quiet across the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico through this weekend and possibly through a good part of next week with no tropical development anticipated.

It appears that the next time period that we are going to have to watch for potential tropical development is during the first week of July as the upcoming weather pattern over the United States really supports tropical development from near the US Southeast Coast through the Bahamas into the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

It is looking likely that we will see a large upper level high pressure system build over the eastern United States as head towards late next week into the first week of July. This will lead to a hot first week of July across much of the central and eastern United States with high temperatures well into the 90s and near 100 Degrees as far north as New England.



No Recent Tropical Weather Posts
Jeff Masters, Category 6

June 20, 2018



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Last edited by Marty; 5 hours ago.