Belize Tropical Weather Outlook: March 25, 2017

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Area wind information


Belize NMS Forecast

6:00 AM in Belize, March 25, 2017

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of Mexico during the next 5 days.

We have come to the official end of the 2016 hurricane season. The season turned out above average activity as fifteen named storms formed, of which seven became hurricanes, and three reached major hurricane status. That is category three, four or five on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane scale. The strongest was Matthew which reached a peak intensity of 160mph, while heavy rainfall affected the country late during the season as Hurricane Otto crossed the Central American mainland. Earl, a category one hurricane crosed the country on August 3rd with-out any loss of life, but left a trail of destruction in the Agriculture and Tourism industry.


Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

USA National Weather Service Forecast

March 25, 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is over. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2017. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.

Tropical Weather Discussion

...Special features...
The 12-hour forecast, starting at 25/0600 UTC, consists of: a cold front along 31n41w 26n51w, and then stationary to 24n69w. A 1014 mb low pressure center will be near 21n68w, with a surface trough extending from the low center to 19n70w. Expect gale-force winds, and sea heights ranging from 11 feet to 15 feet, between 180 nm and 270 nm in the NE quadrant of the low pressure center. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast product under AWIPS/WMO headers hsfat2/fznt02 knhc for more details.

...The Caribbean Sea...

An upper level trough passes through 32n47w to 30n52w, along a shear axis to 29n70w, to 27n74w. The trough continues from 27n74w, across se Cuba, into the Windward Passage, to 14n79w, and to the border of Nicaragua and Costa Rica. A cold front passes through 32n44w to 27n50w and 25n56w. A shear line is along 26n55w 24n60w 22n66w 21n72w 21n76w with comparatively faster surface winds to the north of it. Convective precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds and possible rainshowers are within 240 nm to 360 nm on either side of 32n38w, 27n42w, 25n55w, 25n65w, and 19n66w

A cold front passes through 32n44w to 27n50w and 25n56w. A shear line is along 26n55w 24n60w 22n66w 21n72w 21n76w with comparatively faster surface winds to the north of it. The surface trough continues from 21n63w, through the Mona Passage, into the Caribbean Sea near 13n70w. Convective precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds and possible rainshowers are within 240 nm to 360 nm on either side of 32n38w, 27n42w, 25n55w, 25n65w, and 11n69w at the coast of Venezuela. Upper level SW wind flow is moving on top of the area of clouds and possible precipitation in the Caribbean Sea. Upper level anticyclonic wind flow is moving on top of the area of clouds and possible precipitation in the Atlantic Ocean.

The dividing line of wind flow regimes extends from the southern border of Haiti and the Dominican Republic to the coast of Costa Rica near 10n83w. The upper level wind flow that is to the west of that line is cyclonic. The upper level wind flow that is to the east of that line is from the SW. Rainshowers are comparatively more possible to the east of the dividing line of upper level cyclonic wind flow and upper level SW wind flow. Comparatively drier air in subsidence is evident in water vapor imagery to the west of the dividing line. The 24-hour rainfall total in inches for the period ending at 25/0000 UTC...according to The Pan American temperature and precipitation tables...miatptpan/sxca01 knhc...is 0.16 in Curacao.

Climate Prediction Center’s Central America Hazards Outlook

Weather Underground Caribbean Forecast

Will return in June, 2017


48 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development



Infrared Satellite in Belize City

The Atlantic Hurricane season is ending on the quiet note
Accuweather

11/30/2016 6:26:33 AM

This is the last day of the Atlantic hurricane season. There are no late season tropical features across the basin and current forecast information shows no support for post season tropical development through at least the middle of December.

This will be the last entry for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

This product is scheduled to resume on June 1, 2017. However, if late 2016 season or early 2017 season tropical development is expected this product will be updated until the tropical feature has died.



120 Hour Forecast – Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development

Quiet in the tropical Atlantic
Rob Lightbown of Crown Weather Services

No tropical weather related posts since November 24



Quiet in the Atlantic
Jeff Masters

No recent posts on Caribbean



CLICK HERE for the website for Belize National Emergency Management Organization (NEMO)


Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image